Gold's volatile decline is in line with expectationsFrom the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed down, breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. In this cycle, gold has experienced a big rise and fall, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first pay attention to the support effect of 3360-3350 under weakness. If it does not break, we can continue to go long and bullish, with the upper target at 3400. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3350-3300 line of support.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Price Analysis May 1The D1 candle has broken out in a bearish direction. It is not surprising that the price broke Dow and decreased according to yesterday's Plan.
Gold confirmed the selling side won, so today's strategy is to watch for SELL. The SELL point pays attention to the 2 break zones of 3270 and 3302. The BUY point with the Scalping element pays attention to 3216 and today's main support is 3195.
The current trading strategy is that gold is approaching the 3237 resistance. If it confirms closing above this zone, it will give a BUY signal to 3251 and consider the price reaction of the US session. If it breaks 3241, it will hold until 3270. On the contrary, if it does not break 3237, it can SELL to 3216 and trade according to the noted port zones.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Price Analysis May 2D1 frame confirms closing below the disputed zone showing the downtrend continues to extend in the following days
The recovery in the Asian and European sessions can be a stepping stone for a decrease in the US session. Sellers are waiting for high price zones and old breakout zones to sell their goods. The 3271-3273 zone plays an important role in the bearish structure as long as this zone is held by the sellers, the possibility of a price increase is relatively low.
The barrier in the Asian session around 3257 will be where we consider the trading strategy. If the European session breaks this zone, we can buy at the target of 3271-3273. If the US session does not break this zone, SELL breaks it, the downtrend structure is broken and holds the BUY order until 3299. The daily resistance zone will be 3312. When 3371 is not broken, SELL and this is a good Swing signal to 3200. The possibility of a strong sell-off after Nonfarm is also understandable.
Strategy: If it does not break 3257 but falls, wait for the reaction at the border of 3243. When this zone is broken, the trend is broken, then we only SELL. If it increases from 3243, then maintain the above strategy with a better entry.
Up for gold!Hi traders,
Last week gold consolidated and dropped. It looks like the b-wave of the correction was a Triangle and now it's in the last Wave c (blue).
For next week we wait for the finish of the correction (Zigzag) into the Weekly FVG and after that we could trade longs again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3219.9
Sl - 3207.5
Tp - 3246.2
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold TechnicalsThis chart outlines a potential bullish breakout scenario for XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe. Price has been respecting a descending trendline, but recent upward momentum has brought it back to a key decision point near the trendline resistance. The circled area labeled "BOS" (Break of Structure) suggests a possible shift in market structure from bearish to bullish if price breaks and sustains above that zone. The main expectation is for price to push higher toward the upper resistance around 3,320 if the breakout confirms, offering a swing or intraday long opportunity. However, the alternative scenario (marked with a red arrow) highlights that failure to break the trendline could result in a rejection and continuation of the downtrend toward the 3,180–3,160 support zone. RSI near mid-levels supports the idea that price still has room to move in either direction, emphasizing the importance of watching price behavior at the breakout point.
0429 4H TRADING OPPORTUNITY FOR GOLDHello traders,
The seven major U.S. stock markets are no longer in the limelight, and the market is facing a major test
Even after the past week's rally, the Big Seven have had their worst first quarter since 2022!
Over the past two years, seven major tech companies--Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla--have driven a strong rally that pulled stocks out of the 2022 bear market, setting dozens of all-time highs.
Today, even after the past week's rally, the seven major U.S. stocks have had their worst start to a year since 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data. All seven stocks are down more than 6.5%, wiping out a total of $2.5 trillion in market value. [
1. Core earnings focus: Can tech giants continue their growth myth?
Earnings schedule and market expectations
Meta (after the close on April 30)
Microsoft (after the close of trading on May 1)
Apple (after the close on May 2)
Amazon (after the close of trading on May 3)
Risk warning signals
Nvidia showed weakness ahead of time: fell 2.1% on Monday.
Divergence in the Nasdaq: The Dow's fifth straight gain contrasts with a slight drop in the Nasdaq, which could trigger a broader sell-off if it falls below its 15,000 support level after earnings.
II. Interpretation of the latest market data
Changes in liquidity environment
US Treasury yields fell: The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.213% (from 4.267%), a low interest rate environment is positive for tech valuations, but the US Treasury's new $514 billion borrowing program could drain liquidity from the market, so watch for changes in funding.
Dollar index weakens: The Wall Street Journal dollar index fell to 95.78 (from 96.34) and a weaker dollar is usually good for foreign earnings conversion for multinational companies, but if the debt ceiling crisis heats up, the dollar could rebound quickly.
Commodity market feedback
Gold rallied back: Spot gold closed at its third-highest level in history ($3,332.50 an ounce), as risk aversion rose. If earnings fall short of expectations, gold could test the $3,400 mark again.
Crude oil demand concerns: WTI crude fell to $62.05 / barrel, Brent to $65.86. Weak tech stocks could exacerbate the deterioration in economic expectations, further weighing on the outlook for crude oil demand.
3. Analysis of key linkage effects
Negative correlation between tech stocks and gold: If the earnings blow leads to a sharp drop in the Nasdaq, gold's safe-haven nature will be highlighted, and capital may accelerate into the precious metals market.
Crude oil as an economic barometer: Weak tech giant earnings-> Downgraded global economic outlook-> Dismal outlook for crude oil demand, WTI may test psychological support at $60.
Weekly circle prompt:
[At the beginning of this week, new warehouses entered to short gold, and need to wait for a new one-hour reversal signal in the European and American sessions before continuing to enter to short gold,
aim to do
TP1:3265
TP2: 3240
TP3:3225
TP4: 3205】
On Monday, during the European session of gold, there was a reversal signal at the support structure position on the 1-hour chart, and the long plan was put on hold.
