USDJPY BUY IDEA1. Ascending Channel Structure
Price has been respecting a rising channel for several weeks.
Currently testing channel support (lower trendline).
This suggests a critical decision point: bounce or break.
2. 200 EMA (likely)
Price is hovering just above a long-term moving average, acting as dynamic support.
A clean break below this could trigger bearish momentum.
3. Support & Resistance Zones
A gray demand zone aligns with recent consolidation (support area).
Price is hovering near this demand zone, meaning buyers could step in here.
Overhead resistance (at ~151.045) marks the final target zone for the long setup.
4. Long Position Markup
A buy setup is marked with:
Entry: Around 147.150
Stop Loss: Around 146.385
Take Profit: 151.045
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (very favorable)
5. Bearish Candlestick Pressure
Recent candles show multiple rejections and pressure near structure.
But no clean break below the trendline or EMA yet.
JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY
The market is currently in a "decision zone", meaning price action around current levels will determine the next major move.
Direction Probability Confirmation Condition
📈 Bullish move to 155.733 ✅ 60–65% Hold above 147 support and break above 151 resistance
📉 Bearish move to 144/140 ❌ 35–40% Confirmed daily candle break below 147 level
Bullish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is an overlap that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.83
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 148.95
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USD increased slightly and JPY decreased deeplyThe world USD price increased slightly. The USD-Index reached 98.79 points, 0.08 points higher than yesterday. According to CNBC, the USD increased in value compared to most currencies as the market focused on President Donald Trump's personnel nomination for the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Yesterday, President Donald Trump said he would soon announce decisions on replacing Governor Adriana Kugler, who resigned last Friday, including choosing the next Fed chair. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's term will end in May 2026.
Yesterday's report from the Institute for Supply Management said that the US non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) in July fell to 50.1 from 50.8 in June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services PMI would increase to 51.5. A PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in the services sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. Investors are pricing in a high probability that the Fed will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Investment bank Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to deliver three consecutive 0.25% rate cuts starting in September...
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the buy entry, which is an overlap support, and could potentially rise further.
Buy entry is at 147.04, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 145.82, which is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit is at 148.72, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDJPY TRADE IDEA – LIQUIDITY GRAB & POTENTIAL DROP📉 USDJPY TRADE IDEA - LIQUIDITY GRAB & POTENTIAL DROP 💣
07 August 2025 | USDJPY | 30m TF
Following recent bullish corrective movement, price has now tapped into a premium supply zone marked by a previous inefficiency and liquidity buildup.
After sweeping short-term internal liquidity, USDJPY rejected cleanly from the marked POI, showing signs of exhaustion. With the overall market structure still favoring lower highs and lower lows, this area could serve as a strong distribution zone.
🧭 Current Bias:
I am anticipating price to reject deeper into the 146.622 region, aiming for liquidity resting below last week's low. Trade is active, and confirmation aligns with:
Bearish BOS on lower TFs
Strong reaction from premium zone
Favorable risk-to-reward setup (as seen in the projection box)
💡 Why this setup matters:
High probability reversal zone tapped
Confluence of imbalance + internal liquidity grab
Clear downside inefficiencies yet to be filled
Patience now becomes the strategy, letting price unfold to target the liquidity voids below.
#USDJPY #ForexSetup #SmartMoney #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #OrderBlocks #SupplyZone #MarketStructure #TradeSmart #FXForecast #TradingPsychology #JpyTraders #ForexNigeria
USDJPY: The Fed & BOJ Likely To Keep Rates In Place. Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USDJPY
The FED and BOJ are expected to keep their perspective interest rates, come Wednesday. The USD is stabilizing, a US-Japanese tariff deal inked, and investors are slowing moving money from the Yen safe haven to riskier assets.
Look for USDJPY to slowly move higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Trading Ideas USDJPY 1D [Disc On]Technical Analysis:
There is a hidden bullish stochastic divergence on the 1D timeframe, indicating a potential continuation of the previous trend. The price has also entered the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement area.
Conclusion:
There is a high probability of seeking BUY positions in the range of 147.800 – 147.000, with a Take Profit target at 151.800 and a Stop Loss at 145.200.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 148.96, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 150.78, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 146.92, which is a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D5 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W32 | D5 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
GBPJPY and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 4, 2025 USDJPYAfter Friday’s weak U.S. jobs report, USD/JPY fell sharply, breaking below 150. At the start of the new week the pair stabilized around 147–148, yet the fundamental backdrop remains tilted against the dollar: expectations for Fed cuts in the coming months are weighing on U.S. yields and narrowing the U.S.–Japan yield spread—the primary long-run driver of USD/JPY.
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The Bank of Japan continues an ultra-loose stance, with forecasts showing inflation around target but little appetite for aggressive tightening in the near term. That leaves the main channel of yen support tied to U.S. yield dynamics and global demand for safe-haven assets. With softer U.S. yields and elevated U.S. political uncertainty, demand for defensive currencies may stay resilient.
Additional risk factors include commentary from Japan’s Ministry of Finance regarding the yen and potential bouts of volatility around Fed communications and incoming U.S. data. Today’s base case favors selling USD/JPY on corrective upticks toward 146, as pressure from lower U.S. yields persists.
Trade idea: SELL 147.550, SL 148.550, TP 146.050
USD/JPY - Potential Targets this WeekDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Let me know if anything is unclear, inputs and questions always welcome.
I don't always have the right answers, but I do share my opinion freely.
Keynotes:
If attempts to fill all imbalances fail and or struggles for a clear
and decisive break above 149.500. Potential for more downside remains high.
NFP produced either a trend reversal igniter or a much-needed correction candle.
I remain bearish on this pair until the Killzone is decisively breached.
Talk of the town remains rate cuts that's very long overdue.
Interesting article to read in this regard:
www.tradingview.com
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
USD/JPY Breakout Falls Flat - Fibonacci Support TestUSD/JPY showed a strong breakout last week in the aftermath of the Fed, BoJ and the Core PCE report.
The big fundamental drive there was lower odds of rate cuts starting from the Fed - and this pushed back the worry of a larger case of carry unwind as USD/JPY remains more than 40% above the early-2021 levels that showed before the carry trade episode got started.
But - chasing the pair continues to be a major challenge as I've highlighted in these pieces, and the Fibonacci resistance that showed up on Thursday has since led to a strong pullback, with USD/JPY now testing another key Fibonacci level for support at 146.95, which is the 61.8% retracement of the recovery move that started last September.
The risk here is that markets pricing in rate cuts from the Fed could cause a rally in the Japanese Yen which brings USD/JPY back to that 140.00 level. And if that breaks, there could be even more motivation for hedges built around that carry trade to unwind. Similar to last July, that could eventually hit other asset classes as the leverage brought on by low rates in Japan quickly draws out of the market. So, there's some significant macro risk here, and this is one of the reasons why we saw such a strong breakout last week when it looked like that rate compression between the U.S. and Japan was not going to happen.
The big question now in USD/JPY is whether bulls step in to hold support. Two weeks ago, following Japanese elections, it was the 145.92 level that held support, and that remains a big line in the sand today. But, if we see sellers grind below 145.00, that could cause other current longs in USD/JPY to get cautious. - js
USDJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 147.23 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 148.77
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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