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GOLD trade ideas

Gold Trade plan 30/07/2025Dear Traders, This chart represents the XAU/USD (Gold / U.S. Dollar) pair on a 4-hour timeframe. The market is showing a series of Fibonacci retracements and key levels, with potential price action zones marked for future movements. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: At 3,422.105 (near the green line), followed by the 3,386.171 level (Fibonacci 0.618). Support Zones: Major support is visible near 3,282.131 (bottom of the chart), with additional minor support levels at 3,305.000 and 3,293.000. Mid-range Support: Around 3,369.987. Potential Price Action: The price recently dropped from higher levels, breaking below the previous support levels. The market seems to be testing lower support zones. A potential move down towards 3,284.116 or 3,282.131 is likely if the current support levels do not hold. Conversely, if price action holds the current support zone (3,329.040), a retest of the higher resistance at 3,350.163 could occur. Fibonacci Levels: Retracement Levels: The Fibonacci retracement is drawn with key levels, particularly around 3,372-3,378 and 3,349-3,357, acting as strong support or resistance. Extensions: There is potential for the price to move towards the 3,420 region if resistance levels break. Strategy Suggestion: Short Position: Targeting lower levels near 3,282.131 or 3,284.116. Long Position: If price holds above 3,329.040, target resistance at 3,350.163 and beyond. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
Will Upcoming Data Determine the Next Gold's Direction?Macro approach: - Gold retreated this week, reversing early gains to trade near four-week lows amid renewed US dollar strength and caution ahead of the Fed's policy decision. - The retreat was mainly pressured by stronger-than-expected US economic data and a tentative revival in risk appetite, offsetting pockets of safe-haven demand. - Key drivers included robust US GDP growth for 2Q, a bounce in consumer confidence, and the Fed's steady rates with a more hawkish tone, suggesting cuts may be further out. - Meanwhile, recent US-EU and US-China trade deals eased some global uncertainty, damping gold's appeal as a hedge.  - Market participants also eyed the labor market's continued cooling, but resilient consumer spending further buoyed the dollar. - Gold may remain volatile, with potential upside if upcoming US PCE inflation and NFP reports disappoint expectations. Any escalation in trade tensions or signals of Fed policy easing could renew support for gold prices. Technical approach: - XAUUSD fluctuated within the range of 3285-3560, which is below the broken ascending trendline. The price between the two EMAs awaits an apparent breakout to determine the next trend. - If XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3273, confluence with EMA78, the price may plunge to retest the following support at 3167. - On the contrary, remaining above the support at 3273 may lead XAUUSD to retest the resistance at around 3560. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by DatTong
2
Gold Faces Strong Rejection Below $3,365 – Bearish Wave Ahead?Gold is currently trading around $3,359, showing signs of exhaustion after climbing from the $3,248 low. The chart illustrates a textbook scenario of channel rejection after testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge and failing to break above the $3,365–$3,392 resistance zone. Price is now hovering just below the diagonal black trendline, indicating a potential lower high formation and setting up for another bearish wave. 📌 Key Technical Highlights Resistance Zone: $3,365–$3,392 This area marks the confluence of the black long-term trendline, the top of the descending purple channel, and the previous high at $3,392. Price attempted a "Possible Retest" as annotated on the chart and is now starting to pull back—showing signs of bearish rejection. Bearish Scenario (Blue Arrows): Multiple downward arrows show likely bearish paths if the current resistance holds. Key short-term targets: $3,337, $3,320, $3,303, Strong support at $3,293–$3,248 Further downside may test extension levels toward $3,220–$3,200 by early August if momentum builds. ⚠️ Bearish Confirmation Criteria Failure to close above $3,365 (black trendline) Breakdown below $3,337 followed by $3,320 Strong selling pressure supported by fundamentals (e.g. USD strength, Fed hawkish stance) ✅ Invalidation / Bullish Outlook A decisive breakout and close above $3,392.73 would invalidate the bearish structure. In that case, targets would shift toward: $3,412, $3,434, $3,490 (long-term trendline intersection) However, today's U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) release adds a layer of volatility and potential trend disruption, making this a high-risk trading day. 📊 CPI News Impact – What to Watch High CPI (Stronger than forecast): - Increases expectations of further Fed tightening → strengthens USD → bearish for gold - Likely scenario: sharp drop toward $3,337 → $3,320 → $3,293 Low CPI (Weaker than forecast): - Signals disinflation → weakens USD → bullish for gold - Possible breakout above $3,365 → retest of $3,392 → if broken, target $3,412 and $3,434 Neutral or as expected CPI: - Likely leads to whipsaw — fakeout on both sides - Caution advised — wait for candle close confirmations post-news Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold Bulls Charging to 3305 But What’s Waiting There?Gold has recently taken support from the lower levels and has also shown a Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside. Currently, there is Imbalance and Internal Draw on Liquidity (IDM) resting around the 3305 level. The market appears to be moving upward to mitigate that imbalance. It's important to closely monitor this zone, as once the market reaches and fills this area, there is a high probability of a potential rejection or bearish move from that level
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradeCraft_FX
XAUUSD BUYS PROJECTION Hey everyone wow is been long since I posted here I can say for sure trading has never been so tougher for me cuz am tryna refine my edge and I miss posting and sharing my ideas here so this is my analysis on Gold after seeing Gold rejected a strong resistance zone and price keeps pushing down tho I missed the sells but market is always full of opportunity and here are my zones to take buys from,mind you these zone are very strong support zones that mostly buyers get in the market so I will be waiting for price to get to the first zone which is the green and the second is for scaling in after placing the first on breakeven and yes I will update you guys…..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by THATGUYMAZINO
XAUDUSD SELL LIMITSymbol: XAU/USD Timeframe: 15 Minutes (15m) Trade Direction: Short (Sell) Exact Entry Price: 3,295.254 Entry Rationale: This point is located within the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and at the 78.0% Fibonacci level (Optimal Trade Entry - OTE zone), which has a high potential for a price reaction and attracting sell orders. Exact Stop Loss: 3,305.953 Stop Loss Rationale: This price is set slightly above the high of the bearish Order Block and also above the Swing High at 3,302.658 to protect the trade from a potential liquidity grab (Stop Hunt). Exact Take Profit (TP1): 3,270.916 Take Profit Rationale: This target is set at the recent low. This area acts as a sell-side liquidity pool and is the next logical target for the price after pulling back to the supply zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sajefallah
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Not bad play at all with the red boxes working well, KOG's bias of the day and the red box targets working well and of course the indicators and our trusted algo Excalibur guiding the way completing the move that we wanted downside. We then got a fantastic long from the bias level and red box activation up into where we are now. So, what now? We have resistance and a red box above which is broken suggesting we may see some more movement downside in the coming sessions. This would also align with the hunt and undercut low that can take place at this key level. We're a bit too low to short, so we'll either look for the break above 3375 to go higher, or, we'll wait lower for a potential long trade from the red box region. Immediate support here is 3360-5 and resistance 3375. Price: 3364 KOG’s Bias of the day: Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3358✅, 3365✅ and above that 3379✅ Bearish on break of 3350 with target below 3337 and below that 3330 RED BOXES: Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3388 and 3406 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3335, 3330, 3326 and 3307 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
13
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for a price to attempt the higher level red box sitting around the 3370-75 region and if not breached, we felt an opportunity to short would be available from that region. We said if that failed and the move commenced, we would be looking at a complete correction of the move back down into the 3330-35 region, where we would then monitor price again in anticipation of a long from there or the extension level of 3310 which was also a red box short target (move complete). As you can see from the above, not only did we get that higher red box, we rejected, completed the move downside and then our traders managed to get that long trade all the way back up into the Excalibur target, red box targets and the hotspots shared in Camelot. A decent week again, not only on Gold but also the numerous other pairs we trade, share targets on and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we can expect more ranging price action, but due to the previous range from last week being so tight, it looks like we’ll see a breakout coming in the latter part of the week unless there is news to bring us unexpected volume. We have the key level below 3335-40 support and above that resistance and a red box sitting at 3375-80. This is the region that needs to watched for the break, and if broken we should hit the range high again at 3400-10. However, if rejected, we could again see this dip to attack that lower order region 3310-6 before attempting to recover. Last week we wanted to see that curveball and although we did see some aggressive price action, I think we will see something extreme for this week. It’s that lower level 3310-6 that is a key region for bulls, if broken we can see a complete flush in gold taking us down into the 3250’s before we start the summer run. That for us would be the ideal scenario going into the month end, but, we’ll play it how we see and as usual, we go level to level and update any changes as we go along. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3355, 3361, 3368, 3372 and above that 3385 Bearish below 3340 with targets below 3335, 3330, 3322, 3316, 3310 and below that 3304 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3350 for 3355, 3361, 3367, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move Break below 3340 for 3335, 3330, 3320, 3310 and 3306 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
42
GOLD BUY TRADE IDEA • Price Action Context: • Recent bearish leg shows a clear shift from premium to discount territory. • Market is approaching a higher timeframe demand zone around $3,277 – $3,299 (highlighted red zone). • Notable inducement below recent lows suggests engineered liquidity to fuel a potential reversal. • Current Market Structure: • After a deep retracement, price is expected to tap into the discount zone, where institutional buy orders may be resting. • Anticipated bullish reaction following a liquidity sweep of the lows and demand mitigation. • Smart Money Flow: • Inducement ➝ Liquidity Grab ➝ Demand Tap ➝ Bullish Reaction setup in play. • Internal structure likely to shift bullish after a sweep, potentially forming a higher low and aiming for a BOS (Break of Structure) on the upside. • Upside Target: • Short-term target area: $3,360 – $3,380. • Possible continuation toward premium if internal structure confirms strength. 🧠 Smart Money Narrative: 1. Induced sell-off below structure for liquidity collection. 2. Approaching major POI (Point of Interest) in discount. 3. Anticipated entry point for institutions to buy gold at value. 4. Reversal expected toward premium imbalance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RayForexlyfe
technical analysis- (xau-usd) (H1)This chart highlights a large symmetrical triangle formation, with an internal WXYXZ corrective structure blended with impulsive Elliott Waves (1)-(5). The price action is marked by key structural shifts: CHoCH, BOS, and EOH, signaling trend reversals and liquidity grabs. 📌 Price recently bounced off the ascending trendline, forming a potential wave (2) low, suggesting a bullish move into a wave (3) impulse. 🔼 Short-term target points to a revisit of the strong resistance zone around 3,400–3,410. 📊 Key Setup: • Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle • Wave Count: Corrective WXYXZ + impulsive structure in progress • Signals: Bullish CHoCH + BOS confirmation 🎯 Trade Idea: • ✅ Direction: BUY • 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 3,400 – 3,410 • 🔻 Stop Loss (SL): 3,296 🔁 Sideways range compression sets up ideal conditions for short-term swing or breakout scalps.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Kaizo-liquidity-reaper
1
XAUUSD – Bears in Control, but Watch for a Rebound FirstYesterday, after a small bounce from the ascending trendline, Gold broke down and printed an intraday low around $3300. Right now, the market appears bear-dominated, and further downside continuation is likely in the coming days. ________________________________________ 📉 But there’s a catch: From last week's top, Gold has dropped over 1400 pips without any meaningful correction. That opens the door for a possible short-term rebound, which could be just a setup for new short entries. ________________________________________ 📌 Key levels to watch: • First resistance: $3350 • Major resistance: $3375 – Only a daily close above this level would shift control back to the bulls 🎯 Until then, any bounce is an opportunity to sell into strength. A break below $3300 opens the path to $3280, with a likely extension toward $3250. ________________________________________ Conclusion: The trend is bearish, but don’t chase. Wait for a corrective rally, then look to sell the rip—unless bulls reclaim $3375, it’s still a bear market. Let’s see if Gold gives us the setup. 🎯 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
19
Gold Market Outlook – 1H ChartGold (XAU/USD) continues to show bearish momentum with lower highs and consistent structural breakdowns. Price is currently consolidating just above a key support zone (~3315), forming a descending triangle pattern — often a bearish continuation signal. If the support breaks, the next liquidity zones lie around 3270–3250, with a deeper target near 3225, as highlighted by the green demand areas. Fundamental catalysts ahead (as shown by US economic events) could act as triggers.
TVC:GOLD
by AlgoWave_Tech
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,311.57. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,369.04 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support Chart Summary: Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear reaction from a strong support zone near 3260, suggesting bullish momentum is gaining strength. The chart highlights multiple key market structure elements and confirms the potential for a bullish move. Technical Highlights: 🔻 Strong Support Zone (3260–3280): Price tapped into a well-defined demand zone with historical significance, initiating a bullish response. 🔺 Resistance Zone (3460+): A strong resistance level lies ahead. This area may act as a potential target for bulls. 🔁 Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS marks on the chart indicate trend shifts and liquidity grabs. Most recent BOS aligns with potential reversal. 💹 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG): A bullish FVG near mid-structure confirms institutional interest and adds confluence to the upside move. 📈 Target: 3,366.984 USD Marked as the next probable short-term liquidity target. If momentum sustains, price may approach resistance above this. Price Expectation: If the current bullish momentum holds above the strong support zone, we may see a rally towards 3,366–3,400 USD. This move could be driven by: Buy-side liquidity grab above prior highs Breakout traders entering above BOS Reaction to macroeconomic calendar (highlighted on the chart) ✅ Educational Takeaway: This is a textbook example of: Support-resistance flip Liquidity concepts (Buy-Side Liquidity) Fair Value Gaps usage Volume Profile confluence
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03