#XAUUSD: 676+ Pips Since Our Last Entry! Comment Your Views! As we explained in our previous chart, the price will retouch 3270$ and then continue the bullish movement. The price did exactly that, with a 674+ increase from our last idea. It’s now on the way towards $3500 or beyond. Get ready for a big move on gold this week, but be extra cautious as the price can be volatile.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GOLD trade ideas
Gold price weakens, correction 3176⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold’s intraday decline appears partly driven by technical selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key $3,265–$3,260 support zone. However, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to sustain any significant recovery as expectations grow for more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts—fueled by an unexpected contraction in US GDP and signs of softening inflation. These factors may continue to support demand for the non-yielding precious metal, suggesting that traders should remain cautious before anticipating a deeper pullback from the recent all-time high near $3,500.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Crossing the 3264 mark in the sideways price zone, gold prices continue to weaken.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3270- 3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3178 - $3176 SL $3171
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold ended last week under pressure as investors booked profits following improved risk appetite, driven by easing trade tensions and a strong U.S. labor market report.
📰 NFP came in at +177K in April, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, matching forecasts—possibly keeping the Fed cautious on policy easing.
Technically, Gold remains bullish but is now testing the $3,200 support zone, and sellers are gaining momentum.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and whether buyers or sellers will take control is unclear.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldOutlook #FedRateDecision #NFP #GoldBreakdown #GoldBulls #GoldBears #USJobsReport #ForexMentor
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Plan to Buy
The recent fundamentals pumped Gold prices again.
The market is currently trading above a significant
daily resistance.
To confirm a validity of a breakout and to avoid a trap,
I suggest paying close attention to a minor horizontal
range on a 4H time frame.
Your signal to buy will be a 4H candle close above 3388.
It will confirm a breakout and increase the chances that the price will go up.
Goal will be 3435
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted this to test that high and give us the short which worked well and gave us a good start to the week. While price came into the lower range level our indicators kept suggesting this was going up so we said we would protect and manage, and the those who wanted to trade the red boxes
Now we're at crucial resistance, and because the daily range is so large it's a zone of 3348-58. That turns support into the 3325-30 which will need to hold in order for price to go up! That double bottom was concerning as mentioned in the KOG Report, however, we did want lower to come back up here, unfortunately, that swing turned into scalping.
We'll stick with the chart as it is, break above and we'll look for higher, otherwise, this is the region to keep an eye on!
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3320 for 3327✅ , 3330 ✅ , 3335✅ , 3345✅ , 3347✅ and above that 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3310, for 3306✅ , 3297✅ , 3295✅ , 3280✅ , 3266 and 3255 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE — APRIL 30, 2025Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution.
📍 What Happened:
🔻 3315–3325 SELL → Perfect rejection → Drop of 200+ pips
🔁 Retest at 3314 → Confirmed OB rejection zone
❌ 3284–3288 BUY → Invalidated, BOS clean
✅ 3260–3270 BUY → Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount → Delivered bounce
👁🗨 Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1):
3315–3325 = Decision zone
→ Break = bullish reversal
→ Rejection = new short trigger
3260–3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation
3252–3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails
3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news
🧠 Current Bias:
🔸 HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH → bearish-leaning
🔹 LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips
🎯 Bias: Neutral-bearish → shifting bullish only above 3325
📊 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Zone Type Level(s) Commentary
🔻 Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift
🔻 Flip Zone 3315–3320 Must flip to validate bulls
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 Last OB rejection
⚖️ Mid Zone 3286–3292 Retest structure, weak
✅ Support 3260–3270 Confirmed bounce zone
🟩 Demand 3252–3244 Next high-conviction buy zone
🟢 Discount 3220–3235 Long-term OB zone
🟢 Discount 3192–3205 Extreme discount + FVG
🗓️ MACRO FOR MAY 1:
🗣️ 15:30 Trump Speech
📉 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K)
🏭 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI
🏭 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
⚠️ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms — not before.
