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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD: Potential impact of Trump-Puting meeting on fibreIn this video, we break down what the highly anticipated Trump-Putin talks could mean for the EUR/USD pair. The meeting is set for 21:30 CET, after markets close, so any immediate reaction may happen when they reopen. Key scenarios include: Positive Tone: If Trump and Putin get along, risk appetite could rise, but a potential Ukraine peace deal may reduce EU defence spending and weaken the Euro. No Deal: If talks break down, fears of tariffs and trade war could resurface. While risk aversion often supports the dollar, increased US tariffs might instead fuel a "sell America" trend, which could help the Euro only slightly, with gold and treasuries likely benefiting more. Tariff Threats: Trump’s push for a Ukraine ceasefire could see new tariffs if talks fail, putting the EU in a tough spot over Russian oil and risking Euro weakness due to potential slower growth. Market movements will depend on the meeting's tone and follow-up statements, so stay tuned for how these geopolitical dynamics could drive EUR/USD next week! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by ThinkMarkets
1
EURUSD Trade Idea | 26 AUG – “Lowkey ChoCh Edition”Daily → Bullish @ extreme OB 🟢 (expecting buy-side reaction) 4H → Bearish after choch, sitting inside POI. Buyers in play, but sellers can’t be ignored ⚖️ 1H → Internal choch bearish, but overall bias = BUY (waiting for LQ cleanup to re-load longs) 15M → Still bearish, needs to align with HTF before confirmation ⏳ Setup Logic: LQC manipulation cleared 🧹 Waiting for price to hold above daily low and push → confirmation of bullish orderflow 🚀 Invalid if we print a new LL under 1.1590 ❌ Target Zones: First pitstop → 1.1655 📍 Extended targets → 1.1715 (daily OB high) 🎯 ⚠️ Risk Note: If HTF bearish pressure holds, price may reject from current POI, so be ready to cut losers fast.
Long
by sam_trades_smc
How I Built an Indicator to Define Market Bias Defining market bias can be one of the most critical factors in a trader's success. That's why I focused on developing the 🛡️ Nx BIAS 🛡️ indicator. In short, it's an indicator designed to forecast the directional bias for the next 'X' number of candles, based on conditions similar to the PCR candle pattern from my previous thread. Tweet 2/11 Let me walk you through how the indicator works and how it can be a powerful tool for determining bias with impressive accuracy. First, a quick overview of the signals: 'B' Signal (Bullish): Appears when the conditions for a bullish setup are met on the current candle. The indicator then tracks whether the bias was successful by seeing if the price closes above the high of the signal candle, as shown below. Tweet 3/11 'S' Signal (Bearish): Appears when the conditions for a bearish setup are met. The indicator then tracks the bias's success by seeing if the price closes below the low of the signal candle, as shown in the image. Tweet 4/11 Invalidation Rules 🗝️ Hard Invalidation 🔑🔑: The bias is considered invalidated if the price hits the low of the 'B' candle's wick (for bullish setups) or the high of the 'S' candle's wick (for bearish setups). Time-Based Invalidation 🔑: The bias is also nullified if 'X' number of candles pass without the target (DOL) or the invalidation level being hit. Statistically, the most effective number for reaching the DOL is 3 candles. Tweet 5/11 Manipulation & Liquidity Sweeps 👻🛡️ The indicator also identifies manipulation scenarios. This occurs when the price briefly touches the invalidation level (a liquidity sweep) without a true body close, only to then reverse and hit the target. Here’s how to interpret this in the stats table: Tweet 6/11 Let's break down the Bullish Signals dashboard from the image: 110 trades, 80% success rate: This means 89 out of 110 signals reached their DOL (the high of the 'B' candle) before hitting the invalidation level, all within the first 3 candles. w/ Manipulation: 13 of 89: This tells us that out of the 89 successful signals, 13 involved a manipulation move (a liquidity sweep). This accounts for about 14% of the successful trades. The same logic applies to the 'S' signals. Tweet 7/11 A Note on "Win Rate" 🔰 The term "Win Rate" here is more of a conceptual label. We aren't measuring a true trade win rate. Instead, it reflects