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US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

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DXY – Watching for Bullish Shift Above 99.765Hello traders, The Dollar Index (DXY) has completed a deep retracement — over 50% of the previous bullish leg — tapping into the daily bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and showing a bullish reaction from that area. At this stage, if the market can hold Tuesday’s low and break above 99.765, it would confirm a bullish momentum shift, opening the path toward the next liquidity level at 100.397 as my main target. However, if the price breaks below Tuesday’s low, this bullish scenario becomes invalid, and further downside movement could be expected. Simple structure — just waiting for confirmation of direction. 📈
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by VahidTradingCR
1
Trump leaving office - Political risk rises after Epstein emailsJeffrey Epstein allegedly claimed that Donald Trump spent hours in a house with one of the late trafficker’s victims and suggested the U.S. President was aware of his activities, according to an email released by congressional Democrats. Will this latest scandal be enough to take Trump out of office? Probably not, but there is a non-zero chance still right. For now, the potential end of the government shutdown appears to be overshadowing any market reaction. Still, traders shouldn’t overlook what a change in leadership could mean. Last week, we explored how a J.D. Vance presidency might reshape U.S. markets by challenging corporate monopolies and potentially strengthening the dollar. The same logic applies here: if Trump were to lose the presidency, markets could quickly begin pricing in the next administration’s economic outlook.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull Markets
Potential Topping Signs in U.S. DollarThe U.S. Dollar index began 2025 with a big slide. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect further downside. The first pattern on today’s weekly chart is the price level around 100. DXY bottomed at the level in September 2024 and peaked at it last July. The greenback probed the same area again last week without breaking out. That may suggest old support has become new resistance. Second is the 96.3 level, a low on July 1 that was tested in mid-September. If the dollar slides from here, chart watchers may view this spot as initial support. Below that level it may get more interesting because there’s little clear support above the 88-90 zone where DXY bottomed in 2018 and 2021. Even if traders don’t trade currencies directly, declines in the greenback can potentially lift other products like gold, silver and global stocks. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
TVC:DXY
by TradeStation
1
DXY: Is it going to break the 100 level or not?Fundamental approach: - The US Dollar Index (DXY) traded sideways this week amid stronger global risk sentiment and fading demand for safe-haven assets. The continued US government shutdown delayed key data releases. - At the same time, the ISM Services PMI rose to an eight-month high, and the ADP report showed stronger-than-expected private job gains, supporting a cautious Fed outlook on further rate cuts. Nevertheless, weak consumer sentiment and rising weekly jobless claims reinforced downside pressure on the dollar index.​ - Underlying drivers this week included mixed US data, with upbeat labor and service sector figures contrasting with deteriorating consumer and business sentiment. Investors trimmed bets on imminent Fed rate cuts. - Looking forward, the DXY may remain heavy as long as safe-haven demand stays muted and official US data is delayed due to the shutdown. Technical approach: - DXY retested the psychological level at around 100 and rejected. The price is above both EMAs, indicating upward momentum is still intact. -If DXY remains below 100, the price may retest the following support at 99.40, which is confluenced with the lower bound of the ascending channel. - Conversely, breaching above 100 may prompt a conviction to retest the next resistance at 101.70. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXYLong
by DatTong
2
DXY overviewAs we can see, DXY is moving in the short range between of 96 and 99 points. The price was pulling back from 99 resistant level multiples times since April, so we can expect to see how the price will come back to the support level of 96 points. There are enough factors to consider such a bearish move because there's risk on sentiment on all markets, the USA's shutdown is coming to an end in the next week, and Trump announced giving away $2000 to everyone in the USA, and FED is going to cut interest rates furthers that can lead to DXY's weaknesses. This means we can long crypto and stocks, and all major currencies agains the dollar.
TVC:DXYShort
by Elimzo
DXY (Dollar Index) Daily Outlook (Count 3)This is a daily timeframe outlook of the TVC:DXY . This is in alignment with my previously posted weekly outlook and is a slight alteration of the last posted Daily outlook, both shown in the related publications area. In this update I am looking for the DXY to continue lower potentially in an ending diagonal pattern towards the red and yellow target zones at around 93.8. As mentioned on the chart, if we see price decline in a traditional impulse with no overlap between wave 4 and 1 then the measured move target will be surpassed. I have a short trade shown on the DXY chart but this is only indicative of the move I expect, I am instead long FX:EURUSD which moves inversely to the DXY. More comments on the chart.