Daily chart, gold has been trading above the EMA in a volatile market, and the bearish force is not strong enough to reverse the gold rally.
The data on Tuesday was light, so we changed our thinking and continued the upward direction on Monday to go long on gold. Using the FIBO calculation of last week's downtrend, the target for going long on gold is:
TP1: 3380
TP2: 3408
TP3: 3447
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3275.86, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3222.63, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3314.24, a swing high resistance.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD 6/5/25We remain bearish on gold, as we called in the middle of last week. However, until we see a clear reaction that confirms a move lower, we believe price could still push higher.
Fundamentally, we are bullish on gold, but our current bias is bearish. Of course, our bias can be wrong. When price pulls back within our bias—essentially moving against what we expect—it doesn’t mean we blindly jump in just because we believe in a certain direction. Instead, we wait for a clear reaction in line with our bias before entering, so we can follow the trend with confirmation.
Remember the principles we always emphasize: our bias is the direction we believe price is heading. But if we’re welcomed into the market during a pullback—even if it’s against our bias—we will trade it accordingly. Right now, we are not being welcomed. Price is rallying against our bias, so we remain on the sidelines until a suitable entry is provided.
As mentioned before, Orion has indicated that price action could be bearish. However, gold is heavily driven by fundamentals, which means we may not get an entry here at all. If the market shifts and our bias needs to change, we’ll adapt as always. But we stick to our rules, manage our risk, and let price show us where it wants to go.
At the current point, if we don’t see a bearish move from here, we could be on track to see a new all-time high. For now, we’re not seeing an entry setup, which means our bias is not being fulfilled for a trade. As far as I'm concerned, this is the last potential reversal zone for gold.
Keep this in mind if price continues to push higher as today's session begins. Trade safe, stick to your plan, and let Orion lead the way.
Gold Evening Star on WeeklyGold is working on its second consecutive red week which would be the first such occurrence in 2025. Interestingly, gold had only posted two red weeks in the prior 16, until the $3500 level came into play.
That high in gold syncs with a long-term spot of support in the US Dollar, and going into next week's FOMC meeting the two scenarios appear linked as a dovish Fed would likely be needed if we are to see another $3500 test, much less a break.
For now, support is at the psychological level of $3200 and for next week, that becomes lower-high resistance potential for breakdown scenarios. - js
gold on sell#XAUUSD have corrected back above 3267 which formation have decline from there.
Now the expected entry to sell is at 3267 which have broken now we expect the H1 to close between the rectangle to have a clear bearish range. Stop loss at 3278 target 3236
Bullish can overtake by fundamental news.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: CORRECTIVE Phase after the SurgeOANDA:XAUUSD market initially rallied during the week, reaching the key 3500 level. However, we have a corrective move, showing a bit of profit taking as traders are looking to the tariff noise for direction. The market made a sharp decline resulting in a long-tailed bearish bar on the weekly timeframe, suggesting the price may continue pushing lower toward the 3150 support levels. The price shows similar price action to what we saw at the beginning of this month when a market decline was followed by a week of sideways movement, which then led to continuation of the bullish trend.
I think we might see 2 scenarios to identify the potential endpoint of this corrective move. On the daily timeframe, the price is near the 50% retracement of the bullish swing move, which may be a potential level for continuation. The second scenario is an ABCD pullback where price dips below the 3200 level to find support. In any case, we should react to the price action and how it develops. If the Monday candle gaps up, this potentially indicates that price may move higher. And if we get a gap down, then we can expect a deeper pullback in the market.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Fed interest rate suspense and tariff shockGiven the current heightened uncertainty, the implementation of tariff policies, rising inflation expectations, and declining household and business confidence, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep its policy interest rate unchanged this week. Fed Chairman Powell may hint that he is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, and mentioned that tariffs will push up inflation and drag down economic growth. With the implementation of tariffs, inflation will rise significantly in the coming months, and the US economy may fall into a mild recession in the second half of the year, with economic activity and employment likely to shrink in the third and fourth quarters.
In terms of gold, yesterday the lowest fell to 3305 and began to stabilize and rise. It closed at 3334. The daily line closed with a big positive column. Gold opened slightly with a slight correction of 3323 and began to stabilize and rise. Asian gold once again made a strong effort to rise to the highest position of 3386. The current lowest is 3353. It is currently at noon. It is hovering at 3365, and the overall trend is strong, but the excessive rise seems to reserve rhythm space for the next European and American trading. Be careful with short covering. The current upper resistance is at 3372-3377, and the lower support is at 3324-3317. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound and short.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short on the rebound at 3372-3377, stop loss at 3382, and the target is 3350-3325.
Will gold fall after encountering resistance at its high point?Planning your trading is the prerequisite for making profits. The essence of the market is the cycle of highs and lows, alternating ups and downs, and the essence of trading is to grasp the relative highs and lows in the market and snipe valuable trading opportunities. This value has only two points: first, probability, and second, space.
After the gold price rose, we will analyze the trend of it correcting from the high to 3200. The key position of this rebound, that is, the 618 position, is near 3386. The gold price encountered resistance here in the morning. So technically this suppression can be used as a key reference for the future market. Today in the Asian session, we will first observe the support situation of 3350. If it breaks down, then before the interest rate decision in the early hours of Thursday, we will pay attention to whether the gold price can stand firmly above 3272. If this position is not stable, then the second half of the week will still be a downtrend. This wave of rise can only be regarded as a rebound repair, not a bull return (the premise is that 3386 above must not be broken).
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the 3386-3390 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3320-3300 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3380-3385, stop loss 6 points, target around 3350-3330, and look at 3320 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3315-3320, stop loss 6 points, target around 3340-3360, and look at 3380 if it breaks;