Stuck in the Middle – Which Ride Will Price Choose?After analyzing the 2-hour chart, we can see that price has been bouncing around like a pinball between 3374 and 3264 — rejected twice at the top, supported twice at the bottom.
Currently, price is chilling at 3309, smack in the middle of the range, probably wondering what to do with its life.
Now, 3345 is standing tall as a strong resistance. If price finds the courage to break above 3345, it might speed its way up to 3419 like it’s late for a meeting.
But if it gets shy and turns back down, don’t be surprised to see it sliding toward 3148 instead — much easier, much faster, and with way less drama.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame for Gold. Today I'm expecting bullish momentum and my bias was bullish. On the basis of SMC concept and price action when price reach my zone and give any bullish confirmation, after observing strong confirmation. I'll trigger my trades. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
This is a higher time frame outlook. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame for finding ideal and crucial entry point. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD - XAUUSD 15M Chart - Trading SignalXAU/USD – SCALPING BUY OPPORTUNITY
OANDA:XAUUSD
Direction: BUY Entry: 3320.00
Take Profit 1: 3323.00
Take Profit 2: 3330.00
Take Profit 3: 3340.00
Stop Loss: 3302.00
- Today, we are looking for a scalping opportunity on Gold (XAU/USD) .
The market is currently moving within a tight range, offering quick in-and-out setups. With global economic uncertainty on the rise, Gold remains a preferred asset for investors worldwide. Its role as a safe haven makes it especially attractive during periods of volatility and political tension. Gold as an asset is historically known for its ability to retain value over time, acting as a hedge against inflation, currency fluctuations, and broader market downturns. It is widely traded by both institutional and retail investors for portfolio protection and short-term speculation. In this setup, we are capitalizing on the short-term bullish momentum within the scalping range , targeting successive take profit levels while keeping risk controlled with a stop loss at 3302.00.
XAUUSD Gold analysis from a medium- to long-term perspectiveHello everyone. Today, we are here to determine the long-term direction of the XAUUSD pair. Regardless of any revisions, even if there are rollbacks in Trump-era policies or unexpected developments that are currently not even on the agenda, the ultimate objective remains unchanged: to strategically counterbalance China. The core target is clearly China, and the strategy is to shift both production and the trade balance in favor of the United States.
The factors driving gold prices upward are still strongly tied to global uncertainties, supported by ongoing diplomatic and geopolitical tensions. In a period where the U.S. dollar's role as the world’s reserve currency is being questioned, gold diversification has accelerated—particularly through central bank purchases.
From a psychological perspective, especially when viewed through the eyes of retail investors, I always emphasize this: when gold reaches historical highs, the underlying momentum seen in technical analysis continues to support a bullish direction. Therefore, I believe the upward trend is likely to persist.
GOLD accumulate as the market lacks major fundamental impactSpot OANDA:XAUUSD moved significantly in early morning trading on Tuesday (April 29) and is currently trading at $3,315/oz, down 0.87% on the day at the time of writing.
OANDA:XAUUSD reversed losses on Monday and rebounded, having earlier dipped to around $3,268. The US Dollar (Dxy) fell broadly on Monday, supporting gold as investors cautiously awaited more news on US trade policy and braced for a week of in-depth economic data that could provide early indications of whether US President Trump’s trade war is having an impact.
The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY fell 0.7% on Monday to close at 98.91, its lowest close in four trading days. The DXY has fallen 4.89% in April and is set to post its biggest monthly decline since July last year as Trump has shaken confidence in the reliability of U.S. assets.
A majority of economists polled by Reuters see a high risk of a global recession this year, with many saying that U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs have hurt business confidence. Bessant said on Monday that major U.S. trading partners have made “very good” proposals to avoid U.S. tariffs and one of the first deals to be signed would likely be with India.
Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have said they are ready to cut rates if risks to economic growth become clear. But most officials appear to want to determine the impact of Trump’s tariffs on real economic indicators like inflation and employment before taking action.
