ETHUSD MAY FORM THE BEARISH WEDGE. THE PRICE IS GETTING READY TOETHUSD MAY FORM THE BEARISH WEDGE. THE PRICE IS GETTING READY TO DROP.
ETHUSD has been moving bullish since July 8. However since July 21 the price started to form the bearish wedge with bearish divergence on RSI on 4-h timeframe.
A bearish wedge is a bearish reversal pattern in an uptrend, where the price forms higher highs and higher lows within converging upward trendlines, signaling weakening bullish momentum and a potential downward reversal. To trade, identify the wedge with declining volume and confirm with RSI or divergence. Sell or short on a breakdown below the lower trendline with a volume spike. Set a stop-loss above the recent high or upper trendline. Target the wedge’s height projected downward from the breakdown or the next support level with a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
We expect that the price will establish another bullish momentum and the price will go towards upper border of the wedge, slightly below the 4,100.00 resistance level and will decline towards 3,500.00 support level afterwards.
ETHUSD trade ideas
ETHEREUM (ETHUSD): Strong Bullish SignalsI spotted 2 important price action confirmations on 📈ETHEREUM:
The price has surpassed a resistance line of a bullish flag and established a confirmed change of character (CHoCH) on the 4-hour chart.
I believe the market will maintain a bullish trend, with the next resistance at the 4000 level.
ETHUSD | Breakout Watch Above $3,040Ethereum has surged above the critical $2,530 resistance zone and is now challenging $3,040, a key structure level. A daily close above this could open the path toward $3,537 and even $4,056 in the mid-term.
Support at: 2,530 / 2,100 / 1,830 🔽
Resistance at: 3,537.93 / 4,056.40 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Holding above 2,530 confirms breakout structure; a clean break above 3,040 targets higher zones.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to stay above 3,040 may invite a retest of 2,530.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
$ETH to $6.45k USD - 2024's Crescendo CRYPTOCAP:ETH is showing strong signs of an impending breakout to the $6.4k–$8k range, backed by two key technical indicators:
Cup & Handle Formation: ETH has recently broken out of a textbook cup and handle pattern, confirming the breakout with a solid retest over this past week of VOL. This is a classic bullish signal pointing to higher targets.
Bull Pennant: Since the 2021 rally, ETH has been consolidating within a massive bull pennant. This long-term structure suggests Ethereum is coiled and ready for a significant move upward.
1.618 Fib: Also layering in a Fibonacci retrace, if ETH is indeed heading for ATHs and price discovery, the 1.618 FIB is a common level that traders are very familiar with. It just so happens to be right in the middle of our target box at ~$7k!
Momentum is building— we will need to keep an eye on volume and follow-through for confirmation.
To boot, bearish sentiment for ETH is near all time highs. I think it might be time for a most-hated rally. I have a short term allocation in AMEX:ETHT to ride this momentum, NFA DYOR
ETH: Buyers Show Their HandETH on the 4H
The Fed noise is gone, now it’s just pure market intent.
Price wicked below the 0.236 Fib, but buyers stepped in fast, showing strength at that level.
A small bullish divergence is forming on the RSI. If ETH holds above the Fib, that signal could gain momentum.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETHUSD: Bearish Divergence + Double TopHi everyone!
Ethereum – Double Top with Bearish Divergence
On the 4H chart, ETH is forming a clear double top while MACD prints a strong bearish divergence, signaling momentum loss.
📉 Neckline: $3,500 – this level acts as the key trigger.
🔻 Target: $3,000 – aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous demand zone.
A confirmed break below $3,500 would validate the pattern and open the way to a deeper correction into the $3,000 area. As long as price stays under the second top, the bearish setup remains active.
ETHUSD Long Setup: Targeting $4,000 After Bullish Reversal from ETH just swept the previous lows near $3,650–$3,700, clearing liquidity and flipping that zone into fresh support. This classic price action move often precedes expansion, and ETH looks primed for a continuation toward $4,000 in the coming sessions.
🧠 Technical Analysis
Previous Highs Swept: ETH took out the prior highs around $3,650–$3,700, trapping late shorts and grabbing liquidity.
Break of Structure: We've seen a clear bullish market structure form on the 4H and daily TFs, with higher highs and higher lows intact.
Support Zones:
$3,650–$3,700 (former resistance, now flipped support)
$3,550 (consolidation base before breakout)
Resistance Zones:
$3,950–$4,000 (psychological level + previous 2024 highs)
$4,100+ (weekly imbalance and potential extension zone)
Now that ETH has cleared short-term liquidity and confirmed demand on the retest, the path of least resistance appears to be up.
🔍 Fundamental Outlook
ETH ETF Narrative: Market anticipation for spot ETH ETF approval is heating up, boosting demand and institutional interest.
Reduced Sell Pressure: With the Shanghai upgrade long behind us, staking continues to increase, reducing circulating supply.
Macro Tailwinds: Risk-on sentiment in the broader market is aiding crypto momentum, especially for large-cap assets like ETH.
🎯 Target: $4,000
📉 Invalidated Below: $3,550 (if reclaimed by bears, invalidates bullish thesis)
3 Key Catalysts Driving the Next ETH Bull Run
A remarkable confluence of powerful market forces is brewing in the Ethereum ecosystem, fueling increasingly bold outlooks for its future valuation. A potent combination of historical price patterns, dramatic supply dynamics, soaring institutional interest, and resilient price action is painting a picture of a digital asset potentially on the verge of a historic expansion. While a target of $20,000 may seem audacious, a granular look at the underlying mechanics reveals a compelling, multi-faceted argument for a significant upward repricing of Ethereum (ETH).
This deep dive will explore the four key pillars supporting this optimistic outlook: a striking historical price pattern that mirrors Bitcoin’s monumental 2021 surge, a critical supply shock evidenced by a mass exodus of ETH from exchanges, record-breaking institutional engagement in the futures market, and a tenacious price strength holding firm at key technical levels.
Chapter 1: The Bitcoin Fractal: Is History Rhyming?
In financial markets, history rarely repeats itself exactly, but its patterns often rhyme. Market analysts are increasingly pointing to a "fractal"—a recurring geometric pattern in price action—that suggests Ethereum's current market structure is eerily echoing that of Bitcoin's in late 2020, just before its parabolic surge in 2021.
This analysis highlights that Ethereum's chart is displaying a nearly identical pattern of accumulation, re-accumulation, and price compression that Bitcoin exhibited before its own historic breakout. During that period, Bitcoin experienced a multi-fold increase in value, shattering previous records. The parallel suggests that, much like Bitcoin did, Ethereum has emerged from a prolonged consolidation phase and is now pressing against a long-term downtrend resistance line that has defined its market structure for several years.
Should this fractal play out as it did for Bitcoin, a decisive breakout above this critical resistance could trigger a rapid, exponential move upwards. The potential for such a climb is being fueled by a perfect storm of institutional adoption and favorable market shifts.
A critical catalyst underpinning this parallel is the recent launch and explosive growth of spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The 2021 Bitcoin bull run was significantly propelled by growing institutional legitimacy and new, regulated investment vehicles. Similarly, Ethereum ETFs are now providing a secure and accessible gateway for a fresh wave of institutional capital. These funds have already seen staggering net inflows, with major asset management firms accumulating billions in assets, signaling deep conviction from the titans of traditional finance. This institutional stamp of approval is a powerful parallel to the forces that drove Bitcoin's last major cycle, providing the foundational capital flows needed for a sustained rally.
Chapter 2: The Great Supply Squeeze: A Mass ETH Exodus from Exchanges
One of the most compelling bullish arguments for Ethereum is rooted in fundamental on-chain economics: a dramatic and accelerating supply squeeze. The "Exchange Reserve," a metric that tracks the total amount of ETH held in the wallets of centralized exchanges, has plummeted at an astonishing rate.
In a recent one-month period alone, well over one million ETH were withdrawn from these platforms. This mass exodus of coins is a profoundly bullish indicator. When investors move their assets off exchanges, it typically signals an intention to hold for the long term in self-custodial wallets, rather than keeping them liquid and ready for a quick sale. This behavior drastically reduces the immediately available supply on the open market. Consequently, even a steady level of demand can exert significant upward pressure on the price.
This trend has pushed the total supply of Ethereum on exchanges down to its lowest level in nearly a decade. The drivers behind these massive withdrawals are multifaceted and all point toward a tightening market:
• Long-Term Conviction and Staking: A growing number of investors are locking up their ETH in staking contracts to help secure the network and earn passive yield. Others are simply moving their holdings to secure "cold storage" with a long-term investment horizon, effectively taking them off the market for the foreseeable future.
• DeFi Integration: A significant and growing portion of ETH is used as the primary form of collateral within the sprawling Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem, where it is locked into smart contracts for lending, borrowing, and other financial applications.
• ETF Accumulation: The newly launched spot ETFs are required to purchase and hold real ETH to back their shares. This direct accumulation removes vast quantities of ETH from the circulating supply that would otherwise be available to retail and institutional buyers.
This fundamental imbalance between a shrinking available supply and growing demand is creating the perfect conditions for a potential "supply shock." The sustained decline in exchange reserves, even as prices have rallied, reinforces the idea that current holders are not rushing to take profits. This indicates a strong belief in future price appreciation and adds a powerful layer of underlying support to Ethereum's macro bullish structure.
Chapter 3: The Wall of Institutional Money: Futures and Open Interest Soar
The derivatives market, often seen as the playground for more sophisticated and institutional investors, is flashing its own set of glaringly bullish signals. Open Interest (OI) in Ethereum futures—representing the total value of all outstanding futures contracts that have not been settled—has surged to unprecedented levels.
On major regulated exchanges favored by institutional investors, Ethereum futures Open Interest has recently shattered all-time highs. This represents a massive and undeniable increase in institutional participation, as asset managers, hedge funds, and other large-scale players use these regulated products to gain exposure to ETH's potential upside and to manage their risk. This is not an isolated phenomenon; across the global landscape of exchanges, the total Open Interest for Ethereum futures has climbed to record-breaking heights.
Rising Open Interest that occurs in tandem with a rising price is a classic technical confirmation of a strong and healthy trend. It demonstrates that new money is actively flowing into the market, with participants expressing confidence in future price appreciation. This influx of capital adds significant fuel to the ongoing rally. The surge in derivatives activity highlights a maturation of the market, where both institutional and retail investors are increasingly using sophisticated financial instruments to speculate on Ethereum's price trajectory.
While the high levels of leverage inherent in futures trading can introduce volatility and the risk of cascading liquidations, the primary signal is one of immense and growing institutional conviction in Ethereum's medium-to-long-term outlook. The influx of capital into both spot ETFs and the futures market creates a powerful, self-reinforcing feedback loop, enhancing liquidity, legitimizing the asset class, and attracting even more conservative capital off the sidelines.
Chapter 4: The Immediate Battleground: Price Action Shows Resilient Strength
Zooming in from the macro-outlook to the short-term technical picture, Ethereum's price action has demonstrated notable resilience, reinforcing the broader bullish thesis. After a strong rally, the price has been consolidating its gains, establishing critical support zones that traders and algorithms are watching with keen interest.
Recent price action shows Ethereum starting a fresh increase above the $3,820 and $3,880 levels. The price is trading near the crucial $3,800 mark and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, an indicator that often acts as a dynamic line of support during uptrends. Although there was a brief break below a key bullish trend line that had formed with support at $3,800 on the hourly chart, the ability of the price to remain supported above the broader $3,720 zone is considered vital for a bullish continuation. Should the pair remain supported above this zone in the near term, it could start a fresh increase.
The price has recently faced resistance near the $3,900 and $3,920 levels. The psychological $4,000 barrier remains the next major target. A decisive and sustained break above the $4,000 mark could open the door for a rapid advance, as it would clear the last major resistance area before a potential retest of previous all-time highs.
Technical indicators on higher timeframes remain robust. The price is in a clear long-term uptrend, trading well above its key daily moving averages. While short-term indicators may show temporary overbought conditions or moments of waning momentum, the overall market structure remains decisively bullish as long as critical support levels continue to hold.
Conclusion: A Compelling Case for a New Era of Price Discovery
The prospect of Ethereum reaching a valuation of $20,000 is a monumental forecast, but it is one built on a solid and multi-faceted foundation. The convergence of a compelling historical fractal mirroring Bitcoin's most famous bull run, a verifiable and intensifying supply shock, unprecedented institutional adoption via both spot ETFs and futures markets, and a resilient technical posture creates a powerful case for a sustained bullish continuation.
Each pillar of this argument reinforces the others. Institutional inflows from ETFs directly contribute to the supply squeeze on exchanges. The resulting upward price pressure attracts more speculative interest in the futures market, and the resilient technical picture provides the stable base from which a larger market move can be launched. While no outcome in financial markets is ever guaranteed, and the risks of volatility and sharp corrections remain ever-present, the confluence of these potent factors suggests that Ethereum may not just be knocking on the door of its old all-time high, but preparing to smash through it and enter a new and explosive era of price discovery.
