"Gold on Fire! Smart Money Bulls Aiming for Final Target🟡 "Gold on Fire! Smart Money Bulls Aiming for Final Target
Overview:
The XAUUSD chart presents a clear smart money structure, showing a bullish recovery from a strong demand zone and a current move toward a significant supply (resistance) area.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong Support Zone
The price reacted powerfully from the well-marked strong support zone (~3,260), aligned with a previous Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and BOS (Break of Structure), confirming bullish intent.
Bullish Market Structure
A clean CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed the end of the previous bearish leg.
Multiple BOS followed, solidifying the bullish shift in momentum.
Liquidity Grab & Price Expansion
Price swept equal lows (EQL) and mitigated bullish FVG, collecting sell-side liquidity before reversing.
The breakout pushed toward the current level of ~3,380, targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity zone and resistance.
Resistance & Fair Value Gap
The final target is aligned at 3,427.83, situated inside a high-probability bearish FVG and resistance zone.
This area previously rejected price (noted with the red circle), making it a critical supply zone.
Partial Target Hit
Price has already achieved half of the projected move, indicating bullish strength and proper SMC execution.
The current consolidation near the mid-level suggests accumulation or re-accumulation before a final push toward the target.
📈 Educational Notes:
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) highlight inefficiencies in price delivery. These zones often act as magnets for price and reversal points, as seen here.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) are crucial for identifying trend shifts. This chart reflects a textbook bullish transition.
Liquidity concepts (EQL, Buy-Side) emphasize institutional behavior. Price often hunts liquidity before moving to new highs or lows.
✅ Conclusion:
XAUUSD is playing out a well-structured bullish smart money setup, with price currently in mid-path toward the final target. Traders should monitor reactions at the 3,427 resistance zone, which will be critical for potential reversal or continuation scenarios.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Traders Pay Attention! Major Moves Incoming ? XAU/USD is setting up for a monster move — and all the signs are lining up! 👇
This is a perfect storm of technical confluence you don’t want to miss:
📊 After weeks of consolidation, gold has just broken out of a downtrend, retested the zone, and is now sitting on a major decision point. This zone is packed with:
✅ A dynamic trendline flip (was resistance, now acting as support)
✅ 200 EMA cushioning the retest
✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement aligning perfectly
✅ High-volume node from the volume profile = big player interest
✅ Mid-Bollinger Band offering bounce potential
✅ Strong bullish market structure forming
All eyes are on this green circle zone— a critical battle between bulls and bears. If bulls win here, we could see a powerful move straight into the upper resistance zone, possibly breaking previous June highs! 🦍💥
This is what smart money setups look like — multiple confirmations, clean structure, and asymmetric reward potential. 🔑📈
Tag a gold trader who needs to see this, and drop a ⚡️ if you're locked in on this breakout setup!
VANTAGE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
Gold Breaks Support – Risk of Pullback Toward $3,310📊 Market Summary:
Gold prices initially rose on weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data, which lowered Treasury yields and weakened the U.S. dollar. However, after breaking the key support at $3,365, gold continued to decline toward $3,354, and briefly touched $3,352, signaling rising technical selling pressure. Despite a 92% market expectation for a Fed rate cut in September, the technical breach increases the risk of a deeper correction.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: Around $3,365–$3,370 – this zone now acts as short-term resistance; stronger resistance lies at $3,375–$3,380 if prices recover.
• Nearest Support:
The $3,365 level was broken.
New support is seen at $3,352–$3,350; a continued drop may bring prices to $3,335, and possibly toward $3,310–$3,300.
• EMA 09: Price is now below the 9-day EMA, suggesting a short-term bearish trend.
• Momentum / Volume / Candlestick:
RSI is near 50, slightly bearish; volume is tapering on the downside, indicating distribution.
Early signs of a head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern are developing.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue declining in the short term if it stays below the $3,350–$3,352 zone.
A further drop toward the $3,335 – $3,310 region is possible.
If price rebounds and closes above $3,365, the bearish momentum could be neutralized.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3,355–$3,358
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: ~$3,361
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3,305–$3,302 (if price pulls back deeper)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: ~$3,299
BUY XAUUSD 5.8.2025Confluence order: BUY at M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- The current top is not touching anything, expected to rise to the H1 above.
- M15~FIBO 0,5-0,618 (same position)
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the last bottom (3,370)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 3,364
- SL at 3,360
- TP1: 3,370 (~1R)
- TP2: 3,383 (~4R)
- TP3: 3,391 (~6R)
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
Gold Extends Gains as USD Weakens📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices are extending their gains during the Asian and European sessions today, as the US dollar weakens following weaker-than-expected US jobs data. Rising unemployment and a softer Non-Farm Payroll report boosted expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in September. The US 10-year Treasury yield also dipped slightly, supporting gold's safe-haven appeal.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,385 – $3,390
• Nearest Support: $3,365 – $3,370
• EMA: Price is trading above the EMA 09, indicating a short-term bullish trend
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles show steady buying pressure with stable volume, but we should monitor potential profit-taking if price nears the $3,390–$3,400 zone.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rise in the short term if USD weakness persists and bond yields stay low. However, failure to break above $3,390 could lead to a pullback toward support levels.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,365 – $3,368
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,362
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3,392 – $3,395 (if reversal signal appears)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,398
XAUUSD 30M Range Trap Holding, But Will Bulls Break Above $3366Gold is currently trading within a well defined intraday range, with clear resistance around $3,366.36 and support near $3,339.78. After a strong initial move, price action has stalled, reflecting indecision and balanced order flow between buyers and sellers.
The market now approaches a key inflection point:
→ A confirmed 30 minute candle close above $3,366.36 would signal potential bullish continuation, with immediate targets at $3,368.99 and $3,371.11
→ Conversely, a close below $3,339.78 may trigger a downside move toward $3,331.66, followed by $3,328.21
Momentum remains neutral within the range, and any premature entries carry increased risk of whipsaw. Patience is essential, a clean breakout with structure and volume confirmation will offer higher probability trade setups.
This remains a rangebound environment until proven otherwise. Breakout traders should stay alert, but disciplined.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #BreakoutWatch #MarketStructure #30mChart
Chart Type:* XAUUSD (Gold) – 15 min chart Pattern:AscendingHere’s a simpler breakdown with highlights:
---
*🟡 Chart Type:* XAUUSD (Gold) – 15 min chart
*📊 Pattern:* *Ascending Bullish Triangle*
---
*🔹 Key Highlights:*
- *Orange Line:* Rising *support* (buyers pushing price up)
- *Purple Zone:* Strong *resistance* area (price keeps rejecting)
- *Blue Arrow:* Suggesting a *breakout* to the upside
- *White Path:* Expected *price movement* if breakout happens
---
*🎯 Target Zone (Green Area):*
Where price may go if breakout is successful
*🛑 Stop-Loss Zone (Red Area):*
Where to exit trade if breakout fails
---
📝 Simple Explanation:*
Price is going up slowly and getting squeezed. If it breaks above the purple line, a *strong bullish move* is expected.
Bullish
Description
Hi traders
I think after the fake break that happened last week at 3280, we should be ready to move higher with a target of 3430-3450 and if the fundamentals are impressive, even a break of the previous high.
Of course, the resistance zone of 3385-3405 is in the way of the price.
I hope that the analysis I am providing is accurate and effective.
Possible positions this week
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3345-3340
2)3174-3150
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3385-3405(Of course, with approval from the market and the type of candles)
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Plan – Monday, 4th August 2025Strategy Type: Intraday / Short-term swing
Bias: Bullish (Buy-the-dip)
Methodology: Price Action + Fibonacci Retracement + Momentum Confirmation
Key Zones: 3366, 3377, 3388
Market Overview
As we head into Monday, 4th August, Gold (XAUUSD) remains in an overall uptrend, supported by bullish macro sentiment driven by weakening USD strength and ongoing uncertainty in global risk assets. Despite last week’s slight pullback, the structure still supports a continuation pattern, especially above the 3350 support region.
The previous week closed with a higher low formation, and current price action shows a healthy retracement rather than a reversal. We anticipate that Gold will respect key Fibonacci retracement levels and rally in phases, allowing for multiple entries and scaling opportunities.
🔍 Trading Plan Summary
✅ Step 1: Buy on Retracement to 3366 (1st Target Area)
Entry Zone: Around 3366
Reasoning: This level is a confluence zone — minor support from Friday’s breakout, aligning with intraday Fibonacci retracement (~38.2% pullback from recent swing low to high).
Confirmation: I’ll look for bullish candle confirmation on 15m/30m chart (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection wick) before entering.
Stop Loss: Below 3356 (previous swing low / invalidation level)
🎯 Target 1: 3377
This will be the first take-profit zone after price reaches the next resistance / previous order block zone.
I will secure partial profits here and trail SL to entry or +5 to lock in risk-free trade.
✅ Step 2: Wait for Retracement Again (Post-3377 Pullback)
If price pulls back after hitting 3377, I’ll wait for the new higher low to form — ideally somewhere between 3370–3373.
I’ll re-enter long with confirmation, targeting the next key level.
🎯 Target 2: 3388
This level is the next visible resistance on 1H/4H structure and may trigger profit-taking or reversal pressure.
I plan to close the majority of my position here unless price shows strong breakout momentum.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Maximum total exposure: 1.5% of account (0.5% per trade entry)
All trades will have a defined SL; no averaging down.
Avoid entering if price gaps up directly above 3377 on Monday open — in that case, I’ll reassess structure and wait for new retracement levels.
🛠 Tools to Watch
DXY (Dollar Index): If DXY weakens further below 104.50, this supports the bullish Gold thesis.
US Bond Yields: Any decline in yields also gives bullish pressure on Gold.
Volume & RSI Divergence: For entry and exit confidence.
News Risk: Keep an eye on any surprise geopolitical tensions or Fed commentary, though major data events are limited on Monday.
🔁 Summary of Execution Plan
First Buy Entry: 3366 → TP1: 3377
Second Buy Entry (on retracement): ~3371 → TP2: 3388
SL Discipline: Below swing structure, never moved unless TP1 hits.
Profit Securing: Partial at 3377, majority at 3388
Trade Review: At EOD, whether plan was followed or not
Gold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing StopGold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing Stop
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold finally rallied this weekend.
Despite recent heavy losses for long positions, the past two days have been encouraging.
We ultimately managed to successfully buy the dip in the 3280-3300 range and recover all our losses.
Gold prices continue to rise, and everyone is asking if it's time to sell.
Now is the critical time to exit.
We must acknowledge one fact:
Gold currently presents a huge opportunity.
Of course, the risks are also increasing.
At times like these, I always emphasize that the best approach is to set a 10-point trailing stop.
Even if gold prices soar, we can move with them.
This non-farm payroll data was a huge disappointment.
It was a truly positive surprise for gold.
The market expected 110,000 new jobs, but the result was a disappointing 73,000, a decrease of half from the previous month.
The market went into a tizzy after the outperformance. But even more shocking news is yet to come: Non-farm payrolls for May and June were revised downward by a combined 258,000.
This means the June gain was revised downward from 140,000 to 14,000.
The May gain was abruptly revised downward from 140,000 to 19,000.
The strong data of the past two months was completely false.
Market followers have become the "clowns" of the Fed and Trump.
Now you understand why everyone praised Powell's hawkish speech two days ago.
Because Powell said: "Only if there is a severe decline in employment will we consider cutting interest rates."
Just this Wednesday, some good non-farm payroll data was released.
This undoubtedly gave the market a false impression.
Everyone believed that a rate cut was impossible, and the probability of a September cut had dropped to 40%.
However, today's poor non-farm payroll data, combined with revisions to May and June data, revealed the truth.
The job market has been dismal over the past quarter.
The market reacted quickly, and gold prices soared on this sentiment.
My advice is to buy gold at a low price and hold on.
For investors who have successfully bought in the 3280-3300 level in recent days, I recommend setting a 10-15 pip trailing stop-loss.
Gold prices are likely to continue their upward trend next Monday.
Our next target is above 3380-3400 points.
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 3299.9
Sl - 3304.2
Tp - 3291.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 3313$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction and
We will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSDXAU/USD Bullish Bias — Price is rebounding strongly from a key demand zone, with higher lows confirming sustained buying pressure. As long as the demand zone holds, the bias stays bullish, with momentum favoring a move toward the next resistance. Watch for confirmations during London and New York sessions, as gold typically reacts strongly in these hours.
XAUUSD Gold Intraday 07 Aug (Short) XAUUSD Intraday Setup
Short Setup in between 3382–3392 Resistance
Price is approaching a key supply zone between 3382 and 3392, where previous equal highs were swept. This area may act as a reversal zone.
Looking for bearish confirmation within this range to initiate short positions.
Stop Loss: 3397
Target: Previous swing lows around 3352–3355
Bearish bias remains valid as long as price stays below 3397.
Gold (XAU/USD) - 2H Wave Setup + Scalp Opportunities# 🔻 Gold (XAU/USD) - 2H Wave Setup + Scalp Opportunities Ahead
**By: Mohsen Mozaffarinezhad**
📅 August 7, 2025 | ⏰ Valid through August 8 (End of NY Session)
⏱ Timeframe: 2H
📌 Method: Elliott Wave + Supply/Demand + SSL Hybrid Confirmation
---
## 🧠 Market Context:
Price has completed a **strong bullish leg** and is currently forming a classic **(a)-(b)-(c)** corrective pattern. We are now between **point (b)** and the potential completion of **(c)**. The broader market is expected to **retest the lower demand POI**, possibly before resuming the uptrend.
---
## 🔎 Technical Highlights:
- 📉 Bearish correction in progress: (b) → (c)
- 📦 Major **Supply** above 3,390 – acted as rejection point
- 🟦 Strong **Demand Zone**: 3,345 – 3,320
- 🔁 Price forming a potential **ABC correction**
- 🔔 **Point of Interest (POI)** near 3,350 may offer entry confirmation
- 💠 **SSL Channel**: Currently bearish crossover
- 🔄 **RQQ, HT, MACD, RSI**: Bearish/neutral, waiting for reversal signals
- 📊 **Volatility (Vol %ile)**: 67%
- 🎯 **ATR**: 13.52 (2H – medium range)
- 🧯 **Risk Level:** Normal
---
## 🟢 Scalp Strategy:
Scalp traders can take advantage of both micro-swings at **points (a) and (b)** using lower TF (M5/M15) confirmations:
### 🎯 Scalp Buy:
- 📍 Entry: Near 3,345–3,350
- 🛑 SL: Below 3,340
- 🎯 TP: 3,365–3,370 (short-term liquidity sweep)
- ⚠️ Only on bullish SSL + RSI divergence (M5)
### 🎯 Scalp Sell:
- 📍 Entry: Near 3,375–3,380 (**point b rejection**)
- 🛑 SL: Above 3,385
- 🎯 TP: 3,360 then 3,350
- ⚠️ Use Heikin-Ashi reversal + SSL confirmation
---
## 📌 Mid-Term Outlook (Swing):
If price reaches **point (c)** around the **lower demand zone** and reacts with bullish structure (BOS, CHoCH), we anticipate a strong rally toward:
- **TP1:** 3,385
- **TP2:** 3,400
- **TP3:** 3,420 (next macro supply)
---
## ⚠️ Notes:
> This setup remains **valid until the end of NY session, August 8**.
> Wait for **clear confirmation** before execution.
> All scalps are suggested with **tight risk management**.
_Analysis by Mohsen Mozaffarinezhad | Educational Purposes Only_
---
#gold #xauusd #elliottwave #supplydemand #sslhybrid #scalping #smartmoney #tradingview #forexanalysis
Will Gold Make a New High Amid Prospect of Sep Fed Rate Cut?Fundamental approach:
- Gold gained this week, supported by renewed trade tensions following new US tariffs on major partners and rising expectations of a Fed rate cut in Sep.
- Safe-haven demand strengthened after weak US NFP data heightened concerns about economic growth and reinforced market bets on monetary easing, while US President Trump's tariff announcements drove risk aversion.
- Comments from Fed officials signaled openness to policy adjustments, keeping investors focused on future rate moves even as the US dollar softened and global equities stabilized.
- XAUUSD could remain resilient if upcoming US labor and inflation data continue to disappoint.
Technical approach:
- XAUUSD fluctuates within a broad range. The price is forming a big Triangle Formation, awaiting an apparent breakout to determine the next movement.
- If XAUUSD breaches above the Triangle Pattern and the resistance at 3433, the price may continue to advance with the measured target at 3600.
- On the contrary, closing below support at 3560 may prompt XAUUSD to continue range-bound movement by retesting support at 3273.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
GOLD TRADE ANALYSIS – MISSED ENTRY & NEW OUTLOOK📈 GOLD TRADE ANALYSIS – MISSED ENTRY & NEW OUTLOOK 💡
07 August 2025 | XAUUSD | 15m TF
In the recent price action on Gold, I spotted a clean mSS (market structure shift) confirming bearish intent after liquidity sweep. Unfortunately, my first ideal entry near the supply zone was missed as price barely tapped the POI before delivering a significant drop.
However, the market offered a second chance — forming another bearish order block before diving into the discounted zone (demand area). This ultimately led to a strong bullish reaction, confirming accumulation and paving way for the rally we've just seen.
🔍 Current Expectation:
Price has now cleared internal liquidity and is pushing toward $3,396 — an important external liquidity level. I'm watching for:
A possible reaction/rejection from this high
Or a clean break and retest for continuation to $3,410+
🧠 Lesson:
Always remember, missed entries are part of the game. The key is not chasing — but re-aligning with the structure and waiting for fresh confirmations. Gold continues to respect key imbalances and reacts well around session opens.
📊 Let’s see how price reacts around this high. Any signs of weakness could offer a new intraday short opportunity.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlocks #MarketStructure #ForexTrading #LiquiditySweep #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #PriceAction #ForexNigeria #GoldTraders #FXSetup
XAUUSD INTRADAY ANALYSIS – AUGUST 6, 2025Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is currently consolidating around the 3,371 zone after breaking above a descending trendline formed from late July highs. A strong bullish impulse on August 2nd with significant volume suggests renewed buying pressure. Price is now retesting the breakout area — a critical moment to determine if the bullish continuation is sustainable.
- Technical Breakdown:
1. Price Structure & Trendline:
The former resistance at Peak 1 (3,376) is now acting as new support.
A new ascending channel has formed following the breakout.
Price structure is showing higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
2. Fibonacci & EMA:
The Fibonacci retracement of the recent bullish wave (Aug 1–5) aligns the 0.382 and 0.5 zones with strong support around 3,365 – 3,352.
Price is hovering near the EMA20, and a close above this level will further confirm upside potential.
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is stabilizing around 50–55, reflecting neutral momentum with room for bullish continuation.
- Key Price Levels:
3,352 – 3,365: Major Support (Fib + EMA + previous lows)
3,376 – 3,380: Immediate Support (breakout retest area)
3,390: Minor Resistance
3,438: Bullish Target (Peak 2)
- Suggested Trading Strategy:
Primary Bias: BUY if price holds above 3,365
Entry Zone: Around 3,369–3,372 (retest + trendline confluence)
Stop Loss: Below 3,352
Take Profit: 3,438 (previous peak)
Risk/Reward: ~1:9 (very favorable setup)
- Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar around 3,365–3,370) for a high-probability entry.
- Alternate Scenario:
If price breaks below 3,352 with strong volume, the bullish thesis may be invalidated. In that case, consider short-term short positions targeting 3,320 area.
This chart setup presents a promising trend-continuation opportunity, with technical confluences supporting further upside. As always, wait for clear price action signals before entry and manage risk accordingly.