EURAUD - Nice short opportunity (big risk to reward)Don't normally trade these crosses but ever so often they present themselves with bigger structure opportunities that make it worth to take the trade. Oh boy you will need a lot of patience if you are going to trade this!
Anyways, the levels are on the chart. We just took this too. If it goes to target it's gonna take ages...
EURAUD trade ideas
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EURAUD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURAUD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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EURAUD – Rejection From Resistance: Bearish Momentum BuildingThe recent rally on EURAUD has met strong rejection near the 1.7980–1.8000 supply zone, signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. With price forming a clear lower high and pushing away from the upper range, traders may be eyeing short setups targeting deeper fib retracements. Here's how the fundamentals align with the technical picture:
🔻 Bias: Bearish
🔑 Key Fundamentals
Eurozone: While the German Ifo business sentiment has improved, hard data (like industrial output) remains weak. ECB speakers such as Panetta and Knot continue to lean dovish, signaling no urgency for further tightening.
Australia: The AUD is finding strength from a risk-on global environment, falling oil prices (positive for AUD importers), and stability in China-sensitive commodities. The RBA remains relatively hawkish versus the ECB.
Yield Spread: Euro-Australia rate differentials are narrowing, reducing EUR’s relative appeal.
⚠️ Risks to Bias
Unexpected Hawkish ECB Commentary
Risk-Off Event (e.g., equity sell-off or new geopolitical tensions) that could weaken AUD
China PMI Miss dragging AUD if demand outlook sours
📅 News/Events to Watch
June 28: U.S. Core PCE (Fed impact → EURUSD spillover)
June 30: China PMIs (key for AUD demand outlook)
Ongoing: ECB member speeches, Eurozone CPI prelims
🔄 Potential Leader
AUD Crosses (e.g., AUDJPY, AUDUSD) may lead broader moves if China PMI surprises or if commodities rebound further.
This technical rejection from the key resistance zone aligns with the macro shift favoring AUD strength over EUR. As long as price stays below the 1.7980–1.8000 zone, EURAUD may slide toward 1.7730, 1.7595, and even 1.7460 in extension.
🔔 Trade idea: Watch for bearish confirmation on the H4 close below 1.7830 to validate momentum continuation.
EURAUD → Breakout and consolidation above key supportOANDA:EURAUD is trying to consolidate above the key support zone of 1.76 - 1.77. Within the uptrend, bulls have a fairly good chance.
The market continues to break of structure, confirming the bullish sentiment on the chart. A correction is forming from 1.7882. Before rising, the price may test support. The currency pair is supported by its own bullish trend and the falling dollar (especially against the backdrop of economic problems with the USD (DXY)).
Technically, the currency pair looks quite positive. After the formation of another ‘bos’, we are seeing a correction to the Fibonacci zone of 0.7 and support at 1.7696. If, during the retest, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the key support level, growth may continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 1.7696, 1.7629, 1.7463
Resistance levels: 1.7882, 1.7988
Locally, a reversal pattern is forming relative to the specified zone (as part of a correction). We need to wait for confirmation (price consolidation above the level). The potential within the bullish trend is quite large, and in the medium and long term, the price may test 1.85.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Potential Bearish Reversal from Rising Wedge BreakdownThe EUR/AUD 2-hour chart illustrates a rising wedge pattern that has recently broken to the downside, suggesting bearish momentum. After a failed retest near the 1.79264 resistance (also marked as stop-loss), the price appears to be rejecting lower highs. The black arrow indicates a projected bearish move toward the lower wedge trendline, around the 1.77500 region. This setup supports a short bias unless the price breaks above the red resistance line.
EURAUD: Aussie Strength Supported by Peace in the Middle EastEURAUD: Aussie Strength Supported by Peace in the Middle East
EURAUD confirmed a small double top pattern, and news of a ceasefire in the Middle East between Israel and Iran gave the Aussie a boost.
All the candles have been read so far, showing that the AUD has come back stronger.
Given that it has been overbought for a long time, it's expected that a small pause will occur before EURAUD can fall further.
The first target I am looking at is near 1.7740 and 1.7650.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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AoO Series No.2 - follow upThe development on the 4H time frame suggests that price would like to retrace to the D FVA before continuing higher. However, we do not want to get involved in shorts yet. We just observe the retracement.
A good reaction from the FVA could give us a nice entry to continue higher.
EURAUD to continue in the sequence of higher lows?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7840.
