GBPEUR trade ideas
EURGBP 8H Analysis : Breakdown + Smart Money Structure + Target🧠 Phase 1: Arc Formation – Accumulation by Smart Money
The arc (May to June) reflects an accumulation base where price made higher lows with consolidative wicks and slow momentum, ideal conditions for institutional orders to build long positions.
Liquidity is swept below swing lows, stopping out early longs — this is classic smart money accumulation.
Volume compression during the arc followed by expansion on breakout confirms smart interest.
🔑 Psychology: Retail was likely selling here due to lower highs, while smart money was accumulating quietly at the bottom of the arc.
🚀 Phase 2: Breakout & Rally to Previous Highs
Price cleanly breaks above the arc’s neckline and previous resistance (labeled as Previous Target).
Momentum accelerates rapidly toward the reversal zone, likely due to stop hunts and FOMO buyers entering after confirmation.
Structure shifts bullish, creating strong impulsive candles — but these are often final exit points for smart money.
📌 Key Sign: Breakout aligns perfectly with market inefficiencies being filled, often a sign of a short-term top formation brewing.
🔄 Phase 3 : Reversal Zone – Distribution Phase
Inside the Reversal Zone (0.8650–0.8680), price shows exhaustion with multiple upper wicks and slowing bullish momentum.
Distribution signs: choppy movement, lower highs, and eventual breakdown.
Retail is often caught entering longs here on confirmation, while institutions offload their positions.
🧠 MMC Insight: This is where Mind Market Curve transitions from bullish impulse to corrective leg down — phase of deception.
📉 Phase 4: Structure Breakdown & Bearish Market Behavior
Price breaks through short-term higher low structure — confirmation of bearish intent.
The formation of lower highs and lower lows marks the beginning of a bearish trend shift.
Market is now targeting Major Support (0.8500–0.8520 zone), which is currently being tested.
🧭 If price breaks below 0.8500 with volume and aggression, next level is likely near 0.8430–0.8450.
⚖️ Current Price Location: Major Support Test
We’re at a critical decision point.
If support holds → expect a bounce to 0.8600–0.8620.
If it breaks → expect continuation to next liquidity pool below 0.8450.
This zone is where buyers and sellers will battle. Wait for:
Bullish confirmation (reversal pattern / engulfing candle) to go long.
Bearish breakout (close below zone + retest) to go short.
🔁 Summary of Scenarios
Scenario Conditions Target
✅ Bullish Bounce Rejection at support with bullish engulfing/pin bar 0.8600–0.8620
❌ Bearish Break Close below 0.8500 + retest as resistance 0.8430–0.8450
🔖 Educational Takeaway
This chart teaches how to:
Identify accumulation via arc and understand smart money behavior.
Recognize false confirmation zones (where retail enters late).
Understand structure shift as a trend reversal signal.
Execute trades based on reaction zones, not emotions.
If you follow MMC (Mind Market Curve), this is a textbook transition from:
Accumulation →
Expansion →
Distribution →
Breakdown
EURGBP - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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EURGBP corrective pullback support at 0.8600The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8600 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8600 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8670 – initial resistance
0.8700 – psychological and structural level
0.8720 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8600 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8590 – minor support
0.8570 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8600. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURGBPEURGBP If the price can stay above 0.85028, it is likely to increase.
Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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EUR_GBP BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅EUR_GBP broke the key
Structure level of 0.8620
While trading in an local uptrend
Which makes me bullish
And I think that after the retest
Of the broken level is complete
A rebound and bullish continuation will follow
LONG🚀
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EURGBPHigher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL): The pattern of higher highs and higher lows is an indication of an uptrend, showing that the buying momentum is strong.
Entry: Place a buy stop order just above the recent higher high (HH). This allows you to enter the trade if the price continues moving upward, confirming the bullish momentum.
EURGBP Wave Analysis – 2 July 2025- EURGBP broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8700
EURGBP currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 0.8570 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i at the end of June) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse (B) from April.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from May.
EURGBP currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8700 (which is intersecting with the daily up channel from May).
EURGBP: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell EURGBP.
