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Ethereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US DollarEthereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US DollarEthereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US Dollar

Ethereum Perpetual futures, quoted, settled & margined in US Dollar

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Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Momentum Shift in Progress?thereum just staged a strong rebound, signaling a potential momentum shift after months of bearish pressure. 🔄 Trend Development After a sharp drop early last week, ETH quickly reversed and printed a higher low — a key early sign of bullish intent. Shortly after, ETH broke above the previous week's high, marking the first higher-high and higher-low structure in months. While this happened in a tight time frame, it's a meaningful development from a price action perspective. 📉 Support & 📈 Resistance Levels Support held strong in the $2,600 – $2,800 range Immediate resistance now sits at $3,300 A breakout above $3,300 could trigger a move toward the upper boundary of the descending channel However, we can't give the "all clear" just yet. A weekly close above $4,000 – $4,200 would be needed to confirm a full trend reversal and bullish continuation.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Richtv_official
Monthly Analysis:Ethereum (ETH), Issue 280 The analyst expects Ethereum’s price to decline by the specified end time (countdown timer), based on quantitative analysis. The take-profit level simply represents a potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a guarantee that the price will reach it. You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely. Allocating only a portion of your capital helps keep overall risk low. Our approach follows institutional portfolio management principles — not the “all-in or blow-up” style often promoted on social media. Performance is evaluated over the entire time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit. The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 04 Jan 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days). Monthly Analysis:Ethereum (ETH), Issue 280
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
The Trap Is Set — Ethereum Preparing for Liftoff🚀 ETHEREUM 4H OUTLOOK – ACCUMULATION BEFORE BULLISH EXPANSION 1. Market Structure Overview - ETH is currently respecting the broader bullish structure after rejecting from the upper Resistance Zone (≈ 3,180–3,220) and pulling back into the mid-range. - The recent drop is not a reversal; it is a healthy retracement into demand after an impulsive rally. - Price is now stabilizing above the Support Zone (≈ 2,940–2,970) — the key area that previously launched a strong bullish leg. ✔ The trend remains bullish on higher timeframes ✔ Current structure shows a corrective pullback into liquidity ✔ Bullish orderflow still intact as long as support holds 2. Scenarios Ahead 🔹 Main Scenario (High Probability) – Bullish Continuation If price holds above the support area and continues forming higher lows: → ETH is expected to bounce and build structure toward the upside. Upside Targets: 🎯 3,460 🎯 3,605 🎯 3,655 (major liquidity + extended target) The drawn projection on your chart (higher low → stair-step structure → rally) is perfectly aligned with bullish continuation. 🔹 Sub Scenario (Low Probability) If ETH breaks below 2,940, structure shifts short-term bearish: → Deeper pullback into 2,850 – 2,880 → Only triggered if a clean break + close below support happens. Currently, there is no confirmation for this scenario. 3. Summary – Structure & Liquidity Alignment ETH continues to follow a textbook bullish model: ✔ Corrective pullback into demand ✔ Accumulation above support ✔ Clean rejection from supply, but no trend reversal ✔ Bullish projection remains valid toward liquidity clusters above The move is simply compression → accumulation → expansion. 4. Intraday Trading Setups (Based on Chart Structure) 📌 SETUP 1 – Intraday Buy Setup (Preferred Scenario) ETH BUY ZONE: 👉 2,940 – 2,970 Take Profit: 🎯 3,120 – 3,180 (short-term) 🎯 3,460 – 3,605 (swing) Stop Loss: ❎ 2,915 ⚠ Manage risk properly — crypto volatility is high. 📌 SETUP 2 – Intraday Sell Setup (Only for Countertrend Traders) ETH SELL ZONE (Resistance): 👉 3,180 – 3,220 Take Profit: 🎯 3,050 – 3,000 Stop Loss: ❎ 3,245 ⚠ Countertrend trades should use smaller sizing. Stay patient. The market always rewards those who wait for price to come to their zone — not those who chase it