🎯 Final Note:
If 3315–3325 breaks cleanly → we’re heading to 3350 / 3385.
If it holds → we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision.
This is not a place to guess. It’s where real traders wait.
—
📌 Like plans built on logic, not luck?
Drop a 🧠 if this structure helped you.
🔥 Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.
XAUUSD Potential for a drop in 15min chart!Hey Guys,
To keep this analysis short and being able to publish it fast, I've considered a good potential zone for sell and price reaches to this area.
So based on this analysis we can consider a drop soon.
This post will be updated based on recent market movements.
Good luck! :)
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Technical + Fundamental OutlookTechnical Outlook
Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel and has reached the midline, which is acting as dynamic resistance.
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3310 – 3320 (aligned with the midline of the channel) – price has not yet confirmed a breakout above this zone
Next Bullish Targets: 3350 – 3358 / 3385 – 3390
Support Zone: 3270 – 3280 (potential bullish re-entry area)
🟣 All key price levels are marked on the chart with light purple lines for clarity.
🟠 RSI is near 65, showing bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory, signaling a possible short-term pullback.
🔁 Likely scenario: A minor correction toward 3270–3280 followed by continuation toward 3350+ if support holds.
Fundamental Context
The ISM Services PMI came in stronger than expected (51.6 vs. 50.2 forecast), reflecting economic resilience in the U.S. This typically supports the USD and weighs on gold, but:
Rising tariff threats from Trump raise recession concerns.
Services Prices Index rose to 65.1, signaling growing inflation pressures.
These inflation concerns may impact the Fed’s upcoming rate decisions.
Central bank demand and geopolitical risks continue to support gold medium-term.
Summary
Despite being inside a descending channel, gold is showing short-term bullish strength. A confirmed break above 3320 could open the way toward 3350+. Otherwise, a pullback to the 3270–3280 area may offer the next setup.
Gold XAUUSD Move 06.05.2025🔹 BUY-1: 3350–3355 Zone
Conditions to Enter:
Support must hold at the 3350–3355 zone.
Wait for a clear bullish M15 candle close above the support area to confirm strength.
Rationale:
This zone overlaps with a Fresh Demand Zone identified on your chart.
Entry here takes advantage of potential accumulation and demand absorption.
It's an early entry with a tighter stop loss (just below 3346–3350).
Ideal Setup:
Stop Loss: Below 3346.
Target: Near 3380–3400 zone or higher depending on momentum.
🔹 BUY-2: 3380–3385 Zone
Conditions to Enter:
Price must break above the 3380–3385 resistance zone.
Wait for a successful retest and bullish confirmation (engulfing/imbalance/M15 close above).
Rationale:
This is the breakout and retest trade mentioned on the chart.
Entering after confirmation reduces risk of a fakeout.
Aligns with institutional breakout behaviors.
Ideal Setup:
Stop Loss: Below the retest candle or previous structure (~3370 area).
Target: 3410–3430+ depending on R/R and momentum continuation.
Kindly show your support by follow, comment and share.
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,148.98
1st Support: 3,051.82
1st Resistance: 3,430.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Plan: Waiting for the 1000 Pips Drop UnderwayYesterday, I highlighted that the 3280 support zone looked fragile and warned of a potential breakdown.
However, once New York opened, bulls stepped in aggressively, pushing Gold above Friday’s close and triggering my stop loss along the way.
Key Question:
Has the bullish momentum changed the bigger picture?
Why I Still Expect a Drop:
- Despite yesterday's green close, the broader structure remains bearish.
- The 3370 resistance zone is still intact, and Gold is vulnerable under it.
- My target remains a move under 3280, aiming for the 3200 area.
T rading Plan:
I will continue to look for selling opportunities, especially on spikes toward resistance zones, targeting a 1000 pips move down.
