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Japanese Yen/Euro

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JPYEUR trade ideas

SELL EURJPY for bullish trend reversal SELL EURJPY for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 172.80 Trade trade is based on false breakout and divergence..... First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through.... Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence.  On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bearish divergence Regular Bearish Divergence In case of Regular Bearish Divergence: * The Indicator shows Lower Highs * Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart..... The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
Short
by BALE_FX
demand zone spottedEUR/JPY – Bullish Rejection from Demand Zone | 4H Smart Money Setup Pair: EUR/JPY Timeframe: 4H (4-Hour) Bias: Bullish Status: Trade Active Strategy: Demand Zone Rejection / Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Market Context EUR/JPY has been in a broader uptrend with higher highs and higher lows throughout July. Recently, the market retraced and tapped into a clearly defined demand zone, showing bullish rejection—a potential opportunity for long entries. Key Technical Highlights • Demand Zone marked around 170.65 – 171.30 o Formed by previous accumulation before the last strong impulsive bullish leg. o This zone acts as institutional support, where large buy orders may reside. o Price wicked into the zone and printed a bullish candle, suggesting buyer interest. • Risk-Reward Structure o Entry: ~171.33 (current price action after bounce) o Stop Loss: Below demand zone (~170.66) o Take Profit: 173.38 (previous high / clean traffic zone) • The position is marked on chart with a clear long setup: o Green zone = Target o Red zone = Risk o Trade offers a favorable Risk:Reward > 2:1 Scenarios Bullish Continuation • Price continues upward respecting demand zone. • Confirmation from bullish price action or break of lower highs (structure shift). • Clean targets above at 173.00 – 173.40. • Bearish Invalidity • Price closes below 170.65 on a 4H candle. • Break of demand invalidates the setup. • Next potential support lies lower near 169.80. Trade Plan Summary Component Value Entry 171.33 Stop Loss 170.66 Take Profit 173.38 R:R Ratio ~2.5:1 Status Active, Waiting for Follow-through Conclusion EUR/JPY is showing a clean rejection from a strong 4H demand zone after a healthy pullback. Structure still supports a bullish continuation, and the trade is positioned with tight risk and strong upside potential. Monitoring for confirmation via momentum and market structure.
Long
by eaonimisi
EURJPY Bearish! Short EURJPY We see a verg bearish weekly BAT! Long‑term short opportunity on EUR/JPY Weekly: bearish bat pattern formed Price fell below daily and 4H lows, breaking support floor If you missed the 173–174 entry zone, there’s still a short setup today Entry: 171.9–172.1 Stop loss: above 172.4 Intraday targets: Target #1: 171.5 Target #2: 170.5 Target #3: 169.9 and below Medium‑to‑long‑term targets: Target #1: 166.5 Target #2: 161.7 #institutional order flow #trading
Short
by Will_TNT_Trading
EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25📊 EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. OANDA:EURJPY
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY Eyes New Highs After Pullback?What I see! EURJPY Technical Outlook – EURJPY remains in a strong uptrend and recently tapped into buy-side liquidity at 173.89, which now marks the All-Time High (ATH). After a brief rejection from that level, price is currently showing signs of a healthy pullback. I’m observing the 170.00–171.00 zone, which aligns with previous demand. If price continues to respect this area, the overall bullish structure remains intact, with potential for a move back toward (and possibly beyond) the ATH. A sustained break below 170.00 could indicate room for a deeper pullback, potentially toward the 168.00s, which would be a key area to monitor. This analysis is shared for educational and discussion purposes only.
Long
by Wave-Trader-Pro
EUR/JPY Bearish Engulf as EUR/USD Sells Off Ahead of the FedA good illustration of FX market structure is on display today. EUR/USD is down sizably after teh announcement of the EU trade deal and this may be a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' kind of event. But, there's also the possibility that this is squaring up ahead of a really big week of drivers with FOMC, Core PCE and NFP all scheduled for later this week. But, there's also the sentiment argument, where a strong bullish move has taken hold of the Euro in the first half of the year as EUR/USD has jumped to fresh three-year highs. And while USD/JPY is rallying up to the 148.00 level, displaying Yen-weakness, EUR/JPY is down on the daily with a show of JPY-strength. This highlights that the move in EUR/USD is likely driving that sell-off in EUR/JPY as EUR/JPY is currently working on a bearish engulfing candlestick on the daily. And this happens after last week showed overbought RSI on both the daily and weekly charts, with daily RSI diverging from price as EUR/JPY set a fresh yearly high shortly after the open this morning. This shows that EUR/JPY is very much in-play this week with those US drivers, and there's also the Bank of Japan rate decision to consider. In EUR/JPY, there's possible support tests coming up, around the 170.47 and 170.93 Fibonacci levels, followed by the 170.00 big figure. - js
by FOREXcom
EURJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 172.51 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 173.00 Safe Stop Loss - 172.29 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURJPY → Retest support before growthFX:EURJPY has been correcting since the opening of the European session. The movement was triggered by yesterday's news related to the trade deal between the US and Europe... EURJPY is reacting to news related to the deal between the US and Europe. A correction is forming amid the fall of the euro, but against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, the currency pair has a chance to rise if the bulls keep the price in the buying zone relative to the support level of 173.08. The dollar is rising, and against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is falling. Bulls have every chance of holding their ground above the previously broken resistance. If the market confirms support, we will have chances for growth. Resistance levels: 173.87 Support levels: 173.082, 172.47 The currency pair may form a liquidity trap relative to the previously broken consolidation resistance. A false breakdown of support and price consolidation in the buying zone (above 173.1) could trigger further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
