DAX Hidden Sell Signal on this 4H Golden Cross?DAX (DE40) has been trading within a Channel Up (green) since its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) market bottom and yesterday it formed a 4H Golden Cross. That is technically a bullish pattern but in the past 5 months, every such formation (3 in total) has been an indication of a market Top, thus a bearish signal.
More specifically, the most it took for DAX to form a top after a 4H Golden Cross within this time-frame, has been 4 days. And as you can see it's also been similar Channel Up patterns that peaked after this Cross, on an identical Lower Highs trend-line like the one that the index is about to test.
What's even more striking is that every sell-off that followed the Tops was exactly -5.15%. Identical on all 3 occasions. As a result, it is possible for DAX to decline as low as 23050 following the upcoming top. Since however the 1W MA50 is involved this time as a Support, you may want to book profits there earlier, around 23300, if you see it acting as a Support with strong buying pressure.
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Market insights
Dax to the upside!Hi
on the 4h TF. Dax bounced strongly from the bottom to break a critical resistance level then went to the next resistance then broke through it to the upside and even bounced up from after it settled on with a pin bar 4H candle and that is the big view of the DAX based on the 4H TF.
3 TPs are there, however, if you accept and tolerate the bearish pullbacks on the journey to TP3, as long the last support level or (the above line) will not be broken by a 4H candle (closing price not by a wick) then TP3 will be your main and real target on DAX.
Fundamentally the next week will offer the Fed interest rate decision which has strong expectations of another rate cut! and may we see currently the preparation on the chart for that move!
Note:
Please do not share or copy my own work! It reflects my own vision and view to that index and it is advertised to not be taken as a legal advice for traders to follow, however, it is not more than an own opinion and analysis to be shared with you!
Good luck ;)
GER30 Potential Long Setup #7 (High Probability Reaction)🧭 MAIN TIMEFRAME (2H) – Directional Bias
🟢 STRONG BULLISH PRESSURE
Multiple groups of traders opened long positions on the left side of the chart, creating sustained bullish pressure and accumulation.
🧩 TRADE SETUP
🔗 Area of High Confluence
🟦 Support Zone
✔ Multiple rejections ( minimum 2 )
✔ Recently formed and respected (close to left-side structure)
🕯 Candlestick Stacking (Buyer Participation)
✔ Takuri Line
✔ Two Inside Bars
✔ Strong bullish momentum candle
📈 Technical Alignment
✔ EMA 50 aligns perfectly with the support zone
✔ Fibonacci 61.8% (Golden Level)
✔ Ascending trendline perfectly aligned
⏱ ENTRY TIMEFRAME – 15 MIN
🔄 Trend Change Confirmations
🔓 Resistance break
🎯 Bollinger Bands squeeze breakout
📐 Trendline breakout
📍 STOP LOSS (Based on 2H Structure)
Placed below:
🟦 Support zone
🕯 Wick rejections
📐 Trendline
📉 EMA 50
🧮 Fibonacci 61.8%
🛡 Strong multi-layer protection for higher trade safety
🎯 TAKE PROFIT AREA 1 (2H)
🔴 Next resistance zone
🧮 Fibonacci extension 50% – 61.8%
High-probability reaction zone
🎯 TAKE PROFIT AREA 2
🧮 Fibonacci extension 100%
High-probability reaction zone
📈 If you appreciate clean, rule-based, and well-explained trading ideas, feel free to follow.
💬 Your thoughts and alternative perspectives are welcome in the comments.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves risk — always conduct your own analysis.
I am not responsible for any decisions or losses based on this idea.a.
DAX | Hourly Outlook | BearishI will be looking for shorts from the hourly supply. On the 15m timeframe, we broke structure to the downside. I would like to see price retrace back up to the hourly supply filling the hourly fvg imbalance, and then continue to sell off back to the 15m swing low and fill the 4hr imbalance. Use the 5m/1m for entry confirmation.
Trade Safe -Remzy
GER30 H4 | Bearish Drop Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bullish
Price has reacted off the sell entry, which is now acting as pullback support.
Sell entry: 24,015.77
Pullback support
Stop loss: 24,479.29
Multi swing high resistance
Take profit: 23,595.36
Pullback support
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
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GER40 Pullback Is Not a Reversal (Here’s Why)GER40 did not react at the 0.7–0.8 retracement of the previous bearish leg, indicating underlying strength. Price has since formed equal highs (EQH), which now serve as a logical liquidity target for the next upside move.
I expect a brief manipulation or pullback early in the week, followed by bullish expansion toward the 24,500 area.
I’ll share updates as the setup develops — follow for further analysis.
GER30 H4 | Bearish Reversal?Momentum: Bullish
The price is reacting off the sell entry which aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension, which adds significant strength to this level.
Sell entry: 24,125.22
Pullback resistance
145% Fibonacci extension
Stop loss: 24,479.29
Swing high resistance
Take profit: 23,684.50
Pullback support.
38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GER40🎙 Market Update – German DAX
The German DAX is showing clear bearish pressure, and in the coming period, we’re targeting the downside level at 23,890.
This bearish scenario becomes invalid if price reaches 24,250, as a move toward that level signals a potential shift in market structure.
Stay alert and trade with discipline.
Falling towards pullback support?DAX40 (DE40) is pulling back toward the pivot, which is acting as a key support. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and price could potentially bounce toward the first resistance.
Pivot: 23,877.01
1st Support: 23,646.41
1st Resistance: 24,219.38
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DAX30/GER30 - SETTING UP A TRADETeam, we been very successful trading DAX in the past and many successful trade
the current price at 24130, we are not going to suicide at this entry level
We wait for a set up entry at 24000-23960 rangs,
STOP LOSS at 23860
Target 1 at 24085-96
Target 2 at 24115-24150
Target 3 at 24180-24280
Lets be patience to see if our entry price hit, do NOT rush into a trade.
keep an eye on it today once the DAX market open, half an hour after real market open!
LETS GO
DAX resistance retest at 24300The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23870 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23870 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24300 – initial resistance
24450 – psychological and structural level
24560 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23870 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23712 – minor support
23600 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23870. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX at a Historical Ceiling (Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?)Price is stuck under a major multi-month resistance zone at 24,600–24,800, while SMA50 acts as support around 23,980.
The market is in a critical decision zone.
Bullish Scenario — if price closes above 24,800:
• Target 1: 25,400
• Target 2: 26,000
• Target 3: 26,500
• Stop-loss: Below 24,600
Bearish Scenario — if price rejects and falls below 24,150:
• Target 1: 23,700
• Target 2: 23,300
• Target 3: 22,800
• Stop-loss: Above 24,400
Short Fundamental Overview
• EU inflation cooling; ECB remains cautious
• German corporates stable but economic growth is soft
• Market needs a clear breakout to confirm direction






