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ETH LONG Price has completed a textbook bullish market structure shift (MSS) after sweeping significant sell‑side liquidity below the $3,069 level. Following the displacement, price is now in a pullback phase, retesting the newly formed support zone and Fair Value Gap (FVG). This is a high‑quality ICT long setup for continuation toward the recent swing highs. • Direction: Long • Entry Zone: 3,135 – 3,145 (retest of FVG support & previous resistance turned support) • Stop Loss: 3,049 (below the swept low and bullish order block) • Target: 3,400 (previous high + equal legs projection / HTF liquidity pool) • R/R: High‑quality expansion setup – risk is well‑defined below the liquidity sweep, reward offers a clear path to the next major liquidity zone. Key ICT/SMC Observations: Clear sell‑side liquidity sweep below $3,069 followed by a strong displacement candle. Bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirmed with a higher high and higher low. Price is now retracing into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the initial rally, offering a premium entry. The 3,135–3,145 zone now acts as a support confluence (FVG + previous resistance). Bias remains bullish above the swept low. A reaction from the 3,135–3,145 support zone will signal buyers are in control, targeting the 3,400 liquidity area for the next leg up. Trade at your own risk. Manage size and always use a stop.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by origami_capital33
Traders Chase Breakouts. The Profitable Ones Wait for the Retest📈 ETH/USD — 4H MARKET OUTLOOK - ETH has broken out of its short-term rising structure and is now pulling back into a high-probability retest zone, creating a clean bullish continuation setup. Market structure has shifted from bearish to bullish with higher highs, higher lows, and strong volume support. - Your chart shows two potential long entries both valid depending on the aggressiveness of the trader. 1️⃣ Break of Structure + Trendline Retest ETH successfully broke above the rising trendline and is now forming a corrective pullback. This is exactly what we want to see before entering a continuation move. - Impulse up = strong, clean candles - Pullback = controlled, low volatility - Trendline retest = confirmation of demand This is textbook bullish market behavior. 2️⃣ Entry Zones 🔶 ENTRY 1 (Aggressive Entry) - Positioned right at the trendline retest - For traders who want early entry with more risk - Expect volatility but strong R:R if the bounce holds 🔷 ENTRY 2 - Wait for price to retrace deeper into minor structure support - Higher confirmation, lower risk - Ideal for swing traders Both entries target the same bullish continuation structure. 3️⃣ Target Zone Your take-profit zone is correctly placed at $3,600–$3,650, aligned with: - Previous major supply zone - Strong historical rejection area - Completion of the next liquidity sweep If ETH maintains structure, this zone will be tested. 4️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement A stop below $3,060 – $3,100 is ideal because: - It sits under the retest zone - Below previous higher low - Below liquidity pockets that market makers typically manipulate If this level breaks, bullish structure collapses so the SL is perfect. ➡️ Primary Scenario ETH pulls back → creates a higher low → bounces from Entry 1 or Entry 2 → continuation into $3,600+. Market structure is bullish and favors long setups. ⚠️ Risk Scenario If price breaks and closes below $3,060, the bullish setup fails and ETH may revisit the major support zone near $2,750 – $2,800. Your edge isn’t in predicting the market — it’s in being patient enough to wait for the setup that others ignore.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ETHUSD Bull Trap? - Final Breakdown Setup Is Almost Locked InETH is still stuck inside a clear falling channel, and the entire pattern is behaving like a corrective downtrend. The recent bounce from 2620 looks sharp, but it’s still just a counter-trend move. Nothing here screams trend reversal yet. Wave 3 ending at 2620 , and now the price is rising for a Wave 4 retracement. Wave 4 usually moves back toward the mid-channel and tests previous breakdown zones. The red box around 3200–3300 is the key trap zone. This is where sellers can return because Wave 4 must not enter Wave 1 territory, which sits higher. As long as ETH stays under that invalidation level, the bearish structure remains fully intact. The move looks like a classic (a)-(b)-(c) correction inside Wave 4. Once this corrective bounce completes, the chart suggests ETH will resume the downward path. The channel alignment and wave symmetry both support a final Wave 5 drop. If the bearish count plays out, ETH could slide toward 2400 – 2300 in Wave 5 before a major bottom forms. That’s the zone where sellers exhaust and buyers take control again. Until ETH breaks the invalidation level with strength, downside remains the more probable outcome. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Money_Dictators
