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TSLA trade ideas

Diamond Top Pattern📉 Diamond Top Formation in Play? This isn’t just a triangle—look closer. What started as broadening volatility on the left has now tightened into a textbook Diamond Top, typically signaling a bearish reversal after a strong impulse move up. ⚠️ Key Signals: • Left side expansion → Right side contraction = structural symmetry. • Major EQH and liquidity sitting right above. • Supply zone pressure at the top. • Watch for a false breakout trap to liquidate late longs. 🔍 Confirmation = breakdown below rising trendline + spike in volume. 🧠 Smart money doesn’t trade patterns—they engineer them. This one? It’s baiting breakout traders before a potential liquidity flush. 📊 Plan Ahead: • Breakdown = short with momentum. • Breakout = wait for trap/fakeout and fade the rally if supply holds. ⸻ 💬 What do you see? Trap setup or trend continuation?
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by graphsandcoffee
Tesla - This Is Actually Not Gambling!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) still looks quite bullish: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Just a couple of weeks ago I published a bunch of analysis, explaining all the reasons for a potential -40% drop on Tesla. However on the higher timeframe, Tesla still looks quite strong and with the bullish break and retest playing out so far, we could even see new all time highs soon. Levels to watch: $260, $400 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
50
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID. 𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs. 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets. $NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by KobesyTrades
TESLA Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 284.90 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 295.68 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 265.94 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AnabelSignals
1
TSLA Long-term Key LevelsIdentified Long-term Key Levels for TSLA Disclaimer: The information provided on this TradingView account is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The content shared here reflects personal opinions and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided. Use the information at your own risk.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ManiMarkets
Either a triangle start forming or a flat just completed. $TSLAThe Friday bounce was huge and expected, but be really cautious as its very a typical Tesla move. At this point, i believe the triangle to be complete in next 2-3weeks(likely), or a flat just complete(also acceptable though i'm leaning less toward this scenario). And, I bought puts yesterday, let's see what this plays out. Just sharing my honest thought here, feel free to challenge my view and post opposing counts, always willing to learn new knowledge.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by xixi2025
TSLA TSLA Did break through a resistance line but this amount of price volitlity was unexpected, there is a big resistance line at around 287-288. Price will most likely consolidate or bounce down. Price could breakthrough and bounce back then continue on upwards. I have never seen this before not even with the Covid crash. Someone else probably has but I sure haven’t. I will probably buy the rebound if it breaks through and enter a long position but as of right now unsure. NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLA
by alfie_olaison
TSLA, the king of all meme stocksYesterday, Q1 earnings call. Stock misses earnings by 30% on already reduced expectations of 0.38. Had it been earnings expectations from a week before (which was 0.434), it would've missed by around 45%. Still, the stock manages to rebound from mid 220s up to 257 in a single day (around 10%). It's impressive, but still looms a ceiling just up ahead (258-260) which I think is the perfect opportunity to short. Will be invalid if it manages to push up above 267.6 which is the local resistance line and a major historic resistance also. That said. I think the odds are good in shorting around 258-260. Expecting a fall towards low 200s and even towards high 170s.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Caprison
1
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart. And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking. Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity: Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential, Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18. The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023. Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend. How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity. On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485. But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself: What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays? Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move. Question is: which direction are you positioned for?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by stromm
