US30 Consolidates Below Key Resistance as Bearish Pressure BuildUS30 – Technical Overview
The price reached our target at 48020 exactly and is now consolidating within the 48020–48420 range.
For now, the structure remains bearish while price trades below 48420 and 48270.
As long as the market stays under these levels, downside movement toward 48020 remains likely.
A deeper bearish continuation requires a 1H candle close below 47860, which would open the path toward: → 47560
On the other hand, a break and stabilization above 48420 would shift momentum to bullish, targeting: → 48700
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 48270
Support: 48020 · 47860 · 47560
Resistance: 48420 · 48700
Market insights
Christmas Rally Potential📉 Setup: Dow Jones in a descending bearish trendline from ~49,000 highs. Price grinding lower but approaching a potential reversal zone.
🔑 Key Levels:
• Resistance: Bearish trendline ~48,500–48,750 (break = bullish invalidation)
• Support: Bullish 4H order block ~47,750–48,000 (demand area)
• Current: ~48,023, mid-channel
🚀 Bullish Outlook: Hold support + trendline break could trigger Santa Claus rally. Targets: 49,000 then 49,500. RSI divergence + buyer volume hints at weakening sellers.
📉 Bearish Outlook: Break below order block → 47,500 or lower.
🌍 Catalysts (Dec 18, 2025):
• November CPI data out today (exp. ~3.1% YoY) – softer print could boost rate-cut hopes, lifting stocks.
• Ongoing rotation from AI/tech selloff into Dow value names amid bubble concerns.
• Earnings: Nike, FedEx, Accenture, etc. – strong reports may spark upside.
Leaning bullish into year-end seasonality. Stops below order block. Rally or fade? 👇 #US30 #DowJones #ChristmasRally #TechnicalAnalysis
US30 | Hourly Outlook | 2 ScenariosWe are overall bullish and we are approaching the hourly swing low. We have been internally making lower lows and lower highs. I will want to see price either go up from where its at currently and retest the interal supply to then go and take out the hourly low or go straight down from where its at and sweep the hourly low and tap into the hourly ob. Whatever scenario happens, I will be monitoring lower timeframe price action for confirmation at either zone.
Trade Safe -Remzy
DOW/US30 - OVER BOUGHT Team, I hope you recall the trade last 3 days ago about OPPORTUNITY OF BEAUTIFUL CHART
Since then, it has been running up over 1400 points in 3 days.
Now I find myself in a good time to SHORT, with 3-4 confluences to make that decision.
1- 1400 points up in 3 days, (2 days up because of RATE cut)
2 - Daily chart indicates overbought
3 - NEW ATH
Therefore, we expect a small retracement.
SHORT range at 48787 - 48850 - STOP LOSS above 50050
Target 1 at 48715-48650
Target 2 at 48600-48550
Target 3 at 48412-48350
LETS GO
US30: Another Attempt to Rise AgainUS30: Another Attempt to Rise Again
US30 broke out of a triangle pattern indicating a rise in the bullish momentum.
If price continues to respect this small pattern, US30 should rise more today with targets at 48000 and 48123.
It may work better with call options as this limits the risk in a better way considering the market volatility.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Dow Jones Is About to Show Its Hand This WeekIn my view, the market is about to show its hand this week, and this could open the door for another round of strong, high-quality trades.
The 48,209 level is extremely important for me.
If price moves below this level, the scenario becomes very clear — from that point on, I’ll be focused only on short positions.
For now, I’m closely monitoring how the market reacts around this zone.
I’ll share the second scenario in the next post.
US30 UPDATE📈 US30 UPDATE — Levels on Watch!
Price is reacting around an important zone, and this setup could get interesting from here 👀🔥
🔓 Entry Level: 48,467
❌ Stop Loss: 48,174
🎯 Target: 48,727
Market reaction at this level will be key. If momentum builds, price may extend toward the target zone, while risk remains defined below the stop.
What’s your take on US30 from here?
Bullish or bearish?
Share your thoughts below — let’s get a discussion going! ⬇️💬🔥
Your like/support helps this reach more traders 👍
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; it reflects only my personal market analysis. Please do your own research before trading.
