GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD taps a clean supply zone after an extended move, showing rejection wicks and shifting orderflow that signal potential distribution. A short-term pullback into discounted levels may unfold toward the downside target.
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Stop Loss: 4,246$
Take Profit: 4,192$
Entry Level: 4,216$
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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Trade ideas
Today's Gold Trading StrategyPolicy Dimension: Fed Rate Cut Implemented, Easing Expectations Further Strengthened
The Federal Reserve announced its first 25BP rate cut in 2025 as scheduled, lowering the federal funds rate range to 4.00%-4.25%. The dot plot indicates two additional rate cuts (cumulatively 50BP) within the year, with 9 out of 19 officials supporting a total of 75BP in rate cuts for the full year, confirming a clear dovish policy direction. More critically, Jerome Powell explicitly stated that "the policy focus is shifting from inflation to employment." Currently, the U.S. labor market is cooling, providing room for subsequent sustained easing. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold’s holding costs continue to decline in a low-interest-rate environment, solidifying its position as a core allocation target. It is worth noting that Powell emphasized "no entry into a sustained rate-cutting cycle," so short-term volatility following the digestion of policy expectations requires vigilance.
The short-term core contradiction centers on the game between "digestion of rate-cut policy dividends" and "cautious sentiment ahead of non-farm payrolls data." The fundamental bullish trend remains intact, but the upward pace has slowed. The core trading strategy should prioritize "buying on dips while supplementing with adding positions on breakthroughs," managing risks based on clear support and resistance levels.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
buy:4220-4230
tp:4240-4250-4300
sl:4210
Will gold prices rise again in the new week?1️⃣ Trendline
Long-term descending trendline (upper black line)
Price has strongly broken above the long-standing descending trendline.
→ This signals a transition from a bearish phase to a medium-term bullish trend.
Short-term ascending trendline (small channel)
Price is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, consistently forming higher lows.
The recent breakout came with strong momentum → bullish strength is currently dominant.
2️⃣ Support – Resistance
Key Support Levels
4,111 – 4,108:
A confluence zone of the ascending channel’s bottom, EMA, and the 0.618 Fibonacci level → strong support if price pulls back.
4,145 – 4,150:
This is the breakout zone and will act as a retest support if price revisits it.
Key Resistance Levels
4,238 – 4,245 (Fibo 1.618 + previous structure high)
→ First major resistance zone. Price may consolidate or shake before breaking through.
4,375 – 4,380 (Fibo 2.618 + major upper zone, ATH area)
→ Large upside target if price breaks and holds above 4,245.
3️⃣ Fibonacci
The current upward swing is targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at 4,238 – 4,245.
If this zone is broken and price closes above:
→ Next extension target is 2.618 Fibonacci near 4,375 – 4,380.
4️⃣ Trend Outlook
Trend: Short-term bullish → shifting to medium-term bullish after breaking the major descending trendline.
Key level to hold:
Above 4,145–4,150 = bullish continuation.
Upside targets:
4,238 – 4,245
4,372 – 4,380 (if bullish momentum continues)
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4111 – 4108
Stop Loss: 4098
Take Profit: 200 – 400 – 700 pips
SELL GOLD: 4278 – 4281
Stop Loss: 4291
Take Profit: 200 – 400 – 700 pips
GOLD XAUUSD 60mins BUY Trade ForecastStalking Xau for a potential bullish movement.
All we need now as confirmation to proceed Long with gold on 15/60mins TF is t he inability of price to continue short beyond the drawn line as depicted on the chart.
Will update you once the ticks are green and ready for the launch.
:)
Gold (XAU/USD) – Smart Money & Fibonacci Key Levels AnalysisThis chart highlights potential short and sell opportunities on Gold (XAU/USD) using Smart Money concepts and Fibonacci retracement/extension levels. Key levels are marked for:
Short entries: 4,252.44
Sell opportunity: 4,239.85
Smart Money Footprint: 4,225.57
Stop Loss: 4,271.57
Target levels are based on Fibonacci expansions (127%, 150%, 161%, 200%, 250%, 261%, 361%, 414%), showing areas where price might react or reverse.
