US30 WatchFor those who see this I am a London/NY session intraday trader. So currently I'm watching Us30 I like to wait for a move and a obvious pull back and then continuation. I try not to have a predetermined bias because US30 tends go anywhere at anytime more times than it's not, it's more in my favor to react than to predict. Since 5AM its touched one of my quarter levels. I'm looking for some sort of higher time frame retracement and then looking for entries.
I try to keep my strategy simple. My charts are simple. I follow my own version of price action, which I'll look to explain as I continue to post my charts throughout the week. As of right now this is what I see and I'm still waiting.
Market insights
DowJones Key support at 47530 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 48132
Resistance Level 2: 48276
Resistance Level 3: 48420
Support Level 1: 47530
Support Level 2: 47366
Support Level 3: 47185
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Massive WALL STREET Short At All Time High Price is testing the all time high while a head and shoulders formation is visible on the Daily, indicating potential distribution at resistance
On H4, momentum is overbought and price has remained range bound for approximately four sessions, signaling reduced follow through on the upside
Sentiment appears fragile amid discussion of an AI driven excess, and risk appetite is moderating into strength
Harmonic confluence is present, with a deep crab on H1 and a crab on H4 aligning near current levels to define a potential reversal zone
Multi-timeframe momentum is stretched up to H4; bearish RSI divergence is present on H1 and H4, with H4 showing roughly a 15-point divergence while price holds flat
Repeated failures at the all-time high confirm supply; this level continues to cap advances and strengthens the resistance profile
The H1 trend has transitioned from flat to lower, shifting near-term bias to the downside within the broader range
Cross-market context is consistent, as major US indices are also near record highs and failing to extend, which adds intermarket confirmation
Risk parameters are defined with a stop above 48,250 or above the all-time high at 48,425, which would invalidate the reversal thesis
Initial downside objective is 47,300, corresponding to the next significant support and consistent with an H4 scale pullback
Position management should consider partial profit taking at interim supports and a reduction in risk if RSI resets higher without corresponding price weakness
Can the Dow Jones Continue Its Bullish Momentum This Week?🚀 US30/DJI Dow Jones - Bullish Pullback Opportunity 📈
Professional Market Blueprint | Swing Trade Setup
📊 TRADE OVERVIEW
Asset: US30/DJI - Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH - Hull MA Pullback Strategy
Confirmation: Heikin Ashi Reversal Candle Pattern
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 🎯
Approach: Multiple limit orders (Professional Risk Distribution)
Layer Entry Points:
Layer 1: 46,600 🔵
Layer 2: 46,800 🔵
Layer 3: 47,000 🔵
Layer 4: 47,200 🔵
💡 Tip: Adjust additional layers based on your risk tolerance and account size
🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT
Stop Loss: 46,400
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. You manage your own risk. Adjust SL according to your strategy and risk profile.
Take Profit Target: 48,800
📌 Rationale: Moving Average resistance + Overbought zone + Trap detection
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. You manage your own risk. Take profits at your own discretion.
📈 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE
✅ Hull Moving Average - Bullish alignment & pullback structure
✅ Heikin Ashi Reversal - Confirmation candle pattern at entry zones
✅ Moving Average Resistance - Strong rejection level near TP
✅ Overbought Divergence - Potential trap for trap traders
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio - Favorable 1:3+ setup potential
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH - CORRELATION ANALYSIS
📍 AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 ETF (Positive Correlation - 0.92)
US30 follows broad market sentiment. SPY strength = DJI bullish momentum.
📍 NASDAQ:QQQ - Nasdaq-100 ETF (Positive Correlation - 0.85)
Tech sector performance impacts overall market. Monitor for divergence signals.
📍 AMEX:IWM - Russell 2000 (Small Cap) (Positive Correlation - 0.88)
Small-cap rotations precede index moves. Early trend confirmation signal.
📍 AMEX:GLD - Gold Spot Price (Inverse Correlation - -0.45)
Risk-on sentiment (bullish DJI) = weaker gold. Inverse hedge setup.
📍 TVC:VIX - Volatility Index (Inverse Correlation - -0.70)
Rising VIX = market fear = DJI pullback risk. Monitor at entry zones.
📍 TVC:US10Y Yield (Negative Correlation - -0.55)
Rising yields pressure equities. Check yield strength before entries.
📍 TVC:DXY - US Dollar Index (Weak Negative - -0.30)
Stronger dollar = export headwinds. Minor impact, secondary indicator.
⚡ KEY TRADING RULES
🔴 BEFORE ENTRY:
Confirm Hull MA slope is positive
Wait for Heikin Ashi reversal candle close
Check VIX & SPY alignment
Ensure no major economic events
🟢 AT ENTRY:
Use layering strategy (don't chase)
Build position gradually across 4 layers
Scale risk based on account size
Document entry price & time
🟡 DURING TRADE:
Trail stop loss after +1% profit
Monitor related pairs for divergence
Close 50% at +2% for risk-free trade
Let remainder run to target
🔵 EXIT PLAN:
Target: 48,800 (reference level)
Or: Exit on Heikin Ashi reversal signal
Or: Close on MA resistance rejection
Never hold into major news events
US30 Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 47,967.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 46,950.2 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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dji possible shortDow Jones appears to be completing a major corrective structure (A-B-C) and is currently testing the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel.
