GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2956.50 on 04/07/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3357.00, 3500.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3057.40
3160.00
3257.03
3357.00
3500.00
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GOLD trade ideas
GOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early SurgeGOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN – Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early Surge
Gold opened the week with a strong upside move during the Asian session, gaining nearly $30/oz in early trading. The bounce comes amid a weekend full of heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations of increased central bank activity later this week.
🌍 Geopolitical Backdrop:
Rising concerns over Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan flare-ups.
No official confirmation from governments yet, but the market is clearly on edge.
Former US President Donald Trump is reportedly pushing for an earlier Fed rate cut.
All eyes now turn to the FOMC meeting this week, with potential policy shifts that could stir further volatility.
These developments have re-ignited safe-haven demand for gold, making this week's opening surge a logical reaction to global uncertainty.
🔍 Key Technical Zones
Resistance levels:
3278 – 3288 – 3301 – 3314
Support levels:
3250 – 3246 – 3238 – 3224 – 3204
🎯 Trade Setups – 06 May 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244
SL: 3240
TPs: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280
Gold may continue its bullish run into the European session. A clean bounce from this support range could offer a solid risk/reward entry.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302
SL: 3306
TPs: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270
If price rallies into this resistance cluster, look for signs of exhaustion for a potential intraday reversal trade.
⚠️ Weekly Outlook:
The FOMC meeting later this week will be key. A dovish tone may extend gold’s rally, while hawkish surprises could trigger sharp reversals.
Any new geopolitical flashpoints may also accelerate volatility — stay alert to global headlines.
Avoid FOMO — trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Pro Tip: Let price come to your zone. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and manage SL/TP with discipline.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup (read-caption)📊 Chart Overview:
Asset: Unspecified (likely XAUUSD or a crypto asset).
Timeframe: Looks like 4H or Daily.
Tools Used:
EMA 50 (🔴 Red Line) — 3,283.978
EMA 200 (🔵 Blue Line) — 3,185.603
Resistance & Support Zones (🔴 Highlighted boxes)
Price: 3,335.415
🔍 Technical Analysis:
🟩 Trend Direction:
📈 Uptrend Confirmed: Price is above both EMA 50 and EMA 200 → Strong bullish momentum.
✅ Golden Cross: EMA 50 is above EMA 200, confirming long-term bullish bias.
📌 Key Levels:
🧱 Main Support Zone (🟥 Bottom Box - ~2,950–3,050):
Historical strong bounce zone.
Acts as a bullish base in case of a deeper pullback.
🔄 Mid Resistance/Support (~3,180–3,260):
Now acting as support after price bounced above it.
Also aligns with EMA 200 ➕🟦 – adds confluence.
📌 Main Resistance Zone (~3,300–3,380):
Current area of consolidation.
If broken, price likely to retest upper resistance.
🚧 Top Resistance Zone (~3,450–3,500):
Target area if bullish breakout continues.
✈️ Next take-profit zone for bulls.
🧭 Market Forecast:
🔁 Retest Expected: Price might pull back slightly to the main resistance area (~3,300), retesting previous resistance as support.
🚀 Upside Potential: Upon successful retest, price is projected to head toward the upper resistance (~3,480).
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks back below 3,260 and EMA 50, expect a dip toward 3,180 or even the main support zone.
📈 Summary:
Bias: ✅ Bullish
Watch for:
🔍 Retest of 3,300 zone
✅ Breakout above 3,380
❌ Breakdown below 3,260 invalidates bullish scenario
Gold Price Analysis: Sell Near Resistance, Buy at Trendline SuppGold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, here is a detailed analysis
Resistance and Sell Zone:
The chart highlights a resistance area around 3380–3400, which has been marked as a Sell Zone.
Price is currently testing this resistance zone. A bearish confirmation (such as a reversal candlestick pattern, rejection wicks, or a break in structure) is recommended before entering a short position.
The chart suggests a potential short trade if the price fails to break above the resistance convincingly.
Projected Bearish Scenario:
If bearish confirmation occurs, the price is expected to decline toward the ascending trendline support.
The first sell target is marked around 3280–3300.
The Buy Zone lies just above the trendline support, where buyers might step in again.
Buy Opportunities:
First buy opportunity is at the trendline support area (Buy Zone), assuming the bullish structure remains intact.
If the price reacts positively from this level, a potential bounce back toward the highs is expected.
A more aggressive long target is marked at 3499, but the chart notes that waiting for a successful retest of the 3200 level would be prudent before aiming for that higher target.
Market Structure:
Several Break of Structure (BOS) points are identified, indicating previous bullish impulses.
A shift in structure could signal the beginning of a retracement or reversal, depending on confirmation at key zones.
Key Levels:
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3380–3400
1st Sell Target / Support Zone: 3280–3300
Buy Zone: 3200–3250
2nd Buy Target (Aggressive): 3499
Summary:
This chart outlines a range-bound to mildly bearish short-term bias, with the possibility of a bullish continuation if the trendline and buy zone hold.
Traders are advised to wait for confirmation signals before executing trades, especially near the resistance and buy zone.
Trump's announcement signals the return of buyers🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tariff on movies produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. trump. Gold prices are holding on to a recovery to $3,272 early Monday as buyers return to the boom amid uncertainty over potential trade deals between the United States and its trading partners. The US dollar is back in the red amid trade uncertainty and repositioning ahead of the Fed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ A surprise move by President Trump. And it shows us that the trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved
➡️ Analyze based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3204 - 3206
❌SL: 3199 | ✅TP: 3210 - 3215 – 3320
👉Sell Gold 3313 - 3316
❌SL: 3320 | ✅TP: 3309 - 3305 – 3300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
It's a shame that gold will continue to fallGold Weekly Forecast
Gold closed last week below the previous weekly lows at 3,260, confirming bearish intent. Price has now left behind multiple imbalances from the bullish leg that started at the 3,000 level.