This setup combines price action reversal signals with structural levels to identify high-probability trades and manage risk efficiently.
XAUUSD Bullish Explosion! Target4285 🔥 Smart Money Concept Explanation
Market is currently maintaining bullish order flow with consistent HH–HL structure, showing strong demand from institutional footprints.
Price has tapped into an Internal Demand Mitigation (IDM) area and is reacting bullishly after engineering liquidity below intraday lows.
The previous Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the continuation of bullish displacement.
Now price is expected to reach the upper Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) zones.
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🎯 Targets (TP divided into 3 parts)
1️⃣ TP1 → 4260
• First buy-side liquidity pocket
• Ideal partial close point
2️⃣ TP2 → 4272
• Situated at the next imbalance fill zone
• Captures mid-range liquidity
3️⃣ TP3 → 4285 (Final Target)
• Major external buy-side liquidity
• Completion of overall bullish expansion
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📌 Market Psychology / Why This Buy is Strong
Liquidity swept below 4245 area
Price tapped into imbalance + demand confluence
Institutional mitigation confirming bullish continuation
Strong bullish displacement candles
Clear buy-side liquidity sitting above 4260 → 4285
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⚠ Risk Management
Always maintain SL at 4240, just below liquidity sweep zone.
Use partial profit-taking on each TP to protect capital.
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#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SmartMoneyConcept #SMC #BuySetup #LiquidityZones #OrderFlow #BOS #IDM #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #ForexSignals #IntradayTrading #Scalping #SwingTrading #MarketStructure #PriceAction
XAUUSD Short: Rejection Pattern Points Toward 4,110 SupportHello, traders! XAUUSD continues to move within a broader ascending channel, where the price is forming higher pivot points along the Demand Line while consistently reacting to the descending Supply Line above. This structure indicates ongoing compression between buyers and sellers. Recently, Gold approached the upper Supply Line, where the price once again failed to break through, forming another lower high. This confirms that sellers are still defending the supply zone around $4,190–$4,200, keeping upward momentum limited. Before that, the price made several breakout attempts above the mid-range resistance, but many of them turned into fake breakouts, indicating liquidity grabs. Each rejection pushed Gold back toward the Demand Line, where buyers repeatedly created strong pivot points and revived the bullish momentum.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading close to the resistance area, and the chart suggests a potential pullback. If sellers maintain their pressure, the price may decline toward the $4,110 demand level, which aligns with both historical support and the upward Demand Line.
My scenario, if the price respects the Supply Line and fails to break higher, a bearish correction toward the $4,110 support zone becomes likely. However, if buyers manage to break above the descending Supply Line with strong momentum, the bearish idea becomes invalid, and Gold may continue its bullish expansion. Manage your risk!
GOLD at cut n reverse area? whats next??#GOLD - market perfectly moved as per our last idea regarding gold and now market just trade above his resistance area.
that resistance area is turned into supporting area after break above and sustain. that is 4245
keep close that area 4245 and holding of that area means we can expect further bounce otherwise not at all.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 4245 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD bounces back amid Fed signals and political turmoilOANDA:XAUUSD opened the Asian trading week with strong upward momentum, reflecting rising confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as early as December. Spot gold reached $4,256.31/oz, gaining $37 within just a few hours — the highest level in five weeks.
Shifting rate-cut expectations remain the dominant driver. A series of dovish comments from Fed officials, combined with weakening economic data following the U.S. government shutdown, has led the market to price in an 87% probability of a rate cut, according to FedWatch. As the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases, capital is rapidly flowing into non-yielding safe-haven assets.
Long-term support remains intact: accelerating purchases by central banks and significant inflows into gold ETFs helped push prices to a historical peak of $4,380/oz in October. With an almost uninterrupted rally since the start of the year, gold is on track for its strongest annual performance since 1979.
However, the monetary-policy outlook is clouded by political uncertainty. President Trump announced he had chosen a successor to Chairman Jerome Powell and asked the nominee to commit to a more aggressive rate-cutting cycle.
