NQ DEC. WEEK #2NQ remains on a cautiously bullish footing as it consolidates after a recent rebound — price is hovering around the 25,800 area while testing a resistance band between roughly 25,350–25,550. Strength in tech stocks and favorable sentiment — driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates soon — are underpinning support.
On the downside, failure to break decisively above the resistance zone could prompt a pullback toward support levels near 25,000–24,850, especially if macro-data disappoints or yields rise.
That said, if bulls regain control and push past 25,550, the next upside target lies near the ATH (26,000–26,300) — making a move toward those highs the baseline bullish scenario. These are scenarios for this week, let's see what we get
NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures
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Trade ideas
NQ Targets (12-05-25)Yellow arrow is lower target and 25,766 is upper Turn Zone. Past three days have been struggling to stay in range above orange TL below. O/N will have to pump it up and Reg Session will have to sell it off (big). Other option is snail life higher into Friday - Monday Long Play, just watch the head fakes long and failure of Dead Zone dip buying lift.
Elliot wave suggests correction on NQ for wave (2) -> [5]Instrument: NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ)
Bias : Short-term corrective downside after a completed impulse, then continuation higher.
1. Bigger picture – why I expect a correction
From the low around 23,890 we’ve put in a very clean 5-wave impulsive advance:
* Wave (i)–(ii) starts the move off the low.
* Wave (iii) is clearly the strongest and longest leg – classic extended 3rd wave behaviour.
* Wave (iv) is a shallow sideways consolidation.
* The current high is labelled (1), with the last leg subdividing as an ending diagonal in wave (v): overlapping structure, contracting highs, and loss of momentum.
That wedge-type structure at the top usually signals trend exhaustion , not the start of fresh impulsive upside. So my base case is that the first motive wave up from 23,890 is complete and we’re now looking for a textbook wave (2) pullback. We also can back this data up with volume nodes we can observe during the NY Cash sessions. Who are clearly showing signs of distribution.
Wave (2) corrections most often retrace 50–61.8% of wave (1) in a 3-wave A-B-C structure – exactly what the chart is projecting.
2. Expected path – the A-B-C into the blue box
From the current highs around 25,600–25,700 I’m looking for:
1. Wave (a) down
First impulsive leg lower, ideally breaking out of the wedge and pushing into the rising yellow trendline zone around ±25,200.
2. Wave (b) retrace up
Corrective bounce that stays below the stop zone and forms a lower high.
3. Wave (c) down into the blue box
Final flush into the confluence zone marked in blue, where:
50% retrace of wave (1) sits around 24,800.
61.8% retrace sits around 24,600
There’s also a previous structural support / prior wave-4 area.
Labelled as the end of wave (2) on the chart.
This blue rectangle is my primary target area for the current correction and also my preferred zone to look for fresh longs if the structure behaves as expected.
4. Trade idea #1 – Aggressive short from the wedge
This is the “ catch the correction ” play for traders comfortable trading against the higher-timeframe trend.
Idea: Short against the completed wedge / wave (1) high, targeting the A-B-C correction into the blue zone.
Entry zone:
Around current prices in the 25,580–25,600 area (wedge top / prior minor highs).
Stop-loss (hard invalidation for the short):
Above the red “Stop” band and the labelled high at 25,746.75
If price breaks and holds above this level, the idea of a completed wave (1) and immediate correction is likely wrong – stand aside.
Profit targets:
TP1 – first leg / (A) completion:
Around the rising yellow trendline near 25,150–25,250
Take some off here if you want to pay yourself on the initial impulse.
TP2 – upper edge of blue box (50% fib): 24,822.25
TP3 – lower edge of blue box (61.8% fib & (c) completion): 24,600–24,650 are
For reference, using an approximate entry at 25,600:
Risk: 25,740. – 25,600 ≈ 138.75 pts
Reward to TP2: 25,600 – 24,800 ≈ 780 pts (~5.7R)
Reward to TP3: 25,600 – 24,660 ≈ 940 pts (~6.8R)
So the idea offers an attractive reward:risk , as long as you accept the possibility that the correction may be shallower or more complex than the “ideal” projection.