the accuracy of the directional bias. Your actual trade performance will depend on your personal trading style—whether you enter after the B/S candle forms or if you already had a Point of Interest (POI) where the indicator confirmed a potential bias. Tweet 8/11 To improve signal quality, I've added filters. In the previous example, I used a 100-period moving average to filter out lower-probability signals. This last tweet includes a gallery of the dashboard across various timeframes and trading pairs. (Image Gallery of Dashboards) Tweet 9/11 Important Considerations: The B or S signal itself should not be treated as a direct entry model. We are defining a bias, not a complete trade setup. An entry based on the signal candle's close with a stop at the opposite wick often won't yield a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 1R). Therefore, using the indicator as a bias confirmation tool is the ideal approach. Tweet 10/11 Core Logic: One of the candle patterns I adapted for this was the PCR model, with some modifications (as explained in a previous thread). A core concept, alongside PCR, was the idea of a liquidity grab. The setup looks for a rejection wick that fails to break the previous candle's high in a short scenario, and the inverse for a long scenario. Tweet 11/11 Final Thoughts 🔮 This indicator is still in a preliminary stage and is not currently public. It definitely needs a few more tweaks and refinements to maximize its utility. But I believe the core concept is very promising.
Education
by mohx_404
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexMasters2000
EUR/USD – Buy Setup | H1 Outlook📊 Price has been moving inside a falling wedge pattern, indicating potential bullish pressure building up. Currently, price is testing the lower boundary of the wedge, which aligns with demand support. ✅ Entry Zone: Around 1.1618 – 1.1620 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.1598 🎯 Target: 1.1672 (near wedge resistance & liquidity zone) 🧩 Outlook: As long as price respects the wedge support, we may see a bullish breakout towards 1.1672. A clean break below 1.1598 would invalidate this setup. Watch out for liquidity grabs near support before the upward push. ⚡ Upcoming news events may cause volatility — trade safe and manage risk wisely. 🔔 This is an educational idea, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Long
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.164. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.173 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD SELL TRADESuggested Trade Entry (Sell Setup): Based on SMC principles, avoid chasing the current drop—instead, enter on a retracement to a high-probability supply zone for better risk-reward. Here’s a conservative setup: - **Entry**: Sell limit order at a pullback to the CHOCH level (~1.1740-1.1750, near the orange line), which now acts as a mitigation block or breaker (resistance). This zone likely holds unfilled sell orders from institutions. Confirm entry with a bearish candle rejection (e.g., shooting star or engulfing) or imbalance fill in lower timeframes (15m/5m). - **Stop Loss**: Place above the recent swing high or pink horizontal line (~1.1775-1.1780) to protect against inducement sweeps. This gives ~25-35 pips risk, depending on exact entry. - **Take Profit Targets**: - TP1: Next liquidity level or fair value gap around 1.1700 (partial exit for 1:1 risk-reward). - TP2 : Prior BOS level or structural low around 1.1650 (1:2+ risk-reward). - Trail remaining position if displacement continues, targeting 1.1600 or below. - **Risk Management**: Risk no more than 1% of account per trade. Avoid entry if RSI spikes above 70 (overbought on pullback) or if a major news event is imminent without confirmation. Monitor for a potential flip if price reclaims CHOCH with a new BOS higher, invalidating the bearish setup. This setup aligns with SMC’s focus on order flow and liquidity, but always backtest on historical data and consider your risk tolerance—markets can be unpredictable, especially around events. If the chart updates or you provide more details (e.g., lower timeframe), I can refine this further. *Disclaimer: Not a financial adviser.
Short
by JdotFX
1
EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D21 | Y25📊 EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D21 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT