EURNZD trade ideas
EUR-NZD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Made a retest and a rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 1.9480 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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SYMMETRYHey traders, hope you’re crushing it! 🚀
Spotted a crisp ABC Bullish Symmetry on the EUR/NZD 1-Hour chart—let’s break it down:
🧠 Pattern Breakdown
A→B: 1.94537 → 1.93486 (pullback low)
B→C: 1.93486 → 1.95882 (impulse high)
C→D: 1.95882 → 1.94688 (corrective low)
Point D lines up perfectly with the 100% expansion of the A→B move projected off C—textbook harmonic symmetry!
✅ Why This Works
ABC Symmetry: CD ≈ AB in distance
Fib Expansion: D hits the 100% A→B expansion from C
Clear Structure: Strong impulse then neat corrective leg
⚔️ Trade Plan
Trigger: Wait for an hourly close above 23.6% retrace of C→D at 1.95253 to confirm buyers.
Entry Zone: 1.95253–1.94688 (our PCZ + expansion zone)
Stop-Loss: Just below D at 1.94688 (e.g. 1.9455)
Size: Risk 1–2% of your account
🎯 Profit Targets
T1: 61.8% retrace of C→D → 1.96169
T2: 78.6% retrace of C→D → 1.96571
🔍 Confirmation & Invalidation
Confirm: Bullish pin-bar or engulfing candle closing above 1.95253
Invalidate: Price closes below 1.94688 (point D) – scrap the idea
Keep it simple: ABC → 100% Expansion → PCZ → Trigger → Ride.
Respect that stop under D, let price do the talking, and make sure to watch for any EUR/NZD news for extra context. Trade safe and stack those pips! ✌️
EURNZD: Steep Channel continuation setupEURNZD continues to rise within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-structured sequence. No signs of exhaustion are evident yet, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action continues to respect both the midline and lower boundary of the channel.
This ongoing strength suggests that buyers remain in control, and unless we see a clear shift in structure, such as a break below channel support or loss of momentum, the trend remains intact.
🟢 Trend Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD while price stays within this channel. Any pullbacks toward the lower channel boundary or previous breakout zones may offer continuation opportunities.
🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983 , which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the ascending channel and makes a good technical target if the structure continues to hold.
🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel with follow-through would challenge this bias and signal the possibility of a deeper corrective move.
For now, the structure favors trend continuation over reversal.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
eurnzd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
#EURNZD:Price accumulated now time for distribution! Price completed accumulated and now we expecting a strong bullish price distribution. Next week we can see price going and crossing our target with strong bullish volume kicking in the market. Price may go beyond 2.20 region; let's see how it goes.
Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx_
"Euro vs Kiwi Heist - Bullish Loot Opportunity!🔥 EURNZD BULL HEIST! Euro vs Kiwi Raid Plan (Swing/Day) 🚨💰
🌟 Attention, Market Bandits! 🌟
"The vault is cracked—time to grab the loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Intel (TA + FA):
EURNZD is flashing BULLISH signals, but beware—overbought traps & police (bears) lurk near resistance!
🎯 ENTRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🟢 LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
"Swipe the loot on pullbacks!"
Buy limit orders (15-30min TF) near swing lows/highs.
Aggressive heist? Enter any price—but watch for traps!
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Plan)
📍 SL at recent swing low (2H TF) = 1.93500 (Adjust based on risk!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out Before Cops Arrive!)
🎯 TP = 1.98500 (Or escape early near red zones!)
⚠️ WARNING: Police (Bears) Ahead!
Overbought + Consolidation = Reversal risk!
News = High alert! Avoid new trades during volatility.
Trailing SL = Your getaway car!
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Bullish momentum from COT data, macro trends & sentiment.
Check full analysis for targets & intermarket clues!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
Like & Share to strengthen our crew! More alerts = More profits!
🚨 Next raid coming soon… Stay tuned, thieves! 🚨
EUR/NZD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Conviction LongMacro Thesis:
EUR/NZD presents one of the clearest long opportunities this week, supported by a sharp divergence in macro fundamentals, a favorable positioning landscape, and confirmation across sentiment and structural models.
🔍 Key Drivers:
1. Macro Fundamentals (ENDO):
The euro area maintains a relatively stable inflationary outlook with moderate growth, while the ECB remains cautious but not overly dovish.
In contrast, New Zealand is showing consistent deflationary pressure – inflation data is softening, M2 growth is stagnant, and real activity (PMI, Retail Sales, NFP) continues to cool. This creates a clean fundamental divergence in favor of the euro.
2. COT Positioning:
There is no excessive long build-up on the EUR side, and NZD remains weak across institutional positioning metrics. This opens the door for further upside without the risk of crowded positioning.
3. Z-Score (Positioning Extremes):
Z-Score data highlights NZD as sitting at an extreme negative reading (Z_Long < –1.7), suggesting it is fundamentally oversold and under institutional pressure. EUR, by contrast, is neutral.
This imbalance further validates the long EUR/NZD setup, particularly from a flow and momentum continuation standpoint.
4. EXO Models (Score, RR_w, Interest Rate Bias):
The pair scores well in weekly RR analysis, supported by strong ENDO/EXO bias convergence. NZD continues to lose monetary support (dovish IR & Overnight trends), while EUR stays relatively neutral.
From a structural model perspective, the bias is clearly long.
5. Sentiment Environment:
The global risk-on tone continues, but it’s paired with relative softness in commodity currencies like NZD. That dynamic adds additional fuel to the long side of EUR/NZD, especially while EUR remains resilient and stable.
