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TSLA trade ideas

$TSLA either one big flag or massive short setting upHello, Just some browsing, NASDAQ:TSLA hasn’t had any major moves prior to early May - June IMO. This is on my watch for a short swing setup. This is bull flagging but I see a short here. I’m conflicted. I do see the higher low but we are in a pitchfork and this has been consolidating in this $290-$340 area for about a month and half. There’s also a lower high. Just posting for some free dialogue and open ideas. Talk to me. Let me know what you see and think. We aren’t too far from 200EMA and 200SMA. It’s just curling above the 50 as well. Maybe we consolidate for another week or two? A massive move is brewing here I think. I’m talking $100 in a week up or down soon. WSL
NASDAQ:TSLA
by wallstreetloser001
1
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry. At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout. I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward. Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by afurs1
1
TSLA Attempting Breakout – Watching $312 Key Level. Aug. 5TSLA Attempting Breakout – Watching $312 Key Level 🚀 Technical Overview (1H) TSLA is consolidating just below the critical $312 resistance, aligning with the Highest Positive GEX and 2nd Call Wall (57.55%). A breakout above this level could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $317.5 and potentially $325. Support sits at $300 (Major Put Support -58.42%). If this fails, bears could push toward $295 and $290. Price is currently forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern if confirmed. GEX & Options Flow Insights * Highest Positive GEX: $312 – Strong resistance; breaking above can fuel upside momentum. * Major Call Walls: $317.5, $325 – Profit-taking zones for bulls. * Major Put Support: $300 – Bears will defend here; losing it invites heavier selling. * Call/Put Positioning: CALLs 31.3% vs Puts – Skew still leans slightly bullish, but gamma flip is near $300. My Thoughts TSLA is coiling for a potential move. As long as price holds above $300, the risk/reward still favors a bullish breakout play. However, failure to clear $312 could see a pullback into $305–$300 range before another attempt. Trade Ideas Bullish Scenario: * Entry: On a breakout above $312 with strong volume * Targets: $317.5 → $325 * Stop-Loss: Below $305 Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Rejection at $312 and loss of $305 * Targets: $300 → $295 * Stop-Loss: Above $315 15-Minute Short-Term Setup * Intraday traders should watch for a mini breakout retest above $310 for scalps to $312+. * If $307 fails intraday, momentum could stall toward $304–$302. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
7/24/25 - $tsla - Duh 7/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA Duh - ppl focused on ST FCF (all over X!) is 100% of the reason why when you put the pieces together, you realize that while ST this might not behave like anyone expects... LT, TSLA is v likely going to in, elon's own words, be the largest cap in the history of capital markets - two leading robots with leadership position in IRL AI - profitable, is all that matters - have not yet hit the S-curve was super lucky to trim some of this last week now i'm back to sizing into a full position, not yet there like on that silly political dump, but i'm nearly 10% (20% is my max size). V
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VROCKSTAR
2
TSLA Breaking Out — But Can It Hold Above $320? Aug. 7📊 Technical Analysis (1H + 15-Min Confluence) TSLA has surged out of its $308–$312 consolidation range with strong bullish momentum. It's now pressing against the key resistance zone just under $320, with clean price structure and a rising trendline. * Trend: Higher lows with a breakout above structure = bullish continuation bias * MACD: Bullish crossover + expanding histogram = momentum building * Stoch RSI: Overbought at 88+ = short-term cooling possible, but not a sell signal on its own * Volume: Strong breakout volume confirms interest — now needs follow-through above $320 Key Levels to Watch: * Support Zones: * $317.50 (micro support) * $312.35 (breakout base / trendline confluence) * $308.72 (former top of range) * Resistance Zones: * $319.85 (current high) * $322.50 (major gamma wall) * $325 → $330.39 (stacked supply above) Scalping Setup (15-Min View): * Entry (CALLs): Break and hold above $320 * Target: $322.50 then $325 * Stop: Below $317.50 * Bias: Momentum continuation as long as price holds trendline + VWAP 🔬 GEX-Based