NQ bottom along with tech and crypto.New ATH coming after the recovery, I think this is the bottom of this down move, I don't think we rocket straight back up to ATH but its a great bet to add Long here. You really only get a move like this once every 5 years.
I think we see Crypto continue to move up, lots of good projects are oversold in the ALT world and lots of good projects are still carrying to torch. Showing strength amongst the weakness.
I think HYPE goes on to lead the way of finance onchain. They are only getting started.
I think S / Sonic goes on to be leader of the next defi summer 2.0.
(will make a post about them soon)
So I'm betting on the fastest horses and calling a decent spot to place bets on the overall condition of the market and i think CRYPTOCAP:BTC leads that race.
NQ1! trade ideas
$MNQ Weekly Timeframe AnalysisThere is a clear bullish candle on 07 Apr 25 that emerged from the Aug - Oct 23 bullish order block. Followed by the 21 Apr 25 bullish candle, I have yet to see if we will respect the bearish order block at 17 Mar 25 or will it make a bearish breaker.
For smaller timeframe entries, I expect my TP for a long below the bearish OB to be at least the lower edge of the 17 Mar 25 bearish OB or somewhere on the boundary.
#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: tl;dr covered it.
Markets denied me fantasy, tough excrement. On the weekly chart it’s still just a textbook two-legged pullback to the moving average (daily 20 in this case, which is around 20000). We are also still close enough to the 50% retracement that it’s not out of the question that we reverse from here. Issue for the bears is, that the market went very strong into the weekend, which is a buy signal going into next week. Unless the bears get big help from newsbombs, it’s likely to expect more upside. Targets above are 20000 and then 20500. Below 19200 the next target would be 19000.
current market cycle: bear trend but above 19388 it ends and we will be in a giant trading range
key levels: 15500 - 19500
bull case: 20000 is the obvious target for bulls and for now my thesis is that we wont break above 20600. 20050/20540 would be my next targets above it. The weekly 20ema is right around those prices and that is where the panic selling again. Bulls see the move last week as strong enough that we are likely in a greater trading range which could even get up to 22000 again. Is it likely though? If you are a bull and bought 18000, your stop is likely 19200 now or maybe 19000. Do you hope to make 20500? I don’t know how you can structure a decent trade around that. More likely is the play that we are in a strong uptrend on the 1h tf and if the bull trend line, which is currently at 19100 - holds, we can continue. Once we are making meaningful lower lows again and fail to make new highs, this momentum is gone and bulls run for the exits again. Short squeezes are violent and can go on for much longer than anyone expects but once they stall too much, they crumble again.
Invalidation is below 18000.
bear case: Tough to be a bear. Momentum is clearly on the long side and bulls have almost no resistance. Bears can still argue this was just a test of the 50% retracement and if we build enough selling pressure, I think it’s more likely that the squeeze abruptly ends than continuation up. When all become max bullish again because the move is so strong that it must be the start of a new trend, that’s when these squeezes end and we crash down again. We did this so many times in 2022 that it’s hard to not remember them. You don’t have to go back to 2008 to find examples.
Invalidation is above 20500ish, max 20536 but above 20080 we likely go for 20600 or higher.
short term: Neutral at best. Way too early to short anything or look for shorts. Need to stop the higher highs and go sideways first. It’s best to not sell the first sign of bear strength, ever. Same for bounces in a bear trend. Never buy the first. You can get lucky but it’s just that.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-26: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. Bear trend most likely over. We could maybe get another strong move down but it’s more likely that even then, we are in a trading range and until we see much more hints of a deeper recession, we can not assume that this will go much lower than 16452. Market is currently probing where the high of it is and for now I doubt we will see 21000 again but that’s a very rough guess.
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025
📈 19430 19580
📉 19140 18980
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ Bullish Monday (MMBM, Quarterly Theory) Hello guys, looking at the current weekly profile, as well as the 4h bullish outbreak, im expecting to see Monday pushing into my marked weekly Orderblock. This scenario is especially to my liking of a high probability for a London Reversal. I want to see London sweep Sell Side Liquidity and tap into a Discount Area.
Nasdaq 100 Fills "Liberation Day" Gap – New Bull Market?The Nasdaq 100 ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has officially filled the Liberation Day gap from April 3rd.
It took three weeks of grinding to recover from a three-day crash.
Bulls are now calling this the start of a new bull market... really?
📌 Technical Recap:
Gap filled ✅
Resistance area retested ✅
Next step: Follow-through needed above 19,600 to confirm strength.
🚨 Caution: A gap fill is not a breakout. FOMO is high. Momentum needs to prove itself now or risk a hard rejection.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19427.00
- PR Low: 19352.25
- NZ Spread: 167.0
No key scheduled economic events
Wednesday session gap remains partially filled below 18595.00
- Auction lifting into supply above daily Keltner average
- Value hovering previous session high
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 4/25)
- Session Open ATR: 736.63
- Volume: 44K
- Open Int: 241K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -14.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/24/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 18842.25
- PR Low: 18740.50
- NZ Spread: 277.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Durable Goods Orders
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Previous session gap remains unfilled
- Advertising rotation inside daily Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 4/24)
- Session Open ATR: 734.74
- Volume: 36K
- Open Int: 238K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -17.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-04-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqnasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Until bears close the gap down to 18500, this is bullish, no doubt about it. I just think that we have seen 3 legs up and we are at big resistance. There is a chance that we have see the high today for this bull leg in what is likely a bigger trading range or still a very small chance of the continuation of the bear trend. Tomorrow will likely be key for this week. If we find acceptance above 18700, no reason not to run all the stops up to 19400. Below 18700 last chance for the bulls is defending the bull gap 21600 and below we go down hard again.
current market cycle: trading range, triangle on the daily chart - that is dead once we go above 19400
key levels: 17800 - 19500
bull case: Bulls want to test the 50% retracement and run all the stops up to 19500. That is the only price that matters for them. That would mean we are making higher highs again and this bear trend is over for good. There really isn’t much more to it right now. Bulls just can’t let the market fall below 18600 or today’s rally was indeed the bull trap I expect it to be.
Invalidation is below 18600.
bear case: Bears want a lower high below 19388 and continue inside the triangle. If they can make lower lows again, the momentum would be dead and only really good news could help the bulls. Right now I prefer the triangle structure we are in and favoring the bears to trade back down to at least 18400 tomorrow/Friday. Above 19000 I don’t think many bears will hold short and hope that 19165 remains resistance.
Invalidation is above 19000/19170.
short term: Neutral at 18900. Bearish only below 18700 and how strong the move is. Bullish above 19000 for 19165 retest and maybe much higher to 19500.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy.
Only a big tariff agreement news can move the markets and that can go either way. You have no edge in guessing what will happen, so having huge swing positions right now does not make much sense. If earnings go bad, we will go much lower. What is the next big support to be hit? The lows of 2022 at 12565. Can we really get there? With a deep recession and some bigger failings, sure but for now it’s unrealistic to expect it.
trade of the day: Long since Globex open but the selling above 19100 was a big warning and then market let the bulls out with a higher high but that was is. Easiest move was either holding long on Globex open or buying the double bottom 18630 with stop below the gap down to 18400ish.
X3: FUTURES NQ SCALP 1:1 Pending OrderFUTURES NQ SCALP 1:1FUTURES NQ SCALP 1:1 Pending Order
Risking 1% to make 1%
If price comes down and long not triggered: cancel it, I will update in comment.
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/22/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/22/2025
📈18210 18365
📉17910 17760
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*