QQQ (+ QLD, TQQQ) , Stay heavy on positionsQQQ (+ QLD, TQQQ) , Stay heavy on positions
Despite downside volatility, the trend remains intact. I’m maintaining the same view as before—this is still a zone to stay heavy.
QQQ trade ideas
QQQ daily bearish engulfing on Aug 1st. Where is the bottom?Top or temporary top signal spotted on August 1st tariff deadline marked by daily and weekly bearish engulfing candle on indexes.
Where is the bottom? Bullish reversal signal not yet spotted so here are potential scenarios as of now.
Scenario 1: Bull market still in play and reversal will happens to make a higher monthly low. Watch for a closed reversal candle.
Scenario 2: Monthly lower will be set. It's anyone guess where the temp bottom will happen. Here are potential bottom target to monitor:
2.1: Last year's high
2.2: QQQ 536-532 gap
2.3: Daily RSI 30
2.4: Daily RSI bullish divergence
Conclusion, set your alert levels and stay bearish till we see a closed reversal candle.
QQQ healthy pullback so far - here are my targets for supportQQQ bears show up for the first time in months but zooming out show us the charts are still extremely healthy. Here are some of my targets for areas to find potential support
“QQQ Bounces Back — Trendline Still Holding”
📈 Trade Snapshot:
Despite a fakeout drop, QQQ holds the trendline. A break above $568.95 targets $570.64 short-term.
🎯 Setup Details:
→ Entry: $568.10
→ SL: ~$563.41
→ Target: $570.64
📌 Strong upward structure, with buyers defending key support.
📋 Hashtags:
#QQQ #BreakoutTrade #TrendlineSupport #ProfittoPath #ChartSetup #SwingTrade #PriceAction #SmartTrading
QQQ Forming Nice channelKey Observations:
Uptrend Channel:
QQQ has been trading within a rising channel.
The price respects both the support (lower red trendline) and resistance (upper red trendline) consistently.
Recent Price Action:
There was a sharp drop that briefly broke below the lower trendline support but quickly rebounded back inside the channel, indicating a false breakdown or buying strength at support.
A horizontal red line marks a previous resistance level, now potentially acting as a support.
Current Price:
The price is around $567.22, near the middle of the channel, but just below the recent local high/resistance.
Implication:
As long as the price stays within the channel, the uptrend remains intact.
A confirmed breakdown below the channel support would be bearish, while a breakout above the channel resistance would be bullish.
QQQ Technical Analysis: Bullish Trend Intact
From a technical perspective, the QQQ is in a powerful and well-defined uptrend. The price action since the April low has been contained within a sharp ascending channel, confirming strong and consistent buying pressure. The market is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, which often acts as short-term resistance and can precede a minor pullback or consolidation phase.
A major bullish development was the recent breakout above the 535-540 price zone. This area had served as significant resistance from December through February, and its conversion into a new support floor is a textbook sign of strength. This level will now be a critical pivot point for the market.
Should a pullback occur, the chart lays out a clear hierarchy of support levels. The first line of defense is the intermediate support at 550. Below that lies the crucial 535-540 pivot zone, followed by another support area between 520 and 525. The most significant long-term support rests at the 500 level, which was a major resistance ceiling for much of the prior year.
The overall outlook remains bullish. As long as the price respects the ascending channel structure, particularly the lower trendline, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Traders will likely view pullbacks toward these established support levels as potential opportunities to join the prevailing trend. A break below the channel and the 535 level would be the first signal of a potential momentum shift.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
“Buy the rumor, sell the news”
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### 🎯 **“Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” – A Trader’s Mind Game**
Imagine you’re not just following the market… you’re dancing ahead of it. This strategy flips traditional thinking on its head—and rewards those bold enough to act **before** the spotlight hits.
---
### 🕵️♂️ **Step One: Buy the Rumor**
- Traders catch whispers—like talk of a potential interest rate hike.
- The markets start to react *before* anything official is announced.
- Assets like gold might drop on the expectation alone… that’s your **entry point**.
You're not buying certainty. You're buying what the crowd *thinks* will happen.
---
### 🔊 **Step Two: Sell the News**
- Once the news breaks, it's already "old" to seasoned traders.
- That shocking headline? Already priced in.
- The market might reverse or surge unpredictably.
- This is when savvy traders exit, locking in profits from those who just arrived.
---
### 🧠 **Why It Works**
- Financial markets aren’t just driven by facts—they’re powered by **sentiment** and **anticipation**.
- By the time news goes public, smart money has already moved.
It’s like buying concert tickets before the band announces a tour—then selling them the moment fans go wild.
---
### 📉 **A Real Example**
- **Monday Rumor**: “The Fed will raise interest rates.”
- Gold begins to slide as traders prepare—this is your chance to act.
- **Thursday News**: The hike is confirmed.
- Instead of dropping further, gold might **rise** due to market overreaction or repositioning.
- You **sell** into that chaos—profit made.
---
$QQQ Trading Range for 7.21.25 and everything in itToday’s Trading range and everything in it. How are you playing it?
$QQQ this might the spot. Hello and good night, evening, afternoon, or morning wherever you may be. I have been looking at names all day and I wanted to check the indexes: NASDAQ:QQQ and $SPY.
Here we have the indexes up almost 30% from the April lows and sitting about 10% YTD. The candle highlighted is the spinning stop candle and has volume to match. These candles usually take place (green or red) in downtrends or uptrends and provide pivotal indication. The market has major earnings this week (07/21/2025 to 07/25/2025) with names like Google, Tesla, General Dynamics, Verizon, Domino’s And so forth.
This week could be a catalyst to see some great volatility. I believe staying 3% from moving averages so I have noted 3.5% from the 50EMA and revisiting the 20EMA and 21EMA in the low $550 area. My target is $553 which is only a 1.4% move which can happen in one session in this environment while staying 3.5% above the 50EMA.
My trade idea will be $553p for 07/25/2025. Good luck!
WSL
QQQ : Stay Heavy on Positions1) April Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
2) Current Market State: No More Fear, but Watching
Since then, the market has stabilized.
The fear has disappeared, but we are still in a wait-and-see mode as traders assess the next move.
Momentum is holding, but participation remains cautious.
3) Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
$QQQ Trading Range for 7.15.25 and everything in it for CPI
Tomorrow’s Trading range and everything in it. We have CPI in premarket tomorrow. This is the trading range. let's go.
$QQQ Tomorrow’s Trading Range and everything in it /// 7.14.25Tomorrow’s Trading range and everything in it. How are you playing it?
QQQ July 14th 2025I failed to update my trade journal at the end of last week and am going to try to be better about it this week. I am going to try to keep these posts more brief so I can remain consistent and meet my goal of creating an accurate timeline of my trades. For this week, I am going in with a bullish bias, which is better supported on the PA for NASDAQ:QQQ instead of AMEX:SPY , so I will be trading it instead.
The price is currently down 0.60% overnight, which would take the price near the bottom of the range ($550), which is outside of the channel. In this flat structure, we will either see the price break up after a liquidity test (spring) or break down in a true bearish reversal.
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Neutral Analysis
Renko: As my main chart, Renko clearly shows both scenarios, illustrated by the solid white (bullish) line and the dotted (bearish) line. For the bullish idea, the price will find a significant number of buyers after a false breakout to the downside. I switched from Traditional box sizes to ATR (14) filtered, and as you can see, the automatic rally (AR) after the peak did not have a significant retracement. We did not see a retest of the upper part of the range that could be considered a secondary test (ST) until some time later and when it did, the price rose back to the peak, indicating that buyers still had strength. From there, the price has been chopping around in Phase B without making much progress to the downside, which it will most likely reach on Monday in the form of a gap down. Additionally, the rising channel that led to this pullback is also a strong pattern, so this pullback should be treated as possible re-accumulation. If the price fails to reenter the channel or reach the top after a breakout below the range, it will likely sell off from there.
200R Chart: The range chart also supports that the secondary test was the retest of the top of the channel, a potential sign of strength. The price is still way above the 200MA, so the uptrend appears strong. One important area to watch is the volume gap from $548-$549 on the volume profile. If bulls cannot defend the gap, that could be a potential sign of weakness.
500R Chart: I am including this chart because it does provide a reason to be cautious of a pullback, or even a reversal. The price is at the top of the channel that began on April 9th. The last time the price tested the upper boundary, it formed a temporary top and pulled back, which we could see play out again here. The volume candles also show significantly higher interest since May 13th. This could either be due to increased interest from buyers or the distribution of shares, requiring more effort to move the price higher.
Daily Chart: Here is another chart that suggests that the first movement that could be considered a secondary test was the retest of the top of the range. The price has been bouncing off monthly VWAP and Fisher Transform remains flat in the upper zone. We have not seen a bearish candle with intent on the daily chart. These have all been flat doji candles.
Options: For this section, I can’t provide a good analysis of on-the-money options since the price is likely to gap down. I’m including 7/15 $550p since the price will likely open around that level and will need to move below the strike to see the premium rise significantly. The price of this contract was in a larger descending channel and will need a strong break above the top ($2.15) in order to signal further downside for $QQQ. According to my options calculator, this would require the underlying price to drop below $551 for an extended period.
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Targets
Calls: Open at $549; Close at $557; Stop below $548
Puts: Open $550-$552; Close at $544.50; Stop above $555
QQQ watch $556.31 above 552.96 below: Break of either should RUNQQQ (Nasdaq) has flown off the bottom like a rocket.
Now up against a Golden Genesis fib at $556.31.
Local support fib from bottom is below at $552.96.
Break of either should result in a strong next leg.
Next decent support below is at $54.51-541.58
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QQQ What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on QQQ and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 554.20 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 540.50
Safe Stop Loss - 560.82
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Inevitable Pull Back Coming Soon? | NVDA TSLA AAPL AMZN META MSFStock Market Forecast | CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! SPY QQQ
Mag 7 Forecast | NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA AAPL AMZN META MSFT July 2025 Forecast
The Myth of Win RateOne of the most common questions I get from QS members:
“What’s the win rate of the signal?”