The index has reached a confluence of technical exhaustion:
• Completion of wave C
• Touching the channel’s upper resistance
• Repeating the timing cycle of “impulse → correction → impulse”
• Similar time symmetry conditions seen at previous cycle tops
This alignment suggests that the current bullish cycle may be nearing its end, with the market entering a potential distribution zone.
From here, the probability of a medium-term correction — or even a deeper decline — increases significantly.
If price fails to break convincingly above the channel, the market may begin a larger bearish phase offering potential short opportunities.
DowJones Bullish above support at 47530 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 48132
Resistance Level 2: 48276
Resistance Level 3: 48420
Support Level 1: 47530
Support Level 2: 47366
Support Level 3: 47185
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones (US30) a break of 47,759 will confirm downside momentu
The rally was sold in the dip was bought, resulting in a doji-style candle being posted at the high. This highlights investor indecision at current levels.
Big Picture analysis suggests we are currently trading within the BC leg of a Butterfly formation. This pattern will be invalidated on a move through the previous swing high of 48,460. Formation will be completed on a move to 43,946.
The trend of higher highs and the previous change of structure is located at 47,759.
It should be noted that the US2000 has just hit a 261.8% extension level
Conclusion: the value trade is to the downside. A break of 47,759 will confirm downside momentum. (edited)Friday, 5 December 2025 06:45
Bullish continuation setup?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 47,730.53
1st Support: 47,204.31
1st Resistance: 48,435.66
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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US30 BiasM & W: Uptrend, respecting the lows
D: Uptrend, price retraced 78.6%
4H: Uptrend, price made a lower low, possibly trending short
1H: Uptrend, price hit H4 resistance zone + RSI showing oversold and bearish divergence.
CURRENTLY: I'm looking for price to go short to retest H1 trendline, @previous resistance, and continue long.
IF price breaks below H1 trend, I'll look for price to continue short to previous major support area
DOW JONES — Bullish Momentum AwakeningHigh R:R Setup | When Smart Money moving in**
The Dow Jones is entering the same structural phase that typically precedes strong and sustained bullish expansions.
Smart Money has completed a clean liquidity sweep beneath recent lows, and price is now shifting into a clear expansion phase.
🔹 Why I remain strongly bullish
1. Confirmed Break of Structure
A decisive break above the last lower highs gives the first Smart Money signal for trend continuation.
2. Perfect Liquidity Grab at the Lows
The classic sweep before major bullish impulses.
Stops cleared → Smart Money positioned.
3. Orderflow is clearly bullish
Both 4H and Daily show buyer dominance with strong, impulsive candles.
4. Extremely high Risk–to–Reward available
On the first clean pullback, the setup offers R:R between 1:40 and 1:125, depending on entry precision.
🎯 Primary Bullish Scenario
As long as price holds above 46300, the bullish structure remains fully valid.
Upside targets:
48,600
49000
Final target: 49400
All levels are aligned with market geometry, liquidity maps, and Fibonacci extension zones.
DowJones key support at 47530Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 48132
Resistance Level 2: 48276
Resistance Level 3: 48420
Support Level 1: 47530
Support Level 2: 47366
Support Level 3: 47185
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – MARKET OUTLOOK | December Optimism Meets Key Data RisksUS30 (Dow Jones) – Technical Overview
The Dow Jones posted a modest gain on Tuesday, rising 185 points, as traders embraced a bit of December optimism. Even small upticks count in a holiday month—especially with markets looking for positive momentum amid mixed macro signals.
Volatility is expected to increase ahead of today’s ADP employment data, which may influence risk sentiment across equities.
Technical Analysis
US30 maintains bullish momentum while trading above 47560, with upside targets at 47720 and 47855.
A breakout above these resistance zones may extend the move toward 48020.
However, a 1H or 4H close below 47460 will shift momentum into a bearish correction, opening the way toward 47230 and 47100.
Pivot Line: 47560
Resistance: 47710 · 47860 · 48020
Support: 47460 · 47230 · 47100
US30 Technical Breakdown – 12/04/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 12/04/2025
US30 pushed back into the 47,950–48,000 resistance zone after a clean trend continuation, with price now stalling near the highs. Bulls remain firmly in control as EMAs continue to slope upward, but momentum is slowing as we approach a major supply area 🔍📈.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Strong push into 48,000 → buyers testing major resistance
🔹 EMAs wide + rising → bullish momentum still intact
🔹 Small consolidation forming → early signs of exhaustion
🔹 Higher lows consistently defended → bulls still holding structure
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance:
48,000 → major psychological level + current rejection
47,955 → intraday supply (current stall zone)
47,780 → key prior breakout level
🔹 Support:
47,720 → immediate intraday support
47,560 → secondary support / EMA zone
46,960 → deeper demand if trend breaks
🧠 Bias:
Bullish while above 47,720 📈
📈 Break & hold above 48,000 → continuation toward 48,200 → 48,350
📉 Break below 47,720 → opens path to 47,560 → 47,300
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Confirmed BoS
With the yesterday's fundamental US news releases and
Trump's speech, US30 bounced strongly.
The market violated a significant daily resistance cluster
and closed above that.
It opens a potential for more growth to a resistance based
on a current All-Time High.
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