LOOKING BEARISHThe DXY looks bearish mainly because markets expect the Fed to cut rates soon, which lowers dollar yields. At the same time, Treasury rallies, inflation fears, and fiscal dominance concerns are hurting confidence in the dollar. Technically, DXY has also broken key support levels, with momentum pointing lower. Investors are increasingly hedging dollar exposure, adding further downside pressure.
Trade ideas
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY):The index is currently trading around 97.90 after a sharp drop from 98.80. Possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to reclaim the 98.00 zone and breaks below 97.75, further downside could extend toward 97.50 and 97.30.
2️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
If the index breaks and holds above 98.00, bullish momentum may target 98.30 followed by 98.55.
📌 The 98.00 level is the key pivot to watch for the next move.
DXY COUNTERTREND BUYS | 25 AUG🧃 DXY Signal – Liquidity got cooked edition
Daily got slapped bearish after Friday’s LQ sweep, but 1H said “lemme cook” 🔥
Price tapped the discount zone → setup valid ✅
First pitstop = Asian highs 🚏 (97.93)
Uber target = Orderflow station 🎯 (98.15 – 98.20)
SL chilling under 97.80 🛑 (if we break that, pack it up)
RRR chef’s kiss ~1:3 💋📈
Outlook: Bears had their fun, now bulls spinning the block for a quick correction rally. Don’t fight it, just ride it 🚀
DXY | daily sentiment After big LQ sweeps after the Powell speech I believe market as a high probability of piulling back up to upside Orderflow to collect some orders and FVG are open in discount price
personally I dont trade DXY but it proides good sentiment for the other correlating pairs... therefore for a more refined entry model, feel free to drop to the lower TF and seek proper cornfimation.
feel free to share your opponions of the trade in commment section, @sam_trades_smc
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 97.19
1st Support: 96.36
1st Resistance: 100.07
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US Dollar: Bearish August. Rate Cuts Likely. Sell USD?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 25 - 29th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD has been weak since the start of August. It took a huge move down Friday with FED Chairman Powell's dovish take on rate cuts.
So, this market is is not one to take buys in.
However, we are still in correction territory, looking at the Monthly and Weekly candles. Be mindful that the market can find support at current levels, even though it has been bearish for 7+ months. The Swing Low has not been violated as yet.
Be cautious. No buys are justified without a Bullish BOS. Sells are the best best, but keep your head on a swivel!
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY4HIn this series of analyses, we have reviewed trading perspectives and short-term outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current asset price, and the market’s reaction or breakout at this level will determine the next price trend toward the specified targets.
Important note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to highlight significant levels ahead of the price and potential market reactions to these levels. The provided analyses are by no means trading signals!
DXY: False Breakout, Targets BelowHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
On the daily timeframe, the Dollar Index is in a sideways range. Upper boundary 98.959, lower boundary 95.906.
We see a familiar false breakout pattern of the upper boundary of the range. The price then returned back into the range with a seller IKC candle (the highest-volume candle within the initiative).
During this false breakout, the price moved above the 50% level of the last seller initiative on the weekly timeframe, which strengthens the pattern.
I am waiting for the first target at 96.66 and the second target at 95.90.
As a reminder, my broader expectation is a move toward 94.6. Indirectly, the likelihood of continued decline in the Dollar Index is supported by the fact that the sideways range has expanded more to the downside than to the upside.
Wishing you profitable trades!
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OF DXY weekly timeframe
applying dow theory to the downside.
recent lows broken with an impulsive bearish move.
an fvg left behind, likely to be filled later.
after breaking recent lows and the 100 monthly key level, price shows weakness with a bullish falling flag.
expecting an extension toward the weekly cp level @95 weekly key level.
tdi
sharkfin to the left signaled a reversal (confirmed).
looking for proper divergence and a w-pattern in line with technicals.
ideally, a head and shoulders on tdi with the second shoulder at the mbl or a bounce on the signal line.
anticipating an extension to the bands, with rsi reaching or approaching extreme levels.















