nas100 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Trade ideas
US 100 Index – Potential Crunch Time for the Santa Rally!The US 100 has edged 0.2% lower to start this pivotal week as traders adjust positioning ahead of the final Federal Reserve meeting of 2025. This is a meeting at which the US central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25bps and with markets pricing around a 90% chance of this happening it could be argued that anything else would be a major shock to the financial system.
Putting that to one side, there could also be challenges for traders to navigate even if the Fed does cut rates as expected, and this is where assessing the price action once the decision is released at 1900 GMT on Wednesday could be crucial.
The US 100 has rallied strongly from its November 21st low at 23834 up to current levels around 25650 at time of writing (0700 GMT). This 1800-point rally coincided with Fed policymakers talking more positively regarding their views on the potential for a further ‘near term’ rate cut, so it could be argued that this is now already priced into US stock indices.
More specifically, the US 100 is up around 21.5% year to date and consideration may need to be given to how motivated investors may be to add to their directional exposure versus locking in gains on what has been a strong 2025 performance.
With this as the backdrop moving into the next 36 hours of trading, assessing the current technical trend, alongside identifying potential key support and resistance levels could help to determine whether a Santa rally or a nasty case of ‘bah humbug’ volatility is more likely moving into the final 3 weeks of 2025.
US 100 Index Technical Update: Stalling Against 25772 Resistance?
The US 100 index has staged an impressive 8.4% recovery from the 23834 November 21st low, yet the latest phase of strength may be stalling against potential resistance at 25772. This level, equal to the November 5th session high, has repeatedly capped attempts at fresh price strength throughout November and early December, as the chart below illustrates.
While much will depend on future price activity, traders may now view the 25772 resistance as something of a pivotal level. A successful close above 25772 might be required to open the way for further price strength. However, if 25772 continues to cap prices on a closing basis, the latest upside momentum may be seen as slowing with scope for downside weakness to emerge.
What Next if 25772 Is Broken on a Closing Basis?:
With resistance at 25772 potentially pivotal to future price activity, closing breaks above this level may now be required to sustain a push toward higher levels. Such moves, while not guaranteeing continued upside, could encourage further attempts to extend the latest strength.
Successful closes above 25772 could open the possibility of moves towards 26277, which is the October 30th upside extreme, and if this level were to also be broken, on further toward 27208, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
What Next if the 25772 Resistance Continues to Hold?:
With the 25772 resistance still intact on a closing basis, it is notable that the new week has once again seen selling pressure emerge around this level. The concern now for the bulls is that the longer 25772 continues to cap price strength, the greater the risk that downside momentum could begin to materialise.
If price weakness does emerge, trader focus may then shift to support offered by the rising Bollinger mid‑average, which currently stands at 25151. A closing break below 25151 could then raise risks of a deeper retracement of the November/December strength, with potential to test 25067, which is the 38.2% retracement, possibly even 24596, a level equal to the 61.8% retracement.
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Nas to ATHHere is the evidence from the chart supporting a "dip to POC and rally" scenario rather than a drop to VAL as I previously thought could happen:
firstly the change in Momentum (Min Delta Analysis)
The most telling clue is the Min Delta row (the lowest point of net selling during the session).
Previous Days: In the middle of the rally, sellers were able to push Delta down slightly (e.g., -1,291 or -273) before buyers took over.
Latest Session (Far Right int table ): The Min Delta is +1,479.1. This is extremely bullish. It means that from the moment the session opened, aggressive buyers were so dominant that the cumulative delta never even went negative.
my view is that Sellers are currently too weak to push price down deep. A drop to 25,100 would require significant selling pressure that simply isn't present right now.
secondly building a Floor with POCs
The Point of Control has been stepping up clearly, acting as a support ladder:
key points: Breakout started after 25,300 - Consolidated at 25,575 (held for two sessions) - Current POC moved up to 25,685.
If the price pulls back, it will likely find strong support at the 25,575 node (the high-volume ledge) or, at worst, the breakout origin at 25,300
in my view the The Likely Scenario
More Likely: Price dips into the 25,575 – 25,685 area (current and previous POCs) where passive buyers are waiting to reload, followed by a continuation up.
Less Likely: A drop to 25,300. This level is now far below the active auction. For price to visit there, we would need to see a day with massive negative Delta (e.g., -5k or more) to erase the last four days of buying progress.
US NAS 100DO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Tech bubble burst?The Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern is a classic reversal formation, typically found after a mature uptrend. It represents a gradual loss of buying pressure and a transition toward a potential downward move.
The H&S pattern often signals the exhaustion of bullish momentum, a shift in control toward sellers, and the possible beginning of a deeper reversal (sell-off).
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 has rejected a major supply zone while breaking down from a bearish wedge, sweeping buy-side liquidity before shifting order-flow bearish. This SMC structure signals distribution at premium and a move toward discount levels below.
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Stop Loss: 25840
Take Profit: 25315
Entry: 25622
Time Frame: 4H
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Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Distribution or Reload?CAPITALCOM:US100 keeps grinding inside the same premium band we’ve been tracking.
The 4H chart shows price repeatedly tapping into the premium PD arrays but failing to secure a clean breakout. Buyers are active, but they’re not strong enough to reclaim the upper liquidity shelf.
