Market Analysis: Gold Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh CatalystMarket Analysis: Gold Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh Catalyst
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,380.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,430 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,350 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,380 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,400 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,432 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,380 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,350 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,325 zone. A low was formed near $3,325 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave towards the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,433 swing high to the $3,325 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,342. Immediate resistance is near $3,350. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,350.
The next major resistance is near the $3,380 zone. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,433 swing high to the $3,325 low. The main resistance could be $3,410, above which the price could test $3,432. The next major resistance is $3,450.
An upside break above $3,450 could send the gold price towards $3,465. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,480 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,325 level. The first major support is near the $3,310 level. If there is a downside break below it, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop towards the $3,265 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD trade ideas
Impact of the Non-Farm Payrolls? Latest Analysis.Information Summary:
Most traders are turning their attention to the crucial US labor market report, which is being closely watched as the market actively searches for new clues regarding the timing of the next interest rate cut this year.
The July non-farm payrolls report will be released at 8:30 AM US time. US non-farm payrolls increased by 110,000 in July, seasonally adjusted, lower than the 147,000 increase in June. The US unemployment rate is expected to rise from 4.1% to 4.2% in July.
If the non-farm payrolls figure falls below 100,000 and the unemployment rate rises, it could signal a weakening job market, undermining the Fed's rekindled hawkish outlook and dampening the dollar's upward momentum. In this scenario, gold prices could re-cross the 3,400 mark. However, if the non-farm payrolls unexpectedly exceed 150,000, it could support the dollar's continued rise and hurt gold. Strong US employment data could rule out two rate cuts from the Fed this year.
Market Analysis:
Quaid believes that the current moving average crossover is trending downward, and downward momentum is still in play. The RSI remains at 42.7, hovering below the midline, indicating that gold's downward trend remains intact. The 20-day moving average fell below the 50-day moving average on Wednesday, confirming the bearish momentum.
Therefore, if gold closes below the key support level of the 100-day moving average at $3,270 on a weekly basis, a new downtrend could begin, potentially leading to a drop towards the June 30 low of $3,248.
Quaid believes that the current bull-bear watershed needs to focus on around 3315, which is the previous intensive trading area and is also the first resistance position for short-term upward movement.
On the last trading day of Super Data Week, Quaid hopes that everyone has gained something and has a happy weekend; I wish you all good luck.
GOLD falls on USD and trade talks, big data weekSpot OANDA:XAUUSD ended its rally this week on Friday (July 25) and closed down nearly 1%, mainly affected by the recovery of the US Dollar TVC:DXY and progress in trade negotiations that weakened safe-haven demand.
DXY recovered 0.27% on Friday to close at 97.642, ending a two-week low, making gold less attractive than its direct correlation.
Earlier, news of a US-Japan trade deal and a breakthrough in US-EU talks weakened the market's demand for safe-haven assets.
For the content of the US-Japan trade deal, readers can review it in the daily publications during the past trading week.
Data and Fed Expectations
The latest US jobless claims fell to a three-month low, suggesting the job market remains solid. This gives the Federal Reserve reason to maintain interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, despite President Trump once again pressuring Powell to cut rates.
However, in the short term, the fundamental direction of gold may need to wait for the Federal Reserve to announce more policy signals at its meeting next week.
Speculative Longs Hit High Near April Peak
Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that as of the week of July 22, the speculative net long position in COMEX gold rose by 27,211 lots to 170,868 lots, the highest level since April. This shows that as gold prices fall again, buyers are still actively deploying, waiting for more guidance from policy and data.
Last Week Review and This Week’s Fundamental Outlook
Last week, gold prices initially rose and then fell. Due to risk aversion and volatility in the US dollar, gold prices surpassed the $3,400/ounce mark at the start of the week, but as trade optimism increased and profit-taking emerged, gold prices fell back, trying to stay above $3,300/ounce.
