EUR/USD Holds Firm – Eyeing Pullback Before Next Leg HigherHi Everyone,
Despite what was a fundamentally turbulent week in the markets, our trading delivered a flawless run last week!
As highlighted in our previous idea, EUR/USD found support near the 1.16000 zone before mounting a push higher toward the 1.17889 level. Looking ahead into next week, we anticipate a pullback toward the 1.16550 area, which could provide the base for another attempt to reach 1.17889.
The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to reinforce our bullish outlook on EUR/USD.
Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels.
We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated!
All the best for the rest of the week.
Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD H4 | Bearish dropEUR/USD is rising to the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.1717, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.1786, which acts as a swing high resistance that is slightly above the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.1629, which has been identified as a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD - LongEURUSD – BUY Setup
📊 H4 Timeframe Analysis by Nii_Billions
🔹 Outlook: BULLISH
Using multiple timeframe confirmation for direction.
Strategy blends technicals, fundamentals, and sentiment.
Entry, SL, and TP structured with risk management in mind.
🟢 Educational purposes only 🟢
❤️ Like & comment if this helps your trading journey.
👉 Follow for more swing trade ideas.
EURUSD | Major Trend Reversal in Play? Bias: Sell Setup🧠MJTrading:
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
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📝 Idea: PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD | Major Trend Reversal in Play?
Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
📊 Structure Breakdown
- After the 2022–25 High at 1.18300, price has started forming Lower Highs and a Lower Low, hinting at a potential Major Trend Reversal (MTR).
- The Pressure Gap and Pullback rejection around the descending trendline strengthen the bearish outlook.
- Current Price Action suggests sellers are gradually taking control inside the Rising Wedge inside the Descending Channel:
ZOOM IN:
A 2nd leg is also possible.
📌 Trade Setup
Sell Entry: Around current price (~1.16800–1.17000).
Stop Loss: Above 1.18020 (invalidates the setup).
Targets:
TP1 → 1.15520 (mid-channel support).
TP2 → 1.14300 (major support zone - Channel Bottom line).
TP3 → 1.11800 (extension, strong liquidity pool).
Risk–Reward: Attractive multi-level downside with clear invalidation.
For confirmation wait for valid breakdown from the Rising Wedge...
“If the structure speaks to you, let it echo.”
#EURUSD #Forex #FX #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #MTR #MAJORTRENDREVERSAL #MarketStructure #TrendReversal #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ChartDesigner #MJTrading
Psychology Always Matters:
EURUSD Short, 20 AugustHTF Bearish Bias with Decisional OB
HTF trend remains cleanly bearish on both 4H and Daily, keeping downside pressure in play.
📈 HTF Confluence:
📉 4H + Daily bearish structure
❌ No EMA/OB support, market aligned for continuation down
📉 LTF Setup:
💤 Asia session low interaction
🧩 Price reacts strongly from 15m Decisional OB inside Asia range
⚡ DXY supports downside after tapping its own decisional OB
🎯 Entry refined at 15m imbalance retrace, confirmed by a clean 1m BOS
🎯 Entry Plan:
🔑 Entry: 15m imbalance retest after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above 15m OB (tight control, small risk)
💰 Risk: Aggressive 0.5% (test position)
📌 TP: Targeting liquidity continuation beyond Asia range lows
EURUSD correction continuesYesterday, EURUSD failed to extend its bullish move and pulled back into a support zone.
We’re once again watching for a reaction here and a potential buying opportunity.
The next key support level is 1,1520 – the 61.8% retracement.
Always trade in the direction of the trend and manage your risk!
Price drop in EURDue to the dollar news and the weakness of the dollar, we saw a price rise in the EURUSD currency pair yesterday, and it initially penetrated our demand range, so we expect the price to fall below this range.
If the supply range is not penetrated, we expect the price to fall, in which case the trend of this currency pair is bullish.
EURUSD: dovish Powell The pivotal event during the previous week was a speech of Fed Chair Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. Although he noted once again existing risks for the US economy originating from implemented trade tariffs, still, he signalled a potential rate cut at September's FOMC meeting. This signal imposed a strong reaction on financial markets, bringing optimism back. Other macro data posted for the US economy in the previous week were mostly related to the real estate sector. Building permits preliminary data for July reached 1.354M, modestly below the forecasted 1.39B and were down by -2,8% m/m. On the other hand, housing starts in July beat market expectations with 1.428M versus expected 1.29M, and were higher by 5,2% for the month.
The balance of trade in the Euro Zone dropped significantly in June, reaching euro 7B, well below last month's euro 16B and market expectations of euro 13B. The Producers Price Index in Germany in July dropped by -1,5% on a yearly basis and -0,1% for the month. The final inflation rate in the Euro Zone in July is 0% for the month and 2% on a yearly basis. The HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for August in Germany reached 49.9, a bit higher from forecasted 48.8. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was standing at 51.1, again higher from forecasted 49.5.
