QQQ Pressured Below Downtrend Line. TA for Aug. 6QQQ Pressured Below Downtrend Line – Bearish Momentum Building
Market Structure (1H View)
* QQQ remains in a descending channel, with price recently rejecting near the upper trendline resistance around $566–$567.
* The recent drop signals sellers defending the downtrend line, pushing price back toward mid-channel.
* Macro structure still leans bearish until price can break and hold above the channel.
Key Price Zones
* Immediate Resistance: $564–$567 (trendline rejection zone)
* Major Resistance: $577 (macro swing high level)
* Support: $551–$552 (key demand zone + previous consolidation base)
* Deeper Support: $545–$546 (prior low / psychological level)
Indicators
* MACD: Bearish crossover forming; momentum bars turning red, signaling increased downside pressure.
* Stoch RSI: Cooling off from overbought levels, moving lower—suggesting potential continued weakness.
* Trendlines: Price trapped between descending resistance and mid-channel support.
Current Bias
The rejection near $566–$567 and drop in momentum suggest sellers are regaining control. A retest of $551–$552 is possible if bearish momentum accelerates.
Scenarios to Watch
🟢 Bullish Case:
* Break & close above $567 → likely move toward $577.
* Needs strong buying volume and MACD bullish reversal to confirm breakout.
🔴 Bearish Case:
* Failure to reclaim $564 with sustained selling → drop toward $552 support.
* If $552 fails, deeper flush toward $545–$546 possible.
Trade Ideas (Not Financial Advice)
* Short Bias: If rejection continues at $564–$566 zone, target $552 with tight stop above $567.
* Long Setup: Only if price breaks $567 with strong bullish momentum; target $577.
📌 Final Thoughts
QQQ is in a pressure cooker at the top of its descending channel. Without a bullish breakout soon, the path of least resistance remains lower toward $552. Keep a close watch on intraday momentum shifts for confirmation.
QQQ trade ideas
8/8/25 - $qqq - How I'm positioned ep 28/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
How I'm positioned ep 2
- TV's tools suck so bad that i went to check something and it deleted my note in draft, so instead of just saying eff it, i'll retype the TL;DR points
- index headed higher into YE, but feels like needs to reset either a bit lower or grind sideways before it can "leap"
- a ton of names trade MSD++ fcf yields and grow MSD-DD+ and are easy MT buys, hard to differentiate, but supportive of index too beyond mega cap
- that being said, hard to beat oppty cost of OBTC given S-1 filed this week, i'd link it but tradingview doesn't like me helping people do DD - so go to EDGAR to pull it up
how i'm positioned
65% OBTC/ 35% ibit gross short. playing the spread 12% discount to spot on OBTC as we speak. preparing for this to close in anywhere from 1 to 3 months. best guess would be it's LIVE by end of oct
OTC:OBTC/BINANCE:BTCUSDT/0.000324
NXT at 8% notional/ 15% gross (ITM leaps)
Deck at 5% notional/ 15% gross (ITM leaps)
ONON at 2% notional/ 8% gross (ITM leaps)
GAMB at 2% notional/ 6% gross
SES 5% but covered above $1 thru oct
10-15% cash for ammo, prob to further stack $OBTC.
have a good weekend.
V
Nasdaq at or near end of trend?Broadening top seen, with current PO if the recent high is the top. There’s still room to run higher to test the upper boundary of this pattern. Should the current potential head and shoulders top on the hourly chart break out to the downside then the odds of the top being in now increases.
The same head and shoulders pattern is showing up in the major averages and also for Berkshire Hathaway.