ETH (just a perspective): Potential Liquidity Grab Before DeeperPrice has engulfed the DP and is now pushing higher. Based on the current structure, it looks like ETH wants to hunt the liquidity resting above the $4,080 level.
After grabbing that liquidity, we might see a sharp reversal back down toward the MPL, which sits in the $2,100–$2,500 zone. This area is a strong demand zone and also where the most pain would be felt for late buyers, making it a key level to watch.
⚠️ This is not a prediction, just a perspective based on price behavior and structure.
ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market+ China Rumors 🚨 ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market + China Rumors 💥🌐
July just ended with a crypto bombshell 💣 — and the market is barely reacting.
Let’s break it down:
🧠 One part hard news.
🌀 One part geopolitical smoke.
🎯 All parts worth watching if you care about macro market shifts.
🏛️ SEC Approves Real BTC & ETH for ETF Flows (July 29)
Say goodbye to the cash-only ETF model.
The SEC now allows direct in-kind creation/redemption of Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETFs.
That means providers like BlackRock, Fidelity, VanEck can now use actual BTC/ETH, not just synthetic tracking.
✅ Bullish Impact:
💰 Real Spot Demand: ETF inflows = real crypto buying
🔄 Efficient Arbitrage: No middle step via cash = faster flows
🧱 TradFi + Crypto Merge: ETFs now settle with crypto — not just track it
🎯 Better Price Accuracy: Spot ETFs reflect true market value more cleanly
📉 The market reaction? Mild.
But don’t get it twisted — this is a structural reset, not a meme pump.
⚠️ But There’s a Bearish Angle:
🏦 Centralized Custody: Crypto now lives in Coinbase, Fireblocks vaults
⚠️ Network Risks: ETF performance now tied to ETH/BTC uptime
🧑⚖️ Regulatory Overreach: More hooks into validator networks, MEV relays
🌊 Volatility Risk: Panic redemptions = real BTC/ETH sold into open markets
Still, this is good news for Ethereum in particular.
Why? Because ETH isn’t just money — it’s infrastructure.
And now Wall Street is finally using it, not just watching it.
🇨🇳 And Then There’s China… Rumor or Tumor?
Crypto Twitter is swirling with unconfirmed whispers from July 29 that China may be prepping a major Bitcoin statement ahead of the BRICS summit.
But let’s be clear:
🚨 It’s a rumor. Or a tumor. 🧠
And like many tumors in crypto — there’s a 40% chance it brings bad news. 🤕
Still, here’s what’s being floated:
🧠 Speculations Include:
🔓 BTC re-legalization in “special finance zones” (HK-style)
🏦 BTC in national reserves (!)
🤖 CBDC integration or smart contract interoperability
⚒️ Return of official state-backed Bitcoin mining
🧯 But no official sources. Just geopolitics + timing.
China’s FUD/FOMO pattern is Bitcoin tradition — don’t get trapped by hopium.
But if even half of it is true... buckle up.
📈 Ethereum Leads the Charge — But Watch These Alts:
If ETFs go fully crypto-native, some sectors light up 🔥
🔹 1. Ethereum Layer 2s (ARB, OP, BASE)
→ ETF gas pressure = L2 scaling demand
🔹 2. DeFi Protocols (UNI, AAVE, LDO)
→ TradFi liquidity meets on-chain utility
🔹 3. ETH Staking Derivatives (LDO, RPL)
→ Institutions want yield = LSD narrative grows
🔹 4. Oracles (LINK)
→ ETFs need trusted on-chain data = Chainlink shines
🔹 5. BTC on ETH Bridges (ThorChain, tBTC)
→ If BTC flows into ETH-based ETFs, bridges light up
🚫 What I will Avoid:
❌ Memecoins – zero relevance to ETF flows
❌ GameFi – not part of TradFi’s roadmap
❌ Ghost Layer 1s – no users, no narrative, no pump
🧠 My Take:
ETH is building momentum toward $4,092 — the third breakout attempt on your 1-2-3 model.
🔥 The fuse is lit. Target? $6,036
Timing? Unknown. But structure is in place.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin Dominance is rising.
ETH is shining.
Solana — while powerful — continues paying the price for memecoin madness 💀
We’re entering a new phase — where ETFs settle with real crypto , China watches the stage, and macro money is warming up behind the curtain.
So stack smart.
Study the flows.
Don’t let silence fool you — the biggest moves come after the news fades.
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
The Unicorn Breakout – Regression, Madness & Meme Math🦄 The Unicorn Breakout – Regression, Madness & Meme Math
FX_Professor | July 14, 2025
🎨 Welcome to my world…
Some draw straight lines.
