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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D21 | Y25📊 EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D21 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Under Pressure Ahead of Jackson HoleEURUSD trend appears to be shifting in the short term. Powell risk is currently dollar-positive. The direction will be set at Jackson Hole on Friday and will depend on whether Powell opens the door to a September cut or chooses to stay cautious and wait for one more round of PCE, CPI, and payrolls data before committing at the September FOMC meeting. For today, 1.1660 and 1.1700 are the key resistance levels. Unless 1.1700 is broken, upward moves could present short-term selling opportunities.
by ftdsystem
EUR/USD Bullish But... Trendline📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – August 19, 2025 The Euro/Dollar pair is currently trading around 1.1657, showing consolidation after recent strong moves. 🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels Immediate resistance at 1.1687 (38.2%). Psychological and technical barrier at 1.1775 (50%). Major resistance at 1.1867 (61.8%). Upside extension projected towards 1.2159 if the bearish trendline is broken. 🔹 Trend The descending trendline (in purple) continues to act as a dynamic ceiling. Unless broken decisively, upside potential may remain limited. 🔹 Important Supports First support at 1.1575 (23.6%). High-liquidity zone between 1.1450 – 1.1370, crucial to maintain the medium-term bullish structure. A break below 1.1275 could open the door to a deeper correction. 📌 Conclusion: The pair is at a decision point. A breakout above the trendline and 1.1687 could trigger fresh bullish momentum. On the other hand, losing the 1.1575 – 1.1450 zone would increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Long
by Axuview
2
The Day Ahead Data: US: August Conference Board consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing/business conditions, Dallas Fed services, Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing, July durable goods orders, June FHFA house price index, Q2 house price purchase index Japan: July services PPI France: August consumer confidence Central Banks: Fed: Williams, Barkin speaking ECB: Villeroy speaking Earnings: Prudential, MongoDB, Okta Auctions: US 2-year Notes This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD SHORT FULL BREAKDOWN FROM WEEKLY - 1' TIME FRAMEOn Sunday 24th Aug 2025 my exact words are quoted below - please also see my recent post to view. "📊 EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST 📈 EURUSD Weekly Forecast – Q3 | W35 | Y25 Much like other USD-cross pairs, EUR/USD ended the week strongly bullish, with the weekly candle closing above the weekly 50 EMA. This close shifts the higher time frame bias toward long-term buy positions, in line with broader dollar weakness. 🔍 Forecast & Strategy: Despite the bullish weekly close, I’m anticipating a retracement early in the week — specifically a pullback into the daily imbalance created by Friday’s strong move. 📍 Below that imbalance, there’s a daily order block that aligns with: The daily 50 EMA Mid-range and lower-range points of interest This confluence zone becomes a key area to look for long executions, provided the market gives us confirmation. 🎯 Execution Plan: Once price enters these zones (both short- and long-term POIs): Look for a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the 5M or 15M timeframes before executing. No BOS = no entry. 📉 Short-Term Shorts – With Caution: If price offers valid short setups from current highs, target areas will include: The daily imbalance (first target & partial TP zone) The daily 50 EMA and the daily order block (final TP and long re-entry zone) Important: All short positions should be managed aggressively and fully closed by the time price reaches the bullish POI, as the higher time frame bias favors longs. ✅ Bias: Bullish (Higher Time Frame) ⚠️ Shorts are counter-trend and must be managed accordingly 📌 Wait for confirmation before executing either side Let’s stay patient, let structure lead, and execute only when the market tells us it’s time. FRGNT " 📉 Trade Breakdown – This Morning’s Entry My method for taking the trade this morning followed the structure detailed earlier — with a few key additions: 🔹 A 4H order block was formed, providing a strong area of interest. 🔹 This led to a bearish break of structure on the 1H, which confirmed momentum shift and left behind both a void and a new 1H order block. At that point, the setup was clearly defined. I then zoomed into the lower time frames (5M & 1M) to fine-tune the entry, using lower time frame structure and precision for execution. 🎥 See the video for a full walk-through of how the trade was executed — step-by-step. FRGNT FX:EURUSD
Education
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.15954 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15899.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
How Lisa Cook’s Rejection Sparked a Dollar Rebound Markets were quick to react to President Trump’s decision to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. The U.S. dollar softened immediately, as traders weighed the possibility of political interference undermining confidence in the Fed’s policy outlook. The EURUSD found support near 1.1690, before retracing as Cook’s stance restored some market confidence. Cook has refused to step down and is preparing legal action, arguing that the president lacks the authority to remove a sitting governor. If Trump doubles down or the legal fight escalates, we could expect volatility with a possible bias for euro strength. If 1.1640 breaks cleanly to the upside, EUR/USD could attempt to retest the 50% retracement at 1.1660, and then the 61.8% level near 1.1680.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD Bearish SetupFenzoFx—EUR/USD filled the bullish fair value gap after it swept the highs at 1.1730, formed a double top. However, the recent decline in the currency pair did not result in a liquidity sweep below recent lows. Therefore, the bearish outlook remains valid despite the primary trend, which is bullish. This week, we expect EUR/USD to trade below $1.1591 to accumulate liquidity before rallying higher. Retail traders should monitor the middle line of the bearish engulfing pattern with resistance at $1.1685 for a bearish setup, targeting the equal lows followed by the bullish order block with ultimate support at $1.1528.
