ETH LONG Price has completed a textbook bullish market structure shift (MSS) after sweeping significant sell‑side liquidity below the $3,069 level. Following the displacement, price is now in a pullback phase, retesting the newly formed support zone and Fair Value Gap (FVG). This is a high‑quality ICT long setup for continuation toward the recent swing highs.
• Direction: Long
• Entry Zone: 3,135 – 3,145 (retest of FVG support & previous resistance turned support)
• Stop Loss: 3,049 (below the swept low and bullish order block)
• Target: 3,400 (previous high + equal legs projection / HTF liquidity pool)
• R/R: High‑quality expansion setup – risk is well‑defined below the liquidity sweep, reward offers a clear path to the next major liquidity zone.
Key ICT/SMC Observations:
Clear sell‑side liquidity sweep below $3,069 followed by a strong displacement candle.
Bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirmed with a higher high and higher low.
Price is now retracing into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the initial rally, offering a premium entry.
The 3,135–3,145 zone now acts as a support confluence (FVG + previous resistance).
Bias remains bullish above the swept low. A reaction from the 3,135–3,145 support zone will signal buyers are in control, targeting the 3,400 liquidity area for the next leg up.
Trade at your own risk. Manage size and always use a stop.
Trade ideas
Supply and demand Notice how price reacts the moment it touches the supply zone.
That’s not magic — that’s orders already sitting there.
Supply zones don’t predict… they reveal where sellers were real.
If price respects it, behavior matters more than indicators.
Zones don’t work because you see them.
They work because institutions left footprints there.
Traders Chase Breakouts. The Profitable Ones Wait for the Retest📈 ETH/USD — 4H MARKET OUTLOOK
- ETH has broken out of its short-term rising structure and is now pulling back into a high-probability retest zone, creating a clean bullish continuation setup. Market structure has shifted from bearish to bullish with higher highs, higher lows, and strong volume support.
- Your chart shows two potential long entries both valid depending on the aggressiveness of the trader.
1️⃣ Break of Structure + Trendline Retest
ETH successfully broke above the rising trendline and is now forming a corrective pullback.
This is exactly what we want to see before entering a continuation move.
- Impulse up = strong, clean candles
- Pullback = controlled, low volatility
- Trendline retest = confirmation of demand
This is textbook bullish market behavior.
2️⃣ Entry Zones
🔶 ENTRY 1 (Aggressive Entry)
- Positioned right at the trendline retest
- For traders who want early entry with more risk
- Expect volatility but strong R:R if the bounce holds
🔷 ENTRY 2
- Wait for price to retrace deeper into minor structure support
- Higher confirmation, lower risk
- Ideal for swing traders
Both entries target the same bullish continuation structure.
3️⃣ Target Zone
Your take-profit zone is correctly placed at $3,600–$3,650, aligned with:
- Previous major supply zone
- Strong historical rejection area
- Completion of the next liquidity sweep
If ETH maintains structure, this zone will be tested.
4️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement
A stop below $3,060 – $3,100 is ideal because:
- It sits under the retest zone
- Below previous higher low
- Below liquidity pockets that market makers typically manipulate
If this level breaks, bullish structure collapses so the SL is perfect.
➡️ Primary Scenario
ETH pulls back → creates a higher low → bounces from Entry 1 or Entry 2 → continuation into $3,600+.
Market structure is bullish and favors long setups.
⚠️ Risk Scenario
If price breaks and closes below $3,060, the bullish setup fails and ETH may revisit the major support zone near $2,750 – $2,800.
Your edge isn’t in predicting the market — it’s in being patient enough to wait for the setup that others ignore.
here's how ethereum reaches 10k in 2026.gm,
as promised in yesterdays post, i'd share my macro ethereum case if my post got 5 likes.
---
lets start with the basics,
going back to 2015, ethereum came up in a 1-2 1-2
ever since those times, the impulse has been unraveling very nicely.
i postulate that the 2021 peak was the wave (3) high,
and ever since then, ethereum has been consolidating in a wave (4) - contracting triangle.
some might call it a re-accumulation, but i personally view it as a distribution.
old hands, distributing to new hands,
new hands end up holding price up,
and even create another leg up, but it gets faded.
in wyckoff distribution terms, this final leg up is referred to as "utad test".
in elliott wave theory terms, the final fifth wave out of a triangle is a "thrust".
both are, by design, quick and usually artificially created to create a final exit liquidity event.
---
it's tough to say how high we will go,
but based on our research, generally speaking -
if w3 sees an extension, w5 usually sees a truncation (slightly higher high, or even a double top).
based on this information, i level with you and say, ethereum finishes its macro bull count through an ending diagonal, around 10k. this allows momentum to taper off, and distribution phase to complete with a proper up-thrust-after-distribution.
---
🎯 = 10-12k
Strong ETH Rally Meets FVG Resistance, Pullback Risk AheadETH is extending an impressive upward leg after rebounding strongly from the 2,770–2,820 USD zone, with a sequence of bullish FVGs indicating that proactive buying flow is firmly in control. However, this momentum is now confronting a major challenge as price touches the 3,190–3,220 USD FVG resistance — an area that has repeatedly rejected price in the past and carries the footprint of strong historical sell-side pressure. This is not just any FVG; it corresponds to a region with old sell orders, low traded volume, and long upper wicks — all signs that the market tends to react negatively whenever price enters this zone.
Structurally, ETH remains in an uptrend, but the rally has pushed price into an “overextended” state relative to the Ichimoku cloud — a condition that often triggers a pullback for rebalancing. The sequence of bullish FVGs below, stretching from 2,770 up toward the 3,050 USD area, remains unfilled, and markets typically gravitate toward equilibrium before launching a new leg higher. The appearance of an H4 candle with a long upper wick exactly at the FVG resistance further reinforces the idea that sellers are defending this zone and profit-taking pressure is gradually returning.
Momentum is also slowing down. Volume surged during the advance from 2,770 to 3,050 USD, showing strong real demand behind the breakout. But as price approaches 3,200 USD, volume steadily declines, reflecting fading FOMO and increasing caution among buyers. This combination heightens the probability of a short-term pullback before ETH can attempt another continuation move — especially as price stalls precisely at a significant FVG resistance level.
ETHUSD Long SignalETHUSD Long Signal – Buying the Major Demand Zone Price just swept the 4H/1H demand zone at 2,920–2,940 (multiple touches since November + high volume node). Clean bullish reaction already printing, looking for continuation higher.Entry: 2,925 – 2,945 (buy limit zone or aggressive market buy)
Stop Loss: 2,880 (below the demand zone & swing low)
Take Profit 1: 3,020
Take Profit 2: 3,100
Take Profit 3 (runner): 3,200–3,250 supply zone
Risk-Reward: 1:3 → 1:7+Reason: Strong support hold, liquidity taken below the zone, bullish order flow returning, ETH/BTC ratio also turning up.This is NOT financial advice!
Only trade with money you can afford to lose. Do your own research and manage risk properly.
#ETHUSD #Ethereum #ETHLong #Crypto #BuyTheDip #EthereumSignals #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #Altseason #Trading Loading the ETH bags at support – let’s ride this back to 3.2k+
Ethereum (1W) 5 Year Pennant, Weekly Hidden Bullish DivergenceEthereum seems to be gearing up for a huge rally, despite the what I call 'Bearish Propaganda' in the news and permeating throughout social media crypto influencer discourse, calling for a 12-15 month bear market.
We see Ethereum bouncing off the lower trend line (demand line) of the approx. 5 year pennant formation on the weekly timeframe.
In addition, we have weekly hidden bullish divergence between the weekly MACD and weekly price action. Couple these 2 facts together, along w/ QT ending the 1st of Dec. 2025 and QE via liquidity injections coming soon, I find it hard to believe that Ethereum alongside major cap alt-coins will not rally.
This could turn into the most hated bull rally we've seen since crypto's inception.
Keep an eye on the charts!
ETHUSD resistance retest at 3,246The ETHUSD pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 3,246
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 3,246 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
2,860 – Initial support
2,777 – Intermediate support
2,670 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 3,246):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 3,246 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
3,350 – First resistance
3,460 – Further upside target
Conclusion
ETHUSD remains under bearish pressure, with the 3,246 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Ethereum Fake Breakout? Deep Drop After Hitting $4000After breaking above $4000, Ethereum boosted confidence among many holders — and a large number of traders entered right at that level.
But Bitcoin’s sharp drop triggered massive stop-loss hits across the market, revealing that the breakout was fake and most likely a stop-hunting move.
That’s why we saw such a deep correction.
I personally exited around $3800 with a small loss, and I shared the signal in the link below.
Even I was trapped by this fake breakout.
📉 Next support levels:
$2500
$1500
What’s your outlook?
ETH · Fusaka Upgrade & The Calm Before the BreakoutEthereum COINBASE:ETHUSD just stepped into one of its biggest milestones - the Fusaka upgrade - and unlike previous major updates, this one came with a surprising twist. Instead of crashing or swinging wildly like we saw during Dencun and Pectra, ETH actually bounced back toward $3.2k after weeks of decline.
A small recovery, yes… but the kind that feels meaningful.
To me, buying ETH here feels similar to buying gold TVC:GOLD when it was sitting at $1.8k, a moment where the market is exhausted, price is undervalued, and smart accumulation quietly begins.
From a technical analysis perspective, the long-term chart shows something incredibly important - a massive ascending triangle forming for years. Higher lows continue to build pressure from below, while a nearly untouched resistance zone acts as the ceiling.
Short-term price action adds even more fuel to this setup. ETH is once again bouncing at the same demand zone that has held firm multiple times this year. The latest dip formed a double bottom right inside that support block, which is a classic bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis.
ETH may still go sideways a bit longer, higher lows often take time to form, but the overall structure looks like a coiled spring.
Whether you’re a short-term trader or long-term holder, this zone marks as confirmation for uptrend of EH
TheCryptoFire
ETHUSD Bearish BatETH is completing a Bearish Bat pattern at the 0.886 retracement near 3,476, coinciding with prior supply, bearish RSI divergence, and a low-volume node overhead. The harmonic pattern aligns with structural liquidity and fib extensions that indicate likely exhaustion.
Prediction:
Expect rejection and reversal from the 3,450–3,500 PRZ, with downside targets toward 3,150, 3,000, and potentially 2,800.
Entry:
Short at 3,450–3,500 (aggressive) or after confirmation (conservative).
Ethereum Could Lead the Next Tokenization BoomEthereum could be at the center of the next big crypto cycle. It has strong long‑term potential, even after big price drops.
Tokenization
In the 70s the dollar left the gold standard, and Wall Street built new products like money‑market funds and futures to keep the dollar dominant.
Today something similar is happening with stablecoins: they turn the dollar into a 24/7 digital token on a blockchain, usually backed by US Treasuries.
If dollars can be tokens, then in time stocks, bonds and other assets can also be tokenized and traded all the time, not just during normal market hours.
Why Ethereum
Bitcoin is treated like “digital gold” mainly a store of value.
Ethereum is a smart‑contract platform. It lets people build apps, tokenize assets and run code directly on the chain.
Big banks and asset managers will need a smart‑contract chain for tokenized products, and Ethereum’s size, developer base and track record give it an edge, even though other blockchains may also grow.
Conclusion
Ethereum it is more than just a coin, it is a programmable blockchain where money, apps, and real‑world assets can all live together. As more dollars, stocks, bonds and other assets get “tokenized” so they can trade 24/7, big investors and banks will need a reliable smart‑contract platform, and today Ethereum is the largest and most proven option with a huge developer community.
Could we see a reversal from here?ETH/USD is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 3,238.27
1st Support: 2,962.76
1st Resistance: 3,371.27
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ETHUSD | This is not gambling...but surely a high risk setupLooks like ETH is completing a corrective complex (a b c d e) wave into a channel. The current push wave (c) suggests an exhaustion point. This is not gambling, its just probabilities.
If the structure plays out, ETH may begin a correction toward the FVG + fib retracement zone before extending into the channel bottom.
This is a high-risk setup. Because it is a counter-trend. And it depends on rejection from the upper boundary.
A breakout above $3115 will invalidate this setup.
Good Luck!
Ethereum - Weekly Bullish Flip Above $3KEthereum Structural Reversal Complete: Weekly Candle Confirms $3000+ Hold, Targeting $4900 with $7160 Extension
Ethereum has completed a significant structural reversal with weekly candle confirmation above the critical $3000 psychological level. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement has held on the weekly timeframe, creating a multi-month setup targeting previous highs at $4900, with extended targets reaching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $7160.
🎯 Setup Overview:
Current Status: Weekly bullish reversal confirmed above $3000
Critical Level: $3500 close needed to confirm continuation
Intermediate Target: $4900 (previous cycle highs)
Extended Target: $7160 (1.618 Fibonacci extension)
Position Type: Spot portfolio addition for long-term hold
📊 What Just Happened:
The Weekly Flip:
Ethereum's weekly candle closed decisively above $3000, marking the first sustained hold above this psychological level after months of consolidation and testing. This isn't a wick or a brief spike it's a confirmed close on the weekly timeframe, which carries significantly more weight than intraday or daily moves.
The 0.618 Support:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (calculated from cycle lows to previous highs) has held throughout the recent consolidation period. This golden ratio level marks where deep corrections in bull markets typically find support before resuming uptrends.
Momentum Shift:
Weekly momentum indicators have flipped from bearish to bullish. The reversal isn't just price it's confirmed by:
Volume expansion on the breakout
Momentum oscillators crossing into bullish territory
Market structure shifting to higher lows
📈 Why $3500 Is The Key Level:
The Gate to Higher Prices:
A weekly close above $3500 would accomplish several technical objectives:
Break above intermediate resistance that capped prior rallies
Confirm the $3000 level as support rather than temporary bounce
Open clear path to retest previous highs at $4900
Signal institutional accumulation phase is complete
Historical Context:
$3500 previously acted as both support (before the decline) and resistance (during recovery attempts). A clean break and hold above this level represents role reversal—former support becomes resistance becomes support again.
Why Weekly Matters:
Daily closes can be manipulated or result from short-term volatility. Weekly closes represent sustained conviction from market participants and institutional positioning that persists across multiple trading sessions.
🎯 The Target Structure:
Phase 1: $4900 (Previous Highs)
Represents the prior cycle peak
~62% upside from current $3000 level
Major psychological resistance where profit-taking will occur
First logical target for position reduction
Phase 2: $7160 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension)
Long-term extension target based on geometric progression
Represents 138% upside from $3000
Aligns with potential new cycle highs
Final target for remaining position
Why These Targets:
Not arbitrary price predictions geometric extensions based on:
Historical price structure
Fibonacci ratios that have guided ETH throughout its history
Measured moves from confirmed support levels
Previous cycle behavior patterns
📊 Technical Confluence:
Weekly 0.618 Fibonacci:
This deep retracement level held as support, indicating strong hands accumulated the pullback. When 0.618 holds, the probability of continuation to previous highs increases significantly based on historical crypto cycles.
$3000 Psychological Level:
Round numbers matter in crypto. $3000 represents a major psychological threshold that attracts both retail and institutional attention. Holding above this level shifts sentiment.
Volume Confirmation:
The move above $3000 occurred with increasing volume, suggesting accumulation from larger players rather than retail FOMO. Sustainable moves require volume validation.
Market Structure:
Higher lows are now establishing on the weekly chart. This is textbook uptrend structure after a corrective phase completes.
🛡️ Spot Portfolio Addition Strategy:
Why "Spot" Matters:
This isn't a leveraged trade or short-term speculation. This is spot accumulation for a multi-month to multi-year position. Key differences:
No liquidation risk
Can weather volatility without forced exits
Designed to capture structural moves, not daily swings
Appropriate for long-term asymmetric bet on crypto adoption
Position Sizing:
Crypto allocation should be sized according to:
Personal risk tolerance (typically 5-10% of portfolio max)
Ability to withstand 30-50% drawdowns without panic
Long-term conviction in Ethereum's utility and adoption
Understanding this is a high-risk, high-reward allocation
Entry Approach:
Primary entry: Current $3000+ zone (confirmed support)
Additional entry: Pullback to $3200-3300 if opportunity presents
Final add: On confirmed break above $3500 (momentum confirmation)
This staged approach improves average entry while maintaining conviction.
📈 Why Ethereum for Long-Term Hold:
Fundamental Backdrop:
Ethereum 2.0 transition to proof-of-stake complete
Growing DeFi ecosystem with real utility
NFT and tokenization infrastructure
Institutional adoption increasing (ETFs, corporate treasury)
Deflationary tokenomics post-EIP-1559
Market Position:
ETH represents the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap with established network effects, developer activity, and institutional recognition.
Risk Acknowledgment:
Crypto remains highly speculative and volatile. Regulatory uncertainty, technological risks, and market sentiment shifts can cause dramatic price swings unrelated to technical structure.
🧠 Why Most Will Miss This Setup:
Fear from Past Pain:
Many traders were hurt during the drawdown from previous highs. That emotional scar makes re-entry uncomfortable precisely when risk/reward is most favorable.
Waiting for "Confirmation":
By the time $4000 or $4500 "confirms" the move, the best risk/reward is gone. Entry at $3000 with $2700 stop offers far superior asymmetry than entry at $4000 with $3500 stop.
Disbelief After Consolidation:
Long consolidation periods create disinterest. When breakouts finally occur, many aren't watching anymore yet these are often the highest-probability setups.
Recency Bias:
Recent sideways action makes traders assume more sideways action. Weekly timeframe reversal suggests the character of price action is changing.
📊 Fibonacci Extensions Explained:
Why They Guide Long-Term Moves:
Fibonacci extensions (1.272, 1.618, 2.618) project where impulse waves typically complete based on the size of previous moves. The $7160 target (1.618 extension) isn't random—it's a mathematical projection.
Historical Validation:
Throughout crypto history, major bull moves have repeatedly respected these extension levels. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major assets have demonstrated this pattern across multiple cycles.
How to Use Them:
Identify completed corrective structure (0.618 support held)
Measure from correction low to breakout high
Project extensions for potential targets
Use these as profit-taking zones, not guaranteed destinations
📅 Timeframe Expectations:
Multi-Month Position:
From $3000 to $4900 could take 3-6 months depending on momentum and broader crypto market conditions. This isn't a swing trade—it's a position trade.
From $4900 to $7160:
If achieved, this extension could take 6-12+ months and likely requires favorable macroeconomic conditions and continued crypto adoption narratives.
Volatility Acceptance:
Expect 15-25% pullbacks even within a bull move. Spot positions can weather this; leveraged positions cannot. This is why spot allocation matters.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
Crypto Volatility:
30-50% drawdowns are normal in crypto, even during bull markets. Position sizing must accommodate this reality without forcing emotional exits.
Regulatory Uncertainty:
Government actions on crypto regulation, particularly in major markets like the US and EU, can cause rapid sentiment shifts.
Macro Environment:
Crypto correlates with risk assets. Fed policy, recession fears, and liquidity conditions affect crypto prices significantly.
Technical Failure:
If Ethereum closes back below $2700 on a weekly basis, the 0.618 support thesis breaks and the bullish structure is compromised. This requires disciplined reassessment.
$3500 Rejection:
Price could fail at $3500 and consolidate longer before attempting higher targets. Patience required if this scenario plays out.
🏆 The Long-Term Investor Approach:
They Buy Structure, Not Hype:
The weekly 0.618 hold + $3000 breakout provides objective structure. No need for hopium just probability-based positioning.
They Size Appropriately:
5-10% crypto allocation allows exposure to asymmetric upside while containing downside to manageable levels if thesis fails.
They Think in Cycles:
Crypto moves in multi-year cycles. Current positioning is for the next expansion phase, not next week's price action.
They Scale Out at Targets:
Reduce 1/3 at $4900 (books significant profit, removes emotion)
Reduce 1/3 at $5800-6000 (locks more gains if extension occurs)
Final 1/3 at $7160 or trailing stop (maximizes upside while protecting capital)
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Weekly confirmation matters: Daily noise is filtered out; weekly close above $3000 signals structural change.
✅ 0.618 support held: This Fibonacci level has historically marked the end of corrections in crypto bull markets.
✅ $3500 is the gateway: Close above this level opens clear path to retest $4900 highs with minimal resistance.
✅ $7160 represents geometric extension: Not speculation mathematical projection based on Fibonacci ratios that have guided ETH historically.
✅ Spot allocation appropriate: Long timeframe, high volatility, and asymmetric potential make this a spot hold, not a leveraged trade.
⚠️ Important Disclaimers:
This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects a technical view based on weekly timeframe structure, Fibonacci analysis, and crypto market cycles. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell Ethereum or any cryptocurrency.
Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative and volatile. Price can drop 30-50% in days regardless of technical structure. The $7160 target represents a mathematical extension, not a guaranteed destination.
Regulatory risk, technological vulnerabilities, and market manipulation are inherent to crypto markets. Past cycle behavior does not guarantee similar patterns will repeat.
The 0.618 support could fail. If Ethereum closes below $2700 on a weekly basis, the bullish thesis is compromised and requires immediate reassessment.
Only invest capital you can afford to lose completely. Crypto allocation should be sized as high-risk, high-reward portion of diversified portfolio. Consider consulting a financial professional and understand the technology and risks before investing.
All cryptocurrency investing involves substantial risk of loss.
✨ Join the Discussion:
Are you accumulating Ethereum at these levels? How do you approach spot crypto allocation in your portfolio? Share your perspective in the comments.
📜 Buy structure. Think in cycles. Hold with conviction.
ETH long🔥 Ethereum is gearing up for a major move. Market sentiment is shifting bullish, with strong accumulation and renewed interest from big players. The narrative is clear: ETH is positioned as the backbone of decentralized finance and smart contracts, and demand is building. Traders are eyeing this as a breakout play — Ethereum looks ready to fly.
Macro ExpansionEthereum 3 Macro Expansion Cycles.
Ethereum’s cycles have progressed based on accumulation and expansion.
Ethereum’s macro cycles follow a repeating pattern of Accumulation , Expansion & Accumulation , Expansion...
Right now, ETH is in its third major accumulation phase.
If this three cycle structure holds, Ethereum could reach a peak anywhere between $15K–$30K in its next ATH .
The accumulation cycles are becoming longer over time, and in my opinion, this is one of the signs that cryptocurrency cycles are moving away from the traditional 4-year structure.
Let’s see what happens.






