Option Sentiment (1H GEX Map) The options market is now showing significant gamma resistance overhead, making this a crucial inflection zone: * CALL Walls: * $319.85 = 2nd CALL Wall (95.21%) — this is where price is currently pausing * $322.50 = 3rd CALL Wall (86.55%) * $325–$330 = GEX10/GEX7 cluster — potential fade zone * PUT Support: * $305 = HVL + strong buyer interest * $300 = -26.58% PUT Wall * $297.83 = 3rd PUT Wall — major dealer de-hedging zone * Net GEX Bias: * Positive GEX above $312.50 → bullish momentum slows as dealers hedge * Below $305 = faster downside risk (gamma unwind) * IVR 5.5, IVx Avg 51.4 → IV drop = favorable for buying options, not selling them 🎯 Options Trade Ideas: * Bullish Swing (Speculative Breakout): * Entry: Break > $322.50 * Target: $325 / $330 * Stop: < $317.5 * Bearish Fade (Gamma Cap Reversal): * Entry: Reject below $320 with stalling momentum * Target: $312.5 / $308 * Stop: Close > $322.5 ⚠️ My Thoughts: TSLA is at a key gamma inflection point. Price structure supports more upside, but dealer positioning above $322.5 may cap momentum unless volume forces a squeeze. Use trendline and VWAP confluence as your confirmation anchors — and watch for failed breakout traps into overhead gamma zones. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TSLA – Testing Key Gamma & Structure Levels. TA for Aug. 6TSLA – Testing Key Gamma & Structure Levels Technical Overview TSLA has been consolidating just under a key resistance zone at 310–312, which also aligns with the highest positive GEX / gamma resistance area. Price is forming a higher-low structure off the 303–305 support trendline, suggesting buyers are still defending key levels despite recent selling pressure.
MACD is flattening out and Stoch RSI is cycling near mid-range, indicating a potential momentum build but no confirmed breakout yet. GEX / Options Sentiment * Gamma Resistance: Heavy call wall at 312 with 52% concentration, and further stacked resistance into 320–325. This creates a ceiling unless strong bullish momentum steps in. * Gamma Support: Large put positioning at 300 (-64% concentration) and 295 acting as a key defensive floor. * Dealer Positioning: Above 312, gamma flip could drive momentum toward 320–325 quickly. Below 300, dealer hedging could accelerate selling into 295 and possibly 290. Trade Scenarios Bullish Case * Trigger: Break & hold above 312 with volume. * Target 1: 320 * Target 2: 325 * Stop: <305 Bearish Case * Trigger: Close below 300 with momentum. * Target 1: 295 * Target 2: 290 * Stop: >312 Options Thoughts * Bullish: Consider short-term calls if price breaks above 312 with strong volume and momentum confirmation. * Bearish: Consider puts targeting 300 if rejection occurs at 310–312 and sellers regain control. * Neutral / Premium Selling: Selling an iron condor around 295–325 could work if expecting continued range trading until a catalyst emerges. 📌 My Take: TSLA is coiling for a decisive move. GEX shows a tight battle between 312 call resistance and 300 put support. A break in either direction could lead to a fast expansion move. I’m leaning neutral-to-bullish as long as 305 holds, but I’ll switch bearish if 300 breaks. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TSLABased on the provided 4-hour chart of TSLA, here is a brief summary and outlook. Tesla's stock price has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern since late May. The price is currently trading near the upper boundary of this triangle, which is a critical resistance level. The stochastic indicator is showing a bullish crossover and is trending upwards, but it is not yet in the overbought territory. The chart presents two potential scenarios for the immediate future. A bullish breakout (green arrow) would occur if the price successfully breaks above the upper trendline and the resistance around $320. This could lead to a significant move towards the next target, potentially around $355, as indicated by the length of the triangle's base. Conversely, a bearish scenario (red shaded area) would see the price fail to break out and instead fall back towards the lower support trendline, possibly testing the support level around $303. The key to the next move is a decisive breakout from the current pattern. Traders should monitor for a clear break above or below the trendlines with increased volume to confirm the direction. A successful breakout to the upside would signal a continuation of the previous uptrend, while a breakdown to the downside would suggest a potential bearish reversal. The support and resistance levels marked on the chart are key reference points for managing risk and setting targets.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by bsloba83
TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025 🔻 **TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025** 🔻 🚨 **Multi-Model Consensus Signals a Tactical Put Opportunity** ### 🔍 Market Snapshot: * **Daily RSI:** 39.9 (Bearish) * **Weekly RSI:** 53.2 → Falling * **Volume:** Weak (0.8x last week) * **Options Flow:** Neutral (C/P Ratio \~1.04) * **VIX:** 20.38 → Favorable for Options Plays * **Institutional Support:** Weak --- ### 🔮 Model Consensus: 📉 **All major models (xAI, Google, Claude, Meta, DeepSeek)** confirm: * Bearish momentum on both daily + weekly RSI * Weak volume = cautious institutional behavior * Volatility setup perfect for short-dated puts --- ### 🎯 Viral Trade Setup: **💥 Trade Type:** PUT (Short TSLA) **🔻 Strike:** \$300 **📆 Expiry:** 2025-08-08 **💰 Entry Price:** \$6.65 **🎯 Target Exit:** \$10.64 – \$13.30 (60%-100% gain) **🛑 Stop Loss:** \$3.99 **📊 Confidence:** 65% **📍 Entry Timing:** Monday open **🕒 Signal Timestamp:** 2025-08-03 01:33:56 EDT --- ### ⚠️ Key Levels: * Support to watch: **\$297.82** * News/event risks: Stay alert ⚡ * Use tight risk controls for weekly plays! --- 🔥 **If you trade TSLA — don’t sleep on this one.** Bearish consensus + clean setup = **high-probability weekly play.**
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by quantsignals
$TSLA - High CAGR Strikes againTesla’s long-term bullish structure remains intact on the 2-month logarithmic chart, with price breaking out of a two-year ascending triangle capped near $350. This move tests the 78.6% retracement level at $347, opening the door to Fibonacci extension targets at approximately $595, $892, and $1,189 if momentum follows through. The volume profile highlights strong historical support in the $180–$250 range, a key zone to defend on any pullback. Notably, the macro backdrop adds a tailwind — the last significant Fed rate cut in early 2020 coincided with Tesla’s parabolic advance, and the next major cut is projected for late 2025. Long-term momentum indicators are turning higher, suggesting the early phase of a new bullish cycle. A sustained hold above $300 on any retest would reinforce the breakout, while a drop back under $280 risks a move toward $200–$220. I wouldn't want to be short long term.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by httpz
Fibonacci Arcs in Stock TradingFibonacci Arcs in Stock Trading Fibonacci arcs, derived from the renowned Fibonacci sequence, offer a compelling blend of technical analysis and market psychology for traders. By mapping potential support and resistance areas through arcs drawn on stock charts, these tools provide insights into future price movements. This article delves into the practical applications of Fibonacci arcs in trading, their interplay with market psychology, and best practices for effective use. Understanding Fibonacci Arcs The Fibonacci arc indicator is a unique tool in technical analysis derived from the famed Fibonacci sequence. It’s crafted by drawing arcs at the key Fibonacci retracement levels - 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% - from a high to a low point on a stock chart. Each curve represents potential support or resistance areas, offering insights into the stock’s future movements. The art of arc reading, meaning interpreting these curves, is crucial for traders. When a stock approaches or intersects with an arc, it reflects a significant reaction level. For instance, if a stock price touches or nears an arc, it could face arc resistance, indicating a potential halt or reversal in its trend. Applying Fibonacci Arcs in Trading In the stock market, these arcs serve as a guide for traders seeking to anticipate future price movements. When applied correctly, they can provide critical insights into potential support and resistance levels. Here's a step-by-step look at how you may use them effectively: - Identifying High and Low Points: Begin by selecting a significant high and low point on the stock's chart. In an uptrend, it’s the most recent swing high to a previous swing low, and vice versa. These are the anchor points. - Drawing the Arcs: Once the points are selected, draw the arcs at the Fibonacci retracement levels of 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. They radiate from the chosen low point to the high point (or vice versa), cutting across the chart. - Interpretation: Watch how the stock interacts with these lines. When the price approaches an arc, it might