EURJPY Analysis: Range Bounces & BreakoutHello traders!
EURJPY is in a daily range and is offering three trading scenarios.
The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the currently approached zone, setting up a bounce opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 162.130 area.
The second scenario anticipates a bounce toward the 158.400 area, if price reaches the support zone of the range.
The third scenario anticipates a breakout above the resistance zone, followed by a retest, which could present a strong opportunity for continuation toward the 169.300 area.
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JPYEUR trade ideas
EUR/JPY Long Setup – Bullish Reversal from Key Support Zone Entry Point: 162.227
Stop Loss: 161.629
Take Profit (Target): 166.778
Current Price: ~162.798
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Risk: ~60 pips
Reward: ~455 pips
Risk/Reward ≈ 1:7.6 (strong setup)
🔍 Technical Insights
Support Zone:
The purple rectangle around 162.227 to 162.000 is identified as a key demand zone or support area.
Price has tested this zone previously and appears to be bouncing off it.
Price Structure:
The pattern suggests a potential double-bottom or reversal structure forming.
A rounded recovery projection is drawn, implying bullish momentum is expected.
Moving Averages:
A red (shorter period) moving average is crossing below the price.
A blue (longer period) moving average near the support zone could act as dynamic support.
Target Area:
166.778 marks a clear resistance or prior high and is labeled as the “EA Target Point”.
This is a logical profit-taking zone based on past price action.
✅ Bullish Trade Bias Justification
Strong support reaction near entry.
Favorable risk/reward ratio.
Reversal pattern potential.
Confluence with moving average support.
⚠️ Considerations
Ensure confirmation from a bullish candle or reversal signal before entry.
Be mindful of macroeconomic events or EUR/JPY fundamentals that might impact volatility.
EURJPY suggests a potential bearish moveEURJPY suggests a potential bearish move.
The price has been moving within an ascending channel
A downward-sloping trend line indicates a possible break below the channel.
If the price continues to drop, it may reach 163.300 ,162.500 and 162, which are marked as support levels.
The BOJ is probably doing intervention again in the forex market given that the they want to reach a deal soon with the US
On the other hand EURO has other problems. The inflation cooling down is suggesting further rate cuts and this can weigh on EURO pairs in the short term.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Looking for possible longs on EURJPY
This is a classic bullish setup based on:
• Price action rejection near a demand zone
• A higher low formation
• Aiming for a return to recent resistance
I’m expecting the price to bounce and rise from this demand zone and reach the marked TP while maintaining a tight SL to manage risk effectively
SMC Trap = Clean CHoCH + OB Long, Targeting Liquidity Sweep!We’re tracking a textbook Smart Money Concept (SMC) long setup on EURJPY, 30M timeframe, with clear structure shift and clean OB entry. Here's the full breakdown for traders:
🔄 Market Structure Shift:
Major bearish trend visible from previous candles.
Sharp rejection followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) indicating possible bullish reversal.
🧱 Order Block Zone:
Price swept liquidity to the downside and tapped into a marked Bullish Order Block at 162.195–162.266.
Entry triggered within this OB zone, with tight risk placement below Strong Low.
🔁 Entry Setup:
Entry: Inside OB at 162.266
Stop Loss: Just below the OB at 162.195 (Strong Low protected)
TP1: 70.50% retracement near 162.650
TP2: Full Buy Side Liquidity sweep @ 162.768 (Weak High Targeted)
🧮 RRR (Risk-to-Reward):
Approximate RRR: 1:6+ — High probability trade if market structure follows through.
🧲 Key Levels Highlighted:
🔹 CHoCH confirms shift to bullish
🔹 OB Zone: High confluence with liquidity grab + candle imbalance
🔹 Buy Side Liquidity: Obvious target for institutions
🔹 Weak High: Ready to be taken out
📈 What To Watch For:
Bullish continuation towards 162.768
Strong impulsive move breaking above minor resistance
Potential re-entries on lower TF OBs (5M–15M)
🧠 Pro Tip for Traders:
Don’t chase—wait for CHoCH + OB confirmation combo. This type of setup works best when confluence aligns: OB + CHoCH + liquidity sweep = 🔥
EURJPY → Storming the resistance. Ready for the rallyFX:EURJPY is rising amid a stronger dollar and positive news about the de-escalation of the trade war. The currency pair is storming the resistance of the range.
The currency pair is forming a retest of resistance. A breakout and consolidation above 164.19 - 164.50 could support the market amid the dollar's growth.
The dollar is strengthening after positive news related to the de-escalation of the trade war. Against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is losing ground, which is generally affecting EURJPY.
A move above the key level will confirm a breakout of the resistance of consolidation, which could trigger a distribution phase...
Resistance levels: 164.19, 166.7
Support levels: 163.15, 162.38
The price has already entered the buying zone, meaning that resistance has been broken. All that remains is to wait for confirmation that the bulls are ready... Consolidation above 164.19 - 164.5 will confirm this, and in that case, we can expect distribution towards 166.7.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EUR/JPY Bearish Pin Bar After Failed Run at 165.00If looking for Yen-strength, EUR/JPY makes for a compelling argument especially against USD/JPY and GBP/JPY.
the pair is spending its ninth consecutive week showing resistance at the 163.00-163.38 zone and this week, bulls had an open door to run a breakout until they got caught at the 165.00 handle. That led to a strong pullback and as you can see from the weekly bar below, there's currently a pin bar that can also be argued as a shooting star formation. The weekly close will be key here as the Monday breakout was reversed later in the week, and seeing whether bears have the motivation to continue pushing will be telling as to whether JPY-strength has more potential for next week.
