GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (16.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3389
2nd Resistance – 1.3441
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GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD may correct after false breakout The currency pair has overcome a huge 0.8% or 110 points since the opening of the session, having wasted all the potential and is trying to test the resistance. The potential for breakout and continuation of growth may not be enough and the price may make a false breakout and correction before the second impulse to the intermediate high, where the scenario with correction may be repeated
Scenario: Breakout of 1.3402. No possibility to continue growth, return under the level and consolidation below the level - further sales.
It is possible that the price will consolidate above 1.34 and will head towards the far, strong level of 1.34425 from which a false breakout and correction can also be considered.
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 2 Target opposing rangeHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
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✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
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🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
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📍Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
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Lingrid | GBPUSD retest the RESISTANCE zone and FALLFX:GBPUSD price is approaching the confluence of the red resistance trendline and the $1.334 level after an extended climb along the upward trendline. Despite short-term bullish momentum, this zone has acted as a strong barrier in the past. A rejection here could signal the start of a local correction toward $1.325 or lower.
📌 Key Levels
Support: $1.32540
Resistance: $1.33413
Reversal Zone: Red trendline near $1.334
⚠️ Risks
Breakout above $1.334 could invalidate the reversal setup
Momentum remains bullish above the blue trendline
Failure to reject the red trendline may shift bias to breakout continuation
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
We can see 6K drop in the longs. closed on the Tuesday highs, if they want to take prices higher, they will build a poosition on the lower prices. Hence, I think we will see a bearish week.
Hey, what up traders, another week, another COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. I'm always trying to trade with the Big players, so knowing their positions is a good thing.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again, we as retail traders have a disadvantage, but there is the possibility to read between the lines. Remember, in the report is what they want you to see; that's why prices mostly reverse on Wednesday after the report, so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However, if the trend is running, you can read it and use it to your advantage.
📍Tip: If the level has confluence with the high volume on COT, it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
Have a great trading week, see in the next report.
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPUSD: Strong Sell Momentum Built Up! What is next?GBPUSD is building strong sell momentum, increasing sell volume. At the same time, DXY is in correction mode, so keep that in mind. If DXY plummets again, it may invalidate our first entry. However, there’s a second entry that could be a safer zone for those looking for a stable entry.
There are three take profit targets that can be set according to your trading plan. This analysis doesn’t guarantee that the price will move as described.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBP/USD About to Explode?GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone after testing the key weekly resistance area between 1.3400 and 1.3450. The bullish momentum remains strong, supported by speculative positioning still favoring the pound, while the dollar shows signs of softening. On the macro side, the interest rate differential between the UK and the US may narrow in the coming months, but for now, it continues to support upward pressure on the pair.
From a technical standpoint, price has broken out of an ascending triangle on the daily chart, showing strong momentum and confirmation with multiple closes above 1.3300. Market sentiment remains skewed to the short side, adding contrarian fuel to the bullish bias. The key short-term support lies between 1.3270 and 1.3300. As long as this area holds, the base case favors a continuation toward 1.3520 and potentially 1.3600. A break below 1.3170 would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door for a deeper pullback toward 1.3000.
From an execution standpoint, a confirmed breakout above 1.3415 could offer a long entry opportunity with active management. Still, caution is advised around the weekly supply zone due to its historical responsiveness. Eyes remain on upcoming macro data and potential volatility from central bank statements.
GBP/USD Short Trade Setup – Targeting 1.31580 from 1.34281Entry Point: 1.34281
Stop Loss: 1.34554 (about 27 pips above entry)
Target Points:
Target One: 1.32698
Final Target (EA Target Point): 1.31580 (approx. 270 pips from entry)
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, given the tight stop and wider target.
📈 Chart Features
Highlighted Zones:
Resistance Zone (top purple area): A strong supply zone, where price reversed multiple times.
Support Zone (bottom purple area): Historical demand zone, previous price reactions.
Orange Circles: Represent key swing highs and lows (likely used to confirm the zones or a double/triple top/bottom pattern).
Moving Averages:
Red Line: Likely a shorter-period MA (e.g., 20 EMA).
Blue Line: Likely a longer-period MA (e.g., 50 or 200 EMA), often used for trend confirmation.
🧠 Interpretation
Price Action: The chart suggests the price recently hit a resistance zone and is expected to reverse.
Trade Bias: Bearish – expecting the market to drop from the resistance.
Indicators Support:
Price has rejected multiple times at the top.
Entry is slightly below resistance, confirming a potential reversal.
Targets align with support and past consolidation zones.
GBPUSD Analysis – Bearish Setup Into Key ResistanceGBP/USD is trading into a key multi-week resistance zone between 1.3360 and 1.3413. The pair has failed to break this area multiple times, and current price action shows signs of compression and hesitation. With elevated UK inflation limiting BoE easing flexibility and renewed USD support following bond yield spikes, this setup offers a compelling bearish opportunity. Clean downside targets lie at 1.3177, 1.3016, and potentially 1.2890. The trade remains valid unless price breaks and holds above 1.3413.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Structure:
Price is testing a significant resistance zone (1.3360–1.3413) that’s held since early April.
Bearish trendline from May highs remains intact.
A descending structure is forming with lower highs and failed breakouts.
Support Levels to Watch:
1.3177 – Previous structure low
1.3016 – Strong horizontal support
1.2890 – March swing low and fib extension target
Confluence:
EUR/USD overlay shows rejection at similar highs, reinforcing risk-off dollar strength
Price failing to hold above fib retracement levels from prior swings
🌍 Fundamental Context
🇬🇧 British Pound (GBP):
UK inflation is climbing again (expected 3.0% CPI for April), delaying BoE's ability to cut further.
