GOLD - Near Current Resistance? holding or not??#GOLD... so market perfectly holds our expected bottom and bounced back and now market just near to his current Resistance region.
that is around 3328 to 3332
keep close that region because if market hold it in that case we can see again drop towards our ultimate support 3310
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 3332 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not bad play at all with the red boxes working well, KOG's bias of the day and the red box targets working well and of course the indicators and our trusted algo Excalibur guiding the way completing the move that we wanted downside. We then got a fantastic long from the bias level and red box activation up into where we are now.
So, what now?
We have resistance and a red box above which is broken suggesting we may see some more movement downside in the coming sessions. This would also align with the hunt and undercut low that can take place at this key level. We're a bit too low to short, so we'll either look for the break above 3375 to go higher, or, we'll wait lower for a potential long trade from the red box region.
Immediate support here is 3360-5 and resistance 3375.
Price: 3364
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3358✅, 3365✅ and above that 3379✅
Bearish on break of 3350 with target below 3337 and below that 3330
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3388 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3335, 3330, 3326 and 3307 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold is Falling Sharply – Will It Keep Falling?Hello dear traders, what’s your view on XAUUSD?
Yesterday, XAUUSD continued its strong downtrend and is now trading around 3,296 USD.
The recent drop in gold is largely due to the strengthening U.S. dollar, following the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady as expected — despite sharp criticism from President Donald Trump.
Technically speaking, after breaking below the rising trendline, gold failed to retest successfully and plunged further, confirming that the bearish trend is now in control. Price is currently moving below key moving averages, and the structure has clearly formed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows — reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside.
If a pullback occurs before the next leg down, the Fibonacci 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zone — which aligns with the EMA 34 and 89 and a major resistance level — will be a key area to watch. This could present a prime opportunity for breakout and trend-following traders.
Looking ahead, the next key support sits near 3,220 USD. If this level breaks, gold may head toward the 3,162 USD zone.
What do you think? Will gold keep falling, or will buyers step in? Drop a comment and hit follow to catch the next big move!
XAU/USD – Endphase der Circle Wave 1 & Vorbereitung auf die KorrOANDA:XAUUSD
We are currently in the final stages of the yellow (Circle) Wave 1 on Gold.
We have just completed wave 4.
How do I identify wave 4? Simple:
📏 I drew a trendline, and once that trendline was broken, the trend of wave 3 was considered complete.
However, we’ve now made a new low, which broke the low of wave 3 — this could very well be our wave A of wave 4 ⚠️.
I’m expecting one more final low, potentially around 3252, or even as low as 3200.
But personally, I lean towards ~3252 as the likely target 🎯.
After that, we should see a move upward into the yellow Fibonacci zone of wave 2 🟡.
The path from Circle 1 to Circle 2 will likely unfold as a corrective A-B-C structure to the upside 🔁.
Following that, we hopefully get a clean five-wave impulse into our (Circle) Wave 3 🚀.
Gold Struggles at Resistance – Indicates Lower Lows AheadGold has been in a clear downtrend after facing a strong rejection around the 3,438 level (main resistance zone). Price is currently moving within a descending channel, confirming the formation of lower highs and lower lows – a classic bearish market structure.
Currently, Gold is trading near 3,306, facing resistance at 3,339 (marked as a possible lower high). If price fails to break above this level and sustain, there is a strong probability of continuation towards 3,249 and even 3,216.
Key Technical Highlights
- Immediate Resistance: 3,339 – 3,353
- Support Levels: 3,301 (short-term), 3,249, and 3,216
A rejection near 3,339 can lead to another leg down targeting 3,249 and 3,216. However, a strong breakout above 3,339–3,353 could temporarily shift momentum towards 3,394.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances for Gold for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Technical Analysis - Gold (XAU/USD) - 4H ChartI’ve dissected the market using Elliott Wave theory and uncovered key signals that most overlook. Here's my breakdown:
## 📌 **Setup Overview*
I'm tracking a complex wave structure that hints at the final stage of a corrective pattern, setting the stage for a potential bullish rebound.
## 🎯 **Entry Strategy**
I’ve identified a prime buy zone around **3,350USD**—just above current market levels. This isn’t just a number—it's where price action and wave theory converge. High-probability setup with a tight stop. Above 3,380
## 🧭 **Projected Move**
While I’m eyeing short-term upside, the larger wave pattern suggests the potential for a deeper correction targeting the **3120.000 USD** area. I’m preparing for both scenarios to stay ahead of market sentiment.
---
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To With Great ProfitHere is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3321.00 and we have a 15 Mins Candle closure above this strong res , so I'm waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade , and if we have a 4H Closure Above This res this will increase the reasons for buyers , just wait the price to back a little to retest it and then we can buy it . if we have a daily closure below it this idea will not be valid anymore .
XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout SetupGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bullish recovery after a sharp sell-off, with current price action around 3305.86 USD hinting at a potential breakout on the 1-hour timeframe.
- Technical Overview
Price structure: After a steep decline, gold formed a base near the 3284–3299 zone and is now climbing back, with a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation taking shape.
EMA cluster: Price is approaching the confluence of the EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200, currently acting as dynamic resistance around 3309–3323. A break above these levels may confirm bullish strength.
Fibonacci retracement: The bounce appears from the 0.874 extension, indicating the end of the previous bearish leg.
Volume analysis: Increasing bullish volume supports the idea of a potential breakout.
- Key Levels to Watch
Zone Type
Price Level (USD)
Remarks
Immediate Resistance: 3,309 – 3,323 - Major test zone; overlaps with EMA 50/100
Major Resistance : 3,337 – 3,340 - Previous high; if broken confirms bullish continuation
Support Zone: 3,299 – 3,302 - Intraday support turned demand zone
Critical Support: 3,284 – 3,285 - Recent swing low; invalidates bullish view if broken
- Intraday Strategy Suggestion
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
Entry: Buy on breakout and retest of 3,309–3,323
SL: Below 3,299
TP1: 3,337
TP2: 3,355
- Confirmation by strong bullish candle closing above EMA cluster and above resistance zone.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Pullback
Entry: Buy limit at 3,300–3,302
SL: Below 3,284
TP1: 3,323
TP2: 3,337
- Look for RSI divergence or bullish engulfing candle at support for higher conviction.
- Final Note
The bulls are attempting to reclaim momentum after a major correction. If gold can sustain above the 3,309 resistance and hold the 3,300 base, a short-term bullish reversal could materialize.
Gold (XAU/USD): A Classic VSA Short Setup in PlayHey Traders,
Following up on the general weakness we discussed in Gold, here's a closer look at a specific trade setup that's unfolding right now. This is a textbook example of a high-probability short setup according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA).
Let's break down the story the volume is telling us.
1. The Breakdown: Sellers Show Their Hand
First, look at how the price broke down hard through that support level (the grey box). Notice the volume on that sharp drop? It was high. This is our clue that sellers are strong and in control. They had enough power to smash right through a level that was previously holding the price up.
2. The Retest: Buyers Don't Show Up
Now, the price is creeping back up to that same exact level. But here's the most important clue: look at the volume on this rally. It's much lower than the volume on the breakdown.
This is what VSA calls a "No Demand" rally. It’s like the market is trying to push a car uphill without any gas. It tells us that strong buyers (the "smart money") have no interest in buying at these prices.
3. The Setup: Selling into Weakness
This combination creates a classic short setup:
Logic: We are looking to sell at a level where old support has flipped into new resistance.
Confirmation: The low volume on the retest confirms the rally is weak and likely to fail.
How to Potentially Trade It
The grey box represents a high-probability entry zone. To time an entry, you could watch for a clear rejection signal right inside this zone. For example:
A "rejection candle" (like a pin bar) that pushes into the zone but gets slammed back down.
An up-bar with a tiny body and very low volume, showing buyers are completely exhausted.
Seeing one of these signs would be the final confirmation that sellers are about to take back control.
Conclusion:
This is a powerful setup because all the pieces line up: the background is weak, sellers have shown their strength, and buyers are now showing no interest at a key resistance level.
Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis using VSA and is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk. Good luck, traders!
GOLD Range-Bound Before Fed – Breakout Above 3349 Unlocks 3374GOLD | Bullish Momentum Builds Ahead of Fed Decision – Key Range Between 3349 and 3312
Fundamental Insight:
Gold is slightly higher as the U.S. dollar weakens ahead of the Fed’s rate decision. Markets await signals on future policy, which could drive sharp moves in gold.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains bullish while above 3320, with upside potential toward 3349.
A 1H close above 3349 confirms breakout momentum, opening the path toward 3374, and potentially 3401.
A break below 3320, especially below 3312, would invalidate the bullish setup and trigger downside toward 3285, then 3256.
Currently range-bound between 3349 and 3312 — watch for breakout confirmation to determine the next trend direction.
Key Levels:
• Support: 3320 – 3285 – 3256
• Resistance: 3349, 3374 – 3401
Bias: Bullish above 3320
📍 Watch Fed volatility – breakout expected soon
XAUUSD – Is gold getting ready to bounce?Right now, gold is reacting around the 3,280 support zone after breaking down from its previous ascending channel. While the broader trend is still under bearish pressure, the recently released JOLTS data came in lower than expected, signaling that the U.S. labor market may be cooling — a mildly positive sign for gold.
From a technical view, price is showing signs of forming a short-term bottom near 3,229 and is starting to rebound. If gold can hold above this support and break through 3,339, a recovery toward the 3,360–3,400 zone could unfold.
That said, this bounce is likely just a technical correction. Without more bearish news for the dollar, gold still risks being rejected around the FVG area and heading lower again.
Trading idea: Consider short-term Buy opportunities if price stays above 3,280 and forms a clear reversal pattern. Stop-loss below 3,229. Short-term targets: 3,339–3,360.
What about you? Leaning towards buying the dip or staying with the downtrend?
[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 July 2025📆 Today’s Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• July 31, 2025 (Thursday) — Single-candle setup
• July 31–August 1, 2025 (Thursday–Friday) — Two-candle combined range
🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes
✅ Gold has recently dropped sharply from 3439 to 3298, and current conditions suggest this bearish momentum may continue.
✅ I’ll be actively trading both the July 31 and July 31–August 1 setups as part of my ongoing strategy testing and live analysis.
✅ This method and timing structure can also be applied to other assets like BTC, the US Index, and various commodities.
⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, it’s absolutely okay to skip the single-candle setup on July 31 and wait for the more confirmed 2-day range setup (July 31–August 1).
📋 Execution Guidelines
🔹 Range Identification:
• Let the Hi-Lo range of the chosen candle(s) form completely.
• Purple lines will mark these ranges on the chart.
• After the daily close, charts will be updated to include a 60-pip buffer, Fibonacci zones, and relevant indicators.
🔹 Entry Conditions:
• Trades are triggered only if price breaks above/below the full range, including the buffer zone.
🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic:
• If the Stop Loss is triggered, the trade is exited or switched, and the next valid breakout setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery.
📉📈 Chart Snapshot
🔗 Paste this in TradingView: TV/x/fykxBG6w/
📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way.
🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential from Strong Support
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,291.780, showing a potential bullish reversal setup from the strong support zone after a clear liquidity sweep and market structure shifts.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand)
Price is reacting from a major demand zone (Strong Low) between $3,275 – $3,225, a level that previously triggered bullish rallies.
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and CHoCH indicate previous bullish control and a possible re-accumulation phase.
✅ CHoCH Near Support
A recent Change of Character (CHoCH) around the support area shows the first signs of smart money accumulation.
Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, triggering possible bullish intent.
✅ Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A clear Bullish FVG remains unmitigated around the mid-range, offering target confluence at $3,349.560.
Price may aim to rebalance inefficiency and fill the FVG as part of the bullish move.
✅ Resistance Zone Above
The resistance area near $3,325 – $3,350 acts as a short-term target for long positions.
Further resistance lies at the Buy-Side Liquidity & Weak High zone around $3,450 if momentum sustains.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Interpretation:
Liquidity Grab: Price dipped into strong demand to collect sell-side liquidity before potential reversal.
CHoCH + BOS Alignment: Indicates the market may now transition into a bullish phase.
FVG as Magnet: Price is drawn toward unfilled value zones—ideal for bullish target projection.
🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purposes Only):
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Around current zone ($3,290)
Target: $3,349.560 (FVG zone)
Invalidation/SL: Below strong low (~$3,225)
GOLD REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE AFTER U.S. INFLATION DATA📊 Market Overview:
Gold is trading around $3294, down from $3311 earlier after U.S. Core PCE and Employment Cost Index came in as expected — reinforcing the Fed's hawkish stance. A stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to weigh on gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3302 – $3305
• Nearest support: $3285 – $3275
• EMA09 (H1): Price is below the 9-period EMA → short-term trend remains bearish
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: After the sharp drop, price is consolidating between $3293–$3298 with low volume. Failure to break above $3302 may trigger further downside. RSI near 45 suggests room for more selling.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if it fails to reclaim $3302 and the dollar remains strong through the Asian and European sessions.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3296 – $3298
🎯 TP: $3280 / $3275
❌ SL: $3305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3275 – $3278 (if reversal candle appears)
🎯 TP: $3295
❌ SL: $3270