Tesla Suspends Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Were Often WrongTesla Pulls the Plug on Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Weren't Worth Much Anyway Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth that has captivated and often confounded investors for over a decade, has made another move guaranteed to stir debate: it's suspending its forward-looking guidance. For many companies, withdrawing financial forecasts signals significant uncertainty or a major strategic shift, often sending shares tumbling. While Tesla's stock undoubtedly reacts to such news, a deeper look reveals a compelling argument: Tesla's official guidance, particularly in recent years, had become such a moving target, so frequently untethered from eventual reality, that its predictive value was already deeply questionable. Suspending it might simply be acknowledging the obvious. For years, Tesla's earnings calls and investor communications were punctuated by ambitious, often audacious, targets set by CEO Elon Musk and the company. These weren't just vague aspirations; they were often specific numbers for vehicle deliveries, production ramps, timelines for new technologies like Full Self-Driving (FSD), and launch dates for anticipated models like the Cybertruck or the Semi. The market, enthralled by Tesla's disruptive potential and Musk's charismatic pronouncements, frequently hung on these words, baking them into valuation models and trading strategies. However, the history of Tesla meeting these self-imposed targets is, charitably speaking, inconsistent. The guidance often veered into the quixotic, reflecting a potent blend of extreme optimism, engineering ambition, and perhaps a dash of Musk's famed "reality distortion field." Consider the infamous "production hell" of the Model 3 ramp-up. Initial targets were wildly optimistic, projecting volumes that the company struggled immensely to achieve, facing bottlenecks in battery production and assembly line automation. While Tesla eventually overcame these hurdles, the timeline and cost deviated significantly from early guidance. Similarly, the promise of Full Self-Driving has been a perennial "next year" phenomenon. While the capabilities of Tesla's Autopilot and FSD Beta have advanced significantly, the arrival of true Level 4 or 5 autonomy, capable of operating without driver supervision under virtually all conditions – as often implied by the timelines suggested in guidance – remains elusive, years behind schedules hinted at in past forecasts. The Cybertruck provides another stark example. Unveiled in 2019 with a projected start date that came and went multiple times, its eventual, limited launch in late 2023 was years behind schedule, and scaling its unique manufacturing process remains a challenge. Guidance around its ramp-up has been adjusted repeatedly. This pattern isn't necessarily born from deliberate deception, but rather from a confluence of factors inherent to Tesla's DNA and the volatile industries it operates in: 1. Aggressive Goal Setting: Musk is known for setting incredibly ambitious "stretch goals" intended to motivate teams to achieve breakthroughs. While effective internally, translating these aspirational targets directly into public financial guidance is fraught with risk. 2. Underestimation of Complexity: Bringing revolutionary products to mass market – whether it's a new vehicle platform, a complex software suite like FSD, or novel battery technology – involves navigating unforeseen engineering, manufacturing, supply chain, and regulatory hurdles. Initial guidance often seemed to underestimate these complexities. 3. Market Volatility: The EV market itself is dynamic. Consumer demand shifts, government incentives change, raw material costs fluctuate, and competition intensifies – all factors that can derail even well-laid plans and render guidance obsolete. 4. The "Musk Factor": Elon Musk's public statements, sometimes made spontaneously on social media or during earnings calls, often became de facto guidance, even if not formally enshrined. His optimism could inflate expectations beyond what the operational side of the business could reliably deliver on a set schedule. Given this history, why did the market continue to pay such close attention? Part of it was the sheer scale of Tesla's ambition and its undeniable success in revolutionizing the automotive industry. Investors betting on disruption were often willing to overlook missed targets, focusing instead on the long-term vision. Past stock performance also created a feedback loop; as the stock soared despite missed guidance, it reinforced the idea that the specific numbers mattered less than the overall trajectory and narrative. Guidance served as a signal of intent and ambition, even if the execution timeline slipped. However, the context has shifted dramatically. Tesla is no longer the lone wolf in a nascent EV market. Competition is fierce, particularly from Chinese automakers like BYD, but also from legacy manufacturers finally hitting their stride with compelling EV offerings. Global EV demand growth, while still present, has slowed from its previously exponential pace. Tesla itself has engaged in significant price cuts globally to maintain volume, putting pressure on its once-stellar automotive margins. In this more challenging environment, the luxury of consistently missing ambitious targets wears thin. The decision to suspend guidance now can be interpreted in several ways: • Pragmatic Realism: Management may genuinely lack visibility into near-term demand, production capabilities (especially with new models or processes), or the impact of macroeconomic factors. Suspending guidance is arguably more responsible than issuing forecasts they have low confidence in. • Strategic