Investors will face several major events this week:
Federal Reserve policy meeting (Wednesday): Markets expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but Powell’s speech could influence market expectations for a rate cut this year.
Macro data will be released in batches: including ADP employment data on Wednesday, PCE price index on Thursday and non-farm payrolls report on Friday. These data will determine the next move of gold.
Global central bank trends: The Bank of Canada and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Investors will be watching to see if their policy signals cause volatility in the US dollar and gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is in a rather important position after 3 consecutive corrective declines. However, the bearish momentum still keeps gold above the base price, which is an important psychological point for the bullish expectation of 3,300 USD.
In terms of position and indicators, gold has not completely lost the ability for a bullish outlook. Specifically, gold is still in a short-term rising channel and supported by the EMA21. On the other hand, it is still supported by the horizontal support level of 3,310 USD, followed by the psychological level of 3,300 USD and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Gold will only qualify for a bearish cycle if it sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci level.
RSI is sloping down, but has not yet crossed the 50 level, and in the current case, the 50 level acts as a momentum support for the RSI. It shows that there is still room for an increase in price, and if RSI sloping up from 50, it will provide a bullish signal with relatively wide room.
If gold rises above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level (3,371 USD), it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle with a target of around 3,400 USD in the short term, more than 3,430 – 3,450 USD then the all-time high.
In the coming time, in terms of position and indicators, gold still has a technical outlook leaning more towards the upside and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3371 - 3369⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3375
→Take Profit 1 3363
↨
→Take Profit 2 3357
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3303 - 3305⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3299
→Take Profit 1 3311
↨
→Take Profit 2 3317
XAUUSD – Demand Zone Reaction & Potential Markup (VSA Analysis)💡 Idea:
Gold is testing a major 4H demand zone with early signs of smart money accumulation. VSA signals show supply exhaustion and potential for a bullish reversal toward upper resistance.
📍 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 3,265 – 3,285 (current demand zone)
Target 1: 3,380 – 3,400 (mid supply zone)
Target 2: 3,440 – 3,460 (major supply zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,240 (to avoid false breakouts)
R:R Potential: ~3:1
📊 Technical Reasoning (VSA)
Stopping Volume Detected
On the recent drop into the demand zone, a wide spread down-bar on ultra-high volume appeared, followed by no further downside progress.
This is a classic stopping volume pattern where professional money absorbs selling pressure.
No Supply Confirmation
Subsequent candles inside the zone show narrow spreads on decreasing volume, indicating a lack of genuine selling interest.
Demand vs Supply Shift
Multiple attempts to break below 3,265 have failed, showing absorption of supply and positioning for markup.
If price rallies from here on increasing volume and wider spreads up, it would confirm demand dominance.
Structure Context
This demand zone has historically produced strong rallies.
Break above the minor resistance inside the zone could trigger a swift move toward Target 1, with momentum possibly extending to Target 2.
📌 Trading Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation bars with high volume before entry.
If price breaks below 3,240 on high volume, invalidate the long setup and watch for the next demand level around 3,140.
Partial profits can be taken at Target 1, and the remainder trailed toward Target 2.
Gold Surges on Non-Farm Data; 3330 Key Next WeekGold was strongly boosted by the significantly bullish non-farm payroll data, surging sharply like a rocket 🚀, with gains that completely "wiped out" all the weekly losses. The current gold trend, as if injected with super momentum, has completely broken the previous long-short stalemate. Starting from the 3300 level, it has been breaking through obstacles all the way up to 3350. At present, 3330 is like a critical "battleground" ⚔️ fiercely contested by both long and short sides.
This week, when gold was still "lingering" below 3300, I emphasized repeatedly that a rebound was inevitable – we just needed to stay calm and wait for the opportunity. As it turns out, our judgment was spot on, and we successfully took profits around 3340, reaping good gains 💴. Now, gold prices are oscillating back and forth in the 3340-3350 range. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, I boldly predict that gold is likely to pull back to around 3330 next week, so everyone can prepare in advance 🤗
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3350
🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3310
🚀 Buy@ 3300 -3310
🚀 TP 3320 - 3330 - 3340
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – “Fed Week: Only the Real Zones”Hello, gold traders!