Final Words:
The market needs to confirm the plan, but patience and discipline will bring the 🚀 in the right direction!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Long | Bullish Breakout Expected | Buy on DipsGold is showing bullish strength with higher highs and higher lows forming on the chart.
Price has respected key support around and is now aiming for resistance near .
Entry idea: Buy between
Stop Loss:
Target:
Trend: Bullish
Timeframe: [1} Hr
📌 Reason for Long:
Price above EMA
Strong demand zone at
Bullish price action (engulfing candle / breakout / etc.)
📊 Tags (Important for visibility):
#GOLD #XAUUSD #LONG #BUY #Bullish #TradingView #PriceAction
XAUUSD - GOLD UPDATES - May 2nd - before NFP🪙 GOLDMINDSFX | MAY 2 XAUUSD IDEAS
“Gold plays games. We play levels.”
🏛️ MACRO & POLITICAL CONTEXT
Gold is stabilizing inside a retracement phase following April's all-time high (ATH 3500). After sweeping major liquidity below 3205, we’ve seen structure shift back to bullish on the lower timeframes.
Today’s NFP may trigger sharp volatility, but we trade structure, not headlines.
China remains closed for Labor Day until May 5—reduced Asia volume. Meanwhile, Q1 data shows central bank gold accumulation slowing, adding caution to global demand outlook.
With recent lows defended and current price inside a decision zone, we wait for liquidity to declare direction—no predictions, only reactions.
🔁 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
Confirmed CHoCH from 3205
BOS above 3233
Bullish FVGs developing
HTF still bearish under 3333
📍Live Price: 3265
📌 TECHNICAL ZONES & CONFLUENCES
🔼 BUY ZONES
🟢 Buy Zone #1: 3233–3220
15M FVG + recent impulse rejection
Entry on rejection or liquidity wick
🟢 Buy Zone #2: 3205–3190
CHoCH origin + 1H OB
Golden pocket: 0.618–0.705
Ideal continuation setup
🟢 Buy Zone #3: 3172–3160
H4 OB + EQ + deep liquidity
Final support before full structural flip
🔽 SELL ZONES
🔴 Sell Zone #1: 3284–3295
1H supply + FVG + BOS confluence
Buy-side liquidity resting above 3280
🔴 Sell Zone #2: 3325–3333
Prior rejection base + liquidity shelf
Best R:R trap zone
🔴 Sell Zone #3: 3366–3378
Final stop-hunt trap zone before reversal
Use only with rejection / PA confirmation
🧠 STRATEGY NOTES
SL adjusted to 100–150 pips according to entry zone
Price is coiling under 3265 = decision time
Liquidity is stacked above and below—wait for sweep and structure shift
We’re not here to predict. We hunt zones and execute like killers.
Confirmation before entry: BOS, CHoCH, wick traps, engulfing, rejection wicks.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
The Golden Code: Unlocking the Markets with Fibonacci Sequence “Mathematics is the language in which God has written the universe.” – Galileo Galilei
If this is true, then the Fibonacci sequence is the poetry of that language, especially in trading.
📚 What is Fibonacci? Why Should Traders Care?
Fibonacci is more than just a sequence of numbers — it’s a universal law of growth and proportion. From galaxies to sunflowers, and now to the charts on your TradingView screen, Fibonacci is everywhere.
In trading, Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential reversal zones, where price is likely to bounce or stall, making it one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal.
But few truly understand its depth, and fewer still use it intelligently.
Let’s dive into the power of the Fibonacci sequence, how it influences retracements, and how you can use it to your trading advantage, whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or position trader.
🧠 The Fibonacci Sequence: Where It All Begins
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, ...
Some Math somebody? Take your seats and calculators away! 😂😂
📉 Fibonacci Retracement Levels & How They're Calculated
These levels are percentages based on relationships between Fibonacci numbers.