During the week the eurusd currency pair was moving within the relatively short path. The week started by testing the 1,17 resistance line, while the lowest weekly level reached was at 1,1587, just on one occasion. Still, Powell's speech on Friday imposed a strong market reaction, where the currency pair moved back toward the 1,17 resistance, ending the week at 1,1717. The RSI was moving around the level of 50, while on Friday, the indicator finally moved toward the 56 level. This is indication that the market is currently eyeing the overbought market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without any indication that the cross might occur anytime soon.
Indication of a potential rate cut in September changed the market sentiment, from pessimistic to optimistic. This implies that the US Dollar might lose its strength further in the coming week. The market has ended the week by testing the 1,17 resistance line, while from Monday it might continue to test it for higher grounds. In the meantime, there could be some short corrections to the downside, but not too high. As per current charts, levels around 1,1650 might be shortly tested. To the upside, currently there is potential for next resistance at 1,18.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Ifo Business Climate for August in Germany, GfK Consumer Confidence in September in Germany, Retail Sales in July in Germany, Unemployment rate in August in Germany, Inflation rate preliminary in August in Germany,
USD: Durable Goods Orders in July, CB Consumer Confidence in August, GDP Growth Rate second estimate for Q2, Pending Home Sales in July, PCE Price Index in July will be posted on Friday, August 29th.
EUR/USD 4H:📌 The recent spike was a clear news-driven liquidity grab into the 4H supply zone. Despite the bullish impulse, internal structure remains bearish, and price is expected to continue its downward movement toward the next demand.
Wait for the M15 internal structure to shift bearish, then look to target the next M15 demand zone around 1.16180 as a short-term objective.
EUR/USD – 4-Hour Chart Outlook
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The medium-term bullish trend is showing fresh signs of strength. The pair surged with strong momentum 🚀, decisively breaking through the key level at 1.1580, which has now flipped from resistance to solid support.
📉 Meanwhile, a corrective pattern is forming—a descending channel. A breakout above this channel would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
📊 Forecast: Bullish continuation
🔐 Bullish bias remains valid as long as price stays above 1.1510
🎯 Next targets:
• First stop: 1.1811
• Then aiming for: 1.2000
The bulls are back in control. Eyes on the breakout—this move could be the ignition for the next leg higher. Stay sharp.
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Intraday Short EURUSDIf you want to open position right now, here is the update
Short: Sell Rallies
Entry: 1.1658-1.1665 (it might retest of broken support/MA cluster)
Stoploss: Above 1.1689
TP1: 1.1635 (Previous Support)
TP2: 1.1615 (Lower Support)
TP3: 1.159 (extension if momentum builds)
Keys:
H4: Price is sititng under clustered MAs (reject 1.1665-1.1675). Structure lean bearish below 1.1675
H1: Attempted push up but reject 1.1668, MAs alighned slightly bearish, RSI ~50, losing strength recent bounce. Seller defending 1.1665-1.1670
M30: Price reject upper BB slid back under 50 RSI. Lower highs forming. Bearish but not a free-fall-controlled rejection
M15-M5-M1: all show lower highs and rejection condles around 1.1665. RSI + MA is rolling down. Momentum favor downs downside
** Cross above 1.1680 clean will let short idea invalid and likely shift bullish squeeze. First target will realist at 1.1635 and depend on momentum + New York session flows. Trailing stop loss after TP1 hit is a smart lock profit
Goodluck
Bullish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st reistance.
Pivot: 1.1591
1st Support: 1.1532
1st Resistance: 1.1677
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EUR/USD – Elliott Wave + FVG Orderblock | Key Short Setup Ahead🔎 Analysis Breakdown:
1. Wave Structure: Market is completing the corrective ABCDE pattern, with wave D testing the upper supply area.
2. Supply Zone: The highlighted zone shows active sellers, increasing probability of rejection.
3. Liquidity & FVG Orderblock: Below, we have a fair value gap (FVG) and orderblock acting as a magnet for price.
4. Scenario: If price rejects the D leg zone, bearish momentum could accelerate towards the FVG orderblock area (1.1580 – 1.1560).
⚠️ Invalidation:
Any clean break and sustained close above the D-leg supply zone would invalidate this short setup.
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Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a critical juncture. Sellers are active, and rejection here could open the door for a deeper drop into the FVG orderblock zone. Keep risk tight and watch for confirmations before entry.
