A trade for 2017...Banks -> Asset Managers -> ?? ==> BROKERS !
SECTOR THEME FOR 2017 ?
Main street banks flew first, and we are betting that asset managers will follow (LM, BX). And then what? The logical step down the sector will be the brokers: Smaller, less visible, less owned, yet sure to benefit from the pickup in trading volume of the bull market. They will be equally served (fundamentally) by any market consolidation, as volumes generally accelerate on the downside. IBKR is a leading independent online broker and is set to benefit. Set this plain-vanilla, long trade as one of the sector picks for 2017...
FUNDAMENTALLY IMPROVING ?
BAC highlighted recently that December had been one of the best months EVER for asset collection. This is bound to translate into the numbers of asset managers, and brokers. GS upgraded two of the main players of the brokerage sector today (E*TRADE and IBKR). Expect more upgrades to come. Expect good earnings and guidance, as earnings releases provide catalysts for the stocks to move higher. Technically, IBKR has been attempting to complete a very compelling Cup-with-handle (see long term chart below).
TRADING STRATEGY: PLAIN VANILLA LONG AHEAD OF EXPECTED BREAKOUT
Go long here
Target = $52
Stop = $32
R/R = 1.76x