✅ 0.236 (23.6%)
Divide a number by the one three places ahead:
Example: 13 ÷ 55 = 0.236
Another: 21 ÷ 89 = 0.236
✅ 0.382 (38.2%)
Divide a number by the one two places ahead:
Example: 21 ÷ 55 = 0.382
Another: 34 ÷ 89 = 0.382
✅ 0.500 (50.0%)
Not directly from Fibonacci, but commonly used due to psychological midpoint in markets.
✅ 0.618 (61.8%) – The Golden Ratio
Divide a number by the next number:
Example: 34 ÷ 55 = 0.618
Another: 55 ÷ 89 = 0.618
This is the famous Golden Ratio, which appears in nature, art, and financial markets.
✅ 0.786 (78.6%)
Derived from the square root of 0.618:
√0.618 = 0.786
📈 Fibonacci Extension Levels & How They're Calculated
Extensions project price targets beyond the retracement.
✅ 1.000 (100%)
A full projection of the original move.
✅ 1.272 (127.2%)
Square root of 1.618:
√1.618 = 1.272
✅ 1.618 (161.8%) – The Golden Extension
Divide a number by the previous one:
Example: 55 ÷ 34 = 1.618
Another: 89 ÷ 55 = 1.618
✅ 2.000 (200%)
A full double of the original move.
✅ 2.618 (261.8%)
1.618 + 1.000 = 2.618
This creates ratios that are found in nature, architecture, music, and, yes, price movements.
🔍 Fibonacci Retracement: Mapping Pullbacks with Precision
When price moves impulsively in one direction, it often retraces a portion of that move before continuing in the same direction.
Fibonacci retracement is used to map this pullback.
Here’s how traders use it:
Identify a clear impulsive move (either bullish or bearish).
Plot the Fibonacci retracement tool from swing low to swing high (for bullish moves), or from swing high to swing low (for bearish moves).
Watch how price reacts around key levels:
38.2% = Shallow pullback
50% = Midpoint (psychological)
61.8% = Golden Zone
78.6% = Deep retracement (but still valid)
🔥 Pro Tip: Most institutional traders love the 61.8% retracement, often placing hidden liquidity and traps around that area.
🔄 Fibonacci Extensions: Predicting Take-Profit Zones
Once price retraces and continues its trend, Fibonacci extensions help identify possible target zones:
Common extension levels:
1.272
1.618 → Golden Target
2.000
2.618
For example:
After a bullish retracement to 61.8%, price often rallies to 1.272 or 1.618 extensions, making these ideal profit-taking zones.
🔄 Real-Life Market Behavior: Fibonacci in Price Action
Let’s take a real example:
🟨 Example: XAU/USD Bearish Retracement
Impulsive rally from $2,832.99 to $2,930.77.
Price pulls back to $2,880 – exactly at the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Followed by a strong continuation to the upside.
Price reach for the 127.20% and beyond to 161.80% Fibonacci extension of the original rally before pausing for some times — textbook Fibonacci behavior.
💡 This isn’t magic. It’s structure, order, and smart money playing on the same field.
🧬 Fibonacci + Confluence = Confirmation
Fibonacci works best when combined with other tools:
Support/Resistance
Order Blocks
Imbalances
Trendlines
Candlestick Patterns
✅ A 61.8% retracement + bullish order block + bullish engulfing = a high-probability long setup.
✅ A 78.6% retracement + unfilled imbalance = possible stop-hunt trap or liquidity grab.
🧠 Fibonacci Psychology: Why It Works
Fibonacci works because it reflects natural human behavior:
Fear and greed create overextensions and pullbacks.
Traders place stops and entries near these key ratios, causing self-fulfilling reactions.
Algorithms and institutional models often base trade entries on Fibonacci confluences.
💥 Common Mistakes Traders Make
❌ Using Fibonacci on every small swing – noise, not signal
❌ Forcing the retracement tool to “fit” your bias
❌ Ignoring higher time frame structure
❌ Using Fibonacci alone without confluence
Remember: Fibonacci is a guide, not a guarantee.