QQQ $573C Looking HOT **QQQ \$573C Looking HOT 🔥 Weekly RSI Surges – Models Align on Call Setup 🚀**
---
### 📊 **Post Body (Formatted for TradingView):**
**QQQ Weekly Options Play — Aug 8 Expiry (3DTE) 💥**
📈 **Momentum Snapshot:**
* **Weekly RSI:** 🔼 67.9 and rising
* **Daily RSI:** ⚖️ Mixed (short-term weakness)
* **Volume Trend:** Mixed — bullish accumulation OR institutional selling
* **Gamma Risk:** ⚠️ Moderate
* **Time Decay:** ⏳ Accelerating
---
🧠 **Model Consensus Summary:**
* **Grok / Claude / Llama:** 🔥 Bullish — Weekly RSI + volume support
* **Gemini (Google):** 🧊 No trade — Conflicted volume view
* **DeepSeek:** 😐 Bullish with caution — Volume red flag acknowledged
✅ **Consensus Direction:** **Moderate Bullish**
🛠️ **Trade Setup:** Long CALL
---
### 🧾 **Trade Specs:**
* 🟢 **Instrument:** QQQ
* 📈 **Strike:** \$573
* 📅 **Expiry:** Aug 8, 2025
* 💵 **Entry Price:** \$0.86
* 🎯 **Target:** \$1.30
* 🛑 **Stop:** \$0.43
* 📏 **Size:** 2 contracts
* 💪 **Confidence Level:** 70%
* ⏰ **Entry:** Market Open
* 🕒 **Posted:** 2025-08-05 08:03 EDT
---
🚨 **Risk Notes:**
* Institutional selling may cap upside 📉
* Mixed RSI suggests staying nimble ⚠️
* Only 3 DTE — exit FAST if it runs 💨
---
📦 **Trade JSON (Copy for Auto-Loggers):**
```json
{
"instrument": "QQQ",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 573.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-08",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 1.30,
"stop_loss": 0.43,
"size": 2,
"entry_price": 0.86,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-05 08:03:16 EDT"
}
```
---
### 🏷️ **Tags (TradingView Format):**
`#QQQ #OptionsAlert #WeeklyOptions #CallOptions #TechStocks #MomentumTrading #RSI #EarningsPlay #OptionsFlow #GammaSqueeze #TradingSignals #QQQTrade #Nasdaq100 #TradingStrategy #SPYQQQ`
QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025
🧠 **QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025**
🎯 **Setup**: High-conviction LEAP PUT
📉 **Bias**: 🔻 *Moderate Bearish*
📆 Horizon: Long-Term (12+ months)
---
📊 **Multi-Model Intelligence Summary**
🧪 **Grok (xAI)**
• Monthly RSI = bearish 📉
• Trading near 52W highs = overvalued 💥
• Suggests: \$545 PUT
🧠 **Gemini (Google)**
• High conviction bearish
• Suggests: \$590 PUT (expensive premium)
🧬 **Claude (Anthropic)**
• RSI breakdown = confirmed weakness
• Recommends: \$530 PUT for max downside
🦾 **Meta (LLaMA)**
• Moving averages turning over
• Suggests: \$555 PUT – moderate confidence
🛰️ **DeepSeek**
• Long-term RSI confirms bearish drift
• Volatility ideal for LEAP entries
• Recommends: \$545 PUT
---
📍**MODEL CONSENSUS**
✅ Bearish trend across all models
✅ Favorable volatility (VIX ✅)
✅ Overvaluation = downside pressure
⚠️ Strike variance across models → we anchor at **\$545** for balance
---
💼 **TRADE SETUP (LEAP PUT)**
• 🔻 Direction: PUT (Short)
• 🎯 Strike: **\$545**
• 📆 Expiry: **2026-09-18** (413 days)
• 💰 Entry Price: **\$38.33**
• 🎯 Target: **\$76.66**
• 🛑 Stop: **\$24.91**
• ✅ Confidence: **75%**
• ⏰ Entry: Monday Open
• 📏 Size: 1 contract
---
📌 **Narrative**:
Every model says the same thing: RSI rollover, inflated price, and perfect LEAP conditions. Institutions are neutral → retail can front-run the decay. You don’t often get long-dated PUTs this clean.
🎯 Asymmetric risk/reward.
📉 Macro setup aligns.
🎯 Strong long-term positioning play.
---
🧠 Stay smart. Position early. Ride the macro shift.
🔔 Like + Follow for more AI-driven trade setups.
8/1/25 - $qqq - How i'm positioned 8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
How i'm positioned
- 2x leverage on the whole book. 75% at risk so 150% gross
- so 25% powder
47% obtc
30% nxt (12.5% leaps)
36% deck (ST and leaps for 6.5%)
27% lulu (ST gas for 1% lol!)
8% mstr (ST gas for 80 bps lol!)
5% gme (ST gas for 40 bps!)
5% ses (covered with calls at 1 strike already)
be well. let's attack monday.
if we dip monday i think >50% chance that's the low
if we don't, i think >30% chance we go higher
so i'm bidding this selectively w balance of ST gas and high conviction plays.
V
QQQ: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy QQQ.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Stock Allocation IdeasIf you're building a stock portfolio, how you allocate your money matters as much as what you buy. Here’s a practical, risk-aware approach for retail traders and investors:
1. Core and Satellite Approach
Core (60–70%): Stick with strong, stable companies—large-cap names with reliable earnings like AAPL, MSFT, or JNJ. These form the foundation of your portfolio.
Satellite (30–40%): Use this portion for high-potential ideas—growth stocks, emerging tech (like AI or EV), or small caps. Higher risk, but higher potential return.
2. Mix Between Defensive and Growth Stocks
In volatile markets, lean toward defensive sectors (healthcare, consumer staples, utilities).
In bull markets or improving conditions, increase exposure to growth sectors (tech, consumer discretionary).
3. Blend Growth and Value
Balance high-growth stocks with undervalued, stable companies.
When interest rates are high or inflation is rising, value stocks often perform better.
When rates fall or the economy picks up, growth stocks usually lead.
4. Don't Ignore International Exposure
While U.S. stocks are strong, consider adding 20–30% exposure to global markets (Europe, Japan, or select emerging markets).
5. Stay Disciplined with Rebalancing
Check your portfolio every 3 months.
Take profits where gains have outpaced, and reinvest in areas that are still fundamentally strong but lagging.
Final Tip: Focus on position sizing and risk management. You don’t need to hit every trade—preserving capital and staying in the game is the priority.
