EURJPY → Retest support before growthFX:EURJPY has been correcting since the opening of the European session. The movement was triggered by yesterday's news related to the trade deal between the US and Europe...
EURJPY is reacting to news related to the deal between the US and Europe. A correction is forming amid the fall of the euro, but against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, the currency pair has a chance to rise if the bulls keep the price in the buying zone relative to the support level of 173.08.
The dollar is rising, and against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is falling. Bulls have every chance of holding their ground above the previously broken resistance. If the market confirms support, we will have chances for growth.
Resistance levels: 173.87
Support levels: 173.082, 172.47
The currency pair may form a liquidity trap relative to the previously broken consolidation resistance. A false breakdown of support and price consolidation in the buying zone (above 173.1) could trigger further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURJPY trade ideas
EUR-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A breakout, a retest and
A bullish rebound from the
Horizontal support of 173.200
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
On Monday!
Buy!
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EURJPY: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab📈EURJPY created a bearish high-range candle beneath a crucial support level in a horizontal trading range on the 4-hour chart.
However, a subsequent recovery and a bullish opening in the Asian session indicate a strong likelihood of an upward movement today, targeting 173.00.
EURJPY BUYJust an idea for short term target with SL and TP.
Timeframe: H1
Price: 173.049
SL: 172.509
TP: 174.669
SL will move to breakeven at 1:1
Close 50% at 1:2
Remaining will run till 1:3
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
BUY LIMIT EURJPYi expect EURJPY to fall basing on ongoing bearish channel it forms , with respect to this move wednesday liquidity left overs has to swaped with efficiency fill of FVG , where we will activate our entries at 50 % FBnaccic retracement level in our POI
GOODLUCK
always use proper risk management , never riskmore than what u can afford to loose ....
Trading the Pullback on EURJPY My Trade PlanThe EURJPY is clearly in a strong bullish trend 📈, as shown by a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the 1H timeframe ⏱️. In this video, I’m looking to capitalize on a pullback as a potential buy opportunity 🎯.
We dive into my entry strategy, explore how to align with the prevailing trend, and break down key concepts such as price action, market structure, and smart pullback zones 🧠📊.
⚠️ As always, this is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
EURJPY - Potential Topping ActionTaking a look at the daily timeframe, price action is now trading below the 10 SMA. This pair has not traded below the 10 SMA since May 26. Now I'm just waiting for a few more confirmation before I'm fully confident. For now, adding a few small sells won't hurt.
Trade Safe - Trade Well
EURJPY: Correction is Over?!It seems like 📈EURJPY has finished consolidating within a broad horizontal channel on the 4H chart.
The formation of a new higher high today suggests potential upward movement.
Since it's Friday, I recommend considering trend-following buys starting Monday.
We should wait for the market to close above the highlighted resistance to establish a Higher Close on the daily chart.
Look to buy after a pullback, targeting 174.00 as the initial goal.
EUR/JPY Bearish Engulf as EUR/USD Sells Off Ahead of the FedA good illustration of FX market structure is on display today. EUR/USD is down sizably after teh announcement of the EU trade deal and this may be a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' kind of event. But, there's also the possibility that this is squaring up ahead of a really big week of drivers with FOMC, Core PCE and NFP all scheduled for later this week. But, there's also the sentiment argument, where a strong bullish move has taken hold of the Euro in the first half of the year as EUR/USD has jumped to fresh three-year highs.
And while USD/JPY is rallying up to the 148.00 level, displaying Yen-weakness, EUR/JPY is down on the daily with a show of JPY-strength. This highlights that the move in EUR/USD is likely driving that sell-off in EUR/JPY as EUR/JPY is currently working on a bearish engulfing candlestick on the daily. And this happens after last week showed overbought RSI on both the daily and weekly charts, with daily RSI diverging from price as EUR/JPY set a fresh yearly high shortly after the open this morning.