#ETHEREUM WEEKLY UPDATE $ETH has broken below 3000 exactly#ETHEREUM WEEKLY UPDATE CRYPTOCAP:ETH has broken below 3000 exactly as expected. I mentioned earlier that losing this level clears the path toward 2800 to 2600, and the chart shows price already dipping into the green box. The move has played out the same way as Bitcoin, with both charts hitting their downside targets perfectly. I’m still looking for further weakness. ETH is trading near 3000, but the 1W50 EMA is sitting above as a clear resistance. A retest toward 3300 looks likely, and I’ve already placed my limit orders in that zone. I shared the same setup in the free group. If we reject from 3300, the next move toward 2600 becomes the main scenario again. If 2600 breaks, the deeper targets open up. I’m watching 2100 to 2000 as the next strong demand area. Until ETH reclaims higher levels with real strength, the bias remains bearish. LSE:ZEN NASDAQ:DASH SGX:XVG OMXSTO:XMR CRYPTOCAP:PIPPIN #CRYPTOMARKET #TRUMP
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
1
Ethereum - Another -30% correction!🥊Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) continues the bearmarket: 🔎Analysis summary: Just over the past couple of weeks, Ethereum has already been correcting about -40%. This happened due to another failed all time high breakout sending prices lower. And Ethereum can drop another -30% before it will then retest a major confluence of support. 📝Levels to watch: $2,500 and $ 2,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:ETHUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhil
6
Strong ETH Rally Meets FVG Resistance, Pullback Risk AheadETH is extending an impressive upward leg after rebounding strongly from the 2,770–2,820 USD zone, with a sequence of bullish FVGs indicating that proactive buying flow is firmly in control. However, this momentum is now confronting a major challenge as price touches the 3,190–3,220 USD FVG resistance — an area that has repeatedly rejected price in the past and carries the footprint of strong historical sell-side pressure. This is not just any FVG; it corresponds to a region with old sell orders, low traded volume, and long upper wicks — all signs that the market tends to react negatively whenever price enters this zone. Structurally, ETH remains in an uptrend, but the rally has pushed price into an “overextended” state relative to the Ichimoku cloud — a condition that often triggers a pullback for rebalancing. The sequence of bullish FVGs below, stretching from 2,770 up toward the 3,050 USD area, remains unfilled, and markets typically gravitate toward equilibrium before launching a new leg higher. The appearance of an H4 candle with a long upper wick exactly at the FVG resistance further reinforces the idea that sellers are defending this zone and profit-taking pressure is gradually returning. Momentum is also slowing down. Volume surged during the advance from 2,770 to 3,050 USD, showing strong real demand behind the breakout. But as price approaches 3,200 USD, volume steadily declines, reflecting fading FOMO and increasing caution among buyers. This combination heightens the probability of a short-term pullback before ETH can attempt another continuation move — especially as price stalls precisely at a significant FVG resistance level.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Momonoo
4
Ethereum 4HR Structure UpdateThis idea focuses on Ethereum on the 4 hour chart. Price is approaching a descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance. A break and confirmed close above this trendline is required before considering any long setups. Key Levels and Structure • Primary focus is the descending trendline that has capped every recent bounce • A full candle close above the trendline is essential before any entry is planned • The upside reference area for this idea is near 3600 where prior reactions occurred • Invalidations sit below 2950 which would represent a break beneath the recent structural base Entry Logic This setup is based on confirmation rather than anticipation. • No entries should be taken while price remains under the trendline • A strong bullish close outside the trendline is needed • Weak closes or wicks through the trendline without body confirmation do not qualify • The idea is only valid once the trendline is clearly violated on a closing basis Why the Close Matters Closing outside the trendline shows that market participants have accepted price above the descending structure rather than briefly testing it. This helps filter false breaks and reduces reliance on intrabar volatility. Risk Parameters Stops would be referenced below 2950 since a move under that area would indicate failure to hold recent structural support. The 3600 region is used as the first upside reference point based on previous reactions on the 4 hour chart. Notes This idea evaluates structural behavior and does not forecast future performance. Users should confirm levels and apply their own risk management plan before taking any trade.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RB_T