What I want to see step-by-step if I’m in this short:
1. A convincing break down out of the wedge.
2. Follow-through selling to the yellow trendline (wave (a)).
3. A choppy overlapping bounce that stalls under the stop zone (wave (b)).
4. One more push down with increasing momentum into the blue box (wave (c)) – where I’ll look to exit shorts and flip bias.
5. Trade idea #2 – Conservative swing long from the blue bo x
If you don’t like shorting a strong trend, the more conservative plan is to ignore the short and only look for longs once the correction has played out.
Idea :
Buy the end of wave (2) in the blue box for a continuation higher in wave (3).
So we are trying to buy the dip in a strong trend.
Buy zone (long trigger area ):
Blue box between roughly 24,800–24,600.
Ideally after we’ve seen a full A-B-C structure into this zone and some kind of reaction. (rejection wicks, bullish divergence, lower-timeframe 5-wave impulse off the lows, etc.).It could also be a more complex correction like WXY, However most of the time we expect a wave 2 more str8 forward price action.
Stop-loss for the long:
Conservative, structure-based invalidation remains the red line at 23,890
A break below this low would invalidate the wave (1)–(2) interpretation and suggest something more bearish is underway.
Tactically, some traders may opt for a tighter stop just below the blue box (e.g. under 24,550), but that’s a money-management choice, not a structural one.
Upside objectives:
First objective is a retest and break of the 25,746 high .
From there, if this is indeed the start of wave (3), extensions towards **26,000+** become realistic (1.0–1.618 extensions of wave (1), not drawn in detail here but implied by the dashed grey path).
6. Invalidation and what would change my mind
Short-term bearish idea is invalid :
if price closes decisively above 25,75x without first breaking down. That would suggest that wave (1) is still extending, or that we’re in a different pattern (e.g. a larger ending diagonal or a complex topping structure). In that case I step aside and reassess.
Medium-term bullish roadmap is invalid if price trades below 23,890 . Then the whole impulse from the low is likely mis-labelled and I would expect a deeper bearish structure. However this
7. Final notes
This is an Elliott Wave–driven roadmap, not a guarantee. I’m planning to:
Treat the current region as exhaustion of wave (1).
Use it either for an aggressive short into the A-B-C correction,
Or wait patiently for the blue box to develop for a more conservative long into a potential wave (3).
As always: manage your risk, size appropriately, and don’t trade this blindly. This is a trade idea and educational analysis, not financial advice.
Since lack of time I was not able to post many trade ideas in the past months. However I'm going to try to get back some more ideas in the future! Please leave feedback and comments!
IS THE NASDAQ 100 ABOUT TO FORM A HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP?Hey Traders Happy Holidays to all!
So as we enter this volatile time period what better way would it be for stocks to close out the year with a bang and break the all time high when Santa Claus comes to town!
Hmmmm..... acutally I don't mean to be the Grinch that stole Christmas but lets not got too excited just yet the market has rallied strong since the volatile bottom in April and it is looking very heavy right now.
So I always say the charts tell a story and from what I see on the chart is a possible Head & Shoulders formation in the Nasdaq 100.
I think the line in the sand is going to be 24,145 if that breaks we could see it fall hard. The way should trade the Head & Shoulders is wait for market to close below the neckline then go short with a stop above the right shoulder or the head.
I think next week FED meeting Wed Dec 10 will tell us more truth be told alot of traders take the holidays off so expect very thin trading and low volume as we get closer to end of year. Sometimes its a good idea to take time off from trading too clear our heads and minds to prepare for new year.
So therefore here are todays Scenarios...
Bullish- wait for market to break the all time high and close above 26,410 then buy a pullback and be careful because Jan is seasonally bearish time for stocks until March/April. Or wait for market to fall and buy back in March/April when you see signs of bottom formation.
Bearish- For all you bears out there keep sharpening your claws. 😁 Ok seriously being bearish or shorting the stock market is a bad thing to do long term because the odds are always against us due to strong bull market runs. However there are 2 times a year when the odds go in our favor and that is Jan-March and Sep-Oct. So with the charts now showing a possible Head & Shoulders top about to form this could be one of those times to go short on a break below the neckline.
Commitment of Traders- none until end of Jan due to Govt Shutdown but last report showed Nasdaq with extreme long positioning which could be good sign also for over extended longs about to close positions if selloff begins.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
MAJOR MARKET SIGNALPlease watch the entire video to understand my overall logic.