QQQ The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 553.86
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 562.88
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#QQQ Weekly Chart – Technical Breakdown As of August 1, 2025QQQ Weekly Chart – Technical Breakdown
🧠 Key Observations
Bearish Weekly Rejection
A red candle at the recent high ($574.63) suggests buyers are taking profits.
Short-term reversal likely in play.
First Reaction Zone:
0.236 Fib at $533.87 is the first potential bounce zone.
Aligned with:
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Upper range of the Weekly Order Block (OB)
Deeper Demand Zone:
If $533 fails, the Weekly Order Block becomes critical.
That zone stretches down toward $520–$508 (Fib 0.382).
Strong historical reaction area — may attract long setups if macro aligns.
RSI Divergence Risk:
RSI shows some signs of flattening.
Still above 59, so momentum is intact — but weakening.
📉 Pullback Path (Base Scenario):
Potential move to $533 → $520, consolidating inside the order block
From there, bullish continuation back toward $575+
Invalidated below $500, where structure breaks
📈 Mid-Term Bullish Bias Intact
Strong uptrend, higher lows still in place
Any dip into the OB + FVG zone = buy-the-dip opportunity.
QQQ Breaks Out! Can the Bulls Defend the Zone Above 566? Aug7Technical Analysis (1H)
QQQ has finally broken out of the symmetrical wedge pattern, closing above the key 566–567 resistance zone and now testing the 568.60 level. This move confirms bullish momentum as the price holds above the trendline retest.
* Trendline Breakout: Clean breakout from the descending wedge with follow-through candles.
* Structure Shift: Higher lows and higher highs are forming, signaling trend reversal.
* Momentum:
* MACD: Bullish crossover with increasing histogram bars supports the breakout.
* Stoch RSI: Topped near overbought but still pointing upward — watch for potential divergence or consolidation.
* Support Zones:
* 566.60 → Retest zone from prior breakout
* 563.40 → Demand zone aligning with GEX support
* 560 → Critical support and prior resistance
* Resistance Zone:
* 568.60 → Current price testing a key rejection area from prior supply zone
If QQQ holds above 566 on retest, continuation toward 572–574 is likely. If it breaks below 563, short-term weakness may follow.
Options Sentiment & GEX Analysis
GEX data supports a tight battle zone around 567–568.
* Resistance Clusters:
* 568.63 → Highest positive NETGEX and heavy 3rd CALL wall (13.56%)
* 570–572 → GEX7 to GEX10 cluster (light resistance)
* Support Levels:
* 566 → Strong 2nd CALL Wall (15.68%)
* 563.40–564 → GEX9 and GEX8 support (cumulative ~5%)
* 560 → HVL, key pivot for downside protection
* Options Flow:
* Puts at 62.9% dominance → Contrarian bullish bias forming
* IVR 15 / IVx avg 17.9% → Low implied volatility; premium buyers are favored
* GEX 0% → Neutral gamma pressure, so price can move more freely with volume
This GEX structure shows call walls above, but strong net gamma support below. If bulls hold 566–567, they can attempt a push toward 572 into mid-August expiration.
Conclusion:
Bulls are in control above 566. As long as QQQ holds that breakout zone, upside momentum could target 572+. A breakdown back below 563 opens up downside back to 560 or lower. Watch for volume confirmation and IV expansion.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
QQQ Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 574.56 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 565.83
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$QQQ August correction incoming?- August correction incoming? 🚨
- Greed is all time highs; People are complacent
- I believe a correction of 5-10% is healthy for the market to flush out excess and remove junk investments from the market.
- This involves people who are over-leveraged gets trapped.
- Personally, taking profits from risky bets, some profits from quality names and raising cash.
- Rotating money to defensive names.
- Not exiting the markets completely.
Why NQ is probably tanking big timeIn this weekly chart, we see QQQ, which represents the Nasdaq.
As we can see, it had a hell of a run up.
Too far too fast IMO, and it reached the stretch level at the Upper Medianline Parallel.
The natural move is now to let go, take a breath and trade down to center again, which is the Centerline.
After all the most major and most important earnings results are over, and Funds have pumped up their gains through manipulative Options plays, it's time to reap what they have planted and book the gains.
It's all in line with, all moves are at the point, and everything is showing in a simple chart.
Unless price is opening and closing outside of the U-MLH, it's time to load the Boat and sail to the South.
QQQ in a hot moment!Based on my analysis, the #QQQ got the reversal pattern candle, and we will have some consolidation starting this week until the end of September 2025.
My analysis becomes invalid in the daily candle close above the $572.11 (the high of today)
Do your diligence and study more; technical analysis is just the probabilities overview.
QQQ: Price Action & Swing Analysis
The analysis of the QQQ chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QQQ (8 August)Uptrend continues spite selective leadership - only 5.9% new highs
Target @ $564 for next week off a new high based on an expectation CPI/PPI is higher than expected which coupled with weakening growth expectations (GDP, housing, etc.) jinxes the narrative around September's rate cut hopes