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The Day AheadWednesday, July 2 – Key Highlights:
US ADP Employment Report (June): A crucial preview to Friday’s NFP; strong numbers may delay Fed cuts, weak data could boost cut expectations.
Eurozone Labor Market Data (May): Italy and Eurozone unemployment rates will offer insight into the region’s economic resilience; deterioration may weigh on ECB sentiment.
Japan Monetary Base (June): Watch for shifts in liquidity trends as the BoJ cautiously normalizes policy.
France Budget Balance (May): A worsening fiscal position could raise concerns amid ongoing political uncertainty.
Canada Manufacturing PMI (June): A weak print would reinforce the case for continued BoC rate cuts.
Central Bank Watch:
ECB: Lagarde, Guindos, Cipollone, and Lane speak; markets will look for clues on inflation and rate path.
BoE: Taylor (or another senior official) speaks; comments may impact UK rate expectations ahead of the election.
Market Focus:
Labor market and fiscal data, paired with a heavy central bank speaker lineup, will guide rate cut expectations and shape cross-asset risk sentiment.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Weekly Uptrend, Daily Uptrend, H4 Uptrend - It's a BUY????All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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EURGBP short trade Idea with divergence 💶 EURGBP SHORT SETUP – Clean Supply Rejection 📉🔥
Looking at a fresh opportunity to short EURGBP based on recent price action and structure:
🔹 Market Context:
Price recently pushed into a key supply zone or resistance around 0.84800–0.85000.
Multiple rejections spotted at that level – suggesting weak bullish momentum and engineered liquidity.
🔹 Setup Bias: Bearish
We’re anticipating a short-term correction or continuation to the downside, targeting recent demand zones or imbalances.
🔹 Trade Setup (Example):
Entry: ~0.84800
Stop Loss: ~0.85100 (above supply wick)
Take Profit: ~0.84100 (demand/imbalance fill area)
Risk to Reward: ~1:3 potential
🔹 Confluences:
Rejection candle at supply
Divergence
Price broke structure (BOS) to the downside earlier
Overbought signals (if using RSI/Stoch)
Clean imbalance zone below
📊 Execution Tip:
Wait for confirmation (M15 bearish engulfing / lower high break) to avoid early entries.
EURGBP sell, July 01HTF shows strong bullish trend, with price barely missing the Daily imbalance — signaling strong buyer momentum and no clear reversal point nearby.
On LTF, we had a clean 15m BOS, confirming bullish continuation, and price reacted from a 15m POI with imbalance left behind.
First entry missed by 1 pip, but it’s still in play — second entry aligns with the same narrative.
📍Entry: 15m imbalance
🧠 BOS in our favor, valid setup if triggered before London close
🎯 TP: Asia high for 1:3 RR
📉 Risk: 0.5% on each position
Looking to continue the upside trend, staying patient and letting price come to us.
EURGBP Watching the FVG for a Possible Push HigherEURGBP has been showing a clean bullish structure on the 1 hour chart. We got a solid break of structure that left behind an imbalance and price is now pulling back.
There’s a fair value gap just above the previous day’s low and also some local liquidity resting below the last minor low. If price dips into that FVG, fills the imbalance and takes out a bit more liquidity, it could set up the next move up.
I’ll be watching how price reacts in that zone. A strong rejection could signal buyers stepping back in to target the highs and sweep the liquidity sitting above.
No need to rush. Let the market come into the level and prove itself first.
DeGRAM | EURGBP correction from the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● Price failed twice at 0.8580-0.8600 supply, completing a rising-wedge inside the larger downward channel; bearish divergence accompanies the second rejection.
● A clean drop back under the former breakout line (≈0.8560) turns it into fresh resistance; wedge depth and channel mid-line converge at 0.8525, with the April floor 0.8440 as next objective.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● French election risk premium is pressuring the euro, while stronger-than-expected UK GDP proxy (ONS monthly estimate) narrows growth gap and supports sterling.
✨ Summary
Sell 0.8560-0.8570; hold below 0.8560 targets 0.8525 → 0.8440. Short view invalidated on an H4 close above 0.8600.
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