Longer-term, there's still a descending triangle in here with support down around the 155.00 handle. The 160 level would need to be dealt with first as that was a big spot of support in March/April, but it does provide some additional context in the event that a larger case of JPY-strength appears. - js
EURJPY: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The analysis of the EURJPY chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EUR_JPY LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_JPY is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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EUR/JPY Faces the Upper Boundary of Its Lateral Range AgainOver the past five trading sessions, the EUR/JPY pair has climbed nearly 2% in favor of the euro, once again reaching a key resistance zone in the short term. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, driven by the weakened yen, which has lost demand in recent sessions. As a safe-haven currency, the yen has struggled to hold investor interest as trade tensions ease and market confidence rebounds.
Wide Lateral Range
Since 2024, EUR/JPY has maintained a broad lateral channel, bounded by resistance at 165.315 and support at 156.656. Recent buying momentum has brought the price back to the upper end of the range, and if bullish pressure continues, a breakout could occur—potentially giving way to a more sustained uptrend in the short term.
Technical Indicators:
ADX: The ADX line continues to hover below the neutral level of 20, signaling low volatility in recent movements. If the ADX fails to break above that level, a persistent state of neutrality may continue to dominate price action in the short term.
TRIX: The TRIX line remains above zero, but it shows a flattened curve, indicating the absence of a clear directional trend in the exponential moving averages. This opens the door for a neutral phase to develop at current resistance levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
165.315 – Major Resistance: Marks the upper boundary of the lateral range. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could lead to a stronger uptrend in the near term.
162.225 – Nearby Support: Aligns with the neutral zone of the past two weeks. May act as a barrier for short-term pullbacks.
160.655 – Critical Support: Corresponds to the midpoint of the current channel and aligns with the Ichimoku cloud area. A return to this level could undermine the current bullish structure and reinforce the broader sideways range.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Chanel(EUR/JPY 1H Chart):
1. Previous Uptrend (Left Side):
The price was previously moving within a well-defined ascending channel (marked by white parallel lines).
Eventually, the price broke below the ascending channel, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. Downtrend Phase (Middle Section):
After breaking out of the bullish channel, the price entered a descending channel.
A short position was executed here, with a visible stop-loss (red zone) and take-profit (green zone).
This short trade was successful — the price reached the take-profit level.
📌 Current Market Setup (Right Side):
3. Breakout from the Downward Channel:
The price has broken out of the descending channel to the upside.
This breakout may indicate the start of a new bullish wave.
4. Anticipated Pullback:
A pullback is expected toward a nearby demand zone (highlighted with a yellow rectangle).
After the pullback, a continuation to the upside is projected — reflected by a long position with a large risk-to-reward ratio (roughly 1:3 or higher).
📈 Pattern and Scenario:
A trend reversal pattern is forming following the breakout from the descending structure.
The projected structure follows the pattern: Impulse – Pullback – Impulse.
This is a classic bullish continuation setup.
🧠 Conclusion:
Pattern: Reversal and bullish continuation.
Bias: Bullish, especially after confirmation of the demand zone.
Strategy: Wait for a retest of the demand zone for a safer long entry. An aggressive entry could be made on breakout confirmation.
EURJPY - LONG BUY - SIMPLE PRICE ACTION - POWEFULL RESULTS EURJPY is making a series of LH and LL, however with formation of divergence it has slightly broken the Last LH and almost bounced back from Resistance level of 0.618 FIB level, which is a strong resistance level. we anticipate that, price if breaks the LH / 0.618 resistance level then it will easily hit TP1 and TP2
EUR/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the EUR/JPY with the target of 163.215 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURJPYnterest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025).
Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist.
Bank of Japan (BoJ):
Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May).
Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026.
Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap.
Key Economic Data for May 2025
Eurozone
Q1 GDP Growth (Final):
0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth.
Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%).
Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth.
ECB Policy Signals:
ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued.
Japan
Q1 GDP Contraction:
-0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption.
U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks.
BoJ Caution:
Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target.
Directional Bias for EUR/JPY
Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY
ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage.
Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure.
Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish
ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal.
Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate.
#SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
EUR/JPY Short🎯 Trade Setup Plan
👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier)
Sell Limit: 164.90
SL: 165.90
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3 (optional): 155.00
Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept.
✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended)
Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection.
Entry: On next day’s minor retest (e.g., 162.50–163.00)
SL: 165.50 (above recent highs)
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3: 155.00
Risk: 1–2% depending on confirmation strength
📌 Optional Breakout Plan (In case resistance breaks cleanly)
Buy Stop: 165.60
SL: 164.30
TP: 170.00 (weekly resistance)
Use only if a strong daily close above 165 confirms breakout.
EUR/JPY "Yuppy" Heist: Sniping Swiss Profits with Thief Trading!🌍 Hello Global Traders! 🌟
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Dive into our EUR/JPY "Yuppy" Forex heist, crafted with the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Follow the strategy outlined in the TradingView chart, focusing on a long entry targeting the high-risk MA Zone. Expect a wild ride with overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish players lurk. 🏆💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉
Entry 📈: The vault’s open! Grab bullish opportunities at any price, but for precision, set buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe near swing lows or highs for pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (163.00) for scalping or day trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open orders.
Target 🎯: Aim for 167.00
💵 EUR/JPY "Yuppy" is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key market drivers. ☝
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