💬 What’s your take — are you bearish from here, or do you expect a breakout? Comment below 👇
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#EURUSD #ElliottWave #Forex #SmartMoney #Liquidity #FVG #Orderblock #Trading
EURUSD Epic Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD made an epic
Bearish breakout of a very
Strong key horizontal level
Of 1.16304 which is now a
Resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
EUR/USD 1.1611: Strong Support Backed by Volume Profile & FVGEUR/USD has a key support at 1.1611, formed after Powell’s speech triggered aggressive buying.
Volume Profile shows a strong volume cluster at this level, where buyers accumulated long positions.If price pulls back, those buyers are likely to defend the zone and push the market higher. A Fair Value Gap also aligns at 1.1611, making this level even more significant for a long setup.
EURUSD Bears Regain Control as Dollar Strength Holds FirmEURUSD is showing fresh signs of exhaustion after its recent bounce, struggling to hold momentum against a resilient U.S. dollar. Price action has rejected trendline resistance and is now threatening to extend lower toward key demand zones. With the ECB battling slowing growth while the Fed remains cautious but firm, EURUSD faces mounting pressure to the downside.
Current Bias
Bearish – rejection at resistance keeps the pair vulnerable to further downside toward 1.1600 and potentially 1.1410.
Key Fundamental Drivers
U.S. dollar demand supported by safe-haven flows and relatively strong U.S. economic data.
ECB’s dovish tilt as growth falters in the Eurozone, limiting scope for additional rate hikes.
Differentials in monetary policy continue to favor the USD over the EUR in the medium term.
Macro Context
Interest rate expectations: The Fed is expected to keep rates higher for longer, maintaining a hawkish edge, while the ECB faces pressure to slow policy tightening given weak Eurozone growth.
Economic growth: U.S. growth remains more resilient than Europe’s, with Eurozone industrial and consumer sectors showing signs of fatigue.
Commodity flows: Lower European energy demand and potential disruptions in global gas/oil trade leave the euro vulnerable.
Geopolitical themes: Trade tariffs, global slowdown risks, and U.S.–EU policy divergence all weigh on the single currency.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A surprise hawkish shift from the ECB or softer-than-expected U.S. data could reignite EUR upside momentum and squeeze shorts.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
ECB policy meeting minutes (guidance on growth vs. inflation trade-off)
U.S. PMI & jobless claims (gauging the Fed’s stance on growth resilience)
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURUSD is a leader pair in the FX market, often dictating overall USD sentiment.
Movements here influence correlated assets such as DXY, gold, and EUR-crosses like EURJPY and EURNZD.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 1.1606, 1.1410
Resistance Levels: 1.1710, 1.1797
Stop Loss (SL): 1.1800
Take Profit (TP): 1.1606 (first target), 1.1410 (extended target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURUSD continues to lean bearish, with rejection from resistance and a weakening Eurozone macro backdrop providing downside pressure. The bias favors further losses toward 1.1606, with extended downside into the 1.1410 region if bearish momentum accelerates. A stop loss above 1.1800 provides protection against a breakout reversal. Traders should closely monitor ECB commentary and U.S. data releases, as any divergence from expectations could quickly shift momentum. Until then, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
EURUSD Bearish Setup Toward Support Zone.Analysis:
EURUSD is currently trading around 1.16000, and based on my technical outlook, I see potential for a bearish move. Price is approaching a key resistance area, and I am looking to short between 1.16200 – 1.16500 with a tight stop loss at 1.17000.
If this setup plays out, I expect EURUSD to decline toward the support zone at 1.14500, offering a good risk-to-reward opportunity.
Trading Plan:
📍 Entry Zone: 1.16200 – 1.16500
🛡️ Stop Loss: 1.17000
🎯 Target: 1.14500
Notes:
✅ Favorable R/R with tight stop loss
✅ Bearish momentum aligning with resistance rejection
✅ Watch price action for confirmation before entering
📢 If you find this analysis useful, support by liking, commenting, and sharing – it helps me keep bringing more trade setups to the community.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
EUR/USD Clings to Cloud, Break Above 1.168 KeyOn the daily chart, EUR/USD is currently resting along the top edge of the Kumo after bouncing from the 1.158–1.162 FVG zone. Recent candles show selling pressure being absorbed at the cloud top, with bullish candles closing higher while volume tapers during retracements – a sign of a clean, stable market backdrop.
Technically, the forward Kumo is flat and thin, often acting as a springboard for continuation. Above, a short-term supply FVG around 1.168–1.175 serves as the hurdle for the next leg up. Scenario to watch: if EUR/USD holds 1.160–1.162 and a daily candle closes above 1.168, the path to 1.170 and possibly 1.175 opens up.
On the macro side, this week focuses on preliminary Eurozone inflation (HICP) and ECB commentary. Soft readings would narrow Euro–USD rate expectations, adding support for EUR.
How do you see EUR/USD “escaping the cloud” in the coming sessions?