FOMC week is here, the dollar’s flexing, and gold is stuck under a fortress of supply. No fantasy, no overlaps, just your real, actionable H4 map—zones spaced, logic tight, and all fluff deleted.
⬜Bias:
Neutral to bearish while price is capped under 3,355 and the EMA cluster.
Only flip bullish if price closes and holds above 3,375 with strong confirmation after news.
Current Price: 3,336.81
Summary for your audience:
Neutral–bearish: All the EMAs (21/50/100/200) are overhead, and the primary supply and decision zones are blocking any upside.
No reason to flip bullish unless gold breaks out and holds above both the decision zone and the full supply ceiling after major news.
All bounces into supply are likely to get faded, unless the structure changes dramatically post-FOMC.
🟥 ULTRA SUPPLY ZONE: 3,390 – 3,405
127–161.8% Fib extension—liquidity grab and stop-hunt target for news-driven spikes
Only short if you see a monster upper wick and hard rejection
🟥 PRIMARY SUPPLY: 3,365 – 3,375
All EMAs (21/50/100/200) are stacked overhead; unfilled FVG at 3,370–3,375
Short on a clear rally rejection or bearish engulfing candle—this is where most breakouts get trapped
🔶 DECISION ZONE: 3,340 – 3,355
EMA100/200 straddle this level; small FVG at 3,350–3,352
Market “decides” here—fade unless price closes decisively above 3,355
🔵 EQUILIBRIUM SHELF: 3,320 – 3,335
50% Fib at 3,327; filled FVG at 3,325–3,330; SMA50 just below
Bounce/fake-break zone—wait for a clean H4 reversal, not a guess
🟢 FIRST DEMAND BASE: 3,290 – 3,310
H4 Order Block, hidden FVG (3,300–3,305), Fib 38.2% around 3,295
Longs only with strong pin-bar/engulf and quick EMA50 reclaim
🔵 DEEP PULLBACK BAY: 3,250 – 3,280
Weekly EMA21 and 61.8% Fib (~3,260), strong volume
Only consider a long on a panic flush and a powerful reversal wick
⚡️ MACRO CONTEXT
USD: On fire into ADP and FOMC; gold moves will be explosive, not logical
Events:
Tue: ADP
Wed: FOMC + Powell
Thu: Core PCE
Fri: NFP, ISM
Bias: Neutral-bearish under 3,355; only bullish if we close and hold above 3,375
EMAs: Clustered tightly overhead—bulls get no respect until this ceiling is crushed
🎯 TRADE LOGIC
Shorts:
3,390–3,405 (big wicks and clear rejection only)
3,365–3,375 (news spike or failed breakout with bearish candle)
Longs:
3,340–3,355 (only on a confirmed close above)
3,320–3,335 (strong reversal only—don’t front run)
3,290–3,310 (classic H4 pin-bar/engulf + EMA50 reclaim)
3,250–3,280 (deep panic flush and major reversal only)
NO TRADE: In the gaps—let the gamblers get chewed up, not you.
💬 Which zone will you snipe? Drop a comment and show you’re here for structure, not noise!
👍 Like & Follow for high-value, real-time sniper maps every day.
Disclosure: Chart via Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. Influencer Program participant.
GoldFxMinds 💛
GOLD BUY TRADE IDEA🟡 XAU/USD Smart Money Setup – July 31, 2025
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Demand Zone Entry:
• Price has tapped into a clear demand zone (gray box) around 3,274 – 3,290, signaling potential institutional accumulation.
• The previous inducement low has been swept, aligning with Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
• Liquidity Engineering:
• Equal highs (liquidity pool) visible from late June remain uncollected — a prime upside target.
• Price structure shows internal BOS, suggesting a shift in market sentiment.