Dow Jones Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US30 has reacted strongly from a well-defined horizontal demand area, confirming smart money accumulation. Bullish displacement broke prior structure, leaving inefficiencies below. Continuation toward resting buy-side liquidity and higher targets is favored. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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DowJones Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 48710
Resistance Level 2: 48880
Resistance Level 3: 49100
Support Level 1: 47680
Support Level 2: 47480
Support Level 3: 47280
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 | ANALYSIS📊 US30 Update — Key Structure Levels Active
US30 is trading around an important structure zone where buyers have shown strength before. As long as price holds above support, bullish momentum remains valid, with potential continuation toward the next resistance area.
🔓 Entry: 48,395
❌ Stop Loss: 48,192
🎯 Target: 48,627
Price action around these levels will be crucial for confirmation.
Do you expect continuation or a short-term pullback from here? Drop your bias below 👇
Your like/support helps this idea reach more traders 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post reflects personal market analysis and is not financial advice.
US30 Trade Set Up Dec 15 2025Price made a new ATH last week and has left a daily gap below which i will expect price to fill this week before continuing higher. So for now price is trading within a bearish 4h FVG, approaching 1h supply and has swept both Asia and London highs so i will wait and see if price makes internal 1m-5m CISD/IFVG to reverse down to Asia lows and PDL
Technical Analysis: US Indices Continuation PatternsTechnical Analysis: US Indices Continuation Patterns 📈
Based on the provided chart, which displays the US Wall St 30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD), the DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average), and the DJTA (Dow Jones Transportation Average), a clear technical pattern suggests a continuation of the bullish trend across all three indices.
1. Pattern Identification: Ascending Triangles
The dominant chart pattern observed across the US Wall St 30, the DJI, and the DJTA is the Ascending Triangle formation.
Structure: This is a bullish continuation pattern characterized by a relatively flat horizontal resistance line (the highs) and a rising lower trendline (the lows).
Interpretation: The horizontal resistance indicates a level where selling pressure is persistent. The rising lower trendline, connecting progressively higher lows, demonstrates that buyers are becoming more aggressive over time, consistently stepping in to buy at higher prices. This indicates a buildup of buying pressure (accumulation) beneath the resistance level.
Resolution: The pattern is confirmed upon a decisive breakout above the horizontal resistance line, signaling that the buyers have finally overwhelmed the sellers and the prior uptrend is set to continue. The chart illustrates a potential breakout phase for all three indices, indicated by the upward arrows extending from the apex of the triangles.
2. Validation of Dow Theory Conditions
The relationship between the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) is a key component of Dow Theory. The theory posits that for a major trend to be confirmed, both the Industrial and Transportation averages must move in the same direction.
Condition: An advance in the Industrial Average must be accompanied by a corresponding advance in the Transportation Average.
Chart Evidence:
DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average): Shows the formation of a clear ascending triangle pattern, indicating an expected move to the upside (continuation of the uptrend).
DJTA (Dow Jones Transportation Average): Displays a very similar and concurrent ascending triangle pattern, also forecasting a move to the upside.
Conclusion: Since both the DJI and DJTA are exhibiting simultaneous, strong bullish continuation patterns (Ascending Triangles) and are currently posturing for a coordinated upward breakout, the charts provide a powerful confirmation of the primary bullish trend as per the requirements of Dow Theory. The technical setup across the major averages is congruent, strengthening the bullish thesis for the broader US market.
3. Price Targets and Confluence
The traditional method for setting a price target following an ascending triangle breakout is to measure the height of the back of the triangle (the widest part) and project that distance vertically from the point of the breakout.
US Wall St 30 (Top Panel):
The recent consolidation phase (Ascending Triangle) is preceded by a strong multi-year uptrend.
Fibonacci extension levels are marked above the resistance, which act as potential price targets following a breakout: 15.72% and 19.34% are visible targets, indicating a significant expected price movement upon confirmation.
The consolidation is occurring near recent all-time highs, suggesting a period of accumulation before the next leg higher.
