Market insights
JPN225 H4 | Bearish Reversal Off 50% Fib ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
The price has rejected off the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance and also aligns with the 50% Fib retracement, which adds significant strength to this level.
Sell entry: 49,929.37
Overlap resistance
50% Fib retracement
Stop loss: 50,417.72
Pullback resistance
Slightly above the 61.8% Fib retracement
Take profit: 48,639.37
Multi swing low suport
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
NIKKEI COUNTERINTUITIVE LONG|(Hear Me Out)
✅So the Bank Of Japan is likely to raise rates tomorrow, and so following classical market economics its bad news for the stock market. Rates down, stocks up, rates up, stocks down, thats how it goes right? And it usually does. However, Japanese investors are know to be extremely active in the carry trade market, where they borrow cheaply in Yen and then buy USD and invest outside of Japan to get higher income(this mechanism is well known and is not exclusive to Japan, however Japan is a massive player). So what happens now that the borrowing costs are about to go up? It makes carry trade less profitable and more risky too. While making local investments more attractive. So the money that would have gone to be invested via carry trade might just stay in Japan. And what is the highest yielding asset in japan? The stock market. So the rates increase might favor the Japanese stocks which we can pick up nicely from the demand level.
LONG🚀
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Nikkei 225 Warning Signs | Is a Deeper Correction Coming?🔥 Hello TradingView traders!
Hope you’re having strong and green trading sessions 🌱
Today, we’re going to analyze one of the key stock market indices in Japan:
📌 JP225 (Nikkei 225 / Japan 225 CFD)
🇯🇵 JP225 Index Overview
The Nikkei 225 is Japan’s most important and widely followed stock index, tracking the performance of 225 major blue-chip companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
This index is highly influenced by:
Bank of Japan monetary policy
Japanese Yen (JPY) movements
Global risk sentiment and macroeconomic conditions
JP225 is one of the most popular indices among index and CFD traders worldwide.
📊 Technical Analysis – JP225 (Daily Timeframe)
From the chart, we can see that after a strong bullish rally, price has entered a distribution / consolidation phase near the highs.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Stronger & Higher-Probability Scenario)
❗️At this stage, market structure favors the bears:
Price reacted negatively from the resistance zone around 51,300 – 52,600
Failure to break the highs and formation of a short-term Lower High
Breakdown of the ascending trendline, showing weakening bullish momentum
📉 If price breaks and closes below the 48,600 support zone:
First target: 46,000 – 45,500
Next downside target: 43,000 – 42,000
➡️ This could mark the start of a deeper correction after an extended bullish move.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Alternative Scenario)
This scenario becomes valid only if market structure shifts:
Price holds above the 48,600 support
A confirmed daily break and close above 52,600
📈 After a confirmed breakout:
First target: 54,000
Next target: 55,500 and higher
⚠️ Until a valid breakout occurs, this scenario remains secondary.
🧠 Conclusion
Price is trading at a major resistance zone
Signs of buyer exhaustion are visible
The bearish scenario currently has the upper hand
Bullish continuation requires a clear daily breakout
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always trade according to your own strategy and apply proper risk management.
You are fully responsible for your trading decisions.
#JP225
#Nikkei225
#JapanIndex
#TechnicalAnalysis
#PriceAction
#SupportAndResistance
#BearishScenario
#CFDTrading
#MarketStructure
#TradingView
📊 Poll – Your View?
🗳️ What do you think JP225 will do next?
1️⃣ Break support and continue deeper correction
2️⃣ Hold support and break out to the upside
3️⃣ Continue ranging
4️⃣ Waiting for confirmation / No trade yet
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to ❤️ like and follow!
Shorting JAPAN Nikkei 225 index I will be placing a short bet on this index as I expect the increase in interest rates from 0.5 to 0.75 will bring the index to fall further south. As you can see the SL is tight , so if the price reverse, the losses are kept minimal but if we are right, the profits is trifold.
As usual, please DYODD
JPN225 H4 | Bullish Bounce OffMomentum: Bullish
Price is pulling back toward the buy entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. It also remains above the ascending trendline, adding significant strength to this level.
Buy Entry: 49,929.37
Pullback support
Stop Loss: 49,269.72
Pullback support
Take Profit: 51,450.83
Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Nikkei 225 Is Coiling UpAfter a strong uptrend, price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that often precedes a continuation move.
Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above 51,500:
• Target 1: 52,800
• Target 2: 54,500
• Target 3: 56,000
• Stop-loss: Below 50,900
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below 49,600:
• Target 1: 47,800
• Target 2: 45,500
• Target 3: 43,500
• Stop-loss: Above 50,200
Short Fundamental Overview
• Weak Japanese yen supports export-heavy companies.
• BOJ’s accommodative stance remains supportive.
• Yet, price is near major historical resistances.
Nikkei Short: Completed Triple Combination (Again)In this video, I discussed the mistake in the previous video, and updated the counts for Wave Z to show the 5-waves structure together with Fibonacci extension. I explained how 1.618x of wave 1 is actually the minimum extension required in order for wave 5 of Z to make a new high.
The stop loss for this idea is above wave Z high and the TP shown is really just a place where we will review the idea. I expect Nikkei to fall to April's low.
Good luck!
Nikkei Short: Update on Triple Combination CountIn this idea, I briefly mentioned how I was wrong in my previous idea on 2nd Dec and how Nikkei was formed a triple combination from the double combination previously.
The point of invalidation for this idea is if price moves back up above high of wave Z. Thus, stop should be placed there.
Good luck!
J225 very bearishjapanese stocks just failed resuming into trend , price broke down, retested trend and horizontal resistance, and is coming back down again. Sell here. Stocks are now super bearish, nikkei and bitcoin leading bear market right now...
long running stochastic indicator also turning bearish and hitting lows and indicating bearish momentum
Nikkei signals flash bearish as BOJ hawkish bets buildA bearish engulfing candle on our Japan 225 contract coincides with an obvious three-candle evening star pattern in futures, delivering a double dose of bearish signals that point to growing downside risks for Japanese stocks.
Currently, long-running uptrend support dating back to the April lows and the 50DMA are in close proximity beneath where the contract trades, making that a key support zone to focus on should the signals from the price action prove reliable.
If we see a clean break and close beneath the zone, it would allow for shorts to be established with a stop above the 50DMA to protect against reversal, targeting 48,400 support initially. If that gives way, 47,000, 45,170 and 42,000 were levels that saw plenty of price action either side earlier in the year, putting them on the radar as targets should we see a sustained unwind.
Of course, if the support zone comprising the 50DMA and uptrend support holds, it would allow for long setups to be considered, targeting 50,580 and 51,500 resistance initially. A stop beneath the 50DMA would protect against reversal.
RSI (14) and MACD are delivering neutral signals, a departure from what was seen in recent months when upside strength was dominant. While both indicators are gradually moving towards bearish territory right now, the preference remains to let price action and signals determine how to proceed.
Good luck!
DS
#NIKKEI - 10,000 POINTS MOVE?Date: 01-02-2025
#Nikkei - Current Price: ₹ 48,674.00
Pivot Point: ₹ 50,886.50 Support: ₹ 48,859.48 Resistance: ₹ 52,931.34
Upside Levels:
L1: ₹ 55,471.92 L2: ₹ 58,012.50 L3: ₹ 60,684.75 L4: ₹ 63,357.00
Downside Levels:
L1: ₹ 46,309.99 L2: ₹ 43,760.50 L3: ₹ 41,088.25 L4: ₹ 38,416.00
#Nikkei #Tradingview
JP225 Layered Buy Plan – Institutional Pullback Zone MappedJP225 – Index Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing Trade)
🔥 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
The current structure shows bullish confirmation supported by:
✔️ 200 Simple Moving Average pullback (strong trend continuation zone)
✔️ SuperTrend ATR line pullback (momentum still on the buy side)
Both indicators align to show buyers defending higher-timeframe demand, giving us a clean structure to execute a layered entry strategy.
🎯 ENTRY PLAN – THIEF LAYERING STRATEGY
This setup uses the classic Thief multi-layered limit order method, allowing traders to scale into the move with controlled risk.
💰 Buy-Limit Layers (example levels):
49200.0
49600.0
49800.0
(You can add more layers according to your own capital and risk structure.)
This structure spreads risk, improves average entry, and lets the market come to you instead of chasing candles.
🛡️ STOP LOSS (Risk Section)
🟥 Thief SL: 48500.0
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s):
This SL is my version of protection, but you must adjust your own SL based on your personal risk, capital size, and strategy rules.
Use this only as a reference, not a strict rule.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (Exit Section)
Targeting the POLICE BARRICADE zone – a well-known strong resistance area where:
Supply increases
Price becomes overbought
Trap formations tend to emerge
📈 Primary TP: 52500.0
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s):
Again, this TP is my version. You can take profits earlier, later, or scale out depending on your risk tolerance. Trade wisely and escape with profits before the police arrive.
🌐 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation Guide)
Monitoring correlated markets gives early signals of strength or weakness in JP225. Here are key pairs:
1️⃣ USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY )
JP225 generally rises when USDJPY rises because a stronger yen hurts Japanese exporters.
If USDJPY stays bullish, JP225 usually maintains upside momentum.
2️⃣ Nikkei Futures ($NKD or CME JP225)
Directly correlated.
Futures breaking resistance often lead the cash market.
3️⃣ US30 ( CAPITALCOM:US30 ) & SPX500 ( SP:SPX )
Global risk sentiment drives JP225.
When US indices rally, JP225 tends to follow with bullish continuation.
4️⃣ VIX Index ( TVC:VIX )
Higher VIX = fear = pressure on JP225
Lower VIX = bullish environment favorable for your long plan
5️⃣ USD Index ( TVC:DXY )
Strong DXY → may pressure JP225
Weakening DXY → supportive for risk assets globally
📌 SUMMARY
The JP225 is setting up a structured bullish swing pattern supported by two strong technical confluences (200 SMA + SuperTrend ATR pullback).
The multi-layer Thief entry strategy gives flexibility and safety while positioning for a potential ride toward 52500.
Trade safe, scale smart, and execute with discipline.
Good luck, Thief OGs! 🚀📈
JPN225 H4 | Potential Bearish DropMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently trading below the descending trendline and the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Sell Entry: 50,022.91
Strong overlap resistance.
Stop Loss: 50,820.44
Aligned with pullback resistance.
Take Profit: 48,528.27
Key overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Fear greed prints 10 Vix 25 and put/call I am BULLISH 6954/7031WAVE FOUR IS IN THE THE LAST HOURS .We should hold above 6491 /6554 zone based on the math and wave structure . I went from all cash to 75 % long on close 11/18 I am adding today into a new low to 90% long sp 500 Nik 225 and ALL WORLD CHARTS ARE THE SAME BULLMOVE NEXT Best of trades WAVETIMER






