Pivot: Tesla is increasingly emphasizing its future potential in AI, robotics (Optimus), and autonomous ride-sharing (Robotaxi). These ventures have even longer and more uncertain development timelines than vehicle production. Focusing investor attention away from quarterly delivery numbers might be part of a strategy to reframe the company's narrative around these future bets. • Avoiding Accountability: A more cynical take is that suspending guidance removes a key benchmark against which management's performance can be judged, particularly during a period of slowing growth and heightened competition. Regardless of the primary motivation, the practical implication for investors is clear: the already thin reed of Tesla's official guidance is now gone entirely. This forces a greater reliance on analyzing tangible results – actual deliveries, reported margins, cash flow generation, progress on FSD adoption rates, and demonstrable advancements in new ventures – rather than promises of future performance. The suspension underscores that investing in Tesla requires a strong belief in its long-term vision and its ability to execute on extremely complex technological and manufacturing challenges, often without a clear, company-provided roadmap for the immediate future. The focus must shift from parsing guidance to meticulously evaluating performance, competitive positioning, and the plausibility of its next-generation bets. In conclusion, Tesla's decision to stop issuing formal guidance is less of a shockwave and more of a formal acknowledgment of a long-standing reality. Its forecasts were often more aspirational than operational, reflecting a culture of ambitious goal-setting within a highly volatile industry. While the absence of guidance introduces a new layer of uncertainty, savvy investors likely already applied a significant discount factor to Tesla's projections. The company's future success now hinges more transparently than ever not on what it promises for tomorrow, but on what it demonstrably delivers today. The quixotic forecasts may be gone, but the fundamental challenge of execution remains.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by bryandowningqln
Short term TSLA Price best guess road mapattached a TSLA trading road map; It will be fun to see if this is how things play out.short term: 1st try arrow now starting Mon small pullback,  start up Tuesday  peak by May 2? Then pullback  Starting May 2-3 Mid Mayto 288 chop for a week then back up  ( if the market tanks to new lows then the red alternate arrow is more likely as all stocks strong and weak  are sold.)    If TSLA holds 288 area then back up By July1 into about to early July (2nd try arrow)If iTSLA can do this and broad market isn't a mess then 400 will be reached in months ahead
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by mukCL
TSLAThe Future of Tesla Stocks: 2025 Outlook Current Situation As of late April 2025, Tesla (TSLA) is trading at approximately $284.95, with notable volatility Bullish scenarios: Some forecasts see TSLA reaching $360 or even as high as $800.70 by year-end, especially if Tesla executes well on new products and technology. Bearish scenarios: More cautious analysts, such as those at Wells Fargo, warn of a possible drop toward $130 if deliveries and margins disappoint, citing intense competition and slowing demand. Most forecasts for 2025 fall between $284 and $800, highlighting high uncertainty and volatility in the stock’s outlook. Key Drivers for Tesla’s Stock Performance 1. Vehicle Deliveries and Production Tesla is expected to deliver between 1.95 million and 2.5 million vehicles in 2025, with growth driven by new models like the Cybertruck and more affordable vehicles. Any production setbacks or failure to meet targets could pressure the stock. 2. Technological Innovation Success in rolling out Full Self-Driving (FSD) features and the anticipated Robotaxi service could be transformative, potentially boosting profit margins and investor sentiment. However, delays or regulatory hurdles could dampen optimism. 3. Competition and Market Share Tesla faces growing competition from legacy automakers and new EV entrants, especially in China and Europe. Its EV market share has slipped below 50% in key regions, raising concerns about sustaining growth. 4. Financial Performance Revenue is projected to grow by 17.5% to $117.2 billion in 2025, with EPS also expected to rise. Margins are under pressure due to price cuts and rising costs, a key risk factor. 5. External and Market Risks Macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rates and consumer demand, will influence stock performance. CEO Elon Musk’s leadership and public perception remain influential but can also be a source of volatility. Long-Term Potential: Despite short-term risks, many analysts consider Tesla a strong long-term play due to its innovation and brand strength. Conclusion The future of Tesla stock in 2025 is highly uncertain, with forecasts ranging from significant gains to steep declines. Key factors include delivery growth, technological breakthroughs, margin management, and competitive pressures. While the long-term outlook remains positive for many analysts, short-term risks and volatility should not be underestimated. Investors should monitor Tesla’s execution on new products, regulatory developments, and broader market trends for directional cues.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Shavyfxhub