• Expected Path:
• A potential multi-leg bullish move is mapped out, targeting the 3,440+ premium zone, completing imbalance fill and stop-run above highs.
• Risk-Reward:
• Stop loss sits just below the demand zone (~3,274), maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Flow Narrative:
1. Sweep of inducement lows triggers institutional entries.
2. Demand zone holds with bullish reaction — confirmation of intent.
3. Expect higher highs and a rally toward uncollected liquidity above 3,440.
4. Low-risk buy opportunity for both swing and intraday traders.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis:Gold remains in a downward trend and is currently moving sideways in a consolidation phase in the short term. The bearish outlook still dominates, with a potential move toward levels like $3,245.
1️⃣ A break and close below $3,276 may trigger a drop toward the strong support zone at $3,245.
2️⃣ However, if bullish momentum pushes the price above $3,310, this opens the path toward $3,330, a key level where a bearish rejection might occur.
📈 If the price holds above $3,330, a continuation toward $3,350 becomes likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Gold's Strong Moves: Will the Bears Take Over?Hello everyone, Kevinn here!
Today, gold continues to experience significant fluctuations in the new week, with XAU/USD currently hovering around 3,325 USD. Amid the strong rise of the USD, the gold market has seen a sharp adjustment. However, the medium-term trend still seems to favor the bears.
The main reason for the turbulence in gold prices is the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, following strong economic news from the U.S. that points to a clear recovery. The stronger USD has made gold more expensive for international investors. Additionally, the market is awaiting further moves from the Fed regarding interest rate policies, which is limiting the flow of capital into gold.
Looking at the technical chart, we can see that although gold has shown a slight uptick, bearish pressures are still lurking. Indicators and patterns suggest that gold may break its rising price channel, with a high likelihood of further declines. The next support level could be around 3,310 USD, and if broken, gold may continue to fall toward 3,300 USD or lower.
Based on the signals from the chart, ENTRY 1 strategy would be to sell when the price breaks the upward channel. Additionally, if the price pulls back to the upper limit zone, ENTRY 2 could present another potential selling point.
For today's strategy, I expect gold to decrease. What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold on the edge: Will 3,270 break as Fed pressure builds?Hello traders, what’s your view on XAUUSD?
Yesterday, gold remained under pressure as a series of fresh U.S. economic data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. As a result, U.S. Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure. Currently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,288 USD, down 0.04% on the day.
From a technical standpoint, gold is clearly trading within a well-defined downward-sloping channel, confirming the dominance of bearish momentum. Moreover, both the EMA34 and EMA89 are acting as dynamic resistance levels, repeatedly rejecting any short-term recovery attempts—highlighting the strength of the current downtrend.
If a pullback occurs before the next leg lower, the confluence of resistance and the EMA zone will be crucial to watch. It could offer ideal conditions for potential short setups in line with the trend.
Looking ahead, the next key support lies at 3,270 USD. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper move toward the 32XX area.
What do you think? Will gold continue to drop further?
Good luck and trade safe!
GOLD - Monthly breakout retest may confirm multi-year bull cycleHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the long-term outlook for XAUUSD?
Looking at the monthly chart (1M), we can clearly see that XAUUSD has broken out of the long-standing ascending channel that has held since 2015 — a major signal suggesting the start of a new bullish cycle. Price is now retesting the previously broken trendline, hinting at the possibility of a fresh upward leg to resume the longer-term bullish trend we've seen recently.
Personally, I'm targeting $3,600 in the medium term, and potentially $4,000 by 2026–2028 if institutional capital continues to rotate back into safe-haven assets like gold.
What about you — do you think BTC/USD will rise or fall in the coming years?
And what’s your target for it?
NF news, can gold selling pressure drop to 3240?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading lower, around $3,285 in early Asian hours on Friday, as a firmer U.S. dollar weighs on the non-yielding metal following new tariff measures announced by President Donald Trump.
