EUR/USD Slides to 1.1200 on Stronger Dollar Amid Trade Deal HopeCMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD extended losses on Thursday, sliding over 0.6% to test the 1.1200 handle amid renewed US Dollar demand. The Greenback gained momentum following reports of a pending US-UK trade agreement, which lifted sentiment despite the lack of official confirmation. The proposed deal would exempt the UK from steep reciprocal tariffs , while a broader 10% levy remains intact, raising questions over its longer-term impact.
Meanwhile, Europe remains sidelined in US trade diplomacy , with the White House cautioning against EU retaliation. For EUR/USD, downside pressure persists but is contained, with support forming near 1.1200. The pair has eased off multi-month highs north of 1.1500 and awaits fresh catalysts. A break below 1.1200 could open the door for deeper declines, while reclaiming 1.1300 remains key for bulls.
Resistance : 1.1232 , 1.1283
Support : 1.1197 , 1.1076
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area.
It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse.
It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance.
T1: 1.12355
T2: 1.13072
SL: 1.10468
EUR USD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a 30-minute candlestick analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair. It illustrates a head and shoulders pattern, which is typically considered a bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. Here's a breakdown:
Key Elements:
Red arrows: Mark the shoulders and the head of the pattern.
Orange circles: Highlight the swing lows (neckline area).
Blue lines: Show the price movement forming the head and shoulders.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Just after the right shoulder forms (price breaks the neckline).
Stop Loss: Slightly above the right shoulder (marked in red).
Take Profit: Below, equidistant from the neckline to the head (measured move), marked in green.
Strategy:
This is a short (sell) trade setup anticipating the price will fall after confirming the head and shoulders pattern. The risk/reward ratio looks favorable.
If you need help backtesting this pattern or automating the strategy, let me know!
EURUSD – Sell Into Resistance ZoneExpires: 15/05/2025 06:00
Trade Idea
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 1.1250
Stop Loss: 1.1310
Target: 1.1035
Duration: Intraday
Technical Overview
EURUSD is showing signs of indecision after posting mild net gains in an Inside Day pattern.
The current price action sits between bespoke resistance at 1.1250 and support at 1.1035, suggesting a defined range environment.
Price action in Asia showed some strength, but the broader setup favors selling into rallies toward resistance.
Market Sentiment
Sentiment skewed bearish (68% confidence) despite recent gains.
Expected mixed and volatile price action with no clear breakout above resistance zones, indicating exhaustion near recent highs.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Expecting Bearish movementAfter the Geneva talks, the two sides announced a 90-day suspension of some tariff measures and a reduction in the tax rates of some goods. This progress has alleviated market concerns about the escalation of global trade frictions and weakened the attractiveness of the euro as a risky currency. Schnabel, an executive board member of the ECB, said, "There is no need for further interest rate cuts," believing that the current interest rate is at a neutral level. However, the market still expects that if the economic data in the eurozone is weak, the ECB may be forced to continue its easing policy within this year, which poses potential pressure on the euro.
The exchange rate has fallen below the 200-day moving average (1.1195) and is far away from the 12-day EMA (1.1303) and the 26-day EMA (1.1284), and the short-term moving averages are in a bearish arrangement.
MACD indicator: The DIFF (0.0044) is lower than the DEA (0.0089), and the negative value of the histogram has expanded, indicating an increase in the downward momentum.
RSI (14): Currently at 43.29, it has not entered the oversold range, suggesting that there is still room for further decline.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Gap fill
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe – Technical and Fundamental AnalysisEUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe – Technical and Fundamental Analysis
The EUR/USD pair has been exhibiting bearish momentum on the 4-hour chart, following a clear break below two major support levels at 1.12700 and 1.09100. This breakdown indicates a shift in market structure, often referred to as a change of character (CHOCH), suggesting a weakening euro against the dollar.
Post-breakout, the previously strong support at 1.12700 has turned into a resistance level, where price is currently consolidating. This area is showing signs of potential liquidity buildup, as sellers appear to be positioning within the zone. If the market continues to respect this structure, further bearish movement may be anticipated, especially if price action confirms a break below the next key level around 1.12308.