Kevin Hassett, a senior White House economic advisor, is now estimated by markets to have a 64% probability of being appointed — a sharp rise from last week. A more politically influenced Fed could increase volatility across asset markets.
On the geopolitical front, early signs of reconciliation between the U.S. and Ukraine have temporarily reduced safe-haven demand, but not enough to slow gold’s upward momentum. Washington’s decision to send envoy Steve Witkov to Moscow this week signals a new diplomatic phase, though risk levels remain elevated.
Today’s main focus is the ISM Manufacturing PMI. A stronger-than-expected reading may support the USD in the short term, slowing gold’s advance. Conversely, weaker data would reinforce rate-cut expectations and continue to support the metal’s upward trend.
With rapidly changing policy expectations, firm technical momentum, and persistent geopolitical risk, the gold market enters December with a clearly bullish structure — but also heightened sensitivity as the Fed and the White House reshape policy direction simultaneously.
Technical Analysis & OANDA:XAUUSD Outlook
• Trend structure: Price is maintaining a medium-term ascending channel, continuously forming higher lows and higher highs, indicating that the primary uptrend remains intact.
• Key level has been reclaimed: Price closed above the 4,128–4,216 USD resistance zone (Fib 0.236 and horizontal resistance), while also holding above the short-term MA21. This satisfies both the necessary condition (holding above support/trendline) and the sufficient condition (breaking and confirming a key resistance zone) for an uptrend cycle to be considered underway.
• Momentum indicators: RSI has recovered above the mid-range and is not yet overbought, suggesting there is still room for upside momentum.
• Technical conclusion: With a close and sustained move above 4,216 USD, the bullish structure is confirmed. The next immediate technical target is to retest the all-time high around ~4,380 USD/oz, with the next extension zone near 4,500 USD in a strong capital-inflow scenario.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4331 - 4329⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4335
→Take Profit 1 4323
↨
→Take Profit 2 4317
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4191 - 4193⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4187
→Take Profit 1 4199
↨
→Take Profit 2 4205
GOLD FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅XAUUSD strong sweep into the supply zone triggered a premium-priced rejection, aligning with the ICT narrative shift for a short-term distribution leg targeting inefficiency below.
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Entry: 4,215$
Stop Loss: 4,240$
Take Profit: 4,185$
Time Frame: 4H
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SHORT🔥
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Gold Intraday Range With Highlighted Reaction ZoneThe chart shows price moving into a marked zone after a steady intraday climb.
A lower reference level is outlined, while the upper shaded area represents the region where recent movement is being observed. This layout helps visualize how price is currently interacting within its short-term structure.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 01 - Dec 05]This week, international OANDA:XAUUSD prices rose from 4,040 USD/oz to 4,226 USD/oz and closed at 4,219 USD/oz.
Gold prices continued to rise this week because the market is “betting” that the FED will cut interest rates this coming December. In addition, gold demand surged in China as inventories at the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) fell to their lowest level in a decade.
In reality, the slowdown in private-sector job growth and limited data from the U.S. government indicate weak economic activity and subdued inflation. This will continue to fuel expectations of a FED rate cut.
Next week, the market will receive several important data releases. On Monday, attention will be on the ISM Manufacturing PMI for November, followed by the ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, along with ADP private-sector employment data for October, which will be monitored more closely than usual due to the absence of NFP data. On Thursday, the U.S. will release weekly jobless claims, core PCE, and the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey for December.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, the gold price has broken through the Downtrend line and is moving towards the next resistance zone around 4245. If it breaks this level, the gold price will approach the 4370-4380 zone. If it fails to break the 4245 barrier, the gold price will likely move sideways within the 4045-4245 range.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4276 - 4274⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4280
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4178 - 4180⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4174
Be ready for a new rallyAs we can see in Daily timeframe market had already done a breakout for major resistance zone and is getting ready for new high.4151-4155 and 4160-4168 are key levels and if any daily candle close below 4140 then it will pause the rally and enter into consolidation but if any daily candle close above 4250 then consider for a new rally till 5370 atleast.
XAUUSD: Channel Push Points to $4,220 as Next TargetHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but the recent price action is developing inside a well-defined ascending channel, where price is currently moving from the lower boundary toward the upper one. After a sharp correction, XAUUSD found strong support at the $4,040 level, which aligns with the bottom of the channel and produced a fake breakout, signaling lack of bearish continuation.
Currently, price has started a new upward swing, respecting both the channel structure and the mid-line trend dynamics. However, despite the recovery, XAUUSD is still trading below the major $4,220 resistance, which previously acted as a strong reaction zone and remains the key obstacle for buyers.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bullish, as long as price stays above the support zone around $4,040 and maintains structure inside the ascending channel. I expect Gold to continue climbing toward the $4,220 resistance, where the upper channel boundary also converges, forming a strong confluence area.
Therefore, a clean breakout above $4,220 would open the way for higher targets and continuation of the broader trend. However, if price reaches this zone and shows strong rejection or weakness, we may see a pullback into the channel — but the bullish structure remains intact as long as the lower boundary holds. For now, the market supports a long bias, with the key objective being a retest of the $4,220 resistance zone, which is the next major level buyers are aiming for.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLG SMC BUY IDEA 4160 DEMAND ZONE📌 SMC Buy-Side Idea (XAUUSD) — Entry 4160
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 15m
🔍 Market Structure
Market has broken previous structure with a clean BOS, confirming bullish order flow.
Price retraced back into the 15m Demand Zone (IDM).
4160 is sitting inside discount pricing, aligned with HL formation.
🟦 Entry Plan
Buy Limit: 4160 zone (inside 15m Demand)
Stop Loss: Below HL / Below the demand rejection
Take Profit: Three partial exits
🎯 Targets (3-Stage TP Distribution)
TP1: 4175
TP2: 4185
TP3 (Final): 4200
💡 Why Buy at 4160?
4160 = Perfect discount level
Confluence with 15m demand + IDM
Bullish BOS already printed
Liquidity above HH targeting 4200
📈 Expectation
If bulls defend 4160 demand, price should move toward 4175 → 4185 → 4200, sweeping all buy-side liquidity.
GOLD Consolidation Starts (Correction zone) Buyers Slow ExitNow after the all time high of 3482.
GOLD enters into a Consolidation zone Starts or (Correction zone) Buyers Slow Exit.
So at current market price 4180 Sell and again buy at 4000 and again sell at 4170 range and again buy at 3890 and again sell at 4050 and again buy at 3890 and again sell at 4160 and again buy at 3737.
This is for Education Purpose only, am still testing WD Gann theory!
XAUUSD: Trend in 30-Min timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
You should be noted, that we have two trend (green & purple)
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, accurate channel and you must know that SETUP is very very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea:
Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing).
There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap.
The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance.
🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward)
Parameter Plan
Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout).
Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled.
Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance.
⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch)
FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited.
A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin.
But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid.
Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
XAUUSD continues to rise after the Adam & Eve patternOANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. I will explain below the reasons and how to recognize it easily.
The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! One could say it's more "masculine."
On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine."
Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators.
This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that is truly hard to forget.
The 3 Trades That Got Me $100k Funded AccountWhen I trade XAUUSD, I only look for buying opportunities since the overall trend is bullish and there's a large list of fundamental support factors.
All of my trades always start off with a 1:1 risk to reward and then I trail based on the daily structure. Once a daily candle loses below the last, I exit the trade. Once the trade is in profit by 300 points on the smaller timeframes I move my stop loss to breakeven.
The first trade I want for a breakout above resistance. I was going to enter right on the breakout but I thought there was a chance of a fakeout so I waited until we had a small red doji candle. Stop loss was placed below that doji. I then held the trade until the daily candle closed below the last.
The second trade, I waited for a retest of the 10 SMA. The second trade felt risky but I only risk 1% per trade. Once price action started closing higher on the daily timeframe, I simply held it until we had that large bearish engulfing candle at the top.
The third trade was a no brainer, price closed above the 10SMA. My stop was below the daily candle's low and I targeted the 4200 psychological handle.






















