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United States Government Debt To GDPUnited States Government Debt To GDPUnited States Government Debt To GDP

United States Government Debt To GDP

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European fiscal opportunityThe major European economies have tied up too much money in welfare spending and social policies making them unable to benefit from the renewed interest in European fiscal stimulus or more accurately unable to provide fiscal stimulus. However a few of Europes economies are in a healthy fiscal situation. Germany, Sweden, Norway, Iceland, Denmark, Netherlands, Switzerland and Poland are all at a debt to GDP ratio of below 70%. Ireland is as well however the GDP figures in the country is a bit irregular. Could we see a long short opportunity here with low debt to gdp countries outperforming as a result of more room for fiscal stimulus?
ECONOMICS:USGDG
by walmutlaq2003
India, USA, China - Government Debt to GDP PerformanceIndia’s Fiscal Discipline Stands Out in a High-Debt Global Economy Government Debt to GDP Performance Over the Last 20 Years: China: +217% USA: +99% India: +3% Over the last 2 decades, global economies have increasingly relied on debt to stimulate growth and manage crises. However, a closer look at long-term Debt-to-GDP trends reveals a stark contrast in fiscal discipline among major economies: ----------------------------------------------------------------------- India: A Beacon of Fiscal Stability India has maintained remarkable fiscal discipline, with government debt increasing by just +3% relative to its GDP over the past 20 years. This demonstrates India’s conservative borrowing strategy, especially notable given the country’s ambitious development goals, infrastructure push, and welfare programs. This level of restraint positions India well in the face of rising global interest rates and inflation risks. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- USA: Steady Climb Amid Stimulus Spending The United States has seen a +99% increase in its debt-to-GDP ratio over the same period, driven by successive rounds of stimulus, defense spending, and entitlement obligations. While the U.S. enjoys the unique advantage of issuing the world’s reserve currency, the long-term implications of rising debt—especially as interest payments rise—pose potential challenges to fiscal sustainability. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- China: Debt-Fueled Expansion China’s debt-to-GDP has surged +217% over the past two decades, reflecting its aggressive infrastructure-led growth model and significant off-balance-sheet local government borrowing. While this has powered China's rapid urbanization and industrial growth, the mounting debt burden raises questions about long-term efficiency, default risks in the shadow banking sector, and the need for deleveraging. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 🔍 Key Insights: 1) India’s 3% debt growth over 20 years highlights an underleveraged economy, offering headroom for targeted fiscal expansion if needed. 2) In a world where debt sustainability is becoming a key investment theme, India stands out as a relatively safer macro environment. 3) This fiscal prudence complements India’s improving trade metrics and strengthens its position in global economic leadership. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 📈 Conclusion: As the global economy grapples with inflation, rising interest rates, and debt concerns, India’s modest rise in government debt is a key macro strength. While China and the USA have seen significant increases in their debt burdens, India’s fiscal balance provides confidence to both investors and policymakers for future growth cycles. This makes India an attractive long-term investment destination in a world of rising uncertainty.
ECONOMICS:USGDGLong
by Atmiya_aatubhai
Are You Seeing This?If being on the gold standard made the U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio get better, then what will make the Debt-to-GDP even out now? Particularly since we're probably not going back to the gold standard. What asset can the U.S. peg the U.S. Dollar to make the Debt-to-GDP even out or decline? Or, will the U.S. just letting the debt continue without being checked? The great part about the U.S. is their "beautiful deleveraging" and reflation. It's great to the have fighting in the corner of the U.S. It gets bumpy, but just hold on tight. There is more to come. Can't wait to see how this plays out. #RayDalio #GoldStandard #BeautifulDeleveraging #BumpyRide #WhatsNext #ATJX $ATJX
ECONOMICS:USGDG
by NebulousMercuria