EURTRY trade ideas
Positive Tukish Lira swaps-EURTRY analysis for 31.10.2017Traders,
At the moment , we are heavily net short the Euro mostly as advised by technical developments. In the monthly chart, you can notice price action are trending lower in relation to the upper BB. That is despite EURTRY being higher price wise. Stochastics are also over extended and a sell signal is in the process of being printed.
Secondly, in the daily chart, there is a clear bear divergence signal. Price action is trending higher while bears are stepping gas on the sell pedal. To show that, there is a sell signal in place and a three bar reversal pattern called an Evening Star.
I will look for better entries in the 4HR and that is why I believe a sell limit will do the trick here:
Sell Limit: 4.42-4.47
Stop Loss: above 4.48
Stop Loss: 4.2, 4.0
Have a good trading day
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Bests,
Kipyegonn
EURTRY POSSIBILTY UPDATE Lets see what this pair has for us today. After asia session short spike london then sell off and NY buys it. Looks like a common pattern for this pair and USDTRY which identical buy this pair spikes higher! Now my gut says that may change. If it does drop will take it to the 200 ema for this confirmation and then hold until the 800 ema is within reach. Will see! Trade safe!
EURTRY Daily Chart Oscillators:
RSI shows a declining line proving the EUR is underperforming.
STOCH shows a crossover is imminent, providing a timely trading
signal, as price movement shows the EUR is oversold. (Bullish
signal).
Trend:
Retracement being established at 4.31625 price level, as time
would be a great indication as price correction has been
established. The retracement to 0.236 shows an increase in
demand is yet to happen as a New Higher high expected with
the EUR.
Pattern:
Continuation Pattern (Ascending Triangle Pattern).
No clear visiual evidence of a reversal pattern.
Bullish Price Projection to the Golden Ratio.
Estimated Price Projection 4.37333.
EUR/TRY hinders near channel boundaryThe common European currency has been trading against the Turkish Lira in two ascending channels simultaneously. The junior pattern was formed as a result of the rate remaining at a relatively stable position during the past two weeks. As apparent on the chart, the Euro has failed to overcome a resistance area located near the 4.2189 mark.
During the last trading hours, the rate has been stranded in a narrow range between the 100– and 200-hour SMAs; thus, a breakout might occur in any direction. In case the pair succeeds at surpassing the 100-hour SMA and the weekly PP circa 4.20, it might appreciate until the aforementioned resistance area.
The base scenario, however, favours a soon movement southwards. This would comply with characteristics of the senior channel. In addition, it is apparent that the pair has failed to reach the upper boundary of the junior pattern during the last week. The closest downside target is the weekly S1 at 4.1701.