📈 How to Trade with Fibonacci (Step-by-Step)
First, identify market structure (trending or ranging).
Second, mark swing high and swing low.
Third, plot retracement tool accordingly.
Fourth, look for confluence zones:
38.2%, 50%, 61.8%...
Price action signals (e.g., pin bars, engulfing)
Institutional concepts (order blocks, imbalances)
Enter with confirmation, not just based on levels.
Set stop loss below/above structure or 78.6% line.
Target extension levels or previous high/low.
🌀 Fibonacci in Different Trading Styles
Scalpers
Use Fibonacci on 1min–5min timeframes to catch micro pullbacks and entries.
Swing Traders
Use Fib retracements from daily or 4H structure to plot entries and targets.
Position Traders
Use weekly/monthly Fibonacci zones for macro views and long-term targets.
🧠 Final Thoughts: Fibonacci Is Structure, Not Sorcery
The Fibonacci sequence is a map of order in a chaotic world. In trading, it helps bring discipline, clarity, and precision.
It’s not about being right every time, it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor.
🧭 Ready to Master Fibonacci?
If you’ve read this far, drop your thoughts in the comments and share your favorite Fibonacci setup!
Let’s build a community of traders who use mathematics and structure, not hope and guesswork.
Follow for more educational breakdowns, trading insights, and strategy walkthroughs — posted weekly.
Gold Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025 XAUUSD 1H Forecast
✅ Structure Summary:
The market is in a clear bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price has tapped into a validated 1H LQ Close zone, showing early signs of a bullish reaction.
A large untouched supply zone remains above, possibly acting as a future trap.
🔮 Price Forecast:
📈 Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Price could bounce from the current LQ Close zone and rally toward the descending trendline.
It may interact with local liquidity pools or minor supply zones on the way — Phase 1 inducement in progress.
📉 Main Bearish Scenario:
Upon reaching the descending trendline or supply area, price could reverse again following the Phase 2 inducement, aligning with the broader bearish structure.
Downside targets include the 3180 region, and potentially lower toward 3150 if momentum increases
XAUUSD-Bullish reversal analysis technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, projecting a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the main ideas conveyed:
1. Support Level & Double Bottom
A strong support level is marked around the 3,177 area, with the price bouncing from it twice (highlighted by two black dots), indicating a potential double bottom pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
2. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lies just below the current price (~3,177), acting as dynamic support. The fact that price is holding above it adds strength to the bullish argument.
3. Bullish Divergence on RSI
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a bullish divergence, where the price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows—another potential reversal indicator.
4. Price Projection
If the bullish move plays out, the chart outlines two upward targets:
Target Point: ~3,501.67
Next Target Point: ~3,729.23
These are based on measured moves from previous impulse legs (shown by vertical blue projections).
5. Entry Setup
The chart suggests a break above the short-term consolidation could trigger the bullish run toward the first target, aligning with bullish price structure and support confirmation.
Overall Idea: The chart expects a bullish reversal from support, confirmed by double bottom, EMA 200 support, and RSI divergence, targeting higher resistance zones.
XAU/USD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 6/5/2025XAU/USD (Gold) Trading Outlook
The current price of XAU/USD around 3380 to 3375. We are anticipating a pullback towards the 3300 level, at which point we will look for long (buy) entry opportunities.
Key Resistance/Target Level:
TARGET 1: 3400
TARGET 2: 3450
TARGET 3: 3480
Key Support Levels:
SUPPORT 1: 3200
SUPPORT 2: 3150
This Strategy is based on the expectation of a price retracement, providing a more favorable risk-reward setup for long positions.
XAUUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of XAU-USD (Gold) with you.
Looking at the chart, I see a potential small price pullback towards around 3260. After reaching that level, I expect a further price decrease to 3167.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: After the pullback to 3260, a further decrease to 3167 is expected.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3260
Support: 3167
💬 What are your thoughts on XAU-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe