6E1! trade ideas
EUR/USD
Last week EUR/USD finished with a low demand on the CME Futures market.
After the breakout with an increased volume two weeks ago, a correction has appeared.
The price range 1,1430 - 1,1500 is still not tested as a support, as since the end of July the movement is based on a major range and increased volume. This is a bullish signal.
On Friday, the price broke 1,1800 with higher volume, which means the buying will continue at least to 1,1870.
At 1,1870, EUR/USD started to fall with increased volume. Every high volume trade must be tested in further.
Successful break out at 1,1870 with high volume will direct the price to 1,1900 - 1.1920.
Looking for a Supply between 1,1870 - 1,1920
Technical Setup on EURO but CAUTIOUS ahead of NFPTechnical Analysis
After a modest rally, this week following Dollar weakness the Euro has a confluence of important technicals indicating possible weakness.
1) A retest of previous channel structure which has acted as important support and resistance over 3 months.
2) A retrace to the golden fib ratio 0f 50-61.8% (1.19200 - 1.16350)
3) Momentum divergence which can also be seen as playing out well earlier this week
4) Looks to currently be printing a bearish pin bar candlestick pattern
5) The daily 20MA lines perfectly as resistance
Fundamental Analysis
With NFP tomorrow, I will be hesitant on placing a significantly large trade size at the moment
However, I am expecting further risk-off sentiment heading into November, as investors look to reduce exposure on assets shifting towards currencies and Gold which could indicate further EUR bearishness into the month
Brussels suing the UK over plans to violate Brexit withdrawals - political uncertainty may cause a reduction in investment flows
Dollar/Euro Future (6E )could have chosen a new target (1.16845)Hello all,
After spending the whole summer in the Fibonacci 61.8% zone of of the previous short segment (Red Fibonacci Retracement) and most Important, we also have confirmation of the strong short volume in daily candles (Upper Indicator).
The future of the Euro Dollar seems that you have a good chance of looking for a correction to the Fibonacci 38.2% (1.16845), current trend (Green Fibonacci Retracement).
Everything is statistical probability...
Have a good trading
Xusto
Is that it for the EURO?? Speculators seem frustrated that the Euro is not rising any further. Hedge Funds and other big institutions cut their bullish Euro bets by a whopping 9.3%. EUR net long positions now at 178,576, lowest since July. Technically, that could be a possible rounded top reversal pattern.