Sounds like a smart question. But it's often coming from the wrong mindset — the same mindset as a student cramming for a test, hoping for one perfect answer key that’ll give them a 90% score and an easy win.
Let me break this down for you:
🧮 The Only Two Numbers That Matter in Trading
There are only two math truths that actually grow your account:
Win Rate – how often you’re right
Win/Loss Ratio – how much you make when right vs. how much you lose when wrong
Everyone obsesses over #1.
Almost no one truly understands or applies #2 — and that’s the real killer.
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🤔 So What’s the Ideal Setup?
In a perfect world, you’d have:
A high win rate (80–90%)
AND a high win/loss ratio (make $3, lose $1)
But guess what?
This isn’t a perfect world — this is a war.
See my earlier post: "What’s your catalyst?"
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⚔️ Trading Is Like War (or Sports)
In war, victory is rare and costly.
In sports, scoring takes hard work, timing, and discipline.
In trading:
You win big when the odds are stacked in your favor
You cut losses quickly when you’re on the wrong side
That's the gold standard — but few do it.
Even worse, many do the exact opposite:
Take quick profits to “lock in a win”
Let losers run hoping for a miracle
Then they wonder why their account bleeds over time.
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🎰 Vegas Was Built on 51% Win Rate
Casinos don’t need to win every game. They just need:
Slightly better than 50% edge
Strict control over risk and payout
That 1–2% edge? It built every billion-dollar casino on the Strip.
Now think again:
Why are you chasing a 90% win rate when even 55% + smart risk control can make you rich?
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🧠 Profitability > Win Rate
You don’t need to win all the time.
You need to win big enough and lose small enough.
Your goal should be:
3 steps forward, 1 step back.
That’s the realistic rhythm of trading success.
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✅ So Next Time You Ask About a Signal...
Don’t just ask:
“What’s the win rate?”
Instead ask:
“What’s the reward if I’m right?”
“What’s the damage if I’m wrong?”
“How do I size this trade so my wins outgrow my losses over time?”
This is how real traders think.
Not about perfection — but about probability, edge, and sustainability.
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💬 TL;DR
Win rate is just one piece.
Your win/loss ratio and risk management matter more.
Profitability > accuracy.
The market doesn’t reward perfection. It rewards preparation, defense, and discipline.
Keep playing smart, not perfect.
And remember — it’s a long game. 🧠📈
$QQQ Tomorrow’s Trading Range and everything in it /// 7.10.25
Today’s Trading range and everything in it. How are you playing it?
$QQQ Tomorrow’s Trading Range and everything in it /// 7.8.25Tomorrow’s Trading range and everything in it. How are you playing it?
$QQQ Long Trade Setup – July 10📈
Price formed a tight triangle right at resistance—and today we got the breakout. Looks ready for continuation if volume steps in.
📌 Entry: $556.26
🎯 Target: $560.77
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $554.00
⏱️ Timeframe: 30-min chart
🔍 Why I Like This Trade:
Strong bullish flag breakout after retest
Holding above structure with higher lows
Clean path toward the upper resistance zone
🧠 This setup aligns with the overall tech strength—riding the momentum with tight risk!
$QQQ – Fibonacci Roadmap to 700+ | VolanX Macro ProjectionPosted by WaverVanir International LLC | July 7, 2025
We're now entering a potentially historic expansion phase in the $QQQ. Our macro model, embedded in the VolanX DSS framework, projects a highly probable move toward the 1.786–2.0 Fibonacci extension zone, targeting $696.80 to $739.27, with 711.45 as a primary convergence level.
🔍 Key Technical Breakdown:
📐 Measured Move Base: November 2023 to March 2025 low
🟡 Fib Anchors: 404.65 low ➜ 540.81 high
🧬 Primary Support Zone: 0.5–0.618 retracement (449–465) held structurally during Q1 volatility
🚀 Resistance Breakout: Sustained break above 540.81 initiated the next Fibonacci leg
📈 Next Major Extension Target:
1.618: 663.46
1.786: 696.80
2.0: 739.27
🎯 Projected Path: Consolidation near current highs, followed by a liquidity-driven breakout into 700+ by mid-2026
🧠 Macro Context via VolanX Alpha Layer:
Liquidity Regimes: Improving risk-on flows with tech sector leadership resurging
AI & Infrastructure Megatrend: QQQ components benefit directly from AI adoption, infrastructure stimulus, and cloud capex
Volatility Compression: VIX continues to trend lower, fueling breakout setups on high beta indices
📊 Strategy Insight – VolanX DSS Signal:
✅ Long bias remains intact while price holds above 528 (last microstructure support)
🔄 Optimal entry zones: Dips toward 540–545 = reload opportunities
⏱️ Swing horizon: 4–6 months
🛡️ Risk Management: Invalidate long thesis on weekly close < 504
📌 Note: This projection is derived from our institutional Decision Support System (DSS), blending Fibonacci confluence, macro catalysts, and structural flows.
🔔 Follow @WaverVanir for more high-conviction macro setups powered by VolanX Protocol.
QQQ Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 556.22 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 564.94
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 542.15
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
