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Austrian CEGH VTP Natural Gas FuturesAustrian CEGH VTP Natural Gas FuturesAustrian CEGH VTP Natural Gas Futures

Austrian CEGH VTP Natural Gas Futures

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AVMG2028 trade ideas

NATGAS: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the NATGAS pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by UnitedSignals
1
NATGAS Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGASis below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.923 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.845 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1
NATGAS What Next? BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.692 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal -2.782 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Natural Gas Pattern Trade - 21st Aug., 2025 Here is my Natural Gas Futures (MCX, 1H) chart classic—candlesticks analysis. Pattern Identification: The Bearish Pennant I’ve spotted a textbook bearish pennant. Here’s how it forms and functions: The pattern starts with a pronounced downward thrust (the flagpole), reflecting strong selling momentum. Price action then contracts into a symmetrical triangle, as shown by the converging trend lines. This pennant shape is a market’s “pause”: sellers digest gains, buyers offer token support, but neither side has control—for now. The expectation “by the book” is that this pattern serves as a continuation formation, where a breakout (typically downward, in line with the preceding move) resumes the established trend. Pattern Validation & Invalidation Validation Criteria Clear Downtrend: The initial flagpole is rapid and steep, matching textbook requirements. Symmetrical Contraction: Multiple touches on both trendlines without breaking out show healthy consolidation. Volume Confirmation: Notice how volume spikes before the consolidation, then diminishes as the pennant forms—a classic and critical signal. Lower volume during consolidation signifies indecision; a surge in volume on breakout validates the move. Defined Risk/Reward: Levels for stop loss and target are clear and logical, anchored to visible support/resistance. Invalidation Criteria False Breakouts: If price breaks above the pennant’s upper boundary and sustains, the pattern is invalid. Volume Anomaly: A breakout without accompanying volume suggests the move may not be trustworthy. Failure to Breakout: Prolonged sideways action beyond the pennant’s apex reduces the pattern’s predictive value. Capitalizing on the Analysis If I want to turn this analytical insight into a trading opportunity, I’ll approach it methodically: Wait for Confirmation: Act on the trade only when price closes below the lower trendline, and I’d like to see a volume spike to validate the breakout. Set Entry and Risk: I position an entry order (sell stop) just below the pattern, around ₹238.6–₹240. Define Stop Loss: I place my stop loss slightly above the upper pennant boundary—just above ₹243.3—to safeguard against failed breakdowns. Calculate Target: My target is derived from the measured move principle—project the flagpole’s length from the breakout point, which centres the take profit around ₹227. Size the Trade: I ensure my trade size aligns with my risk tolerance, strictly following capital management principles. By systematically applying these rules, I aim to capitalize on the high-probability move that often follows a valid bearish pennant pattern.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Short
by ChartPathik
Bullish Energy in Natural Gas: -DMI Extreme + Wedge BreakoutThe Spark in the Gas Market Natural gas has been quietly simmering in recent weeks, building pressure beneath a surface of consolidation. Traders watching closely will have noticed a rare alignment — one that history shows can potentially precede outsized moves. We’re talking about the convergence of two powerful signals: a -DMI yearly extreme and a falling wedge breakout. In the past, this combination has marked moments when bearish momentum had run its course, giving way to swift and decisive bullish reversals. Now, that same alignment is flashing again, inviting a closer look at the technical landscape and the potential opportunities it presents. Why This Setup Matters The -DMI (Directional Movement Index) measures the strength of downward price moves. When it pushes beyond two standard deviations above its yearly linear regression channel, it signals an overextended bearish phase. Historically, these extremes have often coincided with market bottoms in Natural Gas Futures. Layer on top a falling wedge — a bullish reversal chart pattern — and the probability of an upside move gains weight. The wedge compresses price action into a narrowing range, reflecting reduced volatility and setting the stage for a potential explosive breakout once resistance gives way. The current breakout level sits near 3.18, with technical projections aligning closely to a well-defined UFO resistance (UnFilled Orders) zone around 3.90. The Technical Story Unfolds Looking at the daily chart in the present, the -DMI has recently breached the +2 standard deviation boundary of its 252-period regression channel — a rare occurrence that, as said, has preceded multiple major bullish reversals in the past year. When this condition appeared, downside momentum often faded, making room for buyers to take control. This time, the current signal aligns with a falling wedge that has been developing for weeks. Price is about to break above the wedge’s upper boundary at approximately 3.18, suggesting a potential trend reversal. The Trade Blueprint Direction: Long Entry: 3.18 (confirmed breakout above wedge resistance) Target: 3.90 (wedge projection + UFO resistance) Stop Loss: 2.858 (below wedge and technical support floor) Reward-to-Risk Ratio: ~2+ to 1 This structure allows traders to define risk tightly while targeting a meaningful upside move. The setup applies equally to both Natural Gas Futures (NG) and Micro Natural Gas Futures (MNG), offering flexibility in capital allocation. For smaller accounts or those wanting to reduce margin exposure, the MNG contract delivers the same tick size precision with only one-quarter of the notional value. The Contract Advantage Natural Gas Futures (NG) represent 10,000 MMBtu per contract, with a minimum tick size of 0.00025 — equivalent to $2.50 per tick. Micro Natural Gas Futures (MNG) are one-tenth the size at 1,000 MMBtu per contract, with the same 0.00025 tick size equaling $0.25 per tick. Margin requirements vary with volatility and exchange adjustments, but at the time of writing, the CME lists initial margin for NG in the range of $3,500 per contract, while MNG margins are proportionally lower at $350 per contract. This creates flexibility for traders to scale positions or manage risk without altering the technical logic of the trade. Both contracts trade nearly 24 hours per day, Sunday through Friday, offering the ability to react to global energy market shifts in real time. Risk Management as the Safety Valve Defining risk is the cornerstone of any trade plan. The stop loss at 2.858 is not arbitrary — it sits below both the wedge’s lower boundary and a nearby technical support level. If price were to close below this level, it would undermine the bullish thesis and call for an exit. Using smaller MNG contracts can help align risk with account size, allowing for partial position scaling and better drawdown control. Equally important is avoiding undefined risk scenarios, particularly in a commodity as volatile as natural gas. Precision in both entries and exits reduces exposure to intraday whipsaws while maintaining the trade’s structural integrity. Closing the Loop The natural gas market has aligned a rare set of conditions — a -DMI yearly extreme and a falling wedge breakout — each of which has historically preceded significant upside moves on their own. Together, they offer a compelling technical case for a defined, risk-managed long position targeting the 3.90 zone. While no setup guarantees success, this one seems to offer clarity: a well-defined entry, stop, and target, supported by historical probability and pattern structure. In volatile markets, those moments of clarity are worth paying attention to — and acting on with discipline, and always depending on the trader’s trading plan. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:NG1!Education
by traddictiv
NATGAS The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.996 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3.032 Safe Stop Loss - 2.978 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
NATURALGAS TRENDLINE BREAKOUT OR FAKEOUT?Timeframe: 1H Breakout Watch 🚀 Technical Overview: Natural Gas is testing key horizontal resistance around 272 after multiple rejections. Price is holding above 25 EMA and 55 EMA, showing short-term bullish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: • Resistance: 272 – 274 • Breakout Target: 278 – 280 (if sustained above 274) • Support: 266 – 264 zone Trade Idea: • Bullish Scenario: Break and hold above 274 → Upside potential toward 278 – 280. • Bearish Scenario: Rejection at resistance → Pullback toward 266. Bias: Bullish if 272 holds as support post-breakout. 📊 Pattern: Range breakout attempt with potential 2.7% upside. #NaturalGas #MCX #Commodities #PriceAction #Breakout #PowerCommodityTrading
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by Shalvisharma5