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EURJPY trade ideas

Lingrid | EURJPY Potential Breakout and Price SurgeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURJPY is consolidating just beneath resistance after rebounding strongly from the support zone. Price is moving inside an upward channel, while repeatedly testing the downward trendline from above, hinting at a potential breakout. A confirmed move above resistance could trigger bullish continuation toward 173.50. Broader momentum remains constructive as higher lows align with the channel’s bullish structure. 📉 Key Levels: Buy trigger: Break and close above 172.90–173.00 zone. Buy zone: 172.10–172.40 retest area near the upward channel support. Target: 173.50 resistance area. Invalidation: Break below 171.80 support would negate the bullish outlook. 💡 Risks: Failure to break the downward trendline could trigger another rejection lower. Yen strength from macro data or risk-off flows could cap upside momentum. Overextension near resistance could lead to a false breakout trap. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
5
Lingrid | EURJPY Possible Correction From Key Resistance ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURJPY is rejecting the upper resistance zone after forming a higher high near 173.000. Price structure shows an upward channel with multiple touchpoints and an A-B-C corrective movement. A breakdown toward 171.910 is likely as long as price remains under 173.200. Overall momentum suggests a short-term retracement within the broader trend. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: Break below 172.700 Sell zone: 172.950 – 173.200 Target: 171.910 Invalidation: 173.300 💡 Risks Failure to sustain breakdown could trigger a squeeze toward 173.400. Broader uptrend may overpower short-term bearish setup. Unexpected macro news could reverse sentiment rapidly. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
13
EUR/JPY – Lower High in the Making?As explained in my JPY Index analysis , alongside GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY is another strong candidate for a meaningful drop. From the chart: after reaching a high near 174 — close to the 2024 ATH — the pair had its first leg down. When price dipped to the 170 psychological level, bulls stepped in, attempting a push to new highs. However, at 173, it was the bears’ turn. The pair reversed again, potentially forming a lower high. I believe we are in the early stage of a stronger drop, and in my view, rallies around 172 should be sold. The downside target is around 166.50, with this scenario negated on a break above the recent high. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
6
EURJPY – Bearish Reversal Looming from Key Resistance ZoneAfter a strong recovery rally, EURJPY has once again hit the 172.30 resistance zone a level that has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for price action. This latest retest comes with signs of momentum fading, and I’m eyeing a potential reversal that could send the pair back toward key support zones. With broader yen strength creeping in on safe-haven flows and the euro’s upside capped by a cautious ECB, this setup is looking primed for sellers to step in. Current Bias Bearish – The pair is struggling to break and hold above the 172.30 resistance zone. Price action is showing rejection wicks on the H4 chart, indicating potential distribution before a move lower. Key Fundamental Drivers Euro Side: The ECB remains cautious on further tightening, with growth concerns in the eurozone limiting the upside for EUR. Recent industrial production softness and muted inflation expectations cap bullish momentum. Yen Side: The BoJ’s shift toward a slightly less accommodative stance, combined with safe-haven demand amid global trade tensions and Trump’s tariff rhetoric, supports JPY strength. Risk Sentiment: Ongoing uncertainty around global growth and trade flows benefits JPY as a defensive asset, putting downside pressure on EURJPY. Primary Risk to the Trend A surprise hawkish tilt from the ECB or strong eurozone economic data could fuel renewed buying pressure, forcing a breakout above 172.98. A sudden drop in risk-off sentiment or a rebound in global equities could weaken JPY demand and negate the bearish bias. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Eurozone GDP and Industrial Production data – Any significant beat could temporarily lift EUR. Japan CPI and BoJ commentary – Inflation beats or hawkish language could accelerate JPY gains. Geopolitical headlines – Trade tensions between the US and China remain a key driver for yen demand. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURJPY is acting as a lagger in the current yen move, with USDJPY leading the direction for JPY crosses. Any decisive move in USDJPY—especially a break lower—would likely spill over into EURJPY. The pair also tends to mirror risk sentiment shifts seen in equity indices like US500, making global sentiment a secondary driver. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints I’m maintaining a bearish bias on EURJPY as long as price stays below the 172.30 resistance zone. My stop-loss is placed just above the 172.98 swing high to protect against a bullish breakout. First targets sit at 171.43, then 170.65, with an extended downside target near 169.73 if momentum builds. A clean break below 170.65 would open the path for deeper declines, while any sustained break above 172.98 would invalidate this setup. In short, I’m watching for rejection confirmation from resistance and will be tracking USDJPY closely as the leader for yen sentiment.