ETHUSD Long SignalETHUSD Long Signal – Buying the Major Demand Zone Price just swept the 4H/1H demand zone at 2,920–2,940 (multiple touches since November + high volume node). Clean bullish reaction already printing, looking for continuation higher.Entry: 2,925 – 2,945 (buy limit zone or aggressive market buy) Stop Loss: 2,880 (below the demand zone & swing low) Take Profit 1: 3,020 Take Profit 2: 3,100 Take Profit 3 (runner): 3,200–3,250 supply zone Risk-Reward: 1:3 → 1:7+Reason: Strong support hold, liquidity taken below the zone, bullish order flow returning, ETH/BTC ratio also turning up.This is NOT financial advice! Only trade with money you can afford to lose. Do your own research and manage risk properly. #ETHUSD #Ethereum #ETHLong #Crypto #BuyTheDip #EthereumSignals #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #Altseason #Trading Loading the ETH bags at support – let’s ride this back to 3.2k+
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by popularexperttrader57
5
here's how ethereum reaches 10k in 2026.gm, as promised in yesterdays post, i'd share my macro ethereum case if my post got 5 likes. --- lets start with the basics, going back to 2015, ethereum came up in a 1-2 1-2 ever since those times, the impulse has been unraveling very nicely. i postulate that the 2021 peak was the wave (3) high, and ever since then, ethereum has been consolidating in a wave (4) - contracting triangle. some might call it a re-accumulation, but i personally view it as a distribution. old hands, distributing to new hands, new hands end up holding price up, and even create another leg up, but it gets faded. in wyckoff distribution terms, this final leg up is referred to as "utad test". in elliott wave theory terms, the final fifth wave out of a triangle is a "thrust". both are, by design, quick and usually artificially created to create a final exit liquidity event. --- it's tough to say how high we will go, but based on our research, generally speaking - if w3 sees an extension, w5 usually sees a truncation (slightly higher high, or even a double top). based on this information, i level with you and say, ethereum finishes its macro bull count through an ending diagonal, around 10k. this allows momentum to taper off, and distribution phase to complete with a proper up-thrust-after-distribution. --- 🎯 = 10-12k
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
1
Ethereum Could Lead the Next Tokenization BoomEthereum could be at the center of the next big crypto cycle. It has strong long‑term potential, even after big price drops. Tokenization In the 70s the dollar left the gold standard, and Wall Street built new products like money‑market funds and futures to keep the dollar dominant.​ Today something similar is happening with stablecoins: they turn the dollar into a 24/7 digital token on a blockchain, usually backed by US Treasuries.​ If dollars can be tokens, then in time stocks, bonds and other assets can also be tokenized and traded all the time, not just during normal market hours. Why Ethereum Bitcoin is treated like “digital gold” mainly a store of value. Ethereum is a smart‑contract platform. It lets people build apps, tokenize assets and run code directly on the chain.​ Big banks and asset managers will need a smart‑contract chain for tokenized products, and Ethereum’s size, developer base and track record give it an edge, even though other blockchains may also grow.​ Conclusion Ethereum it is more than just a coin, it is a programmable blockchain where money, apps, and real‑world assets can all live together. As more dollars, stocks, bonds and other assets get “tokenized” so they can trade 24/7, big investors and banks will need a reliable smart‑contract platform, and today Ethereum is the largest and most proven option with a huge developer community.​
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by FlorinCharts