This week, the US will also release first-quarter GDP data and the Fed's preferred inflation measure, core PCE, while Europe will also release preliminary GDP and inflation data.
Investors are also awaiting the US April jobs report on Friday, which is expected to show that employment is still growing, albeit at a much slower pace than a month ago.
Investors will also pay attention to the US JOLT jobs data for March and the second round of US-Japan tariff talks, due out today.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to move sideways as there is no fundamental impact big enough to break the structure to create a short-term trend. But in terms of position, gold is currently likely to decline as the RSI is pointing down quite far from 50, 50 in this case acts as the nearest target support indicating that there is still room for downside ahead in the short term.
However, in the overall picture, gold is still trending up mainly due to supporting factors such as the trending price channel as the main trend, the main support from EMA21 and as long as gold is above EMA21, in/above the price channel, it is still in the main uptrend, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity.
During the day, gold is expected to accumulate with the main uptrend, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 – 3,267 – 3,245 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3382 - 3380⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3386
→Take Profit 1 3374
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3287 - 3289⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3283
→Take Profit 1 3295
↨
→Take Profit 2 3301
Gold Analysis The recent gold rally has achieved all anticipated price targets in a remarkably short timeframe, subsequently attracting profit-taking activity. These sellers are currently dominating price action, creating what appears to be a potential head and shoulders pattern with the head at $3,500 and neckline at $3,280. Should the 4-hour candle close below this neckline, it would confirm the pattern formation, suggesting a downside target of $3,080. The RSI indicator further supports this bearish outlook, with a clear negative divergence forming over the past three days while remaining below the 50 level
SAXO:XAUUSD AMEX:GLD AMEX:IAU COMEX:GC1!
Gold bull and bear tug-of-warGold fluctuated widely last Friday, with the range exceeding 100. This week, we need to pay special attention to the release of ADP employment data. Currently, the upper resistance is 3336-3340 and the lower support is 3260-3265. It is recommended to go long on the pullback.
XAUUSD: 28/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3370, and the support level is 3225-3230
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3330, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3300, and the support level is 3268.
The current price of 3290 is in the oversold rebound stage. Now it will continue to rebound upward after standing firm on the 30-minute/1-hour support. The strength and weakness dividing line focuses on the 3300 line. After breaking through, it confirms the short-term bullish strength and continues to the 3330 resistance zone;
On the contrary, if it falls below 3268-3270, it may accelerate the decline. Focus on the price response of the three positions of 3270 and 3300/3330.
Gold Rally Nears Exhaustion? Key Levels for the Next Big MoveGold has seen a powerful impulsive rally recently, but technical signs suggest a healthy correction could be near. Traders should keep a close eye on key levels for potential buying opportunities after a pullback.
Key Technical Points
Wave 5 Completion: The current bullish impulsive wave 5 appears to be nearing completion.
Key Fibonacci Level: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement sits at $2,857 — a critical level for a potential corrective move.
Support to Watch: Loss of the $3,210 daily support would confirm the start of a corrective ABC pattern.
If gold maintains its daily support at $3,210, momentum could continue higher before any deeper pullback. However, if this support level is lost, traders should expect a correction down towards the 0.618 Fibonacci at $2,857, where swing long setups could become highly favorable. A healthy reset here would set a stronger foundation for the next bullish leg.
Gold operation strategy suggestionsFrom a technical perspective, gold, as an interest-free safe-haven asset, has performed strongly this year, with prices soaring by nearly $700 and repeatedly hitting record highs. However, the recent optimistic expectations of easing global economic and trade relations are gradually boosting market risk appetite, and the equity market is generally showing a positive trend. Some funds are withdrawing from safe-haven assets such as gold and flowing into risky assets, which has become the main psychological driving factor for gold prices to be under pressure. If market risk appetite continues to improve, global economic and trade relations are further eased, and the dollar strengthens, gold prices may face greater downward pressure, and the initial support level will test $3,260/ounce. If this support level is lost, gold prices may further drop to $3,225/ounce, or even challenge the integer mark of $3,200/ounce. In addition, if the US economic data performs strongly, the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut may further cool, which will also put additional downward pressure on gold prices.
For gold, it is recommended to short at the 3336-3343 line when it rebounds, and to cover short positions at the 3360-3366 line when it rebounds. The stop loss is at 3373. The target is the 3310-3320 line. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
XAUUSD 28/4/25We're continuing with the same bias we held last month. Right now, gold is probably the easiest pair to trade. Any system that signaled a buy would’ve performed well over the past six months. Price has been trending strongly, making gold one of the most consistently gaining assets.
We're anticipating this momentum to continue, especially as there's a cluster of highly liquid lows surrounding the low formed on Friday. If that low is swept, I expect a clean push to the upside—one that should be relatively easy to follow. Should we get that move, our targets remain the intermediate highs and the long-term high already marked on the chart. We're watching for price action to deliver a clear expansion.
Of course, a deeper pullback is also fine. If our system gives us a long signal, we’ll take it—regardless of the recent COT data showing a reduction in gold long positions. Those positions are still relatively high compared to other assets, so the upward trend is still likely to continue for now.
Remember, fundamentals heavily influence gold’s price action, especially news tied to the USD this week. Stick to your trading plan, manage your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
Range Tightens on Gold – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?📌 Trading Plan for April 28, 2025: Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy 🧠📈
📊 Technical Analysis
Following the sharp drop in previous sessions, gold is now consolidating around the 3260–3270 support zone.
Price is moving within a tight triangle formation on the M15 timeframe, indicating compression ahead of a breakout.
The MA 13 – 34 – 200 still suggests a short-term bearish bias, but selling momentum has noticeably slowed down.
Expectation: gold may retest the 3299–3313 resistance zone before a stronger directional move.
🎯 Key Price Levels for Today
Immediate Resistance: 3299 – 3313
Major Support: 3260 – 3258 – 3239
🧩 Updated Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3260 – 3258
Stop Loss (SL): 3254
Take Profit (TP): 3264 → 3268 → 3272 → 3276 → 3280
🔴 SELL ZONE: (after price retests resistance)
Entry: 3299 – 3301
Stop Loss (SL): 3306
Take Profit (TP): 3295 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3275
📢 Important Notes
Expected daily range: 60–80 pips.
No major economic news today, but stay alert for unexpected political headlines (especially from the US, China, India-Pakistan tensions).
Strictly follow TP/SL levels to protect your capital — avoid FOMO chasing after sharp intraday moves.
✅ Conclusion
Gold remains in a sensitive consolidation phase.
The best strategy today is buying at support and selling at resistance, only scaling in after clear confirmations!
💬 How are you planning to trade gold today? Share your views and setups below! 👇👇👇
Gold on a downswingTechnical analysis: Gold has formed one narrow and one wider Descending Channel on the Hourly 4 and Daily chart. Since Price-action broke below the #3,300.80 first Support with force (and comfortably Trading above it), the Hourly 4 chart’s reversal crossed into a Bearish territory, and with DX still on multi-Month downtrend (struggling to make Bullish comeback for more than #2-session horizon), Sellers re-appeared as Gold entered the Bearish formation, with #3,252.80 - #3,262.80 Support zone to monitor. On the other hand, Buying response was expected regardless as Price-action broken the Lower Bollinger bands line (last time such scenario occurred is on the February #27 fractal). As such any pullback towards the #3,300.80 benchmark and apparent rejection remains an additional Selling opportunity. Unless the strong Resistance gets invalidated (#3,300.80 Top of the Resistance zone), Bearish sentiment remains intact however personally, break of #3,252.80 benchmark Support could arise Medium-term Sellers which could fill #3,200.80 psychological barrier on Intra-day basis.
My position: Keep Selling every High's unless #3,300.80 benchmark gets invalidated and prepare for #3,262.80 Support test in extension.
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3271.6
Sl - 3260.0
Tp - 3293.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bearish Reversal Setup: Resistance Rejection Targeting Key Chart Overview:
Asset: Unspecified (likely XAU/USD or an index based on price levels)
Indicators:
EMA 50 (red) — currently around 3,306.84
EMA 200 (blue) — currently around 3,300.54
Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: ~3,320 to 3,360
Support Zone: ~3,190 to 3,240
Technical Analysis:
Trend Context:
The asset previously had a strong bullish run, peaking above 3,400.
After the peak, it shifted into a lower high structure, indicating potential distribution.
Price is currently fluctuating below the resistance zone but above the support zone, suggesting range-bound conditions.
Moving Averages (EMA Analysis):
The 50 EMA is currently below the 200 EMA, signaling short-term bearish pressure.
Price is hovering around these EMAs, suggesting indecision and the possibility of a breakout or breakdown.
Resistance Behavior:
Price is projected to retest the resistance zone (~3,340–3,360) before a major drop.
The resistance zone has already acted as a strong supply area multiple times, reinforcing its significance.
Support Expectation:
After rejection from the resistance zone, price is expected to decline sharply toward the support zone (~3,200).
The drawn arrows suggest an expectation of a rapid sell-off after the final fake-out at resistance.
Structure and Price Action:
The forecasted scenario shows a liquidity grab above resistance (fake breakout) followed by a strong bearish reversal.
This is typical in a "distribution phase" where market makers induce breakout traders before reversing the move.
Summary:
Primary Bias: Bearish
Setup: Short from resistance rejection after liquidity sweep.
Target: Support zone around 3,200.
Invalidation: A clean breakout and retest above the resistance zone (~3,360) would invalidate the bearish idea.
Risk Management: Ensure proper stop loss above resistance to mitigate risk in case of a genuine breakout.
GOLD Getting Ready for Another Run!Gold is looking strong heading into the next few weeks. Real-world catalysts are stacking up:
Central banks are still aggressively buying gold (China and other BRICS nations are steadily increasing reserves).
Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Russia/Ukraine) are keeping safe-haven demand alive.
U.S. economic data is showing signs of a slowdown — with weaker job reports and cooling inflation, expectations for rate cuts later this year are rising.
The dollar has softened a bit recently, giving gold room to breathe.
Technically, gold is holding key support levels and building momentum for a potential breakout. If economic data continues to weaken or geopolitical risks stay elevated, gold could quickly retest recent highs.
XAUUSD H2 Idea, Aligned with weekly view XAUUSD& SILVER—Risk-On Mood Pressures Prices, Fed Easing Eyed
- Gold and silver prices experienced downward pressure during Friday’s Asian trading session, as a resurgence in risk appetite prompted investors to move away from safe-haven assets. Gold (XAU/USD) fell from an early high of $3,370 to $3,316, while silver (XAG/USD) dipped near $33.44, though it maintained support above $33.18.
- This shift in sentiment was influenced by positive developments in U.S.–China trade relations. Reports indicated that Beijing is considering suspending its 125% tariff on select U.S. goods, and President Trump confirmed ongoing negotiations, with the White House noting progress.
- Additionally, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data contributed to the decline in precious metal prices. Durable goods orders surged 9.2% in March, surpassing expectations and bolstering the U.S. dollar, which in turn weighed on gold.
Despite these factors, the outlook for gold and silver remains influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. economic indicators, such as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, for further clues on potential Fed easing.
GOLD Once more fall what will next?According this analysis a next Gold movement ,
Forest from Mr Martin Date 29 April Tuesday 2025
Gold has been in under pressure amid tariff war and head if US Data.
on Monday Gold is testing the last week 3260 remining under pressure from strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and china. Gold will a new zone will formed I will see the market price once more fall and catch the strong Support.
Resistance Zone 3330 / 32340
Support Levels 3285 / 3275
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.