Your OG system reacted cleanly again:
• TrendMaster (4H) held as dynamic support on every dip, but it’s starting to flatten, showing we’re consolidating at the top.
• FlowMaster is printing reduced momentum on the latest pushes into premium zones.
• ScalpMaster (15M) nailed the intraday rejection perfectly, marking early short signals right after the PD Array tap.
Overall, price is respecting every OG zone point to point.
🟣 Short-Term View (15M–1H)
Structure is still choppy inside the premium band, but intraday momentum favors a corrective move.
Short bias unless 25,700 is reclaimed with strength.
Targets to the downside:
• 25,640
• 25,610
• 25,580 liquidity pocket
Invalidation
• A clean break and hold above 25,700 would switch intraday flow back into premium expansion.
🔵 Mid-Term View (4H)
Higher-timeframe trend remains bullish overall, but we’re extended into premium territory and showing early signs of distribution.
As long as TrendMaster holds above
25,450–25,500, bulls maintain control
on the midterm.
A deeper pullback into discount arrays would actually be healthy before the next leg up.
Midterm targets if discount is tapped:
• 25,300
• 25,150
• 25,000 major demand zone
A breakout above 25,780 would unlock continuation toward new highs.
📌 Summary
US100 is compressing at the top.
Your OG system is showing exhaustion on premium taps, favoring short term corrections while the mid term trend stays bullish until key support breaks.
Perfect environment for reactive trading:
Fade premiums intraday, accumulate in discounts on the HTF.
Nasdaq Outlook: 25,800 Resistance, FOMC, and HolidaysNasdaq redirected gains back toward the 25,800 mark, a level that could confirm another surge to record highs above 26,300, or signal extended consolidation depending on the upcoming FOMC tone and ongoing concerns around tech sector overvaluation.
On the daily time frame, Nasdaq is hovering just below 25,800 resistance — the final barrier before retesting the 26,300 record high. A breakout above that level could unlock upside targets of 27,000 and 27,700.
However:
• If prices fail to hold and bearish sentiment emerges, a drop back below 25,200 is expected to extend declines toward 24,800, 24,400, and 23,900.
• The 23,900 level also acts as a potential double top neckline if prices pull back again from the 26,000 zone. A clean break below 23,900 would confirm a double-top formation, targeting 23,500 and 22,900.
These levels are derived using the Fibonacci extension tool based on the 2025 peak, the 23,900 low, and the 25,800 high.
While individual charts suggest consolidation risks, the divergence between gold and silver, alongside the contracting price action in the Dow Jones since 2020, adds caution regarding further highs until clear confirmations emerge.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Nasdaq : 24,000 Holds Strong — Next Stop 25,800?Price action on the Nasdaq 100 is telling a clear story: 24,000 (AVWAP + HVN confluence + Round number) is acting like a magnet for institutional buyers.
This suggests that accumulation is happening at these levels, positioning for a potential run toward 25,800 if momentum holds.
Are we front-running a breakout, or should we wait for confirmation above 25,000 first?
NQ LongsStill in a bullish uptrend, Sweep of lows yesterday and momentum sustained towards the end of the day. Ideally, price should come to take Asia Lows and then move higher to take the most recent highs.
If we continue to move higher through London, I'll be watching previous highs as an area of interest for shorts In NY session.
NSDQ100 positive lead from futures and improving risk sentimentUS markets saw a modest risk-on tone yesterday as stronger-than-expected labour data pushed investors to price in fewer Fed rate cuts for next year. That supported equities, with the S&P 500 extending its winning streak, and futures are pointing to further upside this morning. This provides a supportive near-term backdrop for the Nasdaq 100 into today’s session.
However, the hawkish repricing in rates is a growing headwind for tech. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to a two-week high of 4.10%, and global bond yields continued to climb, amplified by renewed expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Rising long-end yields typically pressure rate-sensitive growth stocks, which could cap upside in the Nasdaq despite positive futures.
The drop in jobless claims to 191k reinforces the view that the US labour market remains resilient, supporting risk appetite but also reducing the urgency for Fed easing. That combination often favours cyclicals over long-duration tech when yields are rising.
On the corporate side, Netflix is in focus following reports of exclusive talks to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and HBO Max. This could drive sector-specific volatility across streaming and media names, with potential spillovers into Nasdaq sentiment.
Broader risk sentiment remains constructive, with the VIX slipping to a two-month low, and the continued rally in US transport stocks signalling confidence in economic momentum. That supports equities overall, but the Nasdaq’s direction today is likely to hinge on bond yields:
Stable or lower yields would allow tech to participate in the broader rally.
Further yield upside risks triggering profit-taking in mega-cap growth.
Bottom line: The Nasdaq 100 opens with a positive lead from futures and improving risk sentiment, but rising global bond yields remain the key short-term risk to sustained upside. Streaming and large-cap tech could see elevated volatility today.
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NAS100 Retest of POC: Bullish Break or Deeper Correction?I'm keeping a close eye on NASDAQ (NAS100) right now 📉📈. We’re seeing a deep pullback—a strong retracement that makes everyone ask the classic question:
Does this want to keep pushing lower and give us a bearish weekly candle, or is it gearing up to hold a level and rally back with the higher-timeframe trend?
