USD JPY shortthe sl is a bit short and narrow but yet lets see the rr is very good 1 to 3 lets see
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JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.83
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 147.34
My Stop Loss - 148.12
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY: Confirmed CHoCH & Bullish OutlookI spotted a confirmed Change of Character on 📈USDJPY on 4-hour timeframe.
The market, currently in a global bullish trend, has effectively broken through a minor bearish trend and surpassed a key horizontal resistance level.
It is likely to continue rising, with the next resistance at 149.00.
USDJPY Analysis : Smart Money Setup & MMC Concept + Target📌 Chart Overview:
This 4H USDJPY chart presents a multi-phase market structure analysis rooted in MMC (Major-Minor-Central) framework, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and liquidity mapping. The price is currently trading around 147.39, and the chart outlines two possible scenarios labeled 1 (bullish continuation) and 2 (bearish rejection).
🔍 Key Zones & Technical Elements Explained:
🔹 1. 2x Supply Zone (Support Reaction)
Price rebounded sharply from the double-tested demand zone marked around 146.00–146.50.
This zone has historical significance and has acted as a base for previous bullish momentum.
The sharp V-shaped recovery suggests strong buying interest at institutional levels, hinting at a potential bullish continuation.
🔹 2. QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) Zone
A notable zone where previous bullish structure broke down. It’s now being retested from below.
The QFL structure acts as a hidden supply zone or potential liquidity trap.
Watch for price rejection here, especially if it aligns with liquidity sweep patterns.
🔹 3. Minor & Major Structural Levels
Minor zone: A smaller consolidation and reaction zone—used to observe minor trend shifts or scaling entries.
Major zone: Sitting around 148.50–149.00, this is your Next Reversal Zone. It overlaps with a historical resistance area and could lead to a significant reaction.
📈 Projected Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
Price breaks above the Central Zone and holds.
After breaching the minor resistance, it climbs towards the Major Reversal Zone (148.50–149.00).
There, we look for:
Either a reversal trade setup (liquidity grab + bearish confirmation).
Or continuation beyond 149.00, especially if supported by USD strength/fundamentals.
🚫 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
Price fails to hold above the Central Zone.
Rejection at QFL or Minor levels sends the pair back into the mid-147s and potentially down to retest the 2x Supply Zone again.
Breakdown from there could lead to a move towards 145.50–146.00, forming a potential double bottom or deeper retracement.
🧩 Technical Insights Summary:
Trend Context: Short-term bullish recovery from demand, but macro trend still uncertain.
Key Confluence:
2x Supply → Strong demand.
QFL + Central → Key breakout/rejection zones.
Major Zone → High-probability reversal area.
Bias: Neutral to Bullish, favoring Scenario 1 if price sustains above 147.50.
Watch for:
Candlestick rejections in Major Zone.
Break-and-retest behavior in Central Zone.
USD-related news near July 30–31 (highlighted below chart).
Bullish on usdjpyI am currently long USDJPY. It's Thursday, and there’s still plenty of buy-side liquidity left. The highs from Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday remain unchallenged. We've also traded into a weekly PD array (weekly FVG), respecting the C.E. and moving away, which signals a local low for me. Additionally, we're breaking out of a falling wedge, with the breakout target being the top of the wedge. Lastly, DXY is beginning to show bullish market structure shifts on the 15m and 1h timeframes. I am targeting those relative equal highs. Invalidation lies at the most recent swing low.
USDJPY Possible Continuation Spotted a CHoCH (Change of Character) on the lower timeframe, confirming a BEARISH market structure shift as price broke the last low.
🟢 SUPPLY Zone has formed above — likely holding unfulfilled sell orders.
🔁 I’m watching for a retracement into this supply zone to enter a sell (short) position at a premium price, in line with the momentum.
🎯 Target: Next low below, where buying pressure may reappear.
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the Supply Zone — if broken, the setup is invalidated.
✅ Quick Summary:
• CHoCH confirms trend change
• Supply Zone is key for entries
• Entry on pullback, SL above, TP at demand below
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 7, 2025 USDJPYEvent to watch today:
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
USDJPY:
The yen is benefitting from falling Treasury yields and mounting expectations that the Bank of Japan could move to a token rate hike as early as this autumn. Minutes of the 30-31 July meeting revealed that two board members want tightening on the table should inflation stay above 2 %. In parallel, the Finance Ministry has expanded its FX-intervention envelope to ¥20 trn, signalling a readiness to cap USDJPY below 150.
The U-S dollar stays under pressure: weak labour data increases the odds of a September Fed cut, while a scandal over the dismissal of the Bureau of Labor Statistics head fuels doubts about data integrity. The 10-year U-S yield has slid to 3.95 %, narrowing the spread with JGBs and dulling the dollar’s carry appeal.
A restraining factor is caution within Japan’s ruling coalition, which warns against rapid tightening given the threat of new U-S tariffs. Even so, the overall risk balance still favours yen strength thanks to potential intervention and the likelihood of a BoJ policy pivot, keeping the pair biased lower.
Trade recommendation: SELL 147.550, SL 147.850, TP 146.500
"USDJPY Smart Money Play | Bullish Rejection at Key Demand ZoneUSDJPY showing textbook Smart Money behavior!
✅ Key Highlights:
Bullish ChoCH and Break of Structure (BOS)
Strong bounce from the Demand Zone near 145.86 (marked Strong Low)
Retest of the Bullish Trendline inside the Upward Channel
Expecting continuation to TARGET area (150.76)
Lower Timeframe Entry: Look for confirmation on M15/M30 near 147.23
🧠 Smart money concepts at play:
Mitigation of previous lows
Liquidity sweep followed by bullish intent
Market structure shifting back to bullish
📈 Bias: Bullish
🎯 Short-term Target: 150.76 (Resistance Area)
🛑 Invalid if clean break below 145.86
USD/JPY(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Chairman Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
147.40
Support and Resistance Levels:
148.30
147.96
147.74
147.05
146.83
146.49
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 147.40, consider a buy entry, with the first target price being 147.74. If the market breaks below 147.05, consider a sell entry, with the first target price being 146.83