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EURUSD trade ideas

Trade Wars, Tariffs & Currencies: The Connection Explained📊 What Are Tariffs & Why Should Traders Care? 💱 Tariffs are taxes imposed by a country on imported goods. Think of them as the "price of entry" foreign products must pay to access domestic markets. 🔍 Why Governments Use Them: Protect domestic industries from cheaper foreign goods Retaliate in trade disputes Raise revenue (less common today) 🧠 Why Traders Should Watch Tariffs: Tariffs don’t just hit companies—they ripple through economies and currency markets. Here’s how: 📉 1. Currency Impact Tariffs can lead to currency depreciation in the targeted country as trade volumes fall and foreign demand drops. Example: When the U.S. imposed tariffs on China, the Yuan weakened to offset the blow. 📈 2. Inflation Pressure Tariffs make imports more expensive, fueling inflation. Central banks may respond with rate hikes—which moves markets. 🌐 3. Risk Sentiment Tariff wars increase global uncertainty = risk-off sentiment. Traders flee riskier currencies (like EMFX) for safe havens like the USD, CHF, or JPY. 🔄 4. Trade Balance Shifts Tariffs can affect a country's trade balance, influencing long-term currency valuation. 💡 Trading Tip: Watch for tariff announcements or trade tension headlines—they often precede volatility spikes in major pairs. Combine with sentiment tools and fundamentals for best results.
Education
by currencynerd
Range-Bound EUR/USD: Sell Setup Pending Dollar StrengthI'm currently watching the EUR/USD currency pair, and it appears to be under pressure while trading within a range 📉. If you check out the chart in the video 📊, you’ll see what I mean. I’m on the lookout for a potential sell opportunity, but only if the upcoming data release signals strength for the US dollar 💵. In that case, I’d be watching for a break and retest of the current range low—(BoS). My targets would be set two levels below, aiming to close the position by the end of the New York session 🗽. Please note, this is not financial advice! 🚫
Short
by fxtraderanthony
DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is testing the confluence of the blue corrective channel floor, the long‑term rising‑channel base and the 1.11 support, replicating April’s launch point. ● A close above the blue channel roof (~1.127) would confirm a break and target the mid‑channel 1.134 resistance, then the supply zone / upper rail near 1.140; bias is invalidated on a sustained close below 1.11. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US initial claims jumped to 252 k (5‑week high) while two FOMC voters signalled readiness to cut if labour softens, pressuring yields and the USD. ● ECB’s Lane said inflation is “on track” but emphasised data‑dependence beyond June, tempering easing expectations and underpinning euro rates. ✨ Summary Channel‑base retest + weaker US data versus cautious ECB keep the short‑term long in play: objectives 1.134 → 1.140, cut if < 1.11. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EUR/USD consolidates ahead of US CPICMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD holds above the 1.1110 area ahead of key US inflation data. The pair rebounded modestly after finding support near the breakout zone (1.1046-1.1100), but upward momentum is capped by minor resistance at 1.1127. A failure to break above this level may expose the 1.1046 support. Technically, the broader trend remains under pressure, as the pair trades below trendline resistance and recent breakdown levels. The upcoming US CPI release could trigger volatility and provide directional confirmation. Resistance: 1.1127, 1.1212 Support: 1.1046, 1.0960
by ATFX_Global
Euro will exit from pennant and grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how the price, after a strong upward impulse, the price entered into a consolidation phase, forming a classic upward pennant pattern. Throughout this structure, the price repeatedly respected both the support line and resistance line, tightening inside the pennant while still holding above the support level at 1.1300. This zone, between 1.1280 and 1.1300, marked as the buyer zone, has acted as a strong floor multiple times. Every touch to this area sparked bullish reactions, and most recently, we can see the rice once again starting to grow after dipping into this zone. On the upper side, the resistance level at 1.1430 coincides with the breakout target of the pennant, and also lies just below the seller zone, making it a logical TP 1 area for bulls. The current price action suggests that after a minor pull-back, the price may test the lower pennant edge and then rebound, potentially initiating an impulsive breakout toward 1.1430. Given this structure and the strong base forming around 1.1300, I expect Euro will grow upward toward my TP 1 at the 1.1430 level, thereby exiting from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
25
EUR/USD Slides to 1.1200 on Stronger Dollar Amid Trade Deal HopeCMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD extended losses on Thursday, sliding over 0.6% to test the 1.1200 handle amid renewed US Dollar demand. The Greenback gained momentum following reports of a pending US-UK trade agreement, which lifted sentiment despite the lack of official confirmation. The proposed deal would exempt the UK from steep reciprocal tariffs , while a broader 10% levy remains intact, raising questions over its longer-term impact. Meanwhile, Europe remains sidelined in US trade diplomacy , with the White House cautioning against EU retaliation. For EUR/USD, downside pressure persists but is contained, with support forming near 1.1200. The pair has eased off multi-month highs north of 1.1500 and awaits fresh catalysts. A break below 1.1200 could open the door for deeper declines, while reclaiming 1.1300 remains key for bulls. Resistance : 1.1232 , 1.1283 Support : 1.1197 , 1.1076
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area. It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse. It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance. T1: 1.12355 T2: 1.13072 SL: 1.10468
by Money_Dictators
EURUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows. Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator. Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VladimirRibakov
EUR/USD Bullish Setup | Demand Rejection & Liquidity Sweep ReverBias: Short-Term Bullish Timeframe: M15 Date: May 13, 2025 📌 Trade Idea Summary: Price has swept the liquidity below the recent lows and showed clean demand rejection around the 1.10900–1.11050 zone. Market structure is shifting bullish on M15 with steady accumulation. A move toward inefficiency and prior supply zone is anticipated. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: 1.11120 Stop Loss: 1.10900 Take Profit: 1.11850 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.65 ✅ Technical Confluences: M15 liquidity sweep + demand reaction Breakout from accumulation channel Inefficiency above toward 1.118x NY session support with bullish continuation potential 📈 Entry Type: Market or slight retracement entry 🔁 Partial TP idea: 1.11360 zone (first rejection expected) 🛑 Invalidation: Clean bearish close below 1.10900
Long
by tradingwith_ryann
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias Interest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%. Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside. Federal Reserve (Fed): Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty. Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later. Differential: ~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro. Key May 2025 Economic Data Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%). US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April). Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR. Directional Bias Bearish EUR/USD: Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro. Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession. Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside. Conclusion: EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
3
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1085 1st Support: 1.0946 1st Resistance: 1.1267 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Up again for EUHi traders, Last week EU made another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG. The bigger correction could now be finished (or one more small leg down into the Daily FVG). If this is true then next week we could see the next impulse wave 5 (black) up. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
1
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.125. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.114 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias Interest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%. Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside. Federal Reserve (Fed): Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty. Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later. Differential: ~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro. Key May 2025 Economic Data Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%). US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April). Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR. Directional Bias Bearish EUR/USD: Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro. Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession. Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside. Conclusion: EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
6
EURUSD Expecting Bearish movementAfter the Geneva talks, the two sides announced a 90-day suspension of some tariff measures and a reduction in the tax rates of some goods. This progress has alleviated market concerns about the escalation of global trade frictions and weakened the attractiveness of the euro as a risky currency. Schnabel, an executive board member of the ECB, said, "There is no need for further interest rate cuts," believing that the current interest rate is at a neutral level. However, the market still expects that if the economic data in the eurozone is weak, the ECB may be forced to continue its easing policy within this year, which poses potential pressure on the euro. The exchange rate has fallen below the 200-day moving average (1.1195) and is far away from the 12-day EMA (1.1303) and the 26-day EMA (1.1284), and the short-term moving averages are in a bearish arrangement. MACD indicator: The DIFF (0.0044) is lower than the DEA (0.0089), and the negative value of the histogram has expanded, indicating an increase in the downward momentum. RSI (14): Currently at 43.29, it has not entered the oversold range, suggesting that there is still room for further decline. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Short
by HilaryBloomer