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US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

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DXY-USD Game PlanDXY-USD Game Plan 📊 Market Sentiment On 29/10, the FED lowered rates by 25BPS as expected. However, Powell’s remarks introduced uncertainty regarding December’s potential cut, stating that decisions will depend on upcoming data. One FED member dissented, preferring no cut, a shift from September’s unanimous decision. As a result, rate cut expectations dropped from 95% to 68%, sparking short-term bullish sentiment for the USD, as traders adjusted portfolios toward defensive positioning. 📈 Technical Analysis The Dollar Index (DXY) hit its HTF Weekly Bullish Trendline and got rejected, forming a structural reversal pattern. We’ve now seen a break of short-term daily bearish trend, confirming strength and a potential leg higher toward 102.00 (Monthly FFVG). 📌 Game Plan / Expectations Expecting price to wick or close above 100.25, then potentially retrace before resuming the bullish leg. Primary upside target: Monthly FFVG zone at 102.00. Sentiment remains bullish for the dollar short term, which may pressure risk assets (stocks and crypto) temporarily. 💬 If this DXY breakdown supports your macro view, like, comment, and follow. For deeper insights and liquidity-based macro models, subscribe to my Substack (free access available). ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
TVC:DXY
by UA_CAPITAL
DXY & final liquidityFundamental Analysis : Based on the current macroeconomic backdrop, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be entering a short-term corrective move to the upside, potentially toward the 100–101 liquidity zone, before resuming its broader bearish trend. This aligns with the visible Head & Shoulders structure and the small Quasimodo (QM) zone that’s likely to attract liquidity before a larger downside move. Short-Term View (Correction Toward 101): Recent U.S. employment and retail sales data have shown relative strength, leading markets to delay expectations for Fed rate cuts. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have seen a mild recovery, prompting short-term dollar demand as investors rebalance risk exposure. The Federal Reserve’s “data-dependent” stance keeps the market uncertain ahead of the next inflation releases, providing a temporary bid for the dollar. ➤ This corrective phase corresponds to the small QM zone (100–101) where liquidity collection and retesting of previous resistance are likely. Medium- to Long-Term View (Bearish Reversal After 101): Core inflation (PCE) continues to trend lower, approaching the Fed’s 2.5% target range. Labor market softness is becoming more visible through higher unemployment and slowing wage growth. The probability of rate cuts beginning in early 2026 is increasing, which would significantly reduce the dollar’s yield advantage. Meanwhile, other major economies (Europe, China, Japan) are stabilizing, which could rebalance global demand away from the USD. Additionally, rising U.S. government debt and fiscal deficit concerns are weighing on real yields and long-term dollar sentiment. ➤ These factors suggest that once liquidity is collected near 101, DXY could begin a new bearish leg toward the 95–92.5 demand zone. The current upward move in the dollar is likely a final liquidity grab before the next major decline. From a fundamental perspective, this aligns with short-term resilience in economic data, followed by an eventual shift toward monetary easing and weaker growth momentum — perfectly in line with technical scenario.
TVC:DXY
by mehdi_kb
Dollar Rises Amid Record US Shutdown and Liquidity ShortageThe dollar index is climbing as the US faces its longest government shutdown on record. The FRED:SOFR rate is trading 0.23 percentage points above the FRED:IORB , signaling a liquidity shortage. Unfortunately, TradingView data doesn’t cover the 2019 liquidity crunch, but the current situation looks similar. Earlier this week, Logan highlighted the elevated repo rate and noted that the Fed may need to step in and purchase assets if conditions persist. The liquidity shortage is putting upward pressure on the dollar index. A breakout above 101 could accelerate that pressure further. If the US shutdown ends, renewed government spending could ease the liquidity strain, allowing the dollar to retreat. Until then, upward momentum is likely to continue.
TVC:DXY
by ftdsystem
DXY — London SessionThe Dollar reached its 99.8 target and closed the day above it, confirming short-term strength. Price now trades stretched on the daily chart, well above its normal rhythm. As long as daily lows keep printing higher, structure holds — but with both weekly and monthly charts in correction, momentum could fade quickly. This is a day-by-day market where clarity matters more than conviction. On the technical side, DXY shows rhythm exhaustion — clear deviation from its average range. When price moves this far from balance, professionals stop chasing and wait for rhythm to reset. The key signal now is whether the next daily low holds or breaks; that decides who controls the tape. Macro conditions still support the Dollar. The Fed’s tone stays cautious on further cuts, while the U.S. government shutdown keeps data flow limited. Investors prefer safety over yield, and capital continues to park in USD for clarity and liquidity. It’s not a growth story — it’s a stability story. When a target hits, professionals re-map before acting again. The next decision comes from structure, not emotion. Operator Rule: After targets hit, think — don’t chase. - Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
The Dollar Index Near a Key HighThe Dollar Index Near a Key High As shown on the Dollar Index (DXY) chart, the strength of the US currency is currently hovering near an important high reached in August. Market sentiment is being influenced by: → the ongoing government shutdown, which has already become the longest in history; → traders’ assessment of last week’s developments, including the Fed’s interest rate cut, the meeting between the US and Chinese presidents in South Korea, and quarterly earnings reports from major corporations. Adding to the turbulence is the political factor: according to media reports, Democrats have achieved victories in several local elections. Notably, Zohran Mamdani – a Muslim candidate from the Democratic Party – has been elected Mayor of New York for the first time. Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart It is worth recalling that on 19 September we published an important analysis of the DXY chart, in which we: → highlighted the false breakout of the 1 July low; → suggested a bullish scenario. Following this, the price rose to the upper boundary of the red channel. In our earlier analysis, we: → constructed an ascending channel; → anticipated that the upward trajectory would remain relevant. That scenario played out – demand proved strong enough to overcome: → resistance around the 95-point level, where a double-top pattern (a–b) had previously formed; → the psychological barrier at 100 points. It is possible that the 3.7% rise in the Dollar Index over roughly one and a half months could attract sellers. The main intrigue now lies in whether we will see an aggressive reversal accompanied by a false breakout – similar to what occurred in September, but this time in a downward direction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXY
by FXOpen
1
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
DXY Institutional Pullback Setup – Smart Money Buying the Dip!💰 DXY: The Dollar Flexing Hard - Institutional Swing Play! 🎯 📊 Market Overview The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing serious institutional strength! After a clean pullback to the 786 Triangular Moving Average, we're locked and loaded for a bullish continuation play. This setup screams "smart money accumulation" and we're positioning for the ride up! 💪 🎯 The Setup: Bullish Confirmation ✅ Asset: DXY (U.S. Dollar Index CFD) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH - Confirmed on institutional timeframes Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid 📈 Technical Confluence: ✅ 786 TMA Pullback - Textbook institutional support zone ✅ Price action holding above key structure ✅ Volume profile showing accumulation ✅ Smart money footprint evident 🎲 The "Layered Entry" Gameplan (Thief Style 😎) Instead of going all-in at one price, we're using multiple limit orders (layering strategy) to build our position like the institutions do: 💵 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders): Layer 1: 98.400 Layer 2: 98.600 Layer 3: 98.800 Note: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size! The beauty of layering? You average into the move without FOMO-ing at the worst price. 🧠 Current Price Entry: Yes, you can enter at market if you're confident in the setup, but layering gives you better risk management. 🛡️ Risk Management (Thief OG Edition) 🚨 Stop Loss: 98.100 This is MY stop loss based on my risk tolerance. IMPORTANT: I'm NOT telling you to blindly copy this. Set your SL based on YOUR account size, risk percentage, and comfort level. Trade your plan, not mine! 🎰 🎯 Profit Target: 100.000 (The Big Round Number!) 🧲 Why 100.000? Simple Moving Average acting as strong resistance Psychological round number = liquidity magnet 🧲 Overbought conditions likely near this zone Trap potential for late longs - we want to exit before the crowd panics! Exit Strategy: Take profits in stages! Don't be greedy. 💰 Consider taking 50% off at 99.500 and letting the rest ride to 100.000 with a trailing stop. DISCLAIMER: This target is MY analysis. You decide when to take profits based on your strategy. If you see your account glowing green, TAKE THE MONEY! 💸 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Game 🕹️) The DXY doesn't move in isolation! Here are the correlated plays: 📉 Inverse Correlations (These typically move OPPOSITE to DXY): FX:EURUSD - Strong negative correlation (~-95%). DXY up = EUR/USD down FX:GBPUSD - Cable follows Euro's lead, watch for breakdown OANDA:AUDUSD & OANDA:NZDUSD - Commodity currencies get crushed when DXY rips Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Dollar strength = gold weakness (classic inverse) 📈 Positive Correlations (These move WITH DXY): FX:USDJPY - Yen pairs amplify dollar moves OANDA:USDCHF - Swissy follows dollar strength OANDA:USDCAD - Loonie weakens on DXY strength (unless oil goes parabolic) Pro Tip: If DXY is pumping but EUR/USD isn't dumping proportionally, something's off - be careful! 🚩 🧠 Key Points & Edge: Institutional Level Confirmed - The 786 TMA is a proven reversal/continuation zone used by big money Swing Trading Sweet Spot - This isn't a scalp; give it room to breathe Layer Like a Pro - Don't blow your load on one entry; scale in strategically Risk First, Profits Second - Protect your capital like it's your only child 👶 Watch Correlations - DXY strength impacts EVERYTHING in Forex ⚠️ Risk Disclosure & "Thief Style" Disclaimer THIS IS THE "THIEF STYLE" TRADING STRATEGY - JUST FOR FUN AND EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES! 🎲 This analysis represents MY personal trading plan and bias. I am NOT a financial advisor, and this is NOT financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss, and you could lose more than your initial investment. ✅ Do your own research (DYOR) ✅ Never risk more than you can afford to lose ✅ Past performance ≠ future results ✅ Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent Trade at your own risk! I'm sharing my playbook, but YOU are responsible for your account. If you make money, congrats! 🎉 If you lose money, that's on you, not me. Manage your risk like a pro! 💪 🚀 Let's Catch This Move Together! The setup is ripe, the levels are clear, and the plan is locked in. Now we wait for the market to come to us - patience pays in this game! ⏰ ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #DXY #USDollarIndex #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ForexSignals #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #RiskManagement #EURUSD #ForexCorrelation #SmartMoney #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading #ForexLife #ThiefStyle #LayeredEntry #DollarBull Happy Trading, Thief OGs! 💎🙌
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Could reduced Fed rate-cut expectations keep the dollar strong? The dollar index extended its gains as the Fed’s increasingly cautious stance on additional rate cuts strengthened sentiment. Dallas Fed President Logan noted that without clear evidence of inflation falling or a sharp cooling in the labor market, another rate cut in December would be difficult to justify. Similarly, Cleveland Fed President Hammack emphasized the need to maintain a degree of tightening to bring inflation back to target. Meanwhile, the federal government shutdown reached its 35th day, tying the record from Trump’s first term. The CBO estimated that the shutdown has already shaved about 1% off Q4 GDP, with the impact potentially widening to 2% by the end of November if it continues. DXY extended its uptrend, briefly testing the resistance at 100.20. Diverging bullish EMAs indicate a potential extension of bullish momentum. If DXY breaches above 100.20, the index may advance toward the following resistance at 100.50. Conversely, if DXY breaks below 100.00, the index could retreat toward the next support at 99.50.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
The Dollar Death Cross that marks the beginning – October 2025The term death cross often sends shivers through markets, but in the case of the US Dollar Index (DXY), it’s proven to be quite the opposite. History tells us that every major death cross on the 5-day chart where the short-term 50 day simple moving average (SMA) crosses below the 200 day long term simple moving average (SMA), has in fact marked the end of a dollar downtrend, not the start of one. This is especially true after a test of the annual Rolling Moving Average (green line), as has just confirmed. Look left: February 2018, Death cross printed at the macro low. The dollar rallied for nearly two years. January 2021, Death cross printed again, just before the dollar began its next sustained advance. July 2025, Another death cross appears, once again coinciding with price touching the RMA, the same long-term structural support that has historically defined the beginning of each dollar bull cycle. We can keep looking left if those last three dates do not satisfy, the story does not change, there is no “this time is different” while the DXY is in a macro uptrend. Now, in October 2025, the RSI confirms a breakout from its multi-year descending channel, adding technical weight to what the moving averages are already signalling: the bear phase is likely over, and the next dollar bull market is quietly beginning. The 50 line is marked out, once it climbs above the rest is history. What’s Next Each of the prior bullish reversals began the same way: 1. Death cross, triggering capitulation sentiment. 2. Support test of the annual rolling moving average 3. RSI breakout and confirmation of trend reversal That structure is now repeating almost perfectly. If momentum follows prior cycles, the next 6–18 months could see the DXY recover toward the 105–110 zone, with potential for extension beyond 115 over the full bull phase. A break and hold above 104 would confirm trend strength, while a close below the annual average around 96 would invalidate the structure and delay the signal. This setup isn’t about calling tops or bottoms, it’s about recognising that death crosses on this timeframe have repeatedly marked strong uptrends for the dollar, not endings as the gold folks would have us believe. Conclusions The data is clear: every major death cross in recent DXY history has aligned with the start of a new bullish cycle. The 5-day structure, RSI breakout, and confirmation from the rolling annual average all point toward a macro reversal is underway. The irony of the name death cross is not lost here, for the dollar, it often signals the exact opposite. If history rhymes once again, October 2025 will be remembered as the quiet beginning of the next US Dollar bull market. Ww ============================== Disclaimer This post is for educational and informational purposes only and represents personal market analysis, not financial advice. Currency markets are inherently volatile and influenced by complex macroeconomic factors. Always perform your own research, manage risk responsibly, and rely on confirmation, not emotion, when making trading or investment decisions. Patience, data, and confirmation, the real currency of trading.
INDEX:DXYLong
by without_worries
35
DOLLAR INDEXTHE LONDON SESSION NIS SHOWING THE DOLLAR INDEX BREAK OF 4HR SUPPLY ROOF.,IF DOLLAR DEMAND HOLDS STRONG GOLD COULD DROP. The DXY (US Dollar Index) is a benchmark that measures the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of six major global currencies: the euro (largest component), Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It serves as a broad indicator of the dollar’s strength or weakness against these currencies. It reflects the impact of relatively higher US interest rates and bond yields compared to other major economies. Geopolitical uncertainties and safe-haven demand also support the dollar's position, influencing the DXY. Key Factors Influencing DXY Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and forward guidance are primary drivers. Economic Performance: Relative growth, inflation, and employment trends in the US versus other economies. Risk Sentiment: The DXY often rises during periods of global uncertainty due to flight-to-quality flows into the dollar. Trade and Capital Flows: Trade balances and foreign investment flows contribute to fluctuations. Summary The DXY measures overall US dollar strength against a broad basket of key currencies and is influenced heavily by US monetary policy, economic indicators, and global risk sentiment. It currently shows moderate bullishness, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s tighter policy stance and global economic conditions. #DXY #DOLLAR #US1Y
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
3
technical analysis of the chart you shared (U.S. Dollar Index Current Price: 100.112 Bias: Bullish short-term Timeframe: 15-min The chart shows a clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows forming. The price recently bounced from a minor support zone around the 100.00 level and is showing momentum to the upside. 📊 Key Levels Support Level: 99.750 – 99.850 (major zone from previous lows) Buy Zone: 100.000 – 100.050 (minor support/entry zone) Target Point: 100.460 ⚙️ Analysis Summary Price has broken above short-term resistance and is now retesting the buy zone, suggesting a possible continuation higher. The ascending trendline (dotted white line) supports this bullish bias. The yellow zigzag projection indicates expected consolidation before a push upward. 🎯 Trading Plan (Based on Chart Setup) Entry Zone: Around 100.000 – 100.050 Stop Loss: Below 99.900 (below structure support) Take Profit: 100.460 (target zone) Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 🔍 Conclusion The chart suggests a short-term bullish scenario for DXY (U.S. Dollar Index). A successful bounce from the 100.00 zone could lead to a move toward the 100.46 target point. However, a break below 99.90 would invalidate the setup and shift bias to neutral or bearish. TVC:UKX FTSE:UKX FTSE:MCX FTSE:FBMKLCI FTSE:AIM1 FTSE:ASX FTSE:NMX FTSE:AW01 FTSE:JAPAN FTSE:GEISAC FTSE:FBM100 FTSE:AIM5 CBOEEU:BUK100P FTSE:XIN0 FTSE:AXX FTSE:XIN0U
TVC:DXYLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Analysis ( Update)US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Analysis Current Price: 99.77 (+0.28%) Trend: Bullish continuation within a strong uptrend Technical Overview The DXY continues its bullish structure, forming a Break of Structure (BOS) above 99.60, confirming a continuation of upward momentum. Price is trading above the 14 EMA (white) and 200 EMA (yellow), indicating strong bullish momentum and trend alignment. The market recently tapped into a supply zone near 99.75 – 99.80, showing initial signs of short-term rejection, but the broader trend remains upward. Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 99.75 – 99.85 (current supply zone) Next Resistance: 100.00 (psychological level) Immediate Support: 99.35 (minor structure) Major Support Zone: 98.70 – 98.30 (demand area with EMA confluence) Indicators Stochastic RSI currently around 75, approaching the overbought zone, which could trigger a short-term pullback before continuation. The momentum structure remains intact, and both moving averages are sloping upward — a bullish continuation bias remains valid unless 99.35 breaks down. Market Context A strong DXY typically pressures risk assets, including BTC and equities. Combined with rising USDT Dominance, this reinforces a risk-off environment — investors are moving to safety (USD and stablecoins). If DXY breaks above 99.80, expect further crypto weakness and possible BTC retest near 104,000 – 102,000. Summary Bias: Bullish Short-Term Expectation: Minor pullback → continuation toward 100.00 Invalidation: A breakdown below 99.35 would signal a shift to neutral and potential mean reversion toward 98.70
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by InnovationCapital
Big Moves Ahead? DXY, EUR/USD & Gold at Crucial LevelsLadies and gentlemen, there was a time when forex was full of trading opportunities... to the point where most people struggled with overtrading. But these days, you need a solid watchlist to even find positions, and that's where Skeptic Lab comes in—it's a great spot for spotting good opportunities. So without further ado, let's dive into the analysis of DXY , or the dollar index. 💲 In the daily timeframe , after the drop it had, it's entered a consolidation box, and it looks like we're nearing the end of that box. The main long trigger is a break of 100.262 from a technical standpoint, but personally, after the break of 99.850, I'm already positioned on one of the USD symbols. In lower timeframes, plus the fact that breaking the ceiling of consolidations is usually not straightforward and comes with a lot of volatility, so it's better to have a pre-breakout position. 💶Let's head over to EURX in the 4H timeframe —we've had a good reaction at the 1085.9 support. Breaking it would be a great trigger if you want a EURUSD position. Speaking of EURUSD , it's already entered a secondary bearish trend after breaking its daily trend line. If the DXY consolidation box breaks, EURUSD will officially change its HWC trend to bearish. The position I mentioned at the start of the analysis—I opened it with the break of that same daily EURUSD trend line. The key level for profit-taking will be 1.14640. I'll wait to see what reaction DXY gives—if it fakes the box break, I'll close the position; if not, I'll leave it open for now. 🪙But let's move on to gold —the commodity I'm eyeing today for opening a position. From a technical perspective, it's at a spot that gives both short and long triggers... let me explain. In the daily timeframe, we had a strong uptrend rally that, after reaching 4377.67 , entered its secondary corrective trend. In the 4H timeframe, what's interesting is the formation of these range boxes we're seeing. So our long and short triggers are clear: break of the box ceiling = long / break of the box floor = short. But the thing is, the targets are the same... see, opening a short here basically means going along with the secondary trend, so? Your expectations should be relative to this leg, not the weekly one... so it's better to take your targets quicker, like 3896.31 (the 0.38 fib intersection), which could be a good target. Plus, each bearish leg is weaker than the previous one, so the point I mentioned makes sense for the target. For longs, though, you can proceed with partial profits and not close too early. Alright, that's it. Now get outta here.
TVC:DXY
by SkepticLab