eth still dumping we are grinding down not being able to break resistance .in the smaller time it looks as if we will be seeing a 30% drop from current price especially if we dont break resistance line . the next major support sitting at 2200 this will give us 30% more to the down side . all im waiting for is conformation on smaller time to see a rejection from resistance.if this happens we will get a smack down. to invalidate this we would need a break of structure and see us go up to 4200 and only then will i go bullish . as of now this is looking ugly.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Mrbigman
ETH · Fusaka Upgrade & The Calm Before the BreakoutEthereum COINBASE:ETHUSD just stepped into one of its biggest milestones - the Fusaka upgrade - and unlike previous major updates, this one came with a surprising twist. Instead of crashing or swinging wildly like we saw during Dencun and Pectra, ETH actually bounced back toward $3.2k after weeks of decline. A small recovery, yes… but the kind that feels meaningful. To me, buying ETH here feels similar to buying gold TVC:GOLD when it was sitting at $1.8k, a moment where the market is exhausted, price is undervalued, and smart accumulation quietly begins. From a technical analysis perspective, the long-term chart shows something incredibly important - a massive ascending triangle forming for years. Higher lows continue to build pressure from below, while a nearly untouched resistance zone acts as the ceiling. Short-term price action adds even more fuel to this setup. ETH is once again bouncing at the same demand zone that has held firm multiple times this year. The latest dip formed a double bottom right inside that support block, which is a classic bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis. ETH may still go sideways a bit longer, higher lows often take time to form, but the overall structure looks like a coiled spring. Whether you’re a short-term trader or long-term holder, this zone marks as confirmation for uptrend of EH TheCryptoFire
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by TheCryptoFire
Could we see a reversal from here?ETH/USD is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 3,238.27 1st Support: 2,962.76 1st Resistance: 3,371.27 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDShort
by IC Markets
2
Ethereum - Weekly Bullish Flip Above $3KEthereum Structural Reversal Complete: Weekly Candle Confirms $3000+ Hold, Targeting $4900 with $7160 Extension Ethereum has completed a significant structural reversal with weekly candle confirmation above the critical $3000 psychological level. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement has held on the weekly timeframe, creating a multi-month setup targeting previous highs at $4900, with extended targets reaching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $7160. 🎯 Setup Overview: Current Status: Weekly bullish reversal confirmed above $3000 Critical Level: $3500 close needed to confirm continuation Intermediate Target: $4900 (previous cycle highs) Extended Target: $7160 (1.618 Fibonacci extension) Position Type: Spot portfolio addition for long-term hold 📊 What Just Happened: The Weekly Flip: Ethereum's weekly candle closed decisively above $3000, marking the first sustained hold above this psychological level after months of consolidation and testing. This isn't a wick or a brief spike it's a confirmed close on the weekly timeframe, which carries significantly more weight than intraday or daily moves. The 0.618 Support: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (calculated from cycle lows to previous highs) has held throughout the recent consolidation period. This golden ratio level marks where deep corrections in bull markets typically find support before resuming uptrends. Momentum Shift: Weekly momentum indicators have flipped from bearish to bullish. The reversal isn't just price it's confirmed by: Volume expansion on the breakout Momentum oscillators crossing into bullish territory Market structure shifting to higher lows 📈 Why $3500 Is The Key Level: The Gate to Higher Prices: A weekly close above $3500 would accomplish several technical objectives: Break above intermediate resistance that capped prior rallies Confirm the $3000 level as support rather than temporary bounce Open clear path to retest previous highs at $4900 Signal institutional accumulation phase is complete Historical Context: $3500 previously acted as both support (before the decline) and resistance (during recovery attempts). A clean break and hold above this level represents role reversal—former support becomes resistance becomes support again. Why Weekly Matters: Daily closes can be manipulated or result from short-term volatility. Weekly closes represent sustained conviction from market participants and institutional positioning that persists across multiple trading sessions. 🎯 The Target Structure: Phase 1: $4900 (Previous Highs) Represents the prior cycle peak ~62% upside from current $3000 level Major psychological resistance where profit-taking will occur First logical target for position reduction Phase 2: $7160 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension) Long-term extension target based on geometric progression Represents 138% upside from $3000 Aligns with potential new cycle highs Final target for remaining position Why These Targets: Not arbitrary price predictions geometric extensions based on: Historical price structure Fibonacci ratios that have guided ETH throughout its history Measured moves from confirmed support levels Previous cycle behavior patterns 📊 Technical Confluence: Weekly 0.618 Fibonacci: This deep retracement level held as support, indicating strong hands accumulated the pullback. When 0.618 holds, the probability of continuation to previous highs increases significantly based on historical crypto cycles. $3000 Psychological Level: Round numbers matter in crypto. $3000 represents a major psychological threshold that attracts both retail and institutional attention. Holding above this level shifts sentiment. Volume Confirmation: The move above $3000 occurred with increasing volume, suggesting accumulation from larger players rather than retail FOMO. Sustainable moves require volume validation. Market Structure: Higher lows are now establishing on the weekly chart. This is textbook uptrend structure after a corrective phase completes. 🛡️ Spot Portfolio Addition Strategy: Why "Spot" Matters: This isn't a leveraged trade or short-term speculation. This is spot accumulation for a multi-month to multi-year position. Key differences: No liquidation risk Can weather volatility without forced exits Designed to capture structural moves, not daily swings Appropriate for long-term asymmetric bet on crypto adoption Position Sizing: Crypto allocation should be sized according to: Personal risk tolerance (typically 5-10% of portfolio max) Ability to withstand 30-50% drawdowns without panic Long-term conviction in Ethereum's utility and adoption Understanding this is a high-risk, high-reward allocation Entry Approach: Primary entry: Current $3000+ zone (confirmed support) Additional entry: Pullback to $3200-3300 if opportunity presents Final add: On confirmed break above $3500 (momentum confirmation) This staged approach improves average entry while maintaining conviction. 📈 Why Ethereum for Long-Term Hold: Fundamental Backdrop: Ethereum 2.0 transition to proof-of-stake complete Growing DeFi ecosystem with real utility NFT and tokenization infrastructure Institutional adoption increasing (ETFs, corporate treasury) Deflationary tokenomics post-EIP-1559 Market Position: ETH represents the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap with established network effects, developer activity, and institutional recognition. Risk Acknowledgment: Crypto remains highly speculative and volatile. Regulatory uncertainty, technological risks, and market sentiment shifts can cause dramatic price swings unrelated to technical structure. 🧠 Why Most Will Miss This Setup: Fear from Past Pain: Many traders were hurt during the drawdown from previous highs. That emotional scar makes re-entry uncomfortable precisely when risk/reward is most favorable. Waiting for "Confirmation": By the time $4000 or $4500 "confirms" the move, the best risk/reward is gone. Entry at $3000 with $2700 stop offers far superior asymmetry than entry at $4000 with $3500 stop. Disbelief After Consolidation: Long consolidation periods create disinterest. When breakouts finally occur, many aren't watching anymore yet these are often the highest-probability setups. Recency Bias: Recent sideways action makes traders assume more sideways action. Weekly timeframe reversal suggests the character of price action is changing. 📊 Fibonacci Extensions Explained: Why They Guide Long-Term Moves: Fibonacci extensions (1.272, 1.618, 2.618) project where impulse waves typically complete based on the size of previous moves. The $7160 target (1.618 extension) isn't random—it's a mathematical projection. Historical Validation: Throughout crypto history, major bull moves have repeatedly respected these extension levels. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major assets have demonstrated this pattern across multiple cycles. How to Use Them: Identify completed corrective structure (0.618 support held) Measure from correction low to breakout high Project extensions for potential targets Use these as profit-taking zones, not guaranteed destinations 📅 Timeframe Expectations: Multi-Month Position: From $3000 to $4900 could take 3-6 months depending on momentum and broader crypto market conditions. This isn't a swing trade—it's a position trade. From $4900 to $7160: If achieved, this extension could take 6-12+ months and likely requires favorable macroeconomic conditions and continued crypto adoption narratives. Volatility Acceptance: Expect 15-25% pullbacks even within a bull move. Spot positions can weather this; leveraged positions cannot. This is why spot allocation matters. ⚠️ Risk Factors: Crypto Volatility: 30-50% drawdowns are normal in crypto, even during bull markets. Position sizing must accommodate this reality without forcing emotional exits. Regulatory Uncertainty: Government actions on crypto regulation, particularly in major markets like the US and EU, can cause rapid sentiment shifts. Macro Environment: Crypto correlates with risk assets. Fed policy, recession fears, and liquidity conditions affect crypto prices significantly. Technical Failure: If Ethereum closes back below $2700 on a weekly basis, the 0.618 support thesis breaks and the bullish structure is compromised. This requires disciplined reassessment. $3500 Rejection: Price could fail at $3500 and consolidate longer before attempting higher targets. Patience required if this scenario plays out. 🏆 The Long-Term Investor Approach: They Buy Structure, Not Hype: The weekly 0.618 hold + $3000 breakout provides objective structure. No need for hopium just probability-based positioning. They Size Appropriately: 5-10% crypto allocation allows exposure to asymmetric upside while containing downside to manageable levels if thesis fails. They Think in Cycles: Crypto moves in multi-year cycles. Current positioning is for the next expansion phase, not next week's price action. They Scale Out at Targets: Reduce 1/3 at $4900 (books significant profit, removes emotion) Reduce 1/3 at $5800-6000 (locks more gains if extension occurs) Final 1/3 at $7160 or trailing stop (maximizes upside while protecting capital) 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Weekly confirmation matters: Daily noise is filtered out; weekly close above $3000 signals structural change. ✅ 0.618 support held: This Fibonacci level has historically marked the end of corrections in crypto bull markets. ✅ $3500 is the gateway: Close above this level opens clear path to retest $4900 highs with minimal resistance. ✅ $7160 represents geometric extension: Not speculation mathematical projection based on Fibonacci ratios that have guided ETH historically. ✅ Spot allocation appropriate: Long timeframe, high volatility, and asymmetric potential make this a spot hold, not a leveraged trade. ⚠️ Important Disclaimers: This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects a technical view based on weekly timeframe structure, Fibonacci analysis, and crypto market cycles. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell Ethereum or any cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrencies are highly speculative and volatile. Price can drop 30-50% in days regardless of technical structure. The $7160 target represents a mathematical extension, not a guaranteed destination. Regulatory risk, technological vulnerabilities, and market manipulation are inherent to crypto markets. Past cycle behavior does not guarantee similar patterns will repeat. The 0.618 support could fail. If Ethereum closes below $2700 on a weekly basis, the bullish thesis is compromised and requires immediate reassessment. Only invest capital you can afford to lose completely. Crypto allocation should be sized as high-risk, high-reward portion of diversified portfolio. Consider consulting a financial professional and understand the technology and risks before investing. All cryptocurrency investing involves substantial risk of loss. ✨ Join the Discussion: Are you accumulating Ethereum at these levels? How do you approach spot crypto allocation in your portfolio? Share your perspective in the comments. 📜 Buy structure. Think in cycles. Hold with conviction.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RB_T
Macro ExpansionEthereum 3 Macro Expansion Cycles. Ethereum’s cycles have progressed based on accumulation and expansion. Ethereum’s macro cycles follow a repeating pattern of Accumulation , Expansion & Accumulation , Expansion... Right now, ETH is in its third major accumulation phase. If this three cycle structure holds, Ethereum could reach a peak anywhere between $15K–$30K in its next ATH . The accumulation cycles are becoming longer over time, and in my opinion, this is one of the signs that cryptocurrency cycles are moving away from the traditional 4-year structure. Let’s see what happens.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by shadow_of_god