TVC:DXYShort
by TheWaveCave
What will be the next major trend of the US dollar on the FX?Although the US dollar remains by far the weakest currency in the Forex market this year (2025), it has rebounded since early September and could confirm a medium-term bullish reversal if it breaks through major resistance. However, the signal has not yet been triggered, and the fundamentals are not yet in place. Let’s examine what the next structural trend of the US dollar could be from both a technical and a fundamental standpoint. 1) The fundamentals required to envisage a bullish reversal in the US dollar’s long-term trend (DXY) Higher US interest rates If the Federal Reserve were to resume its tightening cycle, or simply maintain high policy rates while other central banks ease, yield differentials would favor the dollar. International capital would then flow toward USD-denominated assets. Resilient US economic growth Strong GDP and labor market data would boost investor confidence in US assets. A dynamic economy naturally attracts foreign capital inflows and mechanically supports the currency. Reacceleration of inflation A resurgence of inflation could prompt the Fed to maintain a restrictive stance for longer. Higher nominal interest rates would then strengthen the dollar’s global appeal. Heightened geopolitical tensions Periods of uncertainty or international conflict generally boost demand for the US dollar, viewed as a safe-haven asset during times of stress. Improved fiscal discipline and capital repatriation flows Any credible initiative to reduce the US fiscal deficit would reinforce investor confidence. At the same time, the repatriation of profits by US multinationals would create additional demand for the greenback. 2) Factors likely to maintain the bearish trend The end of the US “shutdown” While it restores short-term confidence, the resolution of a budgetary standoff tends to revive risk appetite. Investors then turn away from safe-haven assets such as the dollar, weighing on its value. The end of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening (QT) The Fed’s planned end of QT as of December 1, 2025 will inject liquidity into markets, which tends to weaken the dollar by increasing money supply and reducing real yields. In summary: A sustained rebound of the dollar would require a combination of high interest rates, solid growth, and global uncertainty. Conversely, any monetary easing or renewed global confidence could keep the US currency on a downward trajectory. From a technical standpoint, the bullish reversal signal will not be confirmed as long as the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains below the key resistance area of 101–102 points. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
DXY (USD)Expecting upside continuation. We can see on HTF we have Bullish MS, with HH & HL formation. Fundamentals: - Rate cuts bets faded. - Oct FOMC, Powell slightly less dovish to Hawkish tone - want to be cautious with future rate cuts & want to be data dependant. - Dec rate cut probabilities dropped from 95% chance to 63% chance. This means that US yields remain high, less investor outflow because of interest rate differentials, therefor we can see USD upside. The only think thats probably impacting it is the US lockdown, and is now the longest ever, therefor investors still cautious as they would like to see data before we can see big drivers.
TVC:DXYLong
by Jawad_Khalili1
The dollar softens as weak data boosts Fed rate-cut expectations According to ADP data, US companies laid off an average of 11,250 employees per week in October, reaffirming how quickly labor market conditions have softened over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell for a second straight month to 98.2 (prev. 98.9, cons. 98.3), marking the lowest level since April’s reciprocal tariff announcement. The NFIB noted that the government shutdown and tariffs have weighed on business sales. The dollar may stay range-bound, awaiting fresh price catalysts between hopes for a shutdown resolution and further Fed rate cuts. DXY briefly tested the ascending channel's lower bound before rebounding slightly. The index remains between both EMAs, suggesting a potential extension of the consolidation trend. If DXY closes above EMA21, the index may advance toward the following resistance at 99.80. Conversely, if DXY breaks below EMA78 and the support at 99.50, the price could fall below the channel’s lower bound.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
Gold Vs DXYIt means using gold’s price in U.S. dollars as a report card on the dollar (and on paper money in general). Gold is priced in USD (e.g., $2,000/oz). If gold goes up a lot vs the dollar, that often signals: The dollar is losing purchasing power (inflation / debasement fears), or People are seeking a “safe haven” outside fiat currency. If gold is weak vs the dollar, it usually means: The dollar is relatively strong, Markets are more comfortable holding cash, bonds, or risk assets instead of “hard money.” So “checking gold against the dollar” is basically asking: “How much real value does a dollar still buy, measured in something that can’t be printed?”
TVC:DXY
by tylerluk
Gold Vs DXYIt means using gold’s price in U.S. dollars as a report card on the dollar (and on paper money in general). Gold is priced in USD (e.g., $2,000/oz). If gold goes up a lot vs the dollar, that often signals: The dollar is losing purchasing power (inflation / debasement fears), or People are seeking a “safe haven” outside fiat currency. If gold is weak vs the dollar, it usually means: The dollar is relatively strong, Markets are more comfortable holding cash, bonds, or risk assets instead of “hard money.” So “checking gold against the dollar” is basically asking: “How much real value does a dollar still buy, measured in something that can’t be printed?”
TVC:DXY
by tylerluk
1
DXY, US DOLAAR UPDATEDXY — Structure & Flow Brief DXY | Bullish Bias | Daily Frame | CORE5 View: Dollar remains in short-term pullback mode inside a broader bullish structure, holding between 97.67 and 99.98 while traders watch this week’s macro lineup. The key data hits Thursday and Friday — Jobless Claims, followed by PPI and Retail Sales. Those reports will show if the economy is cooling or still running hot, shaping the next leg for the dollar. Yields stay firm, keeping the tone quietly bullish, but most desks are flat until the data drops. MSM — Market Structure Mapping (The Framework) We’re trading inside a daily bearish candle, sliding into the imbalance near 98.964. A close back above that cap would keep the broader trend context bullish. If price doesn’t reclaim that level, the structure favors a move toward lower zones before the next leg. VFA — Volume Flow Analytics (The Participation Map) A main POC sits at 98.562, right inside the discount area of the range. That’s a heavy-volume zone — price action can drive into it if downside momentum develops. On news days, markets often run through these areas to clear liquidity before direction returns. OFD — Order Flow Dynamics (The Behavior) Price is currently parked inside an order-flow imbalance, filling single-print orders around 98.964. It’s an absorption phase — volume is active, but larger players are keeping it balanced until catalysts arrive. We’re seeing divergences across EURUSD, gold, and yields heading into Friday’s PPI and Retail Sales. When the data hits, volatility often increases, and these imbalance zones tend to resolve. PEM — Precision Execution Modeling (The Engagement Rules) Trading the middle of the range is a low-edge play unless you’re scalping. We’ve already had strong moves today, so there’s no reason to force new triggers here. Within the CORE5 framework, we avoid engaging at the 50/50 range midpoint and wait for direction, confirmation, and flow alignment. For now, it’s about risk control and patience until tomorrow’s data gives a clean framework signal. CORE5 Rule of the Day: Mid-range moves feed ego, not equity. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY I Weekly / Monthly CLS I Pullback to 50% of the CLS rangeHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 📌 HTF - Higher Timeframe view 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ? NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics ➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS 🧠 Core of mindset problems If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
33
DXY (US Dollar Index) 2h Chart AnalysisThe DXY is currently consolidating in a tight range around the 99.30 mark after the recent move lower. ​Current Price : 99.304 ​Key Support : The level around 99.00 looks like the next major psychological support. ​Key Resistance: Bulls are currently gaining momentum but need to clear the upper bound of the recent consolidation, specifically the 99.40 - 99.50 area, to negate the short-term bearish pressure. We are waiting for a breakout. A sustained break above 99.50 could see a retest of 99.80 - 100.00. A definitive move below 99.00 opens the door for a deeper correction towards the 98.80 area.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by GeorgeSylva
DXY Bullish strong trend resistance breakout bullish move📈DXY Bullish Outlook The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing strong bullish momentum after a clean breakout above resistance — buyers stepping in from the key support zone at 99.400. ✅ Technical Levels: Entry Zone: 99.400 (Support Base) Targets: 🎯 First Target: 99.800 🎯 Second Target: 100.200 The 4H time frame confirms the breakout with higher highs and bullish structure. ⚠️ Note: Always apply proper risk management and stick to your trading plan. #DXY #USDIndex #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BullishTrend #Breakout #RiskManagement 💬 Like | 💹 Follow | 🔁 Share
TVC:DXYLong
by ExpertTraderASK
17