encounter resistance or support, signalling a potential change in trend or continuation. - Timing Entries and Exits: Traders can use the arcs in the stock market as a tool to time their trading decisions. For instance, a bounce could be a signal to enter a trade, whereas the price breaking through might suggest it's time to exit. Fibonacci Arcs and Market Psychology The effectiveness of Fibonacci arcs in trading is deeply intertwined with market psychology. They tap into the collective mindset of traders, who often react predictably to certain price levels. The Fibonacci sequence, underlying this tool, is not just a mathematical concept but also a representation of natural patterns and human behaviour. When a stock nears a curve, traders anticipate a reaction, often leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy. If many traders make an arc stock forecast, they might sell as the price approaches a certain point, causing the anticipated resistance to materialise. Similarly, seeing support at an arc can trigger buying, reinforcing the tool’s power. This psychological aspect makes Fibonacci arcs more than just technical tools. They are reflections of the collective expectations and actions of market participants, turning abstract mathematical concepts into practical indicators of market sentiment and potential movements. Best Practices Incorporating Fibonacci arcs into trading strategies involves nuanced techniques for better accuracy and efficacy. Here are some best practices typically followed: - Complementary Tools: Traders often pair this tool with other indicators like moving averages or RSI for a more robust analysis. - Accurate Highs and Lows: It's best to carefully select the significant high and low points, as the effectiveness of the curves largely depends on these choices. - Context Consideration: Understanding the broader market context is crucial. Traders usually use Fibonacci arcs in conjunction with fundamental factors to validate their analysis. - Watch for Confluence: Identifying areas where Fibonacci levels converge with other technical signals can provide stronger trade setups. - Practice Patience: Traders typically avoid making hasty decisions based solely on Fibonacci levels. It's usually better to wait to see additional confirmation from the price action. Advantages and Limitations of Fibonacci Arcs Fibonacci arcs are a popular tool in technical analysis, offering distinct advantages and some limitations in analysing stock movements. Understanding these can help traders leverage the tool more effectively. Advantages - Intuitive Nature: The Fibonacci sequence is a natural pattern, making the tool intuitive for traders to understand and apply. - Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels: They provide dynamic levels of support and resistance, unlike static lines, adapting to changing market conditions. - Versatility: Effective in various market conditions, the arcs can be used in both trending and sideways markets. Limitations - Subjectivity in Selection: The effectiveness largely depends on correctly identifying the significant high and low points, which can be subjective. - Potential False Signals: Like all technical tools, they can generate false signals, especially in highly volatile markets. - Requires Complementary Analysis: To maximise effectiveness, these curves are usually used alongside other technical indicators, as they are not infallible on their own. The Bottom Line Fibonacci arcs are invaluable tools in stock analysis, providing insights into market trends and potential price movements. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
1
TESLA ABC Trap ZoneTesla’s price action has been exhibiting a period of consolidation characterized by lateral movement, forming a pattern commonly identified as a triangular structure. Triangular formations, by their nature, have the potential to break out in either direction—upward or downward—depending on market dynamics. However, my focus is particularly on recognizing this pattern within the context of an Elliot Wave ABC corrective structure. Specifically, the second wave in this sequence appears to manifest as a triangle, suggesting a phase of market indecision and consolidation. This phase is typically followed by a final impulsive move downward, which would serve to complete the overall corrective pattern. Understanding this sequence is critical, as it provides insight into the potential continuation or reversal of Tesla’s price trend after the correction concludes.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by afurs1
1