Through the years I've gone through many different strategies, learning, refining and sharpening my edge in the markets. Today I truly find myself most in the identity of a "Discretionary Trader" with a mechanical approach.
In this chart break down I am displaying a Monthly Hanging Man Signal Bar.
This is provided to me by the market not a 3rd person subjective strategy. We are going to want to monitor how price behaves at the high and low of prior monthly candle. Breaks of these levels will act as pivot points.
Do you think this could be the start of a massive correction?
NQ1 - DAY TRDERS OUTLOOK GUIDE FOR 202-12-02Good Morning,
I hope all is well. I always trade with the overall market trend. Here is my guide for the day.
Likely Scenarios for Today
Scenario A – Most Probable (≈60%): Bullish Grind with Pullbacks
Price dips into 25,350–25,300, finds buyers at the EMAs.
Momentum rebuilds.
Slow grind upward toward 25,600 retest.
You will see:
MACD curling upward
DI+ widening over DI-
ADX flat or slightly rising
Best play: Buy the pullback into hourly support.
Scenario B – Rejection and Deeper Pullback (≈30%)
If price loses 25,300, the market likely accelerates downward into:
25,150 (trend-support reset)
Possibly 25,000 liquidation sweep
The indicators would show:
MACD bear cross
DI- crossing above DI+
Oscillators breaking below midline
This would be the only bearish scenario worth taking seriously.
Scenario C – Immediate Breakout (≈10%)
Price surges through 25,600 early in the session and runs momentum into:
25,720
25,850 as the extension
But volume suggests this is less likely unless macro news triggers it.
Today’s Bias Summary
Trend: Bullish
Momentum: Cooling
ADX: Weak trend
Structure: Rising into overhead supply
Key battleground: 25,350 support vs 25,600 resistance
Bias:
Bullish continuation IF 25,300 holds.
Bearish flush IF 25,300 fails.
Hope you Enjoy!
NASDAQ ANALYSIS ON 30 MIN CHART Long & Short analysis on nasdaq based purely on high-probability zones. i trade from zones only—because when price enters a valid zone, a move is expected. these zones are not session or time dependent. execution, risk management, and psychology decide how much you extract from that move. analysis alone never guarantees profits. discipline does.
trade smart. manage risk. stay consistent.
happy trading.
4 DEC 2025: NQ1! MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
NYKZ PM:
NYKZ AM SSL PURGED & 9AM + VENOM BSL BEING STALKED AND TARGETED
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Trendline Break Signals a Possible Shift Back Toward ATH on NQThe broader market structure continues to maintain its upward trajectory, despite the recent corrective leg. Price responded decisively from a key demand area and has now broken above the multi-touch descending trendline that defined the pullback phase. This type of structural break is often interpreted as an early sign that bearish momentum is fading.
Several technical elements stand out:
• The long-term uptrend remains intact, supported by higher swing lows
• A sharp rejection from the recent low suggests renewed participation from buyers
• The descending trendline has been cleanly reclaimed, indicating a potential shift in market character
• A wide, untested range overhead remains a notable area of interest should momentum continue to build
This analysis highlights the evolving structure and the levels currently shaping market behavior. This is not a trade signal, but rather an observation of the technical conditions I’m monitoring.
NASDAQ 100: Bullish! Look For Valid Buys With The Trend!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec. 1-5th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ closed last week strong. It would indicated the potential for follow through going into this week, at least early.
Bear in mind that the previous 3 weeks were very bearish, coming down from ATHs, and forming a bearish MSS.
Look out for confirmations for valid trades. The overall trend is bullish, so I am personally looking for valid buys. A bearish MSS would invalidate those ideas.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NQ1 - Holding... Santa Rally Incoming?NQ1 Indices1
Still looking dangerous in the short term having printed a quick slump through resistance.
But its holding here and perhaps it can continue up from here.
If it was going to collapse then we might see plenty of leading slumps in stocks.
And we are seeing slump action in crypto and crypto stocks, but most stocks that I cover are looking positive and pushing up as we enter December.
Could a Santa Rally be on 🤨🎅.
NASDAQ - The Good The Bad The UglyGood Afternoon Everyone,
I hope all is well. I have for you a 3 set analysis on what we can expect from the markets this week. Nasdaq TA completed on Weekly, Daily & 1Hour Time Frames.
WEEKLY TREND (Dominant Macro Structure)
Status: Long-term bullish
Signals:
Price inside a multi-month bull channel
Slight channel edge break, but no reversal
Momentum slowing → consolidation expected
Weekly support zones are strong
Weekly takeaway:
The long-term trend is bullish, but entering a cooling/consolidation phase.
Weekly = macro anchor. It strongly biases the market upward over time.
DAILY TREND (Intermediate Structure)
Status: Mixed / Transitioning
Signals:
Price broke down from daily bull channel
Attempted to re-enter → rejected
Sitting between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA
Daily support zones are key
Daily candles show indecision
Daily takeaway:
Trend is no longer strongly bullish. A corrective process or deeper retest is likely before continuation.
Daily = controls medium-term direction and determines where the weekly trend re-engages.
1-HOUR TREND (Short-Term Structure)
Status: Short-term bullish
Signals:
Price broke out of short-term bearish channel
Formed a new, tight bullish channel
Recently rejected at underside of long-term weekly channel
Short-term support forming
Price above 50 EMA & 200 EMA intraday
1H takeaway:
Short-term momentum is bullish, but rejected at major higher-timeframe resistance. Needs support to hold.
1-hour = entry timeframe and shows how the daily trend is forming in real time.
COMBINED MULTI-SCENARIO OUTLOOK
Below are the 3 most realistic combined scenarios using all three timeframes together.
They are ranked from most likely → least likely.
SCENARIO 1 — Controlled Pullback → Higher Low → Trend Resumes Upward
Probability: ★★★★☆ (60–65%) → Most Likely
How This Unfolds (Multi-Timeframe Logic)
Weekly:
Staying bullish but consolidating
Weekly support will eventually absorb selling
Daily:
Mixed trend resolves with a higher low above major support
50 EMA or support #1 holds
1-Hour:
Pullback into short-term support
Bounce signals bullish continuation
Price Path:
1-hour pulls back to support
Daily prints a higher low
Weekly resumes its upward grind
Price re-attempts to re-enter/top the long-term bull channel
This scenario is ideal for:
Swing longs
Daily HL entries
1-hour EMA bounce setups
Continuation plays into the top of the long-term channel
Why most likely?
Because every timeframe except the 1H is cooling, not reversing.
SCENARIO 2 — Deeper Correction Into Major Support → Then Strong Bounce
Probability: ★★★☆☆ (30–35%)
This is your deeper pullback scenario but still bullish long-term.
How It Unfolds (Multi-Timeframe Logic)
Weekly:
Sideways consolidation expands lower
Price moves toward deeper weekly support zone
Daily:
Daily loses the 50 EMA
Price moves toward the 200 EMA
This forms a deeper corrective wave
1-Hour:
Short-term bull channel breaks
Price trends downward intraday
1H shows lower lows until 200 EMA daily zone is reached
Price Path:
1H breakdown → pullback
Daily breaks support #1, moves to support #2
Strong bounce at daily 200 EMA
Weekly trend reasserts → new multi-week rally
This scenario is ideal for:
Buying the daily 200 EMA
Position trades
Mean-reversion long setups
Why it happens?
Because daily trend has weakened AND weekly momentum is slowing — deeper retests are common.
SCENARIO 3 — Breakdown of Daily & Weekly Supports (Full Trend Reversal)
Probability: ★☆☆☆☆ (5–10%) → Least Likely
This would require multiple failures across all timeframes.
How It Unfolds (Multi-Timeframe Logic)
Weekly:
Both long-term support zones break
Weekly closes below the bull channel
Daily:
Price loses both support levels
200 EMA fails
Lower highs and lower lows form
1-Hour:
Sustained intraday lower lows
Bearish channel resumes
No re-entry attempts succeed
Price Path:
1H → breakdown
Daily → breakdown
Weekly → full structural reversal
Why unlikely?
No topping pattern on weekly
Macro trend remains bullish
Daily structure is corrective, not reversal-based
Buyers have not shown exhaustion at any major swing level
I hope you found this useful! Enjoy your week!






