The White House said late Thursday that Trump will set a 10% baseline tariff, stepping back from earlier speculation about hikes to 15% or higher, according to Bloomberg. He also signed an executive order raising the tariff on Canada from 25% to 35%, effective August 1, 2025, while extending Mexico’s current tariff rates for another 90 days to allow more time for negotiations.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
large frame, gold price is still moving in the downtrend line. will wait for NF result to have strong selling force again 3240
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3374- 3376 SL 3381
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3333
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3242-$3240 SL $3235
TP1: $3255
TP2: $3268
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD falls sharply, fundamental analysis and technical positionOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply below the $3,300/oz price level as Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal any rate cuts at his next press conference on September 16-17. He only said that “no decision has been made on September” and that “more data will be evaluated in the coming months.” Economic data undermined the case for a rate cut, while geopolitical play remained a potential support.
The Fed and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for a fifth straight meeting on Wednesday, defying persistent pressure from President Donald Trump and White House officials.
However, two members of the central bank's board dissented, a rare move in three decades that underscored growing divisions within the central bank over the impact of Trump's tariff policies.
At the meeting, the Fed kept its benchmark federal funds rate in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, in line with policy through 2025. Last fall, the Fed cut rates by a total of 100 basis points.
However, Federal Reserve Board Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman opposed cutting interest rates by another 25 basis points, marking the first time since Alan Greenspan in 1993 that two board members have opposed a majority resolution at a meeting.
At the press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal a rate cut at the next interest rate meeting on September 16-17, saying only that “no decision has been made about September” and that “more data will be evaluated in the coming months.” Powell also noted that despite Trump’s call for a sharp 3% rate cut to reduce interest costs on US debt and stimulate the housing market, the Fed will continue to monitor the longer-term impact of tariffs on the path of inflation and economic recovery.
Market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September fell to 47% in Powell's speech.
Economic data
ADP jobs data beats expectations and is bearish
US ADP payrolls jumped 104,000 in July, beating market expectations of 75,000 and marking the biggest gain since March. The data showed continued strength in the labor market, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s stance on keeping interest rates high. Meanwhile, the preliminary estimate of annual GDP growth in the second quarter came in at 3% (2.4% expected), and the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.5% year-on-year (2.3% expected), indicating both economic resilience and inflation stability, further weakening expectations for a rate cut.
Keep an eye on the ISM manufacturing PMI and non-farm payrolls data on August 1. If the jobs numbers continue to be strong, this could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance.
Geopolitical and Policy Plays
News of a 90-day extension of the US-China tariff deal has eased some safe-haven demand, but Trump’s August 8 deadline for a new Russia-Ukraine deal, coupled with tensions in the Middle East, continue to provide potential support for gold.
Continued purchases by central banks (such as China and India) are a positive signal in the medium to long term, but are unlikely to offset short-term pressure from the Federal Reserve’s policies.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has been sold below the $3,300 level and now the $3,300 level has become the nearest resistance at present. For now, gold will be limited by the area of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement with the original price point of $3,300, along with that it has formed a short-term downtrend with the price channel, the next target will be around $3,246 in the short term followed by the Fibonacci retracement level noted with readers in previous publications.
On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index is operating below 50 and is far from the oversold zone (20-0), indicating that there is still plenty of room for downside ahead.
In addition, the gold trend will also be pressured by the EMA21, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the current technical conditions continue to favor the downside.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: 3,246 – 3,228 USD
Resistance: 3,300 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3345 - 3343⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3349
→Take Profit 1 3337
↨
→Take Profit 2 3331
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3240 - 3242⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3236
→Take Profit 1 3248
↨
→Take Profit 2 3254
GOLD Bullish Today , Long Scalping Entry Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3296.00 and we have a 30 Mins Candle closure above it , so i`m waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade and we can targeting 100 to 150 pips .
