GOLD increased in the short term: Break down expectedThe Gold market has been very strong for some time, but I don’t think this will continue to be the case going forward. As we’ve seen, the price has rallied a bit on Friday with Trump’s EU tariff threats.
Market structure starts to hint exhaustion, as such overbought conditions often lead to generous pullbacks, supporting needed corrections.
That being said I do think that on Monday we might see a short term pullback.
We can see that gold is currently being rejected just above the higher zone of the 4h ascending channel. The zone aligns with a low-volume node as well. Therefore, at this zone around the 3,350, I wouldn't recommend to chase high. Before this zone is clearly broken considering long entries here would be buying blindly.
Right now I think you have to look at this as a market that may just simply be a buy on the dip and hold till we get to the $3,500 level again type of situation.
The other scenario is that the market will consolidate for a while.
If we were to break down below the $3,290 level, then $3,200 is next support.
In the long run though the bias remains bullish with potential to challenge the 3,435 and as well as 3,500 in the big picture.
But if you're watching for buys:
wait to see how price behaves on Monday
watch for sustained bullish structure before getting involved
don’t chase, wait for a clean break + candle confirmation pattern
For sells:
Watch for bearish rejection in the next couple of candles (4H or Daily)
Don’t enter unless it’s confirmed!
