Trade ideas
$ETH โ Classic Breakdown โ Bounce โ Reshort Setup Into 20 SMACRYPTOCAP:ETH โ Classic Breakdown โ Bounce โ Reshort Setup Into 20 SMA Resistance
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is giving one of my all-time favorite continuation short setups โ a clean breakdown, followed by a weak bounce right back into the 20 SMA, which is exactly where momentum names often fail.
๐น The Setup:
โข After the big swoosh down, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is now bouncing right into the shaded zone between the 9 EMA and 20 SMA.
โข I call this area the Bone Zone โ where broken trends come to die.
โข CRYPTOCAP:ETH is showing zero character change on the bounce: lighter volume, lower high structure, no real demand.
๐น Why This Is Textbook:
โข Breakdown โ weak retrace โ touch of the 20 SMA = the exact continuation short Iโve traded for nearly 20 years.
โข The 20 SMA often acts as the โkiss of deathโ in downtrends when momentum has already flipped.
โข Crypto across the board is soft โ CRYPTOCAP:BTC cracking key levels, CRYPTOCAP:ETH failing to reclaim anything meaningful.
๐น My Trade Plan:
1๏ธโฃ Entry: Short into the 20 SMA rejection inside the Bone Zone.
2๏ธโฃ Risk: Stop just above the 20 SMA โ clean and mechanical.
3๏ธโฃ Target: A retest of the breakdown lows first, then mid to low -$2,000s if momentum continues.
Why I Love This Setup:
โข Same breakdown pullback pattern Iโve run for decades โ clean, high R/R, predictable.
โข Structure is perfect and risk is tight.
Chart any asset against another - Tradingview Trick!In this video, I show you how to chart any asset against another in Tradingview.
In this example I chart CRYPTOCAP:ETH vs NYSE:CRCL and show the relationship between the two assets. It is much easier to view the relationship between two entirely different assets when you chart them correctly!
This will give you a view you didn't see otherwise.
ETHUSD | Let that sink in...Understand the chartTL;DR: This chart looks like what happened in 2021 in a ridiculous way. A breakout, a rejection, a relief rally, then a painful descent through layered support zones.
I really donโt want to be the guy who says โI told you soโ but charts teach with loss as often as profit.
Look at what happened when ETH reached ATH in 2021. A clear breakout and immediate rejection. Price then collapsed with multiple spikes to trick HODLers and bull for life traders.
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The lesson the chart here to offer
If our analysis is correct, weโll see a short-lived manipulation into resistance ($3.6โ$4.0k) that will suck in all longs.
What happens next you may ask? Straight down to support zones.
Breaking one support usually leads to the next.
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Practical rules to survive this (educational only):
Assume rallies are traps until proven otherwise. Wait for structure (higher lows + higher highs) on higher timeframes before adding long positions.
Manage size. If you trade this, keep position sizing small and protect capital with stops and trailing stops when in a winning trade.
Use multi-timeframe confirmation. Donโt buy solely on daily candles. Micro structure of a daily candle forms on smaller timeframes.
If you want to accumulate, always scale. Donโt all-in. That way you better position yourself, increase your profit and decrease your loss
As always...Stay disciplined.
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Good Luck!
P.S: Check the linked idea for a better understanding.
ETHUSD | Donโt get fooled...Understand the chartTL;DR: This chart looks like what happened in 2021 in a ridiculous way. A breakout, a rejection, a relief rally, then a painful descent through layered support zones.
I really donโt want to be the guy who says โI told you soโ but charts teach with loss as often as profit.
Look at what happened when ETH reached ATH in 2021. A clear breakout and immediate rejection. Price then collapsed with multiple spikes to trick HODLers and bull for life traders.
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The lesson the chart here to offer
If our analysis is correct, weโll see a short-lived manipulation into resistance ($3.6โ$4.0k) that will suck in all longs.
What happens next you may ask? Straight down to support zones.
Breaking one support usually leads to the next.
----------------------------------------------
Practical rules to survive this (educational only):
Assume rallies are traps until proven otherwise. Wait for structure (higher lows + higher highs) on higher timeframes before adding long positions.
Manage size. If you trade this, keep position sizing small and protect capital with stops and trailing stops when in a winning trade.
Use multi-timeframe confirmation. Donโt buy solely on daily candles. Micro structure of a daily candle forms on smaller timeframes.
If you want to accumulate, always scale. Donโt all-in. That way you better position yourself, increase your profit and decrease your loss
As always...Stay disciplined.
----------------------------------------------
Good Luck!
P.S: Check the linked idea for a better understanding.
VNShark OB | ETH โ Sellers Take ControlETH is showing clear signs of institutional selling pressure.
Big Money has revealed its footprint after price broke below the VShark Order Block with strong volume โ confirming that the higher-timeframe downtrend remains firmly intact.
Hereโs the breakdown:
1๏ธโฃ Higher-timeframe structure remains strongly bearish
ETH continues to follow the macro downtrend, with every rally failing to break key structure levels.
2๏ธโฃ Price broke below the key VShark Order Block
This breakdown, combined with a notable volume spike, signals that buyers were overwhelmed โ a classic displacement move driven by Smart Money.
3๏ธโฃ A fresh VShark Sell Zone has formed above
This is the area where Big Money previously stepped in with visible selling pressure.
As long as ETH trades below this zone, sellers maintain full control.
๐ต VShark Sell Zone:
$2,965 โ $3,108
4๏ธโฃ Expectation: Bearish continuation
If ETH retests the Sell Zone and shows weakness or rejection, the downtrend is likely to resume.
#ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #SmartMoney #OrderBlock #OB #SupplyZone #VSharkOB #BigMoney #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #Bearish #VolumeAnalysis
#ETHUSD - Short Term Levels (Dec 2025)Date: 01-12-2025
#ETHUSD Current Price: $2,813.00
Pivot Point: $2,917.72
Support: $2,777.37
Resistance: $3,059.33
Upside Targets:
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| Target | Price |
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| ๐ฏ Target 1 | $3,241.31
| ๐ฏ Target 2 | $3,423.28
| ๐ฏ Target 3 | $3,612.87
| ๐ฏ Target 4 | $3,802.45
Downside Targets:
| ๐ฏ Target 1 | $2,594.77
| ๐ฏ Target 2 | $2,412.16
| ๐ฏ Target 3 | $2,222.58
| ๐ฏ Target 4 | $2,032.99
#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTA #TradingView #PivotPoints #SupportResistance
ETHUSD SIGNALThis signal is generated using a disciplined, data-driven approach that evaluates price action, trend dynamics, and liquidity distribution. The trade setup highlights a moment where market conditions align to create a balanced opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward profile.
The analysis emphasizes precision and clarity, focusing on key decision zones where buyers or sellers are most likely to take control. This signal is crafted to help traders navigate the market with structure, consistency, and confidence.
๐ Signal Breakdown
Entry Level: Identified through market structure validation and momentum confirmation
Stop-Loss (SL): Placed at a strategic invalidation zone for controlled downside risk
Take-Profit (TP): Target levels modeled around liquidity pockets, trend projections, and volatility range
Technical Reasoning: A brief yet clear explanation outlining the logic behind the chosen direction
Market Scenarios: Expected price behavior under both bullish and bearish conditions
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This signal is not financial advice and is intended solely for analytical and educational purposes. Always manage your risk appropriately and stay adaptable to changing market conditions.
Crypto Panic and DUMP!?We have just had a MAJOR dump over the last 12 hours in the crypto market.
This was expected, as we are expecting MANIPULATION to take place - and this usually happens in the beginning of the month.
I'd like to see the previous months low of NOV get taken out, creating further fear in the markets making everyone believe the true bear marketc is here. The idea is to flush everyone out of the market and make them believe its over, and once we get that, price will likely move AGGRESSIVELY to the upside.
The biggest sign for us right now to convince me we are not yet in a bearish cycle is the MONTHLY NOV close on TOTAL.
We still do have a lot of downside risk but ideally I'd like to see DEC close pretty strongly bullish.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. The content shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Trading and investing in cryptocurrency involve high risk โ you could lose some, or all, of your money. Always do your own research and make sure you understand the risks before making any financial decisions.
Journaling For Traders: Turning Random Results Into A Feedback Most traders spend years tweaking indicators and strategies while leaving their process undocumented. Without a journal, every trade feels new, every mistake repeats, and progress stays vague. A structured journal turns experience into data. It shows what you do well, what keeps failing, and which behaviours appear before your best and worst decisions.
The first step is simple: record every trade. Log the setup, market structure, entry reason, risk, and emotional state. Write whether you felt rushed, confident, bored, or frustrated. Do not only record wins or big losses. Incomplete data keeps blind spots alive.
The real value appears during weekly review. Set time aside after markets slow down and go through the trades as a batch. Look for recurring situations. You may notice that late-session entries perform poorly, that you increase size after wins, or that you cut trades early when size feels uncomfortable. These patterns are not visible inside a single session. They emerge only over a cluster of trades.
Next, extract insights. Group trades by setup, session, and emotional state. Identify your highest quality combinations. For example, trend continuation trades in London with fixed risk might show a strong performance profile while countertrend entries in low volume hours consistently underperform. This step separates what you think works from what actually delivers.
Finally, adjust strategy. Turn observations into rules. Reduce or remove the behaviours that repeatedly drain capital. Formalise the conditions that define your best trades. Add small process rules rather than full rewrites, then track the impact in the next review cycle. Over time, your playbook becomes evidence based rather than theoretical.
Journaling is not an extra task for perfectionists. It is the operating system behind professional execution. When you continuously record, review, extract, and adjust, your trading process compounds in quality even when individual weeks are difficult.
ETHEREUM made 1D Death Cross. Will it follow the 2022 BearCycle?Ethereum (ETHUSD) completed on Saturday its first 1D Death Cross in 9 months (since February 28 2025) and today the market is (so far) reacting violently to it with a strong sell-off.
The market didn't even manage to re-test its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on last week's rebound and if it follows the 2022 Bear Cycle, it may look for a bottom after completing a -52.50% decline from its Cycle Top. Technically, even the build up to the Cycle Top resembles the 2021/22 fractal and as you can see the similarities are even evident on their 1D RSI sequences.
As a result, if this 1st Bear Cycle wave for ETH bottoms around $2400, we could be expecting a first rebound to test the 1D MA50 (within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range, i.e. around $3100) and get rejected, followed by one last to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (i.e. above $3350) and get rejected to start the 2nd wave of the Bear Cycle.
Would you 'trust' this Bear Cycle build up?
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An Attempt at Seasonal Market Growth and BTC RollbackTo date, we have reached another bifurcation point in the market and it's time for another review. So far, there is a share of positivity in the market situation. As I wrote earlier, there is strong medium-term support for BTC in the 85-90k zone, from which a rollback is likely. Unfortunately, last month we broke through the 85k level, which is a signal for a possible test of 75k in the spring. However, the probability of a rollback from 85k to 90-100 still prevails. The broadcast opened the month ambiguously. According to Asian time, the opening is in the negative zone below 3000, higher in the neutral zone at GMT. I think the market will move this month based on the bullish BTC signal, and the coins will continue to move in different directions.
The seasonal growth period in the first half of December is also a positive signal. Once again, I would like to draw attention to the background trigger used by the United States to manipulate the market - brent oil. At the last bifurcation point, prices still collapsed, despite the positive data on US stocks, to which ETH immediately reacted with a consolidation below 3k, as I warned in the review. The current monthly candle opened above the interim support of $ 62.5, against which there is a signal for growth in the first half of the month at least.
As a result, we have signals for new growth waves for individual altcoins that have reached supports and have high growth goals, as part of seasonal growth, attempts to rollback BTC with oil and rollback according to the annual schedule. However, most of the alcoins, especially those with high capitalization or upcoming aggressive issuance, will not have time to show significant growth in this short period and will continue the medium-term bearish trend. Be careful with new purchases in the next couple of weeks. Today - tomorrow is the time when coins draw a shadow down the new monthly candle, but starting tomorrow evening or Wednesday, the probability of a reversal for individual coins will increase. If positive oil data is released in the middle of the week, then the growth of the crypt is likely to accelerate steadily by the end of the week, with a continuation in the next weekly candle. Next, the opening zone of the second half of the month will be of great importance.
For altcoins, in the event of a reversal attempt, the minimum target will be to overshoot the last monthly candle. For work today, I am considering the TURTLE NTRN ENSO VIC MITO BMT HOOK first of all. These tools were recently listed on binance, which reduces the threat of delisting hanging over projects from 20-22. The issue of these instruments is also smooth, which reduces the likelihood of further large drawdowns. Given today's circulating supply, these instruments are already in an oversold position and the likelihood of a reversal to growth at the slightest provocation from the market prevails. They also previously provided strong technical signals for growth up to 300%+, which will be worked out in the medium term.
Secondly, I am considering CHESS UTK COS DATA QUICK FIO for scalping, which can give new growth waves of up to 40-50% at least, but I recommend using a smaller position size for them. CHESS has been assigned the monitoring tag, but there are strong technical signals for a 0.1 retest, which is why a large exit pump is likely. After that, I will no longer consider using the token.
ETHUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud, and is still above the ascending trendline.
Buy entry: 2,982
- Overlap support
- 50% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 2,896.63
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 3,076.67
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
ETHUSD Daily Timeframe Based on my analysis of the Ethereum/U.S. Dollar (ETH/USD) daily chart, it appears we are at a critical juncture. The price is currently trading around the $2,841 level after a period of consolidation.
My projection suggests a potential bearish move in the short to medium term. I'm anticipating a downward correction towards a key support zone, which I've identified between approximately $1,380 and $2,220. This area has previously acted as a significant price floor, and I expect it to attract buying interest once again.
Looking at the MACD indicator, the bearish momentum seems to be building, which supports the thesis of a near-term price decline.
However, should the price find solid footing within that support zone, I foresee a strong bullish reversal. My long-term target is a significant rally, potentially pushing Ethereum back towards the $5,000 resistance level.
In summary, the strategy would be to watch for a dip into the key support area as a potential buying opportunity, with a long-term bullish outlook toward the $5,000. My stop just below the demand zone.
ETHUSD - Daily Timeframe Based on my analysis of the Ethereum/U.S. Dollar (ETH/USD) daily chart, it appears we are at a critical juncture. The price is currently trading around the $2,841 level after a period of consolidation.
My projection suggests a potential bearish move in the short to medium term. I'm anticipating a downward correction towards a key support zone, which I've identified between approximately $1,380 and $2,220. This area has previously acted as a significant price floor, and I expect it to attract buying interest once again.
Looking at the MACD indicator, the bearish momentum seems to be building, which supports the thesis of a near-term price decline.
However, should the price find solid footing within that support zone, I foresee a strong bullish reversal. My long-term target is a significant rally, potentially pushing Ethereum back towards the $5,000 resistance level.
In summary, the strategy would be to watch for a dip into the key support area as a potential buying opportunity, with a long-term bullish outlook toward the $5,000 mark. My stop just below the Highlighted demand zone.
Ethereum: Reversal or Deeper Lows?BINANCE:ETHUSD has sharply retreated to the $2,800 zone as of December 1. If Ethereum selling pressure continues, price may seek stronger support in the $2,000โ$2,400 range. A rebound from this zone followed by a break above $3,000 would open the path toward the $3,800 target. However, failure to hold the $2,200 region could trigger a deeper decline toward $1,500โ$1,750, signaling broader bearish momentum.
ETHUSD โ Inverse Head & Shoulders Reversal TargetEthereum (ETHUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe has formed a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, signaling a potential bullish reversal after an extended downtrend. The price has produced a classic three-point pattern: Left Shoulder, a deep Head, and a developing Right Shoulder, all aligning beneath a descending neckline.
๐ Key Technical Highlights
Strong downtrend transitioning into a basing reversal formation.
Clear identification of Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder.
A descending neckline has formed, acting as major breakout resistance.
Once price breaks above the neckline, a bullish continuation toward the projected target becomes likely.
The measured-move target (pattern height) aligns near the $3,600โ$3,700 zone.
๐ฏ Bullish Breakout Target
Target Zone: ~$3,600 โ $3,700
(based on the height from the head to neckline)
โ ๏ธ Notes for Traders
Confirmation requires a candle close above the neckline.
A retest of the neckline may offer a high-probability entry.
Failure below the right shoulder low may invalidate the pattern.
ETH can move aggressively during breakoutsโrisk management is essential.
ETHmas Tree...Oh, ETHmas Tree...Thy Candles are so Falling!!!What in the World is going on with ETH, you say??? Well, this is following our market structure almost to a T. See my previous posts on ETH to see how we got here and why the market is moving the way it is. This is Structural Market Making Moves, and has absolutely nothing to do with the News, Tariffs, Fed Reports, etc.
What just happened:
In the last look, we had an H1 BOS up that led us all the way back up to this H4 Supply Zone. Over the Thanksgiving Holiday and long weekend, the market tried to push up and break out of this zone. BUT...it is an H4 Supply zone, and as mentioned previously, there are a LOT of sellers waiting to sell their ETH here. After failing to overcome those sellers, we have seen the huge rejection expected.
What is significant about this move:
It is VERY important to note now that during all of this up and down over the weekend, and the ultimate failure to break any higher, we have gotten an H4 BOS Up from the lows....This H4 Supply Zone was broken with a closed H4 Candle. So, at this point we are looking for the market to push back down to the Source of that H4 BOS ~ (2680 - 2750). So, this huge fall we've just seen should take us back down to that area to retest and see IF the overall Fall from All Time Highs is finally over.
What to look for:
From here, we need to watch as we approach this H4 BOS Source and look for signs on the 15 min that the drop will end there. The H4 BOS could hold, but there is still the prevailing Weekly Demand Zone (~2150 - 2670) that is what is overall pulling the price down. So, this H4 BOS zone is the first attempt to see if the Weekly Zone is satisfied.
If this H4 BOS Zone holds and we do not get an H4 close below it, ETH could finally start to regain strength. Otherwise, if this H4 BOS Zone gets broken with an H4 close, then the weekly takes over again, and we're back to looking at the Weekly View. The Daily Source of that large weekly zone is still the target (~2150-2300).
ETH BREAKOUT: DONโT MISS THE NEXT BIG MOVE!๐ ETH/USD MARKET ANALYSIS โ 30M (Professional Trader Style)
1. Overall Market Structure
- Price has been consolidating inside a descending channel.
- Forming consistent lower highs โ lower lows, but selling pressure is weakening near the demand zone.
- Finally, price created a rectangle compression and then broke out aggressively above the descending trendline.
2. Key Zones
โ Demand Zone (Strong Support): 2980 โ 3010
Multiple rejections + strong bullish reactions โ buyers clearly defend this area.
โ Supply Zone (Key Resistance): 3065 โ 3090
Price is approaching this zone again, but momentum suggests a high probability of BREAKING THROUGH.
3. Breakout Confirmation
The breakout candle shows:
- Strong bullish body
- Increased volume
- Clear break of previous lower high โ CHOCH (Change of Character)
This signals that ETH is transitioning from a correction phase into a renewed bullish trend.
4. Trading Plan (Price Action Style)
๐ Primary Scenario โ BUY the Retest
Wait for price to pull back into the broken supply zone (now a demand flip) at 3065โ3075.
Enter BUY when you see:
- Rejection wicks
- Bullish engulfing
- FVG reaction
- Or any PA confirmation
๐ฏ TP1: 3120
๐ฏ TP2: 3160
๐ฏ TP3: 3200+
โ SL: Below 3045 (below breakout structure)
5. Why This BUY Setup Is High Probability
โ Clean breakout of the descending channel
โ Strong momentum push (not a weak fake-out)
โ Beautiful defense at demand zone
โ Trendline tested 3 times โ valid breakout
โ Market structure shift from bearish โ bullish
6. Pro Tips
Donโt FOMO buy the breakout candle
Wait for a clean retest for better R:R
Focus on zone reaction + CHOCH + bullish momentum
Stay patient. The market always rewards disciplined traders.
Selena | ETHUSD 1H โ Bullish Continuation SetupCOINBASE:ETHUSD
The recent rejection from the upper trendline created short-term corrective movement. Liquidity sweeps below minor support hint at accumulation, and as long as price remains above the invalid zone at 2899, bullish momentum is favored. Holding demand could fuel another expansion toward the next resistance block.
Key Scenarios
โ
Bullish Case ๐
Hold above Demand Zone (โ 2990โ3020) โ
โ ๐ฏ Target 1: 3110
โ ๐ฏ Target 2: 3180
โ ๐ฏ Target 3: 3220 (Top Resistance)
โ Bearish Breakdown ๐
Break below 2899 invalidation zone
โ Potential retracement toward 2755 โ strong support zone
โ Deeper demand sits near 2621 if structure fully collapses.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance ๐ด: 3110 | 3180 | 3220
Support ๐ข: 3020 | 2899 | 2755
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: Educational analysis only. Not financial advice.






