Reasons To Enter :
1- New Support Created
2- Bullish Price Action
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
GOLD - Near Current Resistance? holding or not??#GOLD... so market perfectly holds our expected bottom and bounced back and now market just near to his current Resistance region.
that is around 3328 to 3332
keep close that region because if market hold it in that case we can see again drop towards our ultimate support 3310
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 3332 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 July 2025📆 Today’s Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• July 31, 2025 (Thursday) — Single-candle setup
• July 31–August 1, 2025 (Thursday–Friday) — Two-candle combined range
🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes
✅ Gold has recently dropped sharply from 3439 to 3298, and current conditions suggest this bearish momentum may continue.
✅ I’ll be actively trading both the July 31 and July 31–August 1 setups as part of my ongoing strategy testing and live analysis.
✅ This method and timing structure can also be applied to other assets like BTC, the US Index, and various commodities.
⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, it’s absolutely okay to skip the single-candle setup on July 31 and wait for the more confirmed 2-day range setup (July 31–August 1).
📋 Execution Guidelines
🔹 Range Identification:
• Let the Hi-Lo range of the chosen candle(s) form completely.
• Purple lines will mark these ranges on the chart.
• After the daily close, charts will be updated to include a 60-pip buffer, Fibonacci zones, and relevant indicators.
🔹 Entry Conditions:
• Trades are triggered only if price breaks above/below the full range, including the buffer zone.
🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic:
• If the Stop Loss is triggered, the trade is exited or switched, and the next valid breakout setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery.
📉📈 Chart Snapshot
🔗 Paste this in TradingView: TV/x/fykxBG6w/
📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way.
🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
XAU/USD – Endphase der Circle Wave 1 & Vorbereitung auf die KorrOANDA:XAUUSD
We are currently in the final stages of the yellow (Circle) Wave 1 on Gold.
We have just completed wave 4.
How do I identify wave 4? Simple:
📏 I drew a trendline, and once that trendline was broken, the trend of wave 3 was considered complete.
However, we’ve now made a new low, which broke the low of wave 3 — this could very well be our wave A of wave 4 ⚠️.
I’m expecting one more final low, potentially around 3252, or even as low as 3200.
But personally, I lean towards ~3252 as the likely target 🎯.
After that, we should see a move upward into the yellow Fibonacci zone of wave 2 🟡.
The path from Circle 1 to Circle 2 will likely unfold as a corrective A-B-C structure to the upside 🔁.
Following that, we hopefully get a clean five-wave impulse into our (Circle) Wave 3 🚀.
XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues as USD StrengthensGold remains under significant pressure as the U.S. dollar continues to gain strength following a series of positive economic data from the U.S. Specifically, GDP grew by 2.5%, beating expectations, while ADP Non-Farm Employment data also came in strong. This suggests the U.S. economy remains resilient, supporting the Fed's hawkish stance and keeping the dollar strong.
On the 4H chart, XAUUSD has broken below the previous ascending price channel and is now trading under the 3,340.400 resistance zone – an area packed with unfilled FVGs. The current price structure leans bearish, with any rebounds likely to be temporary pullbacks.
If USD strength continues, gold could drop further toward the support zone at 3,279.200 or even lower near 3,240.
Trading Strategy: Focus on SELL
Entry: Around 3,325 – 3,340.400 upon price rejection signals.
Target: 3,279.200 or lower.
Stop-loss: Above 3,342.459
Gold Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Liquidity Sweep.Gold has recently broken out of a parallel channel during the New York session, followed by a strong upward move triggered by the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news event. Currently, the market is trading near a key trendline resistance zone. In this area, the price has also swept the liquidity residing above recent highs, indicating that potential buy-side liquidity has been taken out.
This level now becomes critical for observation. If the market forms a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or provides any valid bearish confirmation — such as a strong rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or a break of lower timeframe support — then there is a high probability that a downward move may follow from this zone.
As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) and wait for price action to confirm the bias before executing any trades. Acting on confirmation rather than assumptions protects both capital and strategy.