BoE’s Pill has pushed back on rapid easing, citing persistent service inflation.
UK-EU trade agreement provides medium-term support, but short-term upside appears priced in.
🇺🇸 U.S. Dollar (USD):
Despite Moody’s downgrade, U.S. yields are rising, supporting USD demand.
Trump’s tariff threats have injected global risk-off tones, lifting the dollar as a safe haven.
Fed remains cautious — no rate cuts expected soon.
🎯 Trade Setup
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near 1.3360–1.3413 resistance (wait for rejection candle confirmation)
Targets:
First: 1.3177
Second: 1.3016
Third: 1.2890
Invalidation: A daily close above 1.3413 would invalidate the bearish thesis
⚠️ Risk & Management Tips
Don’t short blindly into resistance — wait for strong wick or bearish engulfing candle.
Watch upcoming UK inflation data or Fed commentary for macro triggers.
Avoid over-leveraging: false breakouts near highs are common.
🧭 Conclusion
GBP/USD is coiling near a powerful resistance area. A confirmed rejection opens the door for a multi-leg downside move into 1.30 and below. As long as price holds beneath 1.3413, the risk-reward profile favors sellers. Patience and precision are key at this stage.
GBPUSD: Bearish Move Confirmed?! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks bearish after a release of UK GDP this morning.
I see a strong bearish imbalance after a test of a key horizontal resistance
and a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH as a confirmation.
I expect a bearish continuation at least to 1.3224
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GU-Wed-21/05/25 TDA-GBP CPI higher than expected, Bullish!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Risk management. You can take bad trades but
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The profitable strategy alone isn't enough to
succeed in this game.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD Possibilities To Make Big ShotHi traders,
Here The analysis for FX:GBPUSD im looking for. GBP CPI data already release 2 hours ago. It shows the strong data. The annual inflation rate in the UK jumped to 3.5% in April 2025, the highest since January 2024, from 2.6% in March and above forecasts of 3.3%.
Thus, im prepare for the oppurtuniti come after the data release. At the blue zone 1.33921 - 1.33794 is the best zone to execute. I will waiting in the zone and follow the SOP on lowest timeframe to ensure the best time to execute with quality of trade.
ZONE : 1.33921 - 1.33794
TP1 : 1.34980
TP2 : 1.35450
TP SWING : 1.36000
STOPLOSS : 1.33700
GBPUSD Trade Plan (GBPUSD Daily - 18/05)Pound index is showing signs of some easing from the bulls following return to previous highs from Sept 2024.
Price is still in an up trend, so the plan is to wait for the next opportunity higher, but for that I want a cheaper price.
Dollar is showing signs of recovering so lets hold for fib levels and check support levels. Ideally we want a breakout but I don't think its now.
GBP/USD 1HOUR BEARISH I'm providing here (GBP/USD, 1-hour timeframe)
Pattern Observation:
The price tested a resistance zone around 1.33400 – 1.33550 multiple times (triple top).
A potential bearish move is forecasted, as indicated by the drawn black and blue arrows.
Ichimoku Cloud shows bearish pressure (price is under the cloud).
Suggested Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Sell (Short)
Entry Point:
Around current price: 1.32800–1.32900
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: 1.32000 (recent support area)
TP2: 1.31580 (target marked on the chart)
TP3: 1.30800 (next key support zone if momentum continues)
Stop Loss (SL):
Above the resistance zone: 1.33550–1.33600
This protects the trade if price breaks above the established resistance.
Risk Management Tips:
Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital.
Adjust lot size based on SL distance and your risk tolerance.
Monitor for major news events near the 21–23 May period as marked on your chart.
EUR/USD BEARISH CONDITIONS IN COMING WEEKSBased on current seasonal tendencies and aligning with ICT principles of market structure and liquidity, EUR/USD exhibits a bearish tone for the coming weeks. Seasonally, the Euro tends to weaken in late Q2 (May–June), especially ahead of summer illiquidity and USD strength driven by institutional positioning.
The market structure has shifted bearish, with a clear break of previous daily swing lows and lower highs forming. Liquidity sweeps above recent highs have been followed by aggressive sell-offs, indicating smart money distribution.
Until major support or a significant shift in order flow occurs, the bias remains bearish, with potential downside targets aligned with previous imbalance zones and daily FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) below.
#GBPUSD: Risk Entry Vs Safe Entry, Which One Would You Chose? The GBPUSD currency pair presents two promising opportunities for entry, potentially generating gains exceeding 500 pips. However, entering these markets carries a substantial risk of stop-loss hunting during the commencement of the week. Conversely, adopting a safe entry strategy offers a favourable chance for a bullish position.
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GBPUSD: Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern + TriangleGBPUSD: Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern + Triangle
Yesterday GBPUSD declined nearly -1.23% during the opening of the London Market. This was accopanied by the news that the US Reached a good deal with China related to tariffs.
This news was made public by the White House.
Both countries will suspend tariffs for an initial period of 90 days.
The U.S. will cut extra tariffs it imposed on Chinese imports in April this year to 30% from 145% and Chinese duties on U.S. imports will fall to 10% from 125%, the two sides said on Monday. The new measures are effective for 90 days.
This news supported USD strength on the short term and GBPUSD declined from 160 pips from 1.3300 to 1.3140
Technical Analysis:
The bearish movement confirmed the breakout from the bearish Triangle pattern and from the Head and shoulder pattern we can see on the chart. A possible pause is expected after this moment given that we don't have strong reasons to see a more aggressive decline.
However the bearish movement may condinue during the week following new developments from the tariffs front related to the other countries.
Targets: 1.3100 ; 1.3000 and 1.2900 are very strong structure zones dating back also on the past.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.