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[NL25](AEX) - Bullish Trendline Breakout - LONG SetupThe Netherlands 25 (AEX) has finally broken its long-term descending trendline! We are seeing a clear shift in market structure on the 4H timeframe. Is this the start of a New Year rally? Breakout: Price has decisively closed above the primary descending trendline. Support Flip: The previous resistance at 952.00 is now acting as a solid support base. Momentum: Higher highs and higher lows are forming, confirming a bullish transition. Long Setup Entry: 951.94 Stop Loss (SL): 938.14 (Below the accumulation zone) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 968.45 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 977.25 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.9 ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading financial instruments involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. This post is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own due diligence and manage your risk strictly.
FOREXCOM:NL25Long
by seventeacup
"AEX to 20,000* — The Wave 3–5 Supercycle Has Only Just Begun"🌊 AEX – The Blueprint of a Generational Bull Market 🚀 Smart Money, Fibonacci, and Fundamentals all point to a generational bull run — are you positioned for the Wave 3 expansion? 💎📈 🌀 Wave 1 (1994–2000): Birth of Optimism 💡 Fundamentals: Tech innovation + globalization boom 🌍 Credit expansion & strong GDP growth 📈 🔢 Fibonacci: Initial impulsive leg, setting the 0–1 base for future retracements. 📊 Smart Money: Institutions accumulate early; public participation rises late. ⚙️ Price Action: Clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) confirm the new bullish structure. 🌧️ Wave 2 (2000–2009): Deep Correction & Accumulation Phase 💡 Fundamentals : Dot-com collapse, global deleveraging, QE introduction 🏦 🔢 Fibonacci: Price retraced 78.6% of Wave 1 — deep enough to reset sentiment but still respecting structure. 🧠 Smart Money: Classic accumulation — liquidity sweeps below prior lows; institutions quietly reload while retail exits. 📉 Price Action: Long accumulation base, range-bound market; demand zones forming. ⚡ Wave 3 (2020s–2030): Institutional Expansion Phase 💡 Fundamentals: AI, automation, and digital transformation 🤖 Green capital flows + fiscal expansion 🌱 Rising European corporate profitability 🔢 Fibonacci Extension: 2.618x of Wave 1 (~5600) = ideal target for Wave 3 climax. 🧠 Smart Money: Expansion leg — institutions push liquidity upward, generating FOMO. 📈 Price Action: Break & retest of key resistance (~1,000) Bullish order blocks hold Higher timeframe structure confirms macro impulse This is the “wealth creation” wave — power, volume, and velocity align. ⚡ 🌊 Wave 4 (2030–2038): The Great Reset Phase 💡 Fundamentals: Tightening cycle, inflation plateau, slower growth 📉 Rotation between sectors; global rebalancing 🏭 🔢 Fibonacci Retracement: Likely 38.2%–50% pullback of Wave 3 — shallow compared to Wave 2. 🧠 Smart Money: Distribution > Re-accumulation — liquidity engineered via W–X–Y correction. 📉 Price Action: Choppy market; liquidity hunts below supports before reversal. 🚀 Wave 5 (2038–2050+): Euphoria & Singularity 💡 Fundamentals: Tech maturity → productivity surge ⚙️ Global capital inflows & speculative mania 📱 Retail dominance, institutional distribution 📊 🔢 Fibonacci Extension: 3.618x (~20,000) aligns with parabolic blow-off top. 🧠 Smart Money: Final markup → engineered exit. 📈 Price Action: Steep parabolic structure; divergence signals top. 📊 Overall Market Structure & Smart Money Flow ✅ Higher timeframe structure → bullish continuation since 2009 ✅ Liquidity grab → accumulation → expansion → distribution → re-accumulation ✅ Fib extensions + price action align with macro liquidity cycles 💬 The Cycle in a Sentence: “Wave 3 builds fortunes 💰. Wave 4 tests conviction 💎. Wave 5 crowns legends 👑.” 📢 : 🔥 If you see this macro Wave 3 expansion forming before our eyes — ➡️ Smash that 👍 ➡️ Drop your AEX target below 👇 ➡️ Follow for weekly Elliott Wave + Smart Money insights 📊 — Team FIBCOS #AEX #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #MarketCycle #PriceAction #EuropeanMarkets #Investing #MacroAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #WaveTheory #Stocks #TradingViewCommunity #BullMarket #AIRevolution #LongTermInvesting #Fundamentals #ElliottWaveAnalysis #Liquidity #InstitutionalOrderFlow
TVC:AEXLong
by fibcos
NETHERLANDS 25 (NL25) STOCK INDEX ANALYSISNL25 trades within a rising long-term trend channel, with support at 855 EUR and resistance at 950 EUR. The price action in the last few weeks have been acompanied by rising prices and rising volumes, with the market closing on the weekly highs at 960 EUR, an all time high for the index. Strong fundamentals are also a driving factor, with Inflation expected to ease below 3% by late 2025, easing pressure on the European Central Bank and potentially paving the way for further monetary easing that benefits equities. Labor market tightness persists, with unemployment at a manageable 3.8% and employment growth stabilizing. A blend of macroeconomic resilience and technical strength makes NL25 a compelling bullish play.
CAPITALCOM:NL25Long
by AstraPragmatis
NETH25/NL25 "Netherland 25" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NETH25/NL25 "Netherland 25" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (936.00) swing Trade Basis Using the 3H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 900.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook: NETH25/NL25 "Netherland 25" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (Slightly Bearishness)., driven by several key factors. 🎇🎆Fundamental Analysis Earnings: Q4 2024 strong for Dutch firms (ASML, Shell), reported Jan 2025; Q1 2025 prelims suggest tech/energy resilience—bullish. Rates: ECB at 2.5% (ECB Data Portal)—low yields support equities—bullish. Inflation: Eurozone 2.8% (Eurostat, Jan 2025)—above target, mixed impact. Growth: Netherlands GDP ~1.5% (Eurostat Q4 est.)—steady, mildly bullish. Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs shift trade to Europe (ECB projections)—bullish. 🎇🎆Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: PMI 50.4, Fed 3-3.5%—USD softness aids Eurozone equities—bullish. Eurozone: PMI 46.2 (Eurostat, Feb 2025)—stagnation, bearish; ECB easing helps—bullish. Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1% (ECB forecasts)—slowdown, risk-off—bearish. Commodities: Oil $70.44—stable, neutral Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—trade benefits Europe—bullish. 🎇🎆Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Speculators: Net long ~25,000 contracts (down from 30,000)—cautious bullishness. Hedgers: Net short ~30,000—stable, locking in gains. Open Interest: ~60,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral. 🎇🎆Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 50% short (global X posts)—balanced, mild upside risk—neutral. Institutional: Bullish on tech (ASML), cautious on growth (ECB forecasts)—neutral. Corporate: Dutch firms hedge at 935-940—neutral. Social Media Trends: Mixed—bullish to 950, bearish to 910—neutral. 🎇🎆Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs target 940-950, shorts aim for 910-900 (global consensus). Retail: Shorts at 930-935—squeeze risk if price rises. Institutional: Balanced, tech-driven optimism. 🎇🎆Quantitative Analysis SMAs: 50-day ~885, 200-day ~860—price above both, bullish. RSI: 58 (daily)—bullish momentum, not overbought. Bollinger: 910-930—price at upper band, breakout potential. Fibonacci: 61.8% from 950-800 at 900—support below holds. Volatility: 1-month IV 13%—±10-point daily range. 🎇🎆Intermarket Analysis EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness, neutral for AEX. DXY: 106.00, softening—supports equities—bullish. XAU/USD: 2910—gold rise, risk-off—bearish. DAX: ~19,000, stable—correlated support—neutral. Bonds: Eurozone 2.2% (ECB)—low yields aid equities—bullish. 🎇🎆News and Events Analysis Recent: Eurozone GDP flat (Eurostat Q4 2024)—bearish; tariffs shift trade (ECB)—bullish. Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data lifts USD/yields, pressures AEX; soft data rallies equities—mixed. Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction key. 🎇🎆Next Trend Move Technical: Support 910-900, resistance 940-950. Below 910 targets 900; above 940 aims for 960. Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Up to 940-950 if risk-off eases; dip to 900 if PCE strengthens USD. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 900-970, tariff-driven. 🎇🎆Future Prediction Bullish: 950-970 by Q2 2025 if USD softens (DXY to 105), tariffs boost exports, or risk-on strengthens. Bearish: 900-890 if PCE lifts USD (DXY to 107), growth stalls, or risk-off intensifies. Prediction: Bullish short-term to 950, then sustained to 970 by mid-2025. 🎇🎆Overall Summary Outlook Netherlands 25 at 928.00 rides bullish fundamentals (tech earnings, ECB support, trade shifts) against bearish risks (Eurozone stagnation, PCE-driven USD strength). COT shows cautious longs, quant signals bullish momentum, and intermarket trends (DXY softness) support gains. Short-term rise to 940-950 likely, medium-term to 970 if PCE softens and trade benefits grow. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:NETH25Short
by The-Thief
AEX looks very bullish - keep accumulating!The AEX looks very bullish. The AEX has been moving in a channel since March 2020 and the bottom was reached quite recently. It looks like this support line is being respected and that the way is clear to go up again. According to my theory, we are on the eve of 1995 and when I look at how the AEX behaved at that time, there are nice similarities to be seen. I copied the green lines (dots) from that time to the present (the lines are identical in percentage!). If this pattern repeats itself, the AEX will now rise by approximately 29% (before a more serious correction occurs). Coincidentally, this matches the resistance line exactly. In addition, the RSI also looks bullish. If the price develops accordingly, I will continue to update the graph in due course. Very interesting.
EURONEXT:AEXLong
by Krijgsman
AEX working out a Daily Higher Low, continuation of the uptrend?The AEX and other European indices have lagged behind their American counterparts in recent weeks. Is this a lasting trend, or will the European indices also resume their upward path? The price movement of the AEX shows a corrective move on the Daily chart from the All-Time High reached last summer. So far, it appears to be a corrective move in the form of an ABC pattern, and as long as the price doesn’t close below the Daily Demand Zone, this scenario remains valid. The most likely outcome is still an upward movement, whether strong or weak. The Daily downtrend from the red B point displays a series of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), indicating that we are still in a downtrend: When this pattern is broken, we’ll have confirmation that this downward movement is part of a corrective move rather than a larger downtrend. On the Hourly chart, we can assess this movement more closely: Since a downtrend doesn’t break previous highs (continuing to make LHs and LLs), the probability increases that a downward movement is completed when a previous high (LH) is breached. I’ve marked this area as the Hourly Supply Zone. A close above this level would indicate that the downward move is likely complete, suggesting that the corrective downward movement has also concluded. The most probable scenario, therefore, is that the current downward movement is nothing more than a corrective pullback within the larger uptrend, which should lead to another upward movement once the correction is complete. This scenario remains valid as long as the price doesn’t close below the Daily Demand Zone.
TVC:AEX
by Chartpod