✅ Summary & Trading Plan:
Bias: Long EUR/NZD
Conviction Level: High (9/10 – multi-layer confirmation)
Holding Horizon: 1–3 weeks
Invalidation: Exit on reversal of NZD macro tone or shift to risk-off globally
Why This Pair?
EUR/NZD offers one of the clearest expressions of fundamental divergence in the current macro environment.
You have stable inflation and steady growth in Europe versus a weakening macro pulse in New Zealand.
There are no major positioning risks, sentiment supports the setup, and structurally the pair aligns with the broader market tone.
Clean macro. Clean structure. No crosswinds.
July 6, 2025: Strategic Forex Weekly OutlookWelcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
Higher timeframe trend analysis
Key zones of interest and potential setups
High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
EUR-NZD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD made a retest
Of the local horizontal resistance
Of 1.9485 so despite the uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
On Monday
Sell!
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EURNZD: Bears Will Push Lower
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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EURNZD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.944.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.965.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/NZD Eyes Further Gains After 600-Pip RallyEUR/NZD became bullish after dropping to the 1.8850 area. Since then, the price has moved up by about 600 pips. Right now, it is at an important resistance level. If the price breaks above this resistance and holds, it could continue to rise toward the next target around 1.9650. This breakout could be a sign that buyers are still strong and aiming for higher levels.
EUR_NZD LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 1.9488
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 1.9420
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZDEU10Y= 2.602%
EUR INTEREST RATE after governing council decision 25basis point on deposit facility 2% main refinancing operation 2.15% and marginal lending facility 2.40%
NZ10Y=4.56%
NZD INTEREST RATE =3.25%The current Official Cash Rate (OCR) in New Zealand is 3.25%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) last updated this rate on May 28, 2025, with the next update scheduled for July 9, 2025..
The OCR is the main tool used by the RBNZ to manage inflation and maintain price stability. A higher OCR generally leads to higher interest rates across the economy, which can help to cool down inflation. Conversely, a lower OCR can stimulate economic activity by lowering interest rates.
What is the OCR? official cash rate is used to achieve and maintain price stability.
New Zealand's central bank is called Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL =1.96%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL=1.25%
CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE= FAVOUR EURNZD sell , but the internal demand structure break of supply roof shows that buying will continue despite yield and interest rate differential in favor of NZD
The technicality of sell will be on the confluence on ascending trendline supply roof .
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL DATA REPORT.
New Zealand
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Review
Date: July 9, 2025
Consensus: RBNZ is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate at 3.25%. Most major banks and economists forecast no change, though a minority expect a 25 basis point cut. Markets anticipate only one more cut this year, likely in Q3.
Q2 2025 Inflation Data
Date: July 21, 2025
Significance: This release will be closely watched for signs of persistent or easing price pressures, which could influence future RBNZ policy decisions.
Labor Market Data
Next Release: Early August 2025 (Q2 data)
Recent Trend: Unemployment rate stable at 5.1% in Q1, with employment growth of 0.1%.
Eurozone
ECB Policy Announcements
Next Meeting: July 18, 2025
Focus: Markets are watching for signals on the pace of further rate cuts, with the ECB expected to continue a gradual easing cycle as inflation moderates.
Eurozone Inflation (CPI)
Next Flash Estimate: July 17, 2025
Recent Data: June inflation at 2.0% year-on-year, in line with expectations.
Eurozone GDP and Employment
Next Release: July 30, 2025 (Q2 preliminary)
Recent Data: Q1 GDP growth at 0.6% quarter-on-quarter; employment up 0.2%.
Other Events to Watch
Commodity Prices: Dairy auction results and global commodity trends can impact NZD.
Chinese Economic Data: As a major trading partner, Chinese data releases (trade, GDP) can influence NZD and thus EURNZD.
Summary Table: Major Upcoming Data
Date Event/Release Region Expected Impact on EURNZD
July 9, 2025 RBNZ Policy Decision New Zealand High (rate hold/cut)
July 17, 2025 Eurozone Flash CPI Eurozone Moderate (inflation, ECB outlook)
July 18, 2025 ECB Policy Meeting Eurozone High (rate guidance)
July 21, 2025 NZ Q2 Inflation New Zealand High (future RBNZ moves)
July 30, 2025 Eurozone Q2 GDP/Employment Eurozone Moderate
Early Aug NZ Q2 Labor Market New Zealand Moderate
Market Outlook
EURNZD is sensitive to central bank policy divergence, inflation trends, and labor market data from both regions.
RBNZ’s July 9 decision and Q2 inflation will be pivotal for NZD direction, while ECB’s July meeting and Eurozone inflation will shape EUR moves.
Traders should also monitor commodity prices and Chinese economic releases for additional NZD volatility triggers.
In summary:
The next two weeks feature several high-impact events for EURNZD, led by the RBNZ policy review (July 9), Eurozone inflation and ECB meeting (July 17–18), and New Zealand’s Q2 inflation (July 21). These releases will set the tone for the cross, with policy signals and inflation data likely to drive volatility.
#eurnzd
EURNZD – Buy the Dip at Trendline and EMA SupportTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 1.9367
Target: 1.9549
Stop Loss: 1.9306
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 04/07/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
The short-term bias remains positive, with intraday dips consistently attracting buyers.
Price action suggests that the sequence of higher lows and higher highs is still intact, with no clear sign of trend exhaustion.
Trendline support at 1.9330 and the 20-period 4H EMA at 1.9366 align near the proposed entry, strengthening the support zone.
A rebound from this area could confirm continuation toward resistance at 1.9549.
No major economic events are expected in the next 24 hours, allowing technical factors to dominate intraday price action.
Key Technical Levels
Support: 1.9360 / 1.9327 / 1.9262
Resistance: 1.9438 / 1.9488 / 1.9550
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.