I draw quadratic regression channels, alien spirals, and unicorns.
Because sometimes, the market is not just math — it’s emotion, storytelling, and madness therapy.
This chart isn’t just analysis. It’s a prophecy. It’s a canvas.
It’s for the traders who still feel.
📈 What are we looking at?
🧠 The Setup:
- Quadratic Regression Channel: Anchored from the 2018 top, respected for over 7 years. ETH is bouncing off the midline like it heard destiny calling.
- Major Resistance: The $2,900–$3,100 zone is our historic ceiling. Marked as 1 – X – 2… and next, not maybe but SURELY the decisive number3? 🚨 (X stands for 'no touch' ie 'close but no cigar' - Look at my recent BTC 1-2-3 breakout posts!)
- My Golden Cross: Quietly forming support. Check that xx/Xxx Secret EMA crossover. Setup reserved as a little family secret destined to be passed on to my sons (and some of you!).
- Alien Spiral (not Fib 😉 ): A colorful vortex leading us toward areas of re-accumulation and expansion. ETH is now riding the 0.382 arc — and you know what that means...
🚀 Targets:
- $4,000 — First milestone and zone of psychological resistance
- $6,034 — Mid-regression line + historical extension
- $8,674 — Unicorn Target Zone. Meme ATH + Euphoric breakout + Regression logic
👽 The Floor:
$1,067 – $1,492 — Alien Support Range™. If we nuke, that’s where we land, in pain. That's when we apply for jobs at Taco Bell (at least i love the food there, i am prepared for that scenario too).
🦇✨ Ethereum Community — this might be your time.
Dear ETH fam...
This isn't hopium.
This is regression math meeting Breakout Structure.
ETH has reclaimed key levels, rotated capital is flowing, and Bitcoin dominance is peaking. . WAIT FOR MY ETHBTC ANALYSIS (ON SUPPORT AND REBOUNDING)
The Unicorn doesn't knock twice.
If Ethereum Season is real — this chart might age beautifully.
🤹 Why the chaos?
Because markets are art.
Because crypto is culture. (and yes it's also 90% shit, you will hear a lot about that when that time comes).
Because every emoji here has meaning:
🦄 = Imagination
👀 = Momentum watchers
👽 = Alternative thinking
🏈 = Painful resistances, mental and physical toughness builds champions. Patience Wins!
🥶 = Cold accumulation
🧑💻 = Professor mode
🐧❤️🔥🐤🦩 = Read below…
🧊 The Penguin Message
Bottom right, you’ll see a penguin family :
A penguin, a flamingo, a baby chick, and a blue heart.
That’s not just decoration — it’s the real alpha.
💙 The best blockchain is YOU.
👶 The best altcoins are your CHILDREN.
🧊 The best staking is your FAMILY.
Trade smart. Build cool stuff. But don’t forget to be a good human.
The charts will wait. But your people won’t.
Spend time wisely: Learn skills, invest in YOURSELF, enjoy moments with loved ones, make others smile, be that change in the world.... and if you don't have kids then what on earth are you doing?? Go get laid, now! You are ready, stop thinking, just Do It (disclaimer: unless you have 5 already, in that case pls invest in condoms)
Share this with someone who needs to see this. Or just save it as 'ETH season'.
FX Professor — out.
🦄📈👁️
#ETH #Ethereum #UnicornBreakout #CryptoArt #QuadraticRegression #Altseason #TradingView #ChartTherapy #BeAGoodHuman
#ETH/USDT SETUP ,Bought From $4003#ETH
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on track to break it strongly upwards and retest it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the ascending channel, at 3700.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 3711, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 3811.
First target: 3867.
Second target: 3936.
Third target: 4003.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach your first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#ETH/USDT SETUP ,Bought From $3696#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the descending channel at 3640.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 3600, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the Moving Average 100.
Entry price: 3696.
First target: 3764.
Second target: 3826.
Third target: 3904.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach your first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
ETH Potential Swing ReversalAfter a strong leg higher, Ethereum is flashing a confluence of short-term reversal signals:
1. RSI trendline break on the daily, with bearish divergence building
2. %B Bollinger Band divergence, following three consecutive upper band taps during this move
3. Demark 9
4. Formation of a Doji candle at resistance, showing indecision near a key level
A clean break here opens room towards Ichimoku cloud support at $3,215.
🧠 Thoughts welcome!