We look to Buy at 1.7840 (stop at 1.7805)
Our profit targets will be 1.7980 and 1.8000
Resistance: 1.7920 / 1.7990 / 1.8020
Support: 1.7800 / 1.7750 / 1.7710
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EurAud Trade IdeaEA has been bullish on all time frames. With the daily level pulling back and giving us a clean structure flip on the smaller time frames price could be expecting to remain bullish and possibly tap back into the daily high. At this point all time frames are in sync. I'll be targeting a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see what happens.
EURAUD corrective pullback support at 1.7740Trend Overview:
The EURAUD currency pair maintains a bullish outlook, supported by an established rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a corrective pullback, potentially offering a buying opportunity within the broader uptrend.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support (Key Level):
1.7740 – former consolidation zone and a pivotal support level
Below that: 1.7700, then 1.7640 as deeper pullback zones
Resistance:
Initial upside target: 1.7950
Further resistance at 1.7990 and 1.8040
Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:A rebound from 1.7740 would affirm ongoing bullish sentiment
Expected to push price toward 1.7950, followed by 1.7990 and 1.8040 in the medium term
Bearish Reversal:
A daily close below 1.7740 would weaken the bullish case
Opens the door for a broader correction targeting 1.7700, then 1.7640
Conclusion:
EURAUD remains bullish within a rising trend, with 1.7740 acting as the key level for near-term direction. A successful defense of this support may trigger a renewed rally. Conversely, a break and close below it could lead to further downside pressure. Traders should monitor price action closely around this zone for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURAUD Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.781.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.759 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EUR_AUD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅EUR_AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
About to retest the broken
Key level of 1.7850 which is
Now a support so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
LONG🚀
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EURAUD H4 SWING LONG SETUP: 7-11 JULY 2025TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The pair has finally broke out of the range to the upside, a strong sign of the bullish trend continuation. As we can see price closed @ 1.7973 resistance and also forming a higher high. To go long wait for price to get to support at the buy zone and a print of a higher low.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
The trend meter indicates that the market is bullish on this pair with a bullish score of 7. The COT data shows institutional taders are long Euro and short AUD by 80.47%. Retail sentiment however shows retail traders are short this pair. Euro has been bullish for a while and it looks like it could continue in the week ahead.
EUR/AUD 1H – Decision Point Ahead Breakout or Fakeout? Eyes on Confirmation Zone 👁️
EUR/AUD has finally tapped into a critical resistance at 1.79900, a level previously rejected with high volatility. The current price action is testing this ceiling, with signs of strength — but smart money waits for confirmation.
What We’re Seeing:
🔹 Uptrend Intact: All EMAs are aligned in bullish order.
🔹 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed below — a potential area of demand.
🔹 Price now hovering inside the Confirmation Zone — marked by previous highs and psychological resistance.
🔹 Volume building gradually — but breakout volume not confirmed yet.
⚖️ Summary:
Trend: Upward
Structure: Breakout under test
Momentum: Bullish
Market Phase: Confirmation / decision point
Key Behavior: Watch for commitment or rejection without predicting it
EURAUDBullish Continuation from a Bull Flag Pattern + Break of Structure
Bull Flag Pattern Formed
After a strong impulsive bullish move, the price forms a consolidation channel (flag), sloping slightly downward.
This is a classic bull flag pattern, indicating bullish continuation.
Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed
The price broke above the flag, showing a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside.
This confirms a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Fibonacci Confluence
Price retraced to the 61.8–78.6% Fibonacci zone (golden zone), which often acts as a strong reversal area in trending markets.
This gives a good risk-to-reward (R:R) opportunity.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Market Structure)
The market is forming HHs (Higher Highs) and HLs (Higher Lows) – typical of a healthy uptrend.
Demand Zones Below
Several demand zones (blue boxes) support price if it retraces.
The strong low marked adds structure-based support beneath the trade entry.
Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Setup
You’ve set a tight stop loss below structure and a larger take profit aiming at the -61.8% and 100% Fib extensions – a favorable R:R ratio
EURAUD FORMING INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNEURAUD FORMING INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN AFTER A DOWNTREND.
EURAUD was forming bearish trend structure in last few sessions.
A breakout can be shown to the bearish trend structure.
An Inverted Head and Shoulder given a breakout on higher side.
Market is showing buyers strength by forming bullish candles.
Market is expected to rise in upcoming sessions.
Price may rise to the levels of 1.7860 and further in upcoming sessions.
On lower side price may test the resistance level of 1.7460.