This shows that EUR/JPY is very much in-play this week with those US drivers, and there's also the Bank of Japan rate decision to consider. In EUR/JPY, there's possible support tests coming up, around the 170.47 and 170.93 Fibonacci levels, followed by the 170.00 big figure. - js
EUR/JPY: The Yen Begins to Gain GroundOver the past three trading sessions, the EUR/JPY pair has declined by up to 0.8%, as the yen has steadily gained strength, preventing the euro from maintaining its momentum in the short term. Selling pressure has held firm, especially after news that Japan finalized a new trade agreement with the United States, which lowered the initially proposed 25% tariff to 15%. This development has been perceived as a positive outcome for Japan and has supported strong demand for the yen in the latest trading session.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Despite the yen’s recent strength, it is important to note that the EUR/JPY pair remains in a well-defined uptrend, with sustained bullish momentum continuing to dominate the long-term outlook. Although some short-term selling corrections have emerged, they remain insufficient to break the current bullish structure. For now, the uptrend remains the most relevant technical formation in the chart and should continue to be monitored unless selling pressure becomes significantly stronger.
RSI
The RSI indicator has started to show lower highs, while price action continues to register higher highs. This event suggests the potential formation of a bearish divergence, which may indicate that the current selling correction could gain more traction in the coming sessions.
MACD
The MACD histogram remains close to the neutral zero line, indicating that no clear direction has formed in short-term moving average momentum. If this neutral setting continues, the chart could enter a more defined consolidation phase in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
172.896 – Resistance Level: This level corresponds to the recent high, and any buying momentum strong enough to break it could confirm a bullish continuation, supporting the long-standing uptrend currently in place.
170.231 – Nearby Support: This level aligns with a short-term neutral zone and may act as a temporary barrier, limiting any bearish corrections that may arise in the sessions ahead.
166.930 – Key Support: This is a critical level not seen since June of this year. If bearish pressure intensifies and the price falls to this point, it could seriously jeopardize the bullish structure that has been holding so far.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
SELL EURJPY for bullish trend reversal SELL EURJPY for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 172.80
Trade trade is based on false breakout and divergence.....
First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through....
Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence.
On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bearish divergence
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
EUR/JPY Again Below My Res , Short Setup Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is my opinion on EUR/JPY On 2H T.F , We have a fake breakout and Gap and the price back again below my res area and closed with 4H Candle below it , so i have a confirmation and i`m waiting the price to go back to retest this strong res and give me any bearish price action and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting 100 : 150 pips . if we have a daily closure above my res then this analysis will not be valid anymore .
Bullish bounce?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 171.05
1st Support: 169.69
1st Resistance: 173.27
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EURJPYBank of Japan (BOJ) — July 28, 2025: Latest Overview
Policy Rate and Recent Moves
Short-term policy rate: Remains at 0.5%, the highest since 2008.
Decision timing: This rate was set in January 2025 (up from 0.25%) and has been maintained
Policy Outlook and Economic Backdrop
Inflation: Tokyo's core CPI is running above the BOJ’s 2% target (2.9% YoY in July), primarily due to external price pressures like energy and currency movements, not strong domestic demand.
Growth trends: The BOJ has trimmed its growth outlook, noting headwinds from higher U.S. tariffs and yen weakness, but still expects a moderate recovery if global trade remains stable.
Bond Purchases: The BOJ is scaling back its massive holdings of Japanese government bonds—targeting a 400 billion yen quarterly reduction through March 2026, then lowering to 200 billion yen in subsequent quarters.
Potential rate path: Market consensus and BOJ commentary indicate a possible hike to at least 0.75% by year-end 2025 if above-target inflation persists and downside global risks do not intensify.
Key Drivers and Central Bank Signals
U.S.-Japan trade: The new trade pact has reduced some uncertainties, supporting the possibility of policy tightening if inflation and yen trends remain stable.
Inflation’s nature: The BOJ stresses that any additional rate hikes will depend on seeing sustained, demand-driven price increases and wages, rather than just external cost pressures.
Governor Ueda’s message: The BOJ is maintaining a cautious, data-dependent approach, prioritizing stability and careful evaluation of global and domestic risk factors.
Quick Fact Table
Indicator Latest (July 2025) BOJ’s Signal
Policy Rate 0.5% Steady for now; another hike possible in 2025
Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) 2.9% Sustainable above-target inflation
Next Meeting July 30–31 Hawkish bias; likely no immediate change
Bonds (JGB reduction) -400B yen/Q Gradual unwinding through March 2026
Rate Outlook Stable, with upside Hike to 0.75% possible by year-end if justified
Summary:
The BOJ remains in a cautious, data-driven policy stance at 0.5% as of late July 2025, with inflation still above target and moderate growth. The central bank is slowly reducing bond purchases and may raise rates again by year-end if the current economic trends persist, but no change is expected at the imminent July meeting.