Short
by ultreosforex
3
EURJPY Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 171.15 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 172.11 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
EURJPY Faces Repeated Rejection at Key ResistanceEURJPY Faces Repeated Rejection at Key Resistance EURJPY has faced multiple rejections near the 172.30 structure zone, signaling strong resistance at that level. If price continues to hold below 172.30, the likelihood of a deeper decline increases, as suggested by the current chart setup. It’s also possible that EURJPY may retest the 172.00 zone before extending its drop toward the next support levels at 171.30, 170.90, and 170.00. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Short
by KlejdiCuni
11
EUR/JPY Setup: Thief Trader's Stealth Bull Run to 173.000🔥💶 EUR/JPY Bullish Heist Plan 💶🔥 🧠 New Plan Unlocked – The EUR/JPY Bullish Mission is LIVE! Thief Trader style means: No noise, no fluff — just pure sniper precision with layered limit orders. 🧤🔫 This isn’t trading… it’s a planned market robbery 💼💣 🧩 Asset: EUR/JPY 📊 Strategy: Bullish Bias with Stealth Layered Entries (Limit Order Gameplan) 🎯 Target: 173.000 — That’s the vault we’re cracking! 🛑 Stop Loss: 169.100 — Tight security, keep your escape route clean. 📍 Entry: No fixed door — we’re setting traps (limit orders) across key levels. Patience pays thieves. Watch for pullbacks on lower timeframes: 15m, 30m, or even 1H — strike near support bounces & fakeout wicks. 🐍💥 🔍 Thief Logic: This ain’t random — price is setting up for a high-stakes move north with JPY weakness fueling the getaway car. Think smart, layer deep — sniper entries, not shotgun chaos. 🎯🔍 📌 Notes from the Safe House: Trade with position sizing discipline – the market doesn’t owe you. News events are motion sensors — avoid them or stay light! 🕵️‍♂️📉 Use trailing SLs once in profit — secure the bag and vanish. 💼💨 💣 Ready to steal pips, not hope? Hit that 👍, drop a 💬, and join the crew. This is Thief Trading — we don’t follow markets, we outsmart them. 🧠💵 Stay sharp, stay silent… profit loud. 🐱‍👤📈💸 🔥 Tap Boost. Support the Heist. Run the Charts. #ThiefTrader 🧤💰
Long
by The-Thief
4
EURJPY Testing Supply Zone Can Bears Regain Control?EURJPY has climbed back into a key resistance area near 172.40–172.50, a zone that previously triggered sharp selling pressure. Price action suggests exhaustion at these highs, with a possible rotation back toward support if sellers defend this zone again. Given the yen’s safe-haven role and the euro’s sensitivity to ECB policy shifts, this setup is primed for a potential reversal play. Current Bias Bearish – The pair is showing rejection signs at resistance, favoring downside toward lower support levels. Key Fundamental Drivers ECB Outlook: The ECB is cautious, with slowing eurozone growth limiting room for further tightening, reducing euro strength. BOJ Policy & Yen Flows: Yen remains supported by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ gradually tightening, even if modestly. Risk Sentiment: Global equity volatility and tariff/geopolitical risks support yen buying when risk-off flows emerge. Macro Context Interest Rates: ECB is holding policy steady but leans dovish relative to other central banks. Japan remains ultra-loose, but any hint of normalization sparks yen strength. Economic Growth: Eurozone growth is fragile, with Germany’s industrial sector under pressure. Japan’s economy is steady, though export-driven, making it vulnerable to global demand. Geopolitics: Trade tariffs, US-China tensions, and Middle East risks all lean supportive for the yen as a safe haven. Primary Risk to the Trend A hawkish ECB surprise or strong eurozone inflation rebound could shift bias back to the upside, invalidating the bearish setup. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event ECB Minutes & Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate BOJ Commentary on Yield Curve Control (YCC) Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURJPY tends to act as a lagger, following flows in broader yen crosses like USDJPY (as a leader) and EURUSD (for euro sentiment). Movements in EURJPY often confirm rather than lead directional bias in FX markets. Key Levels Support Levels: 171.42, 170.99, 170.65, 170.08, 169.73 Resistance Levels: 172.47, 173.31 Stop Loss (SL): 173.31 (above resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): TP1: 171.42 TP2: 170.65 TP3: 170.08 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Bias on EURJPY is bearish, with sellers looking to defend the 172.40–172.50 resistance area. A stop loss is best placed above 173.31, while downside targets stretch toward 171.42 → 170.65 → 170.08. Fundamentally, the euro faces growth headwinds while the yen benefits from safe-haven demand, though BOJ policy risks remain in play. The most important watchpoint is ECB and Eurozone CPI data, which could either reinforce the bearish case or shift sentiment sharply. For now, EURJPY looks vulnerable to a deeper correction, with price action aligned to favor sellers.
Short
by ultreosforex
EURJPY: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab 🇪🇺🇯🇵 It looks like we have a huge bearish trap after a test of a solid rising trend line on a daily. I see multiple strong bullish confirmations on an hourly: a bullish imbalance candle and a bullish change of character. I think that the price may rise to 172.0 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
EUR/JPY Climbing the Fibonacci SequenceEUR/JPY continues to recover from the sell-off that was followed by a test and hold of the 170.00 level. So far, there's been very clean structure built along the Fibonacci retracement produced from that prior sell-off. Most recently it was the 78.6% retracement holding the highs and the 61.8% marker back in as support, after it had previously held as resistance. Next support down plots at the 50% marker and this is what I'm looking at for invalidation of trend, and if that remains respected, the door is open for another run at the highs just inside of the 174.00 handle. - js
by FOREXcom