EURAUD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 **EUR/AUD TRADE PLAN 🔥**
📅 **Date:** 30 June 2025
---
📋 **Trade Plan Overview**
| Parameter | Details |
| ---------- | -------------------- |
| Type | Swing / Intra-Day |
| Direction | Conditional Buy Plan |
| Status | Pending Confirmation |
| R\:R | 3.0 : 1 |
| Confidence | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%) |
---
📈 **Market Bias & Trade Type**
Bias: **Bullish continuation**
Trade Type: **Conditional breakout/retest continuation**
EUR/AUD is consolidating near local highs after a sustained uptrend on the D1 and H4. The price action shows a potential for bullish continuation if the 1.7950 zone is broken and confirmed.
---
🔰 **Confidence Level**
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
* D1 + H4 bullish structure: +40%
* H1 compression breakout potential: +20%
* No macro contradiction / AUD weak: +15%
* Sentiment +6: +10%
---
📌 **Status**
**Pending confirmation** — Conditional plan, no risk live until trigger + confirm.
---
📍 **Entry Zones**
🟩 **Primary Buy Zone:** Buy Stop at **1.7952** (+2 pip buffer above high)
🟧 **Secondary (if breakout-retest scenario forms):** Limit at **1.7920–1.7930** (H1 OB + retest zone)
---
❗ **Stop Loss**
SL: **1.7890** (below H1 structure low inside consolidation, 1x ATR buffer)
---
🎯 **Take Profit Targets**
🥇 TP1: **1.8000** (local psychological level)
🥈 TP2: **1.8050** (H4 liquidity pool)
🥉 TP3: **1.8120** (extension / swing high target)
---
📏 **Risk\:Reward**
TP1: 1.5:1
TP2: 3.0:1
TP3: 4.5:1
---
🧠 **Management Strategy**
* Risk 0.5% if stop-order triggers
* SL to breakeven after TP1 hit
* 50% off at TP1, 30% at TP2, trail 20% to TP3
* Cancel limit plan if stop-order triggers clean breakout
* Full exit on H1 BOS bearish against
---
⚠️ **Confirmation Checklist**
✅ M30/H1 bullish body close above 1.7950
✅ Volume surge at break
✅ London/NY session break only
✅ No fakeout wick rejection
---
⏳ **Validity**
H1 stop plan: 12-18 hours
H4 retest limit plan: 48 hours
---
❌ **Invalidation Conditions**
* Close below 1.7890 on H1
* Clean HTF BOS bearish
* Re-entry into deeper consolidation below 1.7900
---
🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot**
* Sentiment: +6 (EUR holding strength, AUD macro weak)
* DXY steady, no major red news today
* Cross-market: XAU/USD neutral, no risk-off spikes
* No AUD macro tailwind visible
---
📋 **Final Trade Summary**
Conditional buy breakout at 1.7952 pending confirmation. Stop 1.7890, TPs 1.8000 / 1.8050 / 1.8120. Only active on clean session break + volume. Risk tightly managed with no pre-risk until confirm.
EURAUD CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEUR/AUD Continues Bullish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor.
The EUR/AUD pair is sustaining its bullish trend structure, reinforced by a bullish engulfing candle following a secondary correction. This price action signals strong buying interest and suggests the uptrend is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential breakout opportunities toward higher targets while keeping an eye on key support levels for risk management.
Bullish Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing Candle.
The appearance of a bullish engulfing candle after a pullback indicates a resurgence of buyer dominance. This pattern typically marks the end of a temporary decline and the resumption of the primary uptrend. With momentum favoring the bulls, the pair is expected to push higher unless a clear reversal signal emerges.
Upside Target: 1.82700 in Focus.
If the bullish momentum holds, EUR/AUD could advance toward the immediate resistance at 1.82700. A decisive break above this level may open the door for further gains, with traders looking for continuation patterns to confirm strength.
Key Support: 1.76300 as Critical Floor.
On the downside, 1.76300 serves as a crucial support level. Any retracement toward this zone could attract fresh buying interest, maintaining the bullish bias. A sustained drop below this level would be needed to invalidate the current uptrend and signal a potential reversal.
Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact.
Given the recent price action, EUR/AUD remains poised for further upside. Traders should monitor economic developments, including Eurozone and Australian economic data, for additional directional cues.
Conclusion-
EUR/AUD’s bullish trend remains strong, with 1.82700 as the next key target and 1.76300 acting as major support. Unless a bearish reversal pattern forms, buying on dips near support levels may present favorable opportunities. Always use proper risk management to navigate potential volatility.