European Central Bank (ECB) — July 2025: Latest Policy and Economic Update
Key Interest Rates and Current Stance
Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00%
Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) Rate: 2.15%
Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40%
These rates were set after a 25 basis point cut in early June 2025 and have now been held steady as of the ECB’s July 24, 2025 meeting.
Monetary Policy Context
Policy Pause: The ECB ended a year-long easing cycle which saw rates cut from 4% to 2%. The current pause reflects the ECB’s “wait-and-see” approach as inflation has now stabilized at its 2% target and global trade tensions—especially over U.S. tariffs—add significant uncertainty.
No Commitments: The Governing Council is explicitly not pre-committing to any future rate path, emphasizing a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting stance.
Asset Purchases: The ECB’s asset purchase programme (APP) and the pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) portfolios are being reduced gradually, with no reinvestment of maturing securities.
Inflation and Economic Outlook
Inflation: Now at 2% (its target). The ECB expects it to remain near target for the period ahead. Wage growth continues but is slowing, and underlying price pressures are easing.
Ecoomic Growth: The eurozone economy grew more strongly than expected in early 2025, but trade uncertainty and a stronger euro are holding back business investment and exports. Higher government spending, especially on defense and infrastructure, is expected to support growth over the medium term.
Loans and Credit: Borrowing costs are at their lowest since late 2022. Households are benefiting from strong labor markets and growing wages, but banks are cautious in their lending due to uncertainty and global trade tensions.
Risks and Forward Guidance
The ECB is focused on safeguarding price stability amid exceptional uncertainty due to global trade disputes and policy risks.
There is no forward guidance for the next rate change. Markets are pricing only one possible additional cut for 2025, and a potential return to tightening in late 2026 if inflation stays below target.
Summary Table: ECB at a Glance (July 2025)
Policy Rate 2.15%
Deposit Rate 2.00%
Marginal Lending 2.40%
Inflation (Jun 25) 2% (target achieved)
GDP Growth (2025) 0.9% (projected)
Policy bias Cautious, data-dependent pause
The ECB’s current stance is one of caution, monitoring the effects of prior easing and global trade risks while inflation stabilizes at target. No further near-term cuts are planned unless significant data surprises emerge. The approach is flexible, with decisions made meeting-by-meeting in response to evolving economic and financial conditions.
demand zone spottedEUR/JPY – Bullish Rejection from Demand Zone | 4H Smart Money Setup
Pair: EUR/JPY
Timeframe: 4H (4-Hour)
Bias: Bullish
Status: Trade Active
Strategy: Demand Zone Rejection / Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Market Context
EUR/JPY has been in a broader uptrend with higher highs and higher lows throughout July. Recently, the market retraced and tapped into a clearly defined demand zone, showing bullish rejection—a potential opportunity for long entries.
Key Technical Highlights
• Demand Zone marked around 170.65 – 171.30
o Formed by previous accumulation before the last strong impulsive bullish leg.
o This zone acts as institutional support, where large buy orders may reside.
o Price wicked into the zone and printed a bullish candle, suggesting buyer interest.
• Risk-Reward Structure
o Entry: ~171.33 (current price action after bounce)
o Stop Loss: Below demand zone (~170.66)
o Take Profit: 173.38 (previous high / clean traffic zone)
• The position is marked on chart with a clear long setup:
o Green zone = Target
o Red zone = Risk
o Trade offers a favorable Risk:Reward > 2:1
Scenarios
Bullish Continuation
• Price continues upward respecting demand zone.
• Confirmation from bullish price action or break of lower highs (structure shift).
• Clean targets above at 173.00 – 173.40.
•
Bearish Invalidity
• Price closes below 170.65 on a 4H candle.
• Break of demand invalidates the setup.
• Next potential support lies lower near 169.80.
Trade Plan Summary
Component Value
Entry 171.33
Stop Loss 170.66
Take Profit 173.38
R:R Ratio ~2.5:1
Status Active, Waiting for Follow-through
Conclusion
EUR/JPY is showing a clean rejection from a strong 4H demand zone after a healthy pullback. Structure still supports a bullish continuation, and the trade is positioned with tight risk and strong upside potential. Monitoring for confirmation via momentum and market structure.