US30 (Dow Jones) Daily Analysis — Make or Break at DowntrendUS30 Daily Analysis
Technical Outlook — May 1, 2025
🔍 Current Market Condition:
US30 is trading near a critical confluence zone where price meets descending trendline resistance and horizontal supply. This level previously acted as a strong rejection point, making the current test significant.
🧩 Key Technical Highlights:
Price testing descending trendline from March highs.
Horizontal resistance zone around 41,000–41,300 is being challenged.
Stochastic oscillator is nearing overbought levels, suggesting caution.
The ascending channel’s lower boundary recently held as support near 38,000.
Compression forming between trendline resistance and rising support.
📈 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
Break and close above 41,300 could open path to retest 43,000 and 45,000 levels.
Look for a bullish daily candle with strong volume above trendline.
Bearish Case:
Rejection from current resistance could send price back toward 39,500–38,000 support zone.
Watch for bearish divergence on Stochastic or failed break above resistance.
📌 Important Note:
This week's economic calendar includes key data releases—stay alert for volatility that may trigger a breakout or reversal.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30 trade ideas
US30: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 40,968.4 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 41,302.5 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 (Dow Jones) Outlook – Thursday SetupWe're seeing a strong bullish push following the London Open. My expectation is for price to dip back into the London ORB zone and test one of the marked short-term demand blocks.
🔁 Play-by-Play Expectation:
Pullback to the lower OB zones and ORB.
Strong reaction from demand with bullish continuation.
Final target: top of the H1-H4 Supply Channel above 41,200–41,300 zone.
🧠 Contextual Notes:
Clean structure break post-London open.
Price filled imbalances efficiently.
Still respecting bullish internal order flow.
Clear confluence with trendline + FVG zones below.
📍 Key Zones:
Demand/Entry: ~40,840–40,760
Target Supply: ~41,250+
Invalid below: 40,643
Let the market come to your zone — no chasing. Be patient and precise. 🧘♂️
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is my own analysis and I’m still learning. Please do your own research and be careful with your risk management. This is not financial advice.
US30 Bulls Testing Resistance – Will 40,770 Hold or Break?Price is currently testing the 40,770 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish push. This level has previously acted as a key ceiling and could determine the next directional move. Price has been climbing steadily with higher lows, indicating bullish momentum.
Support at: 40,194 🔽, 39,070 🔽, 36,800 🔽
Resistance at: 40,770 🔼, 41,552 🔼, 42,540 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A clean breakout and hold above 40,770 could open the path to 41,552 and 42,540.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection at 40,770 or a drop below 40,194 could signal weakness and send price back to 39,070.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
DJIA Tests Major Resistance – Reversal or Breakout Next?The Dow Jones Industrial Average is pressing against a key resistance zone near 40,860, the neckline of a double-bottom pattern after rebounding sharply from its mid-April low:
📈 Strong 2-week rally from sub-37K lows
🔵 Price attempting to break the neckline after reclaiming the 50-day SMA
📊 RSI near neutral at 51 – plenty of room to run
📉 MACD accelerating upward, hinting at bullish momentum
If price clears and holds above 40,860, bulls could target a move back toward 42,500–43,000. Failure to break this zone may trigger a pullback toward the 50-day SMA near 41,500.
The setup is constructive — but the bulls need confirmation.
-MW
US30 Trade Update – Target HitFollowing my earlier post, I waited patiently for a solid confirmation. After price closed above the New York ORB, I entered long — and after a long wait, the trade finally hit the target right at the higher zone I had marked in advance.
This was a good reminder of the value of patience, planning, and trusting the process. The setup played out just as anticipated, and the breakout above structure delivered beautifully.
✅ Trade plan respected
📈 Entry after NY ORB breakout
🎯 Target reached with solid momentum
📌 Reminder: This is my personal analysis and part of my ongoing learning journey. Please do your own research and always manage risk responsibly.
US30 Trade Update- Still MonitoringFollowing up on my earlier analysis, I have not entered a long position yet. While the price action respected the breakout structure, momentum has weakened, and we're currently trading below the New York Opening Range (NY ORB).
I’m holding off on any entries until we get a clean candle close above the NY ORB, which would signal renewed bullish intent. The original setup remains valid, but I’m staying patient and disciplined, waiting for confirmation before committing.
👉 If price continues to break down and fails to reclaim the NY ORB, I won’t be trading US30 for the rest of the day — I’ll let the market do its thing and wait for a better setup.
📌 Reminder: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. I'm still learning and sharing my process — always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 28/04/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 28/04/2025 🛑
📈 Big Bounce — But Stuck Below Key Resistance!
US30 has made a strong recovery from 38,000s, but now it’s consolidating right under the 40,260 - 40,360 resistance zone. The bulls are trying to hold above 40,000, but momentum is stalling ⚡.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Price hovering around 40,000
🔹 Major resistance = 40,260 → 40,360
🔹 40,701 is the "final boss" resistance zone
🔹 EMAs (blue/white lines) starting to compress → ⚠️ squeeze coming soon!
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟰 Range between 39,800 - 40,360
🔻 If we reject and lose 39,800 → look for short plays targeting 39,200/38,955
🚀 If we break and close above 40,360 → clean upside toward 40,700+
🧠 Mindset Reminder:
⚡ Tight ranges = avoid overtrading
⚡ Wait for breakout confirmation → momentum will come
DOW JONES MONTHLY | Pullback in Motion
After tagging the $45,071 previous high, the Dow is now reacting sharply — down over 4.5% and sitting right on the 0.236 Fib level at $41,080.
⚠️ Momentum shift confirmed by this monthly candle.
Next key levels:
0.382 at $38,692
0.5 at $36,762
0.618 at $34,832 — the golden zone
This move could be a healthy correction within an uptrend — or the start of something deeper.
🔍 Watch price reaction around these fib zones closely.