Summary and Outlook
The technical analysis strongly supports a bullish continuation outlook for the indices. The presence of the Ascending Triangle continuation pattern on all three major US averages, coupled with the alignment of the DJI and DJTA, provides robust confirmation of the overall primary uptrend as per Dow Theory. A definitive breakout above the horizontal resistance lines would trigger the next major move higher, with price targets set by the measured move of the pattern and confirmed by the visible Fibonacci extension levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on the provided chart and established technical analysis principles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and professional advice should be sought before making any investment decisions.
DowJones key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 49000
Resistance Level 2: 49253
Resistance Level 3: 49600
Support Level 1: 48100
Support Level 2: 47870
Support Level 3: 47520
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Fake Breakout Reversal Toward 48,500 $From my market view the US30 made a fake breakout above my resistance zone
This liquidity grab trapped sellers before price quickly bounced back upward showing that buyers still control the trend
At this point I expect the market to continue pushing higher toward the 48500 $ which represents
As long as price remains above the fake-breakout zone, the bullish scenario remains valid
Dow Jones Shows Neutrality After Reaching New HighsDespite the bullish movement the index experienced following the Federal Reserve’s decision in the United States, the beginning of this week has shown a renewed bearish move, with the last two sessions accumulating a decline of nearly 1%. This indicates that a new selling bias has started to emerge within the broader long-term uptrend. For now, the optimism driven by expectations of lower interest rates appears to be fading, and as we enter a period with fewer relevant economic data releases, the index may begin to show a phase of steady indecision as the market prepares for the end of the year. This environment could bring a period of neutrality in the Dow Jones price action over the coming trading sessions.
Long-Term Uptrend Holds
For several months, a broad upward trend has been sustained in the Dow Jones, progressively pushing the index toward the psychological zone of 50,000 points. So far, no significant bearish corrections have emerged that could threaten this structure, making it the most important technical element to monitor in the coming weeks.
However, in the short term, as the price has reached new highs, a constant zone of indecision has begun to appear, which may lead to short-term bearish corrections if buying pressure fails to remain strong.
RSI
Currently, the RSI remains consistently above the neutral 50 level, indicating that buying momentum continues to dominate the index’s short-term movements. However, it is important to note the emergence of lower highs in the RSI, while the Dow Jones price itself continues to register higher highs. This behavior suggests the formation of a bearish divergence, signaling a possible imbalance in momentum that could lead to minor bearish corrections in the next sessions.
MACD
The MACD histogram is gradually moving back toward the zero line, which suggests a scenario of balanced momentum in short-term moving averages. If this behavior continues, the Dow Jones price may enter a more prolonged phase of indecision, with less directional movement.
Key Levels to Watch
48,850 points – Main resistance:
The newest high, now acting as the most important resistance. Price movements that consistently break above this level would strengthen the bullish bias and could extend the current long-term uptrend.
48,051 points – Nearby barrier:
A short-term neutrality zone that may serve as support against potential bearish corrections.
47,156 points – Important support:
This level aligns with the 50-period simple moving average and represents the key support for bearish movements. If the price retraces back to this area, the dominant uptrend may begin to lose strength, potentially activating a period of neutrality and leading to a short-term sideways range.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
US30 Scaling Setup – Pullback to 48k Targeting 50,000 Year EndUS30’s near highs (~48,500–49,000), but a pullback to 48,000 looks likely as we await the first US unemployment rate release since the 43-day government shutdown—a highly anticipated event. Here’s my plan to scale longs and hit 50,000 by Thursday/Friday:
Setup:
Area of Interest (AOI): Targeting ~47,800–48,200 (around 48,000), a high-volume support zone (volume profile) with past buyer activity.
Confirmation: Enter on stalling bearish momentum (e.g., RSI ~50, MACD histogram flattening, bullish pin bars on 4H/1H).
Strategy:
Initial Entry: Small position (0.01 lot) at 48,000 to scalp intra-day bounces.
Scaling In: Add a 2x larger position (0.02 lot) at 47,800 if price drops, building exposure.
Target: Aim for 50,000 (psychological resistance) by Thursday/Friday, December 18–19, post-unemployment data. Close all trades at target or if 4H closes below 47,800 (bearish resumption).
Position Management: Trail stops to lock in profits (e.g., breakeven at +0.2%, trail to 0.5% portfolio gain). This trade fits my broader portfolio (e.g., XAUUSD, EURUSD), with adjustments based on weekly performance.
Risk Management:
Cap risk at 1–2% per trade, 10% portfolio max (per FTMO rules). Stops at 47,500 (initial) and 47,000 (scaled). Diversify with XAUUSD/EURUSD to spread exposure. Reserve margin for event volatility.
Key US Economic Events (Times EST):
*** Tuesday, Dec 16, 8:30 AM: Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct/Nov, delayed). Forecast: ~40,000 (Nov, per). Weak (<20,000) could rally US30 to 50,000; strong (>100,000) may deepen pullback to 47,800.
*** Tuesday, Dec 16, 8:30 AM: Unemployment Rate (Nov). Forecast: ~4.4% (per). First release since shutdown (September: 4.4%, highest since 2021). A spike (>4.7%) could trigger risk-off to 47,000; steady (~4.4%) may support 50,000.
*** Tuesday, Dec 16, 8:30 AM: Retail Sales (Nov). Forecast: +0.4% m/m (per). Weak (<0.2%) may push to 47,000; strong (>0.6%) could delay pullback.
*** Thursday, Dec 18, 8:30 AM: Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Dec 13). Forecast: ~220K (per). High (>250K) supports US30; low (<200K) caps upside.
Market Context:
US30’s up 17% YTD but faces resistance at 50,000 (per,). RSI (~55) and MACD flattening suggest a pullback to 48,000, a high-volume zone (November 2025, per,). The Nov unemployment rate (Tuesday), the first since the shutdown, is a major catalyst—steady data could fuel a rally to 50,000; a spike may trigger risk-off. Volatility’s 1–2% daily (~500–1000 points), ideal for scaling longs post-data.
Risk Warning:
The unemployment rate release could spike volatility. Keep risk at 1–2% per trade, diversify, and use tight stops. Trade your plan!
What’s your US30 play this week? Share your setups below!
#US30 #DowJones #Scalping #Unemployment #EconomicEvents
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Level for 11th - 12th Dec '25(2:30 amFED Rate Cut impact in Indian Financial Market:
Trading approach in NSE BSE
For an Indian trader, Fed cuts with a dovish or balanced guidance usually support:
Short‑term long bias in Nifty/Sensex and high‑quality large caps as flows and sentiment improve.
Overweight stance on IT, financials, autos, and select cyclicals, while closely tracking FPI flow data, dollar index, and USDINR for confirmation
The US Federal Reserve has just delivered its third consecutive rate cut, taking the federal funds target range down to about 3.5%–3.75%, the lowest since 2022. It is also signaling that the pace of further cuts will likely slow, with only very limited easing projected over the next couple of years.
Latest Fed move
The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points at its December 2025 meeting, following similar cuts in September and October. This “hawkish cut” pattern reflects concern about a softer labor market while still being cautious because inflation is only gradually moving toward the 2% target.
Future cut expectations
Fed projections currently point to only one additional cut in 2026 and another in 2027, implying a very shallow easing path compared with what markets had been pricing in. Officials have stressed that further moves will depend heavily on incoming data on inflation and employment, so the path is explicitly data‑dependent rather than pre‑committed.
Market and global impact
US equities initially rallied on the latest cut, as investors welcomed lower discount rates and a still‑decent growth outlook for 2026. For emerging markets like India, the lower Fed rate tends to ease pressure on the dollar, supports currencies, and can give local central banks more room to consider their own rate cuts if domestic inflation allows
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
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Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
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US3O Price Consolidation within its broader bearish momentumUS30 remains in a consolidation phase within its broader bearish trend. After failing to break down convincingly, price may retest overhead resistance before determining the next direction.
Technically Wall Street futures edged slightly higher as traders positioned themselves ahead of one of the most closely watched and divisive upcoming Federal Reserve meetings. Despite this temporary lift, technical structure still favours the bears.
US30 continues to show signs of weakening momentum, and as long as price remains below key resistance levels, bearish control is expected to persist. The index may revisit the support zone between 47,202 and 46,506, which continues to act as an important downside target area.
You may find more details in the Chart.
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
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