For me, I’m a trend-continuation trader. Even if the weekly candle prints bearish, I’m not interested in selling into higher-timeframe strength. I’d rather stay patient and stick with the bigger trend direction 🧭.
Here’s the key level I’m watching:
If NAS100 can break back above the Volume Profile POC (Point of Control) — which is basically the high-value area acting as support right now — then I’ll be looking for long opportunities.
But if price breaks below the POC, that invalidates the idea and I’ll step aside. No need to force anything 👍.
Not financial advice ⚠️
NAS100 Trade Opportunity: Will Buyers Defend the Pullback?📊 NAS100 (NASDAQ-100) Swing Trade Opportunity 🚀
Bullish Pullback Setup | Super Trend ATR + TMA Confirmation
🎯 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW
Instrument: NAS100 (NASDAQ-100 Index)
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Bias: BULLISH ✅
Setup Type: Super Trend ATR Line Pullback + Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Confirmation
🎬 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 📍
This strategy employs multiple limit order placement (Layer Entry Technique) to optimize entry points during the pullback phase.
Recommended Layer Entry Points:
🔵 Layer 1: 24,500
🔵 Layer 2: 24,600
🔵 Layer 3: 24,700
🔵 Layer 4: 24,800
⚡ Pro Tip: Scale layers based on your account size and risk tolerance. Each layer reduces average entry price.
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL)
Primary SL Level: 24,300
Strategy: Placed below the latest swing low + Super Trend confirmation
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This SL is a guideline only. You must adjust based on your personal risk management strategy and account equity. Risk is YOUR responsibility.
🎁 PROFIT TARGETS (TP)
PRIMARY TARGET (TP1): 25,700 🎯
First resistance zone
Ideal for taking partial profits
Recommended exit: 30-50% position
SECONDARY TARGET (TP2): 26,200 🔥
Strong resistance + Historical overbought zone
⚠️ TRAP ALERT: Expect potential reversal or consolidation
Recommended exit: Remaining 50-70% position
Use trailing stop for final portion
📈 TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION
✅ Super Trend ATR: Aligned bullish
✅ TMA (Triangular MA): Pullback to key level confirmed
✅ Higher Lows Pattern: Intact
✅ Volume Analysis: Supporting move
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 💡
Positive Correlation (Move Together):
🔴 SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - $380-395 Range
Correlation: +0.92 | Often leads NAS100 lower-cap stocks
Key Point: If SPY breaks $390, expect NAS100 momentum confirmation
Watch for divergence signals
🔴 QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust - Nasdaq 100 ETF) - $450-470 Range
Correlation: +0.99 | DIRECT tracking of NAS100
Key Point: Primary barometer for Nasdaq sentiment
Use for volume + volatility confirmation
🔴 TECH Sector ETF (XLK) - $205-215 Range
Correlation: +0.88 | Tech-heavy holdings overlap
Key Point: Tech rotation affects Nasdaq flow
Monitor for sector strength/weakness
Inverse Correlation (Move Opposite):
🔵 DXY (US Dollar Index) - $103-106 Range
Correlation: -0.65 | Stronger dollar = Risk-off mood
Key Point: If DXY spikes, expect NAS100 pullback extension
Monitor Fed rate expectations
🔵 TLT (20+ Year Treasury ETF) - $75-80 Range
Correlation: -0.58 | Rising yields hurt growth stocks
Key Point: Check 10Y yield trend for rate pressure
Watch Fed policy announcements
Key Monitoring Points:
📌 Earnings Season Impact: Tech earnings can create ±2% moves
📌 Fed Minutes/Announcements: Watch for rate guidance changes
📌 Market Breadth: Compare Advance/Decline lines for confirmation
📌 Volatility Index (VIX): Levels above 20 = Caution; Below 15 = Risk-on
📋 BEFORE YOU TRADE - CHECKLIST ✅
Is price currently at/near Layer 1 entry (24,500)?
Does current 4H chart show TMA pullback + Super Trend confluence?
Is volume confirming the setup?
Have you set your SL below 24,300?
Do you understand you're risking X to make Y?
Is this aligned with your trading plan?
🎓 FINAL NOTES
This is a mechanical swing trade setup designed for traders who use limit orders and layering technique. The confluence of Super Trend ATR + TMA creates higher probability entries during bullish pullbacks.
Remember: Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This idea is shared for educational analysis. Your trading decisions are YOUR responsibility alone.
Happy Trading! 🚀💎
US100 Daily Chart AnalysisSimilar to DJI, US100 Showing:
🔹 Price testing channel resistance
🔹 Rejection seen from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone
🔹 Previous uptrend support line now acting as resistance
🔹 RSI showing early signs of exhaustion near key 60–70 zone
🔹 Bearish divergence forming potential — caution advised
All these confluences hint at a possible pause or reversal unless we get a strong breakout with volume confirmation.
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #PriceAction #RSI #Fibonacci #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #ChartsDriven
US NAS 100DO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)






