Overall, the chart reflects a market in transition, where price is reacting to both technical levels and broader macroeconomic forces.
Fundamental Analysis (As of May 15, 2025):
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is under pressure due to a series of disappointing data releases and economic concerns within the Eurozone.
📉 Key Headwinds for the Euro:
Industrial Slowdown: Recent figures point to weakening industrial production, reflecting reduced manufacturing activity and slower economic momentum.
Persistent Inflation Challenges: Inflation remains subdued across the region, complicating the ECB’s policy stance and delaying potential rate hikes.
Policy Uncertainty from the ECB: The lack of clear guidance from the European Central Bank on monetary policy direction has created uncertainty among investors.
German Economic Struggles: Germany, often considered the economic engine of the Eurozone, has posted lower-than-expected GDP growth, adding to the regional economic concerns.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
EUR/USD suggesting a bullish outlookKey Elements in the Chart:
1. Chart Type:
Candlestick chart showing the EUR/USD currency pair.
Timeframe is 2 hours per candlestick.
2. Indicators:
Supertrend indicator: Shows buy and sell signals based on trend direction.
Green means bullish trend (buy signal).
Red means bearish trend (sell signal).
3. Annotations:
Trendline: A diagonal blue line indicating past support during an uptrend.
Support Level: A horizontal zone marked near the bottom, where price has previously bounced (around 1.1113).
Red Oval: Highlights a consolidation or range-bound area with choppy movement.
Buy/Sell Labels: Indicators of possible entry points provided by the system.
4. Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around the 1.1189 level (current price).
Target Zone: Near 1.1432.
Stop-Loss/Support: Close to 1.1113.
Projected Move: Illustrated with an arrow pointing upward from the entry zone to the target zone, suggesting a bullish outlook.
This chart presents a bullish trade idea on EUR/USD with a favorable risk/reward ratio. The trade is based on a support bounce, a buy signal from the Supertrend indicator, and a technical structure suggesting a potential upward movement toward the 1.1432 target leve
"Mastering Market Structure: The Foundation of Smart Trading"Understanding market structure is the key to developing consistency and precision in your trading. Focus on higher timeframes, identify clear trends, and avoid noise. Trading is not about predicting every move—it's about reacting with discipline when your strategy aligns. 📊🧠
Remember: Patience and structure beat emotions every time.
Eurusd signal EUR/USD remains capped below its 2025 peak of 1.1572 (April 21), with the 1.1600 level and the October 2021 high at 1.1692 acting as key resistance zones.
EUR/USD took a hard step lower on Monday, kicking off the new trading week with a fresh dip below 1.1000 before a late recovery pushed the pair back toward 1.1100. The Fiber still closed 1.4% lower on the day, and investors are bracing for a fresh batch of US Consumer Price Index inflation data due on Tuesday.
Supply Zone Rejection & BOS Confirm Downtrend ContinuationAfter a clean shift in structure marked by a CHoCH and subsequent BOS, price retraced into a clear supply zone—offering a high-probability short setup. Here's how the setup unfolded:
🧠 Trade Rationale
Break of Structure (BOS): Price broke below a key higher low, confirming a bearish structure.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Signaled the end of bullish momentum earlier in the sequence.
Supply Zone: Price retraced into a well-defined supply area (aligned with imbalance and prior support turned resistance).
Entry: Short taken as price tapped into the supply and failed to make a new high—further confirmed by a lower timeframe CHoCH.
Target: Aiming for the next BOS level below, aligning with clean equal lows/liquidity draw.
🔍 Key Concepts Highlighted
Structure-based trading with CHoCH and BOS labeling.
Supply zone entries based on price action confirmation.
Risk-to-reward driven decision-making (tight SL above supply, TP near next demand).
💬 What do you think? Do you wait for confirmation within supply, or enter at touch?
Let’s discuss—drop your thoughts and feedback!
EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 1.1260 which is now
A resistance then made a
Retest and is going down now
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Keep an eye on it.Hello friends.
There are two scenarios in the euro to dollar symbol, which you and I, my dears, should pay attention to.
You can look for buy trades in case of correction in the specified areas.
Also, keep in mind that we are in an upward trend on a higher time frame and this correction drop is to continue the trend rather than the main drop.
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.
I hope you have used this analysis well, and this is only a point of view from me and my team and do not use this analysis as a trade in any way, unless with your approval.
.
Thank you for following our page to see more analyses.
EURUSD long.The trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, and it includes the following key components:
Entry Zone:
The area is marked as the Entry Zone.
Traders are expected to enter a buy position when the price dips into this zone.
Approximate entry range: 1.10871 – 1.10567
🔴 Stop Loss (SL):
Marked below the Entry Zone.
The Stop Loss is placed at around 1.10256.
This protects against further downside if the trade setup fails.
🟢 Final Target:
The area marks the take profit zone, or Final Target.
Target price: 1.12477
This is where the trade is expected to reach if the price moves favorably.
📈 Projection:
Two potential upward price paths are shown, indicating:
One quick bounce from the Entry Zone.
Another scenario where price dips slightly deeper into the Entry Zone before reversing upward.
💬 Summary:
This is a long (buy) trade setup where the trader aims to buy near the 1.10500–1.10871 area, sets a stop loss around 1.10256, and targets a profit at 1.12477. The analysis assumes a bullish reversal after the recent downtrend.
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This chart from TradingView shows the EUR/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe.
Key Observations:
1. Current Price: The price is around 1.10784, with a significant drop indicated (-1.49%).
2. Support Zone: There is a horizontal support line near the current price, suggesting a potential bottom or area of buying interest.
3. Resistance Zones:
An intermediate resistance around 1.11826.
A higher resistance near the 1.12000 level, marked as a potential target.
4. Bullish Reversal Pattern: The chart shows a potential W-shaped pattern forming, indicating a possible reversal from the current downtrend.
5. Projection: The arrow and target indicate that if the price breaks the intermediate resistance, it may aim for the 1.12000 area.
Trading Insight:
This setup suggests a bullish reversal after the recent sell-off. A break and close above the intermediate resistance around 1.11826 could confirm a move toward the next target. However, if the price fails to break the resistance, a continuation of the downtrend may occur.
Would you like an analysis of potential trading strategies based on this chart?
EUR-USD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest
Of the key horizontal level
Around 1.1255 and already
Made a pullback so we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
My Thoughts #009We are getting ready for sells
The pair still has a liquid area inside the supply zone
We will sell once we get a choch on the supply after the sweep of the liquidity
And sell till the all time low
The pair could invalidate the whole set up
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD May 13 Trade ExecutedEURUSD
May 13
Trade Executed
Premarket Analysis & Narrative logic
*Friday Price Asia swings low to sell side. London retraces Thursdays delivery. NY session retraces to sells off.
*I suspected for Sundays delivery to take the equal lows and a deeper sell off
*Sunday delivery to Asia price retraces the previous range to 50% and consolidates
Expected a expansion cycle to occur-time to look for the sell off set up
*Admittedly these consolidation ranges burn me, I go in too early or too late, too eager.
*Cross reference GBP it did not take its key lows tipping its hand thats where GBP would go
*DXY consolidated in the top side of FVG tipping its hand to seek higher prices
Asia
Prices retraces in the .618 range appears to be breaking down coming into London.
2 macro price swings up-judus swing
2:30 creates a swing low and takes the minor buy side equal highs
2:31 energetic displacement candle-good sign
2:35 creates a FVG and breaks the swing low
2:37 is model 2022 entry but Im not in a Macro so I waited for more info
2:51 enter into a first presented FVG candle 1:56
Price knocked me out at my TP-equal lows
First target equal lows also 1 standard deviation
I saw the candles at 3:15 and felt it would run to the 2 standard deviation but my balls are not big enough yet when it drops like that. It basically scared me!
WOW! great delivery. Great analysis and cross reference of DXY and GBP to support me.
What I learned
Trust your morning analysis and stay out of the noise-minute charts. The minute candles really mess with me as my emotions get jared and put doubt in my head.
Im pressing DEMO buttons!
I was cautious and almost did not take this trade, due to selling in a discount logic.
Very happy with this trade.
Holding for second deviation when I saw the candle formation was a retracement is a take away.