OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce EditionOTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce Edition 🪙🚀
We’re fishing LONG for a quick, tactical bounce LONG as price aims to poke into a major resistance zones ⚙️📈 Once the dust settles and the bounce plays out, we still expect the macro down-draft to take over, so keep your suitcase packed for a swift exit 🎢✂️.
Main risk? A stray White House tweet or (not so much) surprise policy grenade? 💬💥—impossible to time, so size down and run a tight leash on risk 🦺⚖️.
#SP500 #Dailymap #BouncePlay #RiskOn #OTEUM
MES1! trade ideas
S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25).
Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549).
Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
S&P Futures monthly chart reviewH2 forming now should get triggered above 5777
Likely find resistance around 6000 and then an attept to go down
More likely sellers above and another leg sideways to down
The May bar right now is a bull bar, and likely to trigger the H1
but the last bar is a terrible buy signal.
The last bar is a non-overlapping BO & PB in the same bar
Remember that the monthly bars typically form their final shap
in the last week or so. Just like last month started as a huge
bear bar, it was very unlikely to extend or to finish as a big bear bar,
thei month's bar is unlikely to close as a strong bull bar.
That being said, bulls have good momentum in the lower time frames.
I think we go above high of prev month and test gap and overlap
and test the bearish Breakout beneath the bear doji, a terrible
sell signal. So llok for resistance around 6000 for sure.
The 5% pullback level will act as resistance as well.
Bars with big tails are typically followed by bars with tails in the
oppostie direction, which is what I expect for May.
SPY pump townAs the doomsayers are becoming quiet the market is realizing the economy isnt so crushed after all. Earnings speak for themselves here. MSFT, META, AMZN, and GOOGL all had amazing earnings despite tariff news and "declining GDP". GPD is a trash tier measure anyways. I have moved to much longer term trading and investing styles and have also been mostly selling options. I am new long here on QQQ and SPY related stocks.
How to Enter Trades the RIGHT Way!In this video, we're tackling an important question from our community member who's been crushing it in paper trading but faces the common challenge of entering trades blindly based on alerts, fearing they'll miss out otherwise.
We'll discuss:
Why blindly following signals can hurt your long-term success
The power of context in market structure: Why waiting for price to hit key support/resistance levels drastically improves your entries
A practical approach to manage FOMO: How scaling into trades can balance quick reaction times with better entries and tighter stops
Real examples of good vs. rushed entries, highlighting the impact on your risk-to-reward
This daily pattern can change your view on price!Dear Community,
How many patterns do you know?
<5?
<20?
>20?
How many of them actually work with GREAT accuracy?
Patterns are something that we often use in trying to predict the markets….BUT I dear to say pattern alone won’t work?
THE PATTERN NEED A FRAMEWORK!
let’s discuss this “pattern” highlighted on your screen.
Why is the candle after that “doji “ higher?
Often you try to “call tops” in the market place.
And after seeing this “doji”…. WE SELL RIGHT?
if the maker is going up why do we try and call a top?
Why do we try and not “follow the trend?”
On your daily chart examine this.
IF THE MARKET IF BULLISH AND I SEE A DOJI!
Study the candle that formed just after. YOU WILL BE AMAZED BY THE FINDINGS 😃.
No I will not share the stats. If an “homework” for your own development. Let’s discuss this further in the comments below.
May 1st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**May 1st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**
EOD accountability report: +441
Sleep: 7 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Signals were pretty solid today, but there's heavy MM manipulation in the market so be careful trading funded accounts.
Walk away if you get tilted.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
9:51 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
11:31 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal
12:08 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:47 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Over 5600 = Bullish, Under 5600 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025
📈 5670 5695
📉 5613 5600
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 5555 5580
📉 5500 5475
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
April 30 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: -1310 on a Eval. + 125 on Funded
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
I used a trailing stoploss ATM order by mistake, and got rid of the stoploss, because market zig zagging it up. BAD BAD Idea
Market humbled me by showing me why i should always have stoploss on.
Back to doing manual stoploss and getting rid of trailing stops because they are horrible during chops
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
10:48 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal,
— 2:29 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (triple sell)
3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 (False signal, got cancelled right away)
Next day plan-->
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Enter short at level 5540 I will entry short at 5540 because option market and block trades told me that condition are good for a retracement.
I will enter short at this level 5540 stop loss 25 points
target 15 points
after 5/7 points i will protect my position managing my stop loss in order to gain some points and broker's fees.
April 28 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +1228
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Signals were pretty on point today, almost all of them worked out effectively, I mainly use the signals to guide my direction and 20pt stoploss to prevent the position from blowing up.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
— 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (B+ Set up, triple sell)
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
12:35 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Double signal)
— 2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
2:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
S&P 500 ... ES1! ... SPY... a Gann review from 2000Basically performed another Gann Box copy-n-Stack technique and have aligned everything exactly on the daily and then switched to the 4hr
Some interesting levels occur and seems like that gap fill at 5566.25 or so or possible run to 5600 would be in the cards...but a lot of levels are smashing all together.
Make sure to expand the chart by using you mouse along the bottom of the scale, pull it left to expand or right to shrink....
Make sure to also click in the bottom right corner, hover you mouse over where price meets the date on the scale and click the "L" Log function to see if anything else comes up that different from my yellow "attention getting" marks.
Well....that's about all I got for doodles for tonight....enjoy.
weekly view to see the stacking and the duration of this run since 2000..thats quick high up eh??
1 hr view with gap highlighted:
5min close up with lower gap highlighted....so green path if good earnings week/economic data, or red path which trends to that gap fill...the choice is the investor's
S&P 500 futures- ES1! - or SPY...interesting price actionComment on the thoughts to the reliability of this and what people think may occur in the next couple days...are we looking to refill the 5332.25 gap fill on the 4Hr chart or maybe a move to 571.46 on SPY and then retreat back?
Seeing how the Stochastic Momentum dipped on a rising price and may loosely be said to be divergent also kinda correlates with that upper 50% channel orange line it is hitting. So if you pulled back to that gap and then ripped to that orange 50% upper channel line again but close above it then you have a chance of hitting the top of that top channel red line.
But...as I always do...try to find indicators that explain actions on a chart since geometry means noting unless you have an underlayment of solid architecture underneath. See how only that one --?-- is the only unexplained level to not correlate.
Again...thoughts on this or anything negative or just "wat'evr bruh" is all welcomed.
Was just in the middle of taking a break from cleaning out my Garage and thought a few minutes of doodling would be a nice relaxer before heading back into that 4 door packed monster. Only to say that due to me not maybe putting as much attention into things as possible, but again this is a doodle and not an actual analysis...
But as my previous idea mentioned...you have until Tuesday to recorrect and then its hunting season for whatever Apple, Microsoft, Meta, and Qualcomm can effect things in that order...So top of the channel if all of those are good and bottom of the channel and breaking that like 5132.25 or something bottom line to move lower.
Just simple considerations-
Amazon said to be putting AI/Data centers on hold contractually along with tariff pressures.
Microsoft same as above but like minus the tariffs
Meta is literally a joke of actual physical production of economy- i mean maybe marketplace...but ad revenue isnt making the world go round when you literally state you will flood your services with AI profiles for more engagement...look it up f you pay them for ads
and Qualcomm...which is being wrecked by China chips ban, even if they get there by proxy...not as much money as before, and even with computers being exempt along with smartphones, their semi business hasn't been selling hardcore since the US consumer is strapped and there apparently isn't much inventory of high end consumer goods flying around.
But to the last one Apple:
Hey, just buy the only thing we sell which have been a cult following since like 2008 and maybe like we may bring a car into the picture...Well China Huawei already made a car and their phone is literally in every metric better- but is banned in the US cause you know national security----but you can sell iPhone in China- how very communist of them to do so...they should try to be more capitalist and ban things like BYD or NIO or Huawei like US lol
Anywho....One of my customers at my farm was one of the tops involved in Amazon and had quarterly meetings face to face with Bezos and the Board....She dumped her stock in the first week of February after her 3 month hold on share sales was over after already leaving the company 6 months prior. And her partner's brother working for Citi said to sell all their equities and go into the top 4 Gold and Silver miners along with owning the two physical metals as well. Phone and consumer electronics...exempt
He is really showing those communists who don't ban US goods from entering their markets who is boss--- while not yet caring about the 1 Trillion dollar defense bill which adds more government spending to the docket and is almost an increase of exactly DODGE's supposed proven savings...
850 bill plus 150 bill saved = 1 Trillion for Pentagon...see math works- its the Transitive Property people, or the conservation of energy for the physics bros amongst us. :) facts///not feelz
S&P futures daily chart review4/27/2024
Daily Chart analysis
Market is All-in-long, but the market tempo would suggest a pause or a pullback
after 4 bull bars. Likely 1 more bar up before a pullback.
Elements to note:
Break of the broad bear channel down, an important component of a possible MTR setup.
Notice the EMA cross and confirmation, usually leading to some sideways, but good foundation
for higher prices.
April 2nd was an outside up bar. There are bulls trapped here,
so sellers above, and this is a price level likely to tested in the near term.