EURJPYBank of Japan (BOJ) — July 28, 2025: Latest Overview Policy Rate and Recent Moves Short-term policy rate: Remains at 0.5%, the highest since 2008. Decision timing: This rate was set in January 2025 (up from 0.25%) and has been maintained Policy Outlook and Economic Backdrop Inflation: Tokyo's core CPI is running above the BOJ’s 2% target (2.9% YoY in July), primarily due to external price pressures like energy and currency movements, not strong domestic demand. Growth trends: The BOJ has trimmed its growth outlook, noting headwinds from higher U.S. tariffs and yen weakness, but still expects a moderate recovery if global trade remains stable. Bond Purchases: The BOJ is scaling back its massive holdings of Japanese government bonds—targeting a 400 billion yen quarterly reduction through March 2026, then lowering to 200 billion yen in subsequent quarters. Potential rate path: Market consensus and BOJ commentary indicate a possible hike to at least 0.75% by year-end 2025 if above-target inflation persists and downside global risks do not intensify. Key Drivers and Central Bank Signals U.S.-Japan trade: The new trade pact has reduced some uncertainties, supporting the possibility of policy tightening if inflation and yen trends remain stable. Inflation’s nature: The BOJ stresses that any additional rate hikes will depend on seeing sustained, demand-driven price increases and wages, rather than just external cost pressures. Governor Ueda’s message: The BOJ is maintaining a cautious, data-dependent approach, prioritizing stability and careful evaluation of global and domestic risk factors. Quick Fact Table Indicator Latest (July 2025) BOJ’s Signal Policy Rate 0.5% Steady for now; another hike possible in 2025 Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) 2.9% Sustainable above-target inflation Next Meeting July 30–31 Hawkish bias; likely no immediate change Bonds (JGB reduction) -400B yen/Q Gradual unwinding through March 2026 Rate Outlook Stable, with upside Hike to 0.75% possible by year-end if justified Summary: The BOJ remains in a cautious, data-driven policy stance at 0.5% as of late July 2025, with inflation still above target and moderate growth. The central bank is slowly reducing bond purchases and may raise rates again by year-end if the current economic trends persist, but no change is expected at the imminent July meeting. European Central Bank (ECB) — July 2025: Latest Policy and Economic Update Key Interest Rates and Current Stance Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00% Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) Rate: 2.15% Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40% These rates were set after a 25 basis point cut in early June 2025 and have now been held steady as of the ECB’s July 24, 2025 meeting. Monetary Policy Context Policy Pause: The ECB ended a year-long easing cycle which saw rates cut from 4% to 2%. The current pause reflects the ECB’s “wait-and-see” approach as inflation has now stabilized at its 2% target and global trade tensions—especially over U.S. tariffs—add significant uncertainty. No Commitments: The Governing Council is explicitly not pre-committing to any future rate path, emphasizing a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting stance. Asset Purchases: The ECB’s asset purchase programme (APP) and the pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) portfolios are being reduced gradually, with no reinvestment of maturing securities. Inflation and Economic Outlook Inflation: Now at 2% (its target). The ECB expects it to remain near target for the period ahead. Wage growth continues but is slowing, and underlying price pressures are easing. Ecoomic Growth: The eurozone economy grew more strongly than expected in early 2025, but trade uncertainty and a stronger euro are holding back business investment and exports. Higher government spending, especially on defense and infrastructure, is expected to support growth over the medium term. Loans and Credit: Borrowing costs are at their lowest since late 2022. Households are benefiting from strong labor markets and growing wages, but banks are cautious in their lending due to uncertainty and global trade tensions. Risks and Forward Guidance The ECB is focused on safeguarding price stability amid exceptional uncertainty due to global trade disputes and policy risks. There is no forward guidance for the next rate change. Markets are pricing only one possible additional cut for 2025, and a potential return to tightening in late 2026 if inflation stays below target. Summary Table: ECB at a Glance (July 2025) Policy Rate 2.15% Deposit Rate 2.00% Marginal Lending 2.40% Inflation (Jun 25) 2% (target achieved) GDP Growth (2025) 0.9% (projected) Policy bias Cautious, data-dependent pause The ECB’s current stance is one of caution, monitoring the effects of prior easing and global trade risks while inflation stabilizes at target. No further near-term cuts are planned unless significant data surprises emerge. The approach is flexible, with decisions made meeting-by-meeting in response to evolving economic and financial conditions.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25📊 EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. OANDA:EURJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025EURJPY 7/27/2025 EURJPY 4hour Bullish Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bullish All timeframes suggest we are bullish and after last week that is clear. We’re expecting a bit of a pullback but let’s get into two potential setups for the week ahead: Bullish Continuation - If we are to continue with the bullish trend we would like to enter a trade at the next point of structure. In this scenario, the next point of structure would be a higher low as close to 172.250 support & our 61.8% fib level as possible. Look to target higher toward our -27% fib level if this happens. Bearish Reversal - For us to consider EJ bearish again we would need to see a strong break below our support at 172.250. If we see bearish structure below this zone we can say price action will most likely fall lower, potentially down to 170.750.
Long
by ForexLeague