We could first see a retracement to the small imbalance zone around 3,300, followed by a bearish continuation back to the main support/imbalance zone near 3,000.
Sideways price action is likely early in the week — but unless bulls reclaim 3,300+, momentum favors a retest of the base.
Bias: Bearish
Key Zones:
• Resistance / Rebalance: 3,300
• Support / Imbalance Target: 3,000
—
Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Drop your view in the comments.
#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #LiquidityVoids #TechnicalAnalysis #SphinxWeekly #SmartMoney #FVG #3kLevel
GOLD (XAUUSD): Retest of ATH Soon!Gold broke through a daily significant horizontal resistance level yesterday and closed above it.
It appears that the bullish trend is likely to continue, with the price expected to retest its all-time high soon.
After reaching this level, be prepared for a potential breakout that could drive prices even higher.
GOLD - again at CUT N REVERSE region, what's next??#GOLD.. market perfectly holds in first go as we discussed in our perveious idea.
And now market again at his cur n reverse region that is around 3381-87
Keep close that region and if market hold it in that case we can expect a bounce from here otherwise not.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 3381
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold fluctuates, long and short operations in the US market!
📊Comment analysis
At 14:00 on Wednesday, US time, Fed Chairman Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
The market generally expects that the FOMC will continue to remain on hold at this meeting, as the impact of tariff policies on inflation and the economy remains to be seen; the Fed may cut interest rates in June. Since this interest rate decision does not update economic forecasts, the focus will be on the Fed's accompanying comments on any signals of future interest rate cuts to support the economy. Since the decision to keep interest rates unchanged has been fully digested by the market, Powell's tone at the press conference will be the key to changing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts this year.
💰Strategy package
The US market is expected to remain volatile, and both long and short positions have opportunities. You only need to operate at a certain point. Go long on a short-term retracement to 3378 support, and go short when it reaches the upper resistance of 3408.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Bullish or bearish market(Deep correction, not a bear market)Description
Hiii traders
I think that in general, given the upward momentum that occurred in the price from $3,000 to $3,500, the trend is bullish and this price drop to $3,200 or ultimately the support zone of $3,170-3,140.
The price at 3170 is both a strong support and a Fibo level of 0.38.
I expect a rally from around here or eventually 3170.
The important level is marked on the chart and I think we have reached the right price for a buy.
A break of the 3260-3285 price zone paves the way to 3350.
I think we were in a deep correction and not a bearish market.
Possible positions this week
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3210-3200
2)3174-3150
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3285
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
Gold - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Gold Short Trade Setup – Targeting 3350 with Tiered Take ProfitThis chart shows a short setup for gold (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Price is currently trading below a descending trendline and has formed a lower high near a marked resistance level. There was a clear change of character and a break of structure to the downside, indicating a bearish shift in market sentiment. Volume also appears to increase on bearish candles, adding strength to the downside move. The target is marked near the previous low around 3350, suggesting a short opportunity with a clear resistance and descending trendline acting as confluence.
TP1 – 3370
Just above the immediate support level, offering a conservative exit before the price potentially bounces.
TP2 – 3350
The main target on the chart, near the previous low. Strong support zone; ideal for full or partial profit.
TP3 – 3325
Extension target if bearish momentum accelerates. Use only if volume and price action support further downside.
Gold XAUUSD is bullish in natureGold XAUUSD is a bullish pair so when it sells its for short reversals and market correction. I see a correction that would be corrected at 3160 area. I hope it reverses in a few mins at the close and start of the 4hr candle by 2pm. I hope gold reverses from 3227-3220 down to 3200 and then 3160 to correct the imbalance and give buyers an opportunity for better entry. I don't know when all these will take place. What do you think about my analysis? and what's your idea on Gold. its currently at 3220 area. Buy or Sell
XAU/USD Trade Plan 30/4/2025XAUUSD Trade Setup:
We are watching the 3260 resistance level closely. If the market breaks above 3260, we will look for a buy opportunity, targeting the 3390 level.
However, if the market fails to break above 3260 and shows signs of rejection, we will consider a sell setup, with a potential move down toward the next support at 3200.
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper pressure in the evening is around 3336-3345, and the lower support is around 3280-3293. In the evening, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we will watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds to 3336-45 line, stop loss 3353, target 3280-3295 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Gold falls back to 3280-3295 line and goes long, stop loss 3274, target 3325-30 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold depends on GDP numbersTechnical analysis: Gold naturally found Buyers as Buying pressure is evident on the charts from DX on Selling sequence. It is important to note that #3,300.80 is new / old Resistance, which was near Weekly High’s as Price-action could find strong rejection there and deny the Buying response in extension. If broken, Price-action will be calling for #3,327.80 extension once again which represents local Top's for current fractal. I will engage my orders accordingly and wait for suitable entry even though I have closed my order ahead of the final push above the Resistance. However, Gold re-tested and was again rejected on the Hourly 4 chart’s Support keeping the Bullish bias alive. The Engulfing candle Bearish reversal candle on Hourly 1 chart succeeded at rejecting the Price-action and catching already the #32% Fibonacci level. I expect the last Daily chart’s candle to test again the #3,272.80 former Resistance now turned to Support when DX finds the Support zone and engages relief rally.
My position: As mentioned above, Gold is ranging and Scalpers are getting most of the returns out of this Price-action. I will await GDP numbers and only then make my move.