Bear Despite major trend being bulls we have a n opportunity to sell at this region (1Day resistance line and target previous 4hr resistance line that has been broken
GOLD trade ideas
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has extended its recovery and is now trading around 3,366, pushing into the next resistance cluster.
Price is holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are now flattening and beginning to turn upward, acting as dynamic support.
A confirmed break and hold above 3,362 would open the path toward the next upside targets at 3,383 and 3,400, with 3,416 and 3,440 as higher‑timeframe resistance levels if momentum continues.
If price rejects the 3,362 resistance zone and fades lower, watch the Pullback Support Zone (3,336–3,317) closely. A break back below that area would shift focus to the broader Support Zone (3,289-3,267).
Failure to hold there could expose price to the deeper HTF Support Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
3,362 ‣ 3,383 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,416
Support:
3,336 ‣ 3,317 ‣ 3,302 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Week of July 21–25
📌 Tuesday, Jul 22
Fed Chair Powell Speaks
📌 Thursday, Jul 24
Unemployment Claims
Flash Manufacturing PMI & Flash Services PMI
GOLD Weekly Idea💡Why Gold Pulled Back
- Gold pulled back today after hitting $3439.04, just below resistance at $3451.53. Traders took profits ahead of key Fed and trade headlines. Right now, it’s trading around $3414.48, down 0.50%.
- The dip came after the U.S.-Japan trade deal eased geopolitical tension, cutting safe-haven demand. Plus, U.S. bond yields are climbing (10-year at 4.384%), which adds pressure on gold.
Support is building at $3374.42, with stronger buying interest expected around $3347.97 and the 50-day moving average at $3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend.
Short-term looks a bit weak, but as long as gold holds above the 50-day MA, the bullish trend remains intact. Longer-term, weakness in the dollar, central bank gold buying, and concerns about Fed independence could push prices higher.
🔍Watching the Fed’s July 29–30 meeting next
XAU/USD Breakout Playbook – Rob the Market!🚨💰 GOLD HEIST IN MOTION! | XAU/USD Thief Trading Strategy (Breakout Edition) 🏴☠️
🧠 Strategic Mindset | Not Your Average Chart Talk
Yo Market Bandits & Pip Hunters – welcome to the underground playbook!
This isn't your grandma’s chart breakdown – it’s a Thief Trading Takedown on XAU/USD (Gold), where we’re not chasing the market… we’re outsmarting it.
THE MASTER PLAN: Enter Like a Ghost, Exit Like a King 👑
📍 ENTRY POINT – The Break-In Begins!
💥 Breakout Level: Watch for 3370.00 resistance to crack – this is our green light.
🕵️♂️ Entry Style:
• Buy Stop above MA resistance zone (fast & clean)
• OR Buy Limit near swing low zones after confirmation pullback (sniper entry)
🧠 Thief Tip: Wait for the breakout to happen. No orders, no SL before it. Patience is profit.
🔄 Layer the Entry:
• Deploy DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) or scaling entries with precision
• Build positions like stacking cash bags — smart, silent, and calculated
🛡️ PROTECT THE LOOT – Stop Loss Logic 💣
📍 SL Guide: 3310.00 (4H swing low – update as price structure evolves)
🔥 SL ONLY comes after breakout. Set it too early? That’s how you get caught.
⛔ No pre-breakout orders. No early SL. Stay invisible till it's go time.
🎯 THE ESCAPE – Profit Like a Phantom 🚀
💸 Take Profit: 3450.00
📉 Scalpers: Trail SL as price pushes – never give back stolen pips
🌀 Swing Traders: Monitor resistance layers – don’t let the bulls turn on you
🧭 CONTEXT – Why This Setup?
🔍 Macro Snapshot:
• Trend: Neutral/Bullish Lean
• Influencers: COT reports, geopolitical tension, dollar flows
• Sentiment Shifting – watch the herd, but don’t run with it
🗞️ News Risk: Don’t get wrecked by events! Avoid entries during high-impact news.
🚨 Trailing SL is your best weapon during volatility.
⚡ POWER UP THE CREW – Support the Movement
💬 Drop a comment, hit the 🔥 like button, and share with your trading gang
More Thief Trading blueprints coming soon – bigger breakouts, cleaner setups
⚠️ STAY SHARP, THIEVES!
This ain't financial advice – it’s an outlaw’s edge on the market.
Trade smart. Risk well. Protect the bag.
🏴☠️ XAU/USD GOLD HEIST IN PROGRESS... Join the Movement. Let’s Rob the Market.
Gold is going down. It may continue next week.On the last trading day of this week, the bears attacked strongly and continued to refresh the recent lows, reaching the lowest point near 3325 before stopping.
From Monday's 3345 to 3440, it closed near 3337. This week, it also walked out of the large range roller coaster pattern, and all the strengths in the previous period did not exist. Under the continuous downward trend, the bulls were also vulnerable, and there was not even a strong rebound, which indirectly explained the strength of the bears in the short term.
As for the current trend, the bears are likely to continue to be strong, and before there is a symbolic upward breakthrough, we still need to maintain the idea of shorts to operate. The current upper pressure is maintained near 3350, which is also the bottom position touched for the first time in the previous period. It is possible that it will be transformed into a top-bottom conversion pattern; and the strong support level below is near 3310.
When the Asian market opens next Monday, we need to pay close attention to whether there is a gap problem on both the bulls and bears. After three consecutive negative daily lines, all the moving average systems have been broken, and it is also likely to form a resonance pressure pattern. On Monday, gold will first touch around 3350 and continue to short. The profit range will be around 3330-3320, and the stop loss will be 3360. If the European session is stronger, you can adjust the point before the US session.
Elliott waveelliott 5 wave structure bearish continuation
sell limit 3347-3350 stoploss 3355, tp 3320
GOLD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,347.64.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,425.86 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 25, 2025📊
________________________________________
🔍 Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining. Based on the current pace, it’s likely that only 1–2 more daily candles are needed before momentum enters the oversold zone → suggesting one more potential downward leg.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is about to turn bearish, indicating we might see a sideways movement or a slight drop in the short term.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently falling. By the end of the current H1 candle, momentum will likely enter the oversold zone → potential for a bullish reversal soon.
________________________________________
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
• A clear 5-wave Wave A has already formed with no irregular patterns, so I’m expecting Wave B (black) to unfold as a 3-wave structure.
• Within this black Wave B, price is now developing Wave B (blue), meaning Wave A (blue) has already completed. Looking at the lower timeframe, I can identify a 5-wave structure → suggesting a zigzag correction in the form of 5-3-5 for black Wave B.
• Target for Wave B (blue): The 3360 area – this is a support level and also aligns with Fibonacci confluence, making it a strong candidate for the end of Wave B (blue) and a potential reversal zone.
• If price respects the 3360 level, then projected targets for Wave C (blue) would be around 3386 or 3402.
• However, if price breaks below 3351, the current wave count becomes invalid. In that case, we will shift to an alternate scenario and look for a buy opportunity near the lower edge of the triangle (c)-(e) and other confluence support zones.
________________________________________
🔄 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
• D1 momentum shows weakening in this downward move, and the lower boundary of the triangle (c)-(e) is a prime area to look for the end of Wave e.
• Ideally, we want to see:
o A short-term bounce upward aligning with H1 momentum reversal to complete Wave C (blue).
o Then a confluence with H4 momentum turning bearish, indicating possible trend continuation or reversal.
________________________________________
📌 Trade Plan
• For experienced traders:
Watch closely around 3385 and 3401 for reversal signals to enter Sell positions.
• For beginners, I recommend the following limit setup:
o SELL ZONE: 3399 – 3402
o SL: 3501
o TP1: 3374
o TP2: 3351
XAUUSD – healthy correction, ready to bounce from 3,338Gold is retracing within an ascending channel after facing rejection at the FVG zone near 3,402.800. This pullback is seen as a healthy correction, with confluence support around 3,338, which previously acted as a springboard for bullish momentum.
As long as price holds above this zone, a rebound toward 3,402 remains likely.
Primary scenario
Buy zone: 3,338
Target: 3,402
Invalidation: Break below 3,320
Note
Weak volume near the FVG zone may cause short-term consolidation, but the broader trend still favors buyers.
XAUUSDXAUUSD Updated in 15M :
The gold signal is marked on the chart based on the latest price changes and the supply and demand in the market. These points include the entry point, stop loss, and take profit
XAUUSD Traders - Turn Chaos into Pips with This StrategyHello Traders,
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Today’s Trades:
Signal 1
🟢 Buy @ 3365.350
🔴 SL @ 3359.209
🟢 TP @ 3373.538
❌ Result: SL Hit → 61 Pips Loss
Signal 2
🟢 Buy @ 3359.090
🔴 SL @ 3351.558
🟢 TP @ 3369.133
✅ Result: TP Hit → 75 Pips Profit
📊 Net Profit Today: +13 Pips
📅 Yesterday’s Profit: +150 Pips
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XAUUSD BUYWatching how price is reacting here. Few hours early from NY open but if this 4 hour zone holds as support, could see a bull move to test the break.
Trading Idea XAUUSD 🎯 Trade Ideas Based on Structure
1. Long Reversal Play (Buy)
📍 Entry: If price retests the support zone around 3,356–3,366 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, pin bar)
🎯 Target: 3,390–3,402 (resistance zone)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Just below 3,355
💡 Why? Buying into support with confirmation aligns with the projected rebound idea
2. Sell into Resistance
📍 Entry: If price rallies to 3,390–3,402 and stalls with weak candles or bearish divergence
🎯 Target: Back to support zone (~3,366 or lower)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 3,405
💡 Why? Fading into resistance follows the broader trend while using the shaded zone for timing
3. Breakout Trade (Buy)
📍 Trigger: If price breaks cleanly above 3,402 and closes with strong momentum
🎯 Target: Look toward next resistance (~3,410+)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below breakout candle (~3,390)
💡 Why? Signals a trend shift or strong bullish move against the recent downtrend
🧠 Smart Trading Tips
Let the candles lead the decision—watch for confirmation before jumping in
Stick to the higher probability zones and avoid overtrading in the middle
Use volume or RSI to filter false breakouts or weak entries
Gold Exhibiting Weak Bearish Momentum – Is a Rebound Imminent?Gold Exhibiting Weak Bearish Momentum – Is a Rebound Imminent?
The 30-minute chart reveals gold prices in a mild downtrend, but the sluggish decline hints at weakening bearish pressure. This could set the stage for a temporary price recovery before any further downward movement.
Critical Insights:
- Fading Bearish Strength: The downtrend persists, but its slowing pace suggests seller exhaustion.
- Key Support Zone: With prices hovering near a major support area, a bullish reversal becomes plausible.
- Upside Potential: A resurgence in buying momentum may propel gold toward 3,394.60, a significant resistance level.
Market Dynamics:
1. Possible Short-Term Reversal: Shallow bearish trends near support often precede upward corrections.
2. Bullish Opportunity: A breakout past nearby resistance could fuel a rally toward 3,394.60, creating a swing trade setup.
3. Downside Risk: If support fails, the bearish trend may extend, though weak selling pressure limits immediate declines.
Strategic Approach:
- Entry Consideration: Long positions near current support levels could capitalize on a rebound.
- Risk Management: A drop below support would negate the bullish outlook, warranting a stop loss.
- Confirmation Signals: Bullish candlestick formations or increasing volume would strengthen reversal prospects.
Concluding Thoughts:
Gold’s tepid bearish momentum near a crucial support level raises the likelihood of a short-term bounce. Traders should watch for confirmation—if the recovery gains traction, 3,394.60 may come into play. Conversely, a support breakdown could renew downward pressure.
GOLD IN A WEAK BEARISH MOVE IN 30M TIME FRAME CHARTGold in a Weak Bearish Move – Temporary Rebound Ahead?
Gold prices are currently displaying a weak bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, suggesting that the downtrend may be losing steam. Despite the downward movement, the sluggish pace indicates that sellers lack strong conviction, which could lead to a short-term price recovery before any further decline.
Key Observations:
- Weak Bearish Trend: The price is falling, but with decreasing momentum, often a sign of exhaustion among sellers.
- Critical Support Level: Gold is trading near a major support zone, where buying interest could emerge, triggering a bounce.
- Potential Rebound Target: If buyers step in, the price could rise toward 3,394.60, a key resistance level.
Market Implications:
1. Short-Term Reversal Likely: Weak bearish moves often precede temporary rallies, especially near strong support levels.
2. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above immediate resistance could push gold toward 3,394.60, offering a swing trading opportunity.
3. Bearish Continuation Risk: If support breaks, the downtrend may resume, but the current lack of strong selling pressure reduces immediate downside risks.
Trading Strategy:
- Buying Opportunity: Traders might consider long positions near support, targeting 3,394.60.
- Stop Loss: A break below the current support level would invalidate the rebound setup.
- Confirmation Needed: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or rising volume to confirm the reversal.
Final Thoughts:
While gold remains in a short-term bearish phase, the weak downside momentum and proximity to support suggest a possible pullback. Traders should monitor price action closely—if the rebound holds, 3,394.60 could be the next target. However, a failure to hold support may extend the decline.
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Trade with proper risk management.*
XAUUSD| Smart Money Confirmations LoadingBias: Bullish
HTF Overview: Price has just tapped into the 30-minute order flow zone after clearing out sell-side liquidity. This area aligns cleanly with bullish intent and prior structure.
LTF Focus: Currently waiting for lower timeframe confirmation — ideally a clear CHoCH or internal flip. Once smart money confirms this zone with a shift, I’ll look to enter and ride the momentum.
Target: Initial focus is on the 5-minute highs as a short-term objective. While price could continue toward 30-minute highs, structure suggests the recent 5M high is a more immediate and realistic target, making it a smarter move to secure profit around that level.
Mindset Note: Not in a rush — letting price speak first. The confirmation is what separates a guess from a smart move.
Hybrid Gartley-Elliott Wave Trade Setup on Gold – Bearish Dip In📊 Detailed Analysis & Prediction:**
This trade setup merges two powerful frameworks: a **bearish Gartley pattern** indicating a short-term pullback, and an **Elliott Wave interpretation** suggesting bullish continuation via wave five.
### 🧠 Thought Process:
1. **Gartley Pattern Completion:**
- The chart shows a completed bearish Gartley pattern with point D aligning around the **3,372 level**.
- As per harmonic rules, point D typically signals a reversal zone, suggesting a short-term drop.
2. **Projected Pullback:**
- A drop is expected toward the **3,323 support zone**, which coincides with previous swing lows and Fibonacci retracement confluence.
- This area likely marks the start of **wave five** in the Elliott Wave count — indicating that the bearish move is simply the final corrective wave before continuation.
3. **Wave 5 Bullish Opportunity:**
- Once price reaches the 3,323 zone and shows reversal confirmation, a strong bullish push is expected to begin.
- This aligns with historical wave structures and momentum indicators showing possible trend exhaustion.
Profit Targets:
| Target | Type | Price (USD) |
|--------|-----------------------|---------------|
| TP1 | Fibonacci 1.0 | 3,447.875 |
| TP2 | Fibonacci 1.27 | 3,536.025 |
| TP3 | Fibonacci 1.618 | 3,649.640 |
---
### 🛑 Stop Loss Strategy:
| Level | Type | Price (USD) |
|-----------|---------------------|---------------|
| SL1 | Conservative | 3,246.111 |
| SL2 | Aggressive | 3,198.444 |
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,393.33 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Well although I didn't take the trade, we pushed down as per my last analysis. I have currently marked my areas of interest for scalp buy / sell trades. Big G gets a shout out. Lower time frame confirmation is always a must. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how the current 4 hour candle closes.
XAU/USD: Bullish Reversal with Inverted Head & Shoulders PatternTechnical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe. We are seeing a classic bullish reversal pattern that could offer a solid long opportunity.
The Pattern: Inverted Head and Shoulders (IH&S)
As highlighted on the chart, an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern has clearly formed.
Left Shoulder: The initial dip and recovery.
Head: A lower dip, marking the potential bottom of the recent downtrend.
Right Shoulder: A higher low, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers are stepping in at higher prices.
This pattern signals a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Confirmation and Trade Setup
The key to confirming this pattern is the neckline, which has been acting as a significant resistance level. We have now seen a decisive candle break and close above this neckline, providing the confirmation we need to consider a long position.
Here is the trade idea based on the chart:
Entry: A long position is initiated right after the breakout of the neckline, around the 3,428.542 level. A potential entry could also be on a retest of this broken neckline, which would now act as support.
Stop Loss (SL): To manage risk, the stop loss is placed below the low of the Right Shoulder at 3,419.498. A move below this level would invalidate the bullish pattern.
Take Profit (TP): The profit target is determined by measuring the height from the Head to the neckline and projecting it upwards from the breakout point.
Primary Target (TP1): 3,445.548. This target also aligns well with the '2' Fibonacci extension level, adding extra confluence to the trade.
Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers a favorable Risk/Reward ratio of approximately 1.88, making it an attractive trade from a risk management perspective.
Additional Confluence
Moving Averages: The price is now trading above the key moving averages, which are beginning to curl upwards, suggesting building bullish momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: While the Stochastic is in the upper region, in a strong bullish move, it can remain overbought for an extended period.
Conclusion
The confirmed breakout from the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on the 15M chart presents a compelling bullish setup for XAU/USD. The defined entry, stop, and target levels provide a clear and actionable trade plan.
Buy Plan – XAUUSD (Gold Spot) | 15M Chart📈 Buy Plan – XAUUSD (Gold Spot) | 15M Chart
Entry Reason:
Price reclaimed liquidity below the internal range and formed a bullish shift in structure. A valid bullish dealing range was confirmed, supported by the 200 EMA and 4H T2.3 zone.
✅ Entry Zone:
➤ Entry taken after confirmation above short-term swing high
➤ Liquidity sweep confirmed below M15 consolidation
➤ Bullish FVG + support from HTF zone
🎯 Target:
TP1: 3,440.86 (1R)
TP2: 3,451.07 to 3,459.18 (Eyes above – possible reversal or continuation zone)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Placed below most recent swing low: 3,416.51
Below liquidity & invalidation of bullish structure
🧠 Bias:
Bullish (short-term continuation expected)
Reclaim above EMA and HTF zone respected
📌 Key Notes:
Watch price behavior near 3,451.07–3,459.18 for potential reversal or breakout
If price fails to maintain strength above 3,440, consider locking partial profits
Monitor 15M and 1H structure for any sign of internal break