Short
by FenzoFxBroker
EURUSD InsightWelcome, everyone. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe. Key Points - Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, stated at the Jackson Hole Symposium that “in the short term, inflation risks are skewed to the upside while employment risks are tilted to the downside, creating a difficult situation.” He added, “Considering the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market indicators, we can carefully consider adjusting the policy stance,” which raised market expectations for a rate cut. - Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said, “President Putin is ready to meet President Zelensky once a summit agenda is prepared, but that agenda has not been prepared at all.” Meanwhile, U.S. President Trump remarked, “We will decide in two weeks what measures to take regarding Russia,” while also mentioning large-scale sanctions and tariffs. Major Economic Events This Week + August 26: U.S. August CB Consumer Confidence Index + August 28: U.S. Q2 GDP + August 29: Germany August Consumer Price Index, U.S. July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index EURUSD Chart Analysis Recently, after falling to the 1.16000 level, the pair found support and has since been moving upward. Current market drivers are putting downward pressure on the dollar, increasing expectations for the euro to move higher. In the short term, the uptrend is expected to continue toward the previous high. If that resistance level is broken, there is a high possibility of an extended rally up to the 1.20000 level. However, it is uncertain whether the pair can break through that resistance. A new strategy will be established once the market reaches that area.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Idea on a chartEUR/USD rallies nearly 1% as Powell signaled policy flexibility and acknowledged downside risks in the US labor market. Traders boosted odds of a 25 bps Fed cut in September to 90%, up sharply from 72% on Thursday. Outcome hinges on Core PCE, CPI, and Nonfarm Payrolls before September, with risks skewed toward inflationary pressures. EUR/USD skyrockets during the North American session after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell leaned dovish at his Jackson Hole speech, opening the door for a resumption of the easing cycle. The pair trades at 1.1718, up by 0.97%. Market participants began to price in a Fed rate cut in September as the Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that “The stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance.” He added that there’s a “reasonable base case” to think that tariffs would create a “one-time” increase in inflation. However, he remained cautious, emphasizing that risks of inflation are tilted to the upside and risks to employment to the downside.
by EZIO-FX
EURUSD4H In this series of analyses, we have reviewed trading perspectives and short-term outlooks. As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current asset price, and the market’s reaction or breakout at this level will determine the next price trend toward the specified targets. Important note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to highlight significant levels ahead of the price and potential market reactions to these levels. The provided analyses are by no means trading signals!
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
The 4 Steps For EUR/USD BUYEUR/USD BUY Setup Using the Short Squeeze Mindset 💶💵 Trading new highs on EUR/USD can feel tricky. Maybe you’ve tried RSI, ADX, or DMI — only to end up frustrated when the trend slipped away. I’ve been there too. Yesterday I was stuck, asking myself: “If the Rocket Booster Strategy works, why is volatility pushing me out of trades?” Then I switched gears. The answer was simple: The Short Squeeze Mindset. Here’s How I Spotted EUR/USD BUY 📈 👉 On the Daily Chart, I saw a green bar 🟩 showing strong bullish momentum. 👉 On the 4H Chart, I noticed a red bar 🟥 — the pullback that traps short sellers. That’s the short squeeze: bears think they’re in control, but the bigger timeframe says otherwise. The 4 Steps For EUR/USD BUY 🚀 1️⃣ Rocket Booster Strategy – follow momentum in trending markets 2️⃣ Momentum Trading Style – focus on the strongest currency pairs 3️⃣ Short Squeeze Mindset – daily green 🟩 + 4H red 🟥 combo 4️⃣ Stochastic Overbought Zone – confirms the breakout timing When I combined these, EUR/USD flashed a clear BUY setup. Action Steps You Can Try 🔑 1️⃣ Open the Daily EUR/USD chart → do you see the green bar 🟩? 2️⃣ Drop down to the 4H chart → do you see the red bar 🟥? 3️⃣ That’s the short squeeze signal. 4️⃣ Look for confirmation before the London/New York session. That’s how you catch the EUR/USD breakout. 🚀 Stay tuned — more practical trade examples coming soon. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading is risky. Always use risk management and test in a demo account before trading real money.
Long
by lubosi