Nasdaq: The Rally Continues!The Nasdaq ended last week with strong upward momentum, moving swiftly toward the resistance at 20,694 points. Now it's getting interesting: once the index breaks above this mark, it should quickly enter our upper turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), where we expect the peak of wave X in turquoise. Afterward, we anticipate a pullback during wave Y, which should aim for our lower turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 17,074 – 15,867 points). The corrective magenta wave (4) should be completed there. However, if the Nasdaq directly surpasses the significant resistance at 23,229 points, our alternative scenario will take effect. In this 35% likely case, we would consider wave alt.(4) as already complete and locate the index in the impulsive wave alt.(5) .
NQ1! trade ideas
This is how i get the Sunday opening by aligning Narrative& BiasSo here i zoomed in on the 1hour chart and i see that there was a Distribution Range, i took the high to low Premium and Discount quarters, and then i draw the fibs on the most relevant quarter i am aiming to short from aligning with the PD Array,
noticing how theres some BSL there and theres a 1h SIBI FVG aligning with the Daily Volume Imbalance.
Short Nasdaq Idea for First Stage Distribution Looking at the Daily Chart lining up with the Higher time Frame Bearish narrative underway, i like the idea of shorting Sunday Opening because there's no more opportunity to get out of long positions here once price has exhausted Premium PD Arrays. And I am highly considering Sunday High to Friday Closing Bell Low. There's lots of Low Resistance Liquidity beneath PA currently, there's no money in the laymans wallet, there's no reason for price to go up EXCEPT for Redistribution/continued Short Selling.
#202518 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls want at least 20536 now and run all the stops from before the big sell-off. Bears are not doing anything at all, so bulls will likely get it. This could be a breakout-retest and I marked the area for that with the red rectangle. Small chance bears come around next week but for now it’s too early to short and buying into 9 consecutive bull days is statistically beyond moronic.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 15500 - 23000 (upper range is a guess, could also become 21000 but for now we don’t know so I assume the higher price)
bull case: 20536 and then 21000. Those are the next targets and bulls are in full control of the market. The measured move from the buy spike at the lows is around 22350 and it’s possible that we get there. I think we need to see a pullback and how deep that will be. If we get only another sell spike and immediate buying for higher highs, we can also assume much higher prices. Above 21100 there is no reason not to go for 23000.
Invalidation is below 19100.
bear case: Bears have nothing. Below 19100 market is neutral but until then, selling this is dumb. Wait for more bears to appear or at least seeing something that resembles a topping pattern. Like a lower high on the 1h chart. Don’t try to be the lucky bear who shorted the exact high.
Invalidation is above 21100.
short term: Neutral. No interest in buying such a buy climax but it’s way too early for shorts. Patience is key.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-26: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer.
NQ SHORTNo one reads this anyway. But major behind the scenes problems not arising, becoming worse. We've been on the trajectory downward since last summer. Not looking great overall, need to push over 20,900 and hold the retest to be anywhere near bullish again. Think we have a long hard fall ahead. Don't get fooled by the media, people "buying these dips" will hurt in the end.
How To Filter Signals On The 1 Minute Scalping IndicatorThis tutorial shows you how to use external indicators to filter out signals on the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator so that you only get signals that are in the direction of the trend.
Step By Step Process:
1. Pick an external indicator that provides an output value of 1 for bullish, -1 for bearish or 0 for neutral and add it to your chart. We have multiple indicators that can do this, but you can also customize your own indicators to provide this value and use that to filter out signals.
2. Set your desired trend parameters on your external indicator and make sure that indicator is on the same chart as the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator.
3. Go to the indicator settings for the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator and turn on one of the 3 available External Indicator Filters. Then from the dropdown menu, select the external indicator you want to use and make sure to choose the output value that gives the 1, -1 or 0 output for trends. Our indicators will have an output titled "Trend Direction To Send To External Indicators" to make that value easy to find in the dropdown menus.
That's it! Let the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator reload with the external indicator trend values and it will only show buy signals during bullish trends, only show sell signals during bearish trends or no signals during neutral markets. Make sure to back test your setup until you find the best external indicators and settings to use that work best for your trading style and then apply that setup to any chart you would like.
Here is the code you can use to add a trend value to your own custom indicators and send it to the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator:
trendDirection = 0
if close > ema1
trendDirection := 1
else if close < ema1
trendDirection := -1
else
trendDirection := 0
plot(trendDirection, title="Trend Direction To Send To External Indicators", color=#00000000, display=display.data_window)
Change the (close > ema1) and (close < ema1) to use your own variables from within your script.
$NQ Monthly Timeframe AnalysisThis month experienced about a -17.88% maximum drawdown. There are two bullish order blocks from Aug - Oct 23 and Sep 24 that is currently acting as support.
My bias is currently bullish with consideration of a day consolidating because we are inside the Sep 24 bullish order block.
Nasdaq on Thin Ice? Smart Money is Bearish!📊 COT Analysis – NASDAQ E-MINI Futures
Asset Managers → Consistently net long, but without accumulation: showing little conviction on new lows.
Leveraged Money → Confirmed aggressive shorts, a clear sign that smart money doesn't believe in the bounce.
✅ COT Conclusion:
Smart money is not buying the dip → fundamental bias = bearish.
🧠 Technical Breakdown + My Long Trade
📉 Structure:
Strong rejection from the 16,700–17,300 zone, with a long weekly wick = signs of accumulation.
Price formed a double bottom + weekly engulfing candle, right on the demand zone → confirming strong buyer pressure.
🎯 My Long Trade (LIVE SETUP):
Entry: After confirmation of bullish price action on the blue demand zone
Target: Supply zone 20,400–21,000
Exit: Closed just before the drop → perfect trade management, respecting structure and weekly resistance
📈 Post-trade context:
Price then rejected violently from that zone → we’re now back around 18,400, and if 18,000 breaks, the door opens toward 16,700.
🧭 What’s Next?
🔹 If price pulls back to 19,200–19,500, I’ll look for a short setup
🔹 If it breaks below 18,000 → clean path toward 16,700–16,500
✅ Trade Summary
🔥 Long from structural demand zone → exit at weekly supply
🧠 Setup based on price action + RSI and structural confluence
🐻 Now the bias shifts back to bearish: watch the 18k level closely
Nasdaq - In The Cards For Premium PricesIn comparison to S&P 500 and Dow Jones, Nasdaq is in the lead, steam rolling through short term buy stops this week which was a failure for ES and YM.
Going forward, i'd love to see how Sundays NWOG affects market structure and whether we continue to climb into the premium price range
Nasdaq WE ARE DOOMED! IF Trump will keep doing same bs)NQ on top of the range, have to wait for weekly opening because there are few direction where it can go
1 - without correction all the way up till 20044 and 20200( daily IFVG)
2 - correction till breaker ~19200, liq grab rebalance here and all the way up
3 - it will be deviation of the range that we had then aggressive market shift( ChoCH) with FVG small pull back to 19200-19400 (depends on FVG) and then all the way down till 18-17-16k (red line)
NQ1 - Breakout!The gap has proved to be a Breakaway Gap.
And now after a cause building descending channel (Wyckoff Creek), this looks like a full breakout.
Pushing through resistance here with some minor degree re-tests.
Might yet have a more significant but minor pull back before fully breaking through.